Justin Lessler
@justinlessler.bsky.social
2.1K followers 170 following 12 posts
Faculty in Epidemiology at the UNC Gillings School of Global Public Health. Helps coordinate the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub https://covid19scenariomodelinghub.org/
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justinlessler.bsky.social
One of my favorite papers I have ever written....and one of the least cited :-)
Reposted by Justin Lessler
socialsecurityworks.org
Seniors came to JD Vance's event to demand the Trump Administration stop cutting Social Security.

JD's response:

"Don't you all have jobs?"
Reposted by Justin Lessler
btoporek.bsky.social
Cutting off funding to the institution that INVENTED CPR definitely seems like a smart idea. How did no one ever think of this before?
An excerpt from a Wall Street Journal article: 

"Johns Hopkins was founded in 1876 “to foster independent and original research” and now spends more than $3 billion annually on that effort—more than any other U.S. school, according to data from the National Science Foundation. Scientists at the school invented cardiopulmonary resuscitation, or CPR, confirmed the authenticity of the Dead Sea Scrolls, introduced the rubber glove to surgery and landed the first spacecraft on an asteroid. Twenty-nine people with links to the institution have won Nobel Prizes." An excerpt from a Wall Street Journal article:

"A long list of Johns Hopkins’ USAID-funded projects have already been halted, including a nearly complete eight-year effort with half a billion dollars in funding to convince people in more than 50 countries to adopt behaviors such as sleeping under mosquito nets in Mozambique, breast-feeding in Baltimore and using contraception in Nigeria.
Another project halted: An effort to provide chlorine tablets and soapy water and messages about good hygiene to help prevent diarrhea deaths in Bangladesh. "
Reposted by Justin Lessler
bryandjames.bsky.social
Ran out of room to tag the original post #episky (read it to see @justinlessler.bsky.social on @npr.org describing the contagiousness of measles given different vax rates)
Reposted by Justin Lessler
Reposted by Justin Lessler
nhannahjones.bsky.social
“The Maryland National Guard must decline events which celebrates individuals based all or in part on immutable characteristics,” the memo said.

Douglass was an abolitionist, suffragist, orator and author. That’s what we celebrate him. Let’s be clear: This bars celebrating him because he was Black.
Maryland National Guard out of Frederick Douglass parade after DoD order
Strict guidance from the national defense department crushed plans for a parade held in honor of Frederick Douglass’ 207th birthday because it was being held during Black History Month.
www.thebaltimorebanner.com
Reposted by Justin Lessler
altcdc.altgov.info
Goodnight friends. We end today with this quote for ourselves and for our new secretary of HHS.
But again and again there comes a time in history when the man who dares to say that two and two make four is punished with death. The schoolteacher is well aware of this. And the question is not one of knowing what punishment or reward attends the making of this calculation. The question is one of knowing whether two and two do make four.
― Albert Camus, The Plague
Reposted by Justin Lessler
drruth.bsky.social
✨PLEASE SHARE! CDC GUIDELINE ARCHIVES✨

▶️STI GUIDELINES
buff.ly/4jReLT4
buff.ly/3EmjR9B

▶️Medical Eligibility Criteria (MEC) for Contraceptives buff.ly/3PZzQNf
buff.ly/4aKMEko

▶️VACCINE VIS buff.ly/4jJ1603

▶️Others from @jessicavalenti.bsky.social
LGBTQ CDCGuidelines.com

#medsky #pedsky #IDsky 🛟🧪
Yellow background. Different CDC websites that have been removed. Some are in black and white. Others are purple or red and green.
Reposted by Justin Lessler
flodebarre.bsky.social
Five years ago (Monday 30 Dec 2019), a turning point: the news of an outbreak in Wuhan spread on messaging apps, social media (Weibo, then Twitter), and got out of China, culminating with a ProMED alert sent to the international medical community on 30-31 Dec. ▫️1/
screenhot of the "red letter" document (details in the next posts) screenshot of the documents that spread on social media (more details below)
justinlessler.bsky.social
Due warning that they can be a little persnickety about the verification.
Reposted by Justin Lessler
josephlemaitre.bsky.social
The studies informing stratified parameters in IDD models often have partitions (e.g age group) different from the model partitions. Most papers takes the median/mean estimates, but a correct solution exists: see this great paper/R pkg (C. Pearson, @lucygoodfellow.bsky.social @mert0248.bsky.social)
Reposted by Justin Lessler
amymaxmen.bsky.social
Now is a great time to get flu & covid vaccines before holiday travel & parties lead to an uptick. Flu cases are rising. Covid deaths are down compared to other yrs *but still outnumber flu*.

Re-sharing my piece on why vax, masks & tests are the best defense.
kffhealthnews.org/news/article...
‘Emergency’ or Not, Covid Is Still Killing People. Here’s What Doctors Advise to Stay Safe. - KFF Health News
Thousands of people are still dying of covid, but government has mostly handed over responsibility to the people to weather the seasonal surges with their own strategies.
kffhealthnews.org
Reposted by Justin Lessler
adamjkucharski.bsky.social
Note to journalists: important to communicate that the stated aim of GBD was to have a massive epidemic (immediately before vaccines became available), and also somehow keep it away from older population at higher risk (which would be about 25% of UK population if take age 60 as cutoff)
Reposted by Justin Lessler
helenbranswell.bsky.social
[email protected] reports finding #H5N1 #birdflu virus in raw milk. The producer, Raw Farm LLC of Fresno County, has agreed to recall a batch of a whole milk product called "cream top."
Milk from infected cows contains staggering levels of virus. www.statnews.com/2024/04/29/b...
Reposted by Justin Lessler
jbloomlab.bsky.social
Here is analysis of HA mutations in H5 influenza case in Missouri resident without known contact w animals or raw milk.

TLDR: there is one HA mutation that strongly affects antigenicity, and another that merits some further study.
Reposted by Justin Lessler
Reposted by Justin Lessler
esbwenge.bsky.social
Excited to see our working out in The Lancet Infectious Diseases on the effectiveness of one dose of oral cholera vaccine (OCV) in DR Congo. One dose of OCV protects against clinical cholera for up to 24-36 mo
www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
with @justinlessler.bsky.social @andrewazman.bsky.social
justinlessler.bsky.social
We are recruiting for Research Assistant Professor positions at UNC to work on projects aimed at making epidemic projections and analytics more accurate and more relevant to those who need them most. Consider applying to join our team!
unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/270...