lbstars.bsky.social
@lbstars.bsky.social
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
the SD09 after report is a disaster for R’s
February 1, 2026 at 6:46 PM
the SD09 after report is a disaster for R’s
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Data / quant note: What model or message testing predicted how public opinion would shift 32 points in one year in this Texas seat?
None. No quant data could solely determine the correct message for this, no linear model could based on ad tests or issue polls.
None. No quant data could solely determine the correct message for this, no linear model could based on ad tests or issue polls.
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/blue-wave-...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/blue-wave-...
February 1, 2026 at 4:17 PM
Data / quant note: What model or message testing predicted how public opinion would shift 32 points in one year in this Texas seat?
None. No quant data could solely determine the correct message for this, no linear model could based on ad tests or issue polls.
None. No quant data could solely determine the correct message for this, no linear model could based on ad tests or issue polls.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Trump himself was *very* invested in this race, tweeting about it repeatedly in the waning days. So you can count this not just as a rejection of Trumpism, but the man himself.
Rehmet, meanwhile, ran on affordability and education—issues that have propelled Dems in many races.
Rehmet, meanwhile, ran on affordability and education—issues that have propelled Dems in many races.
February 1, 2026 at 5:13 AM
Trump himself was *very* invested in this race, tweeting about it repeatedly in the waning days. So you can count this not just as a rejection of Trumpism, but the man himself.
Rehmet, meanwhile, ran on affordability and education—issues that have propelled Dems in many races.
Rehmet, meanwhile, ran on affordability and education—issues that have propelled Dems in many races.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
BREAKING: Texas Democrat Taylor Rehmet just won a *massive* landslide to flip a deep-red Senate district. He's up by 14 points in a Trump+17 seat—an overperformance of more than 30 points.
How did he do it? Here's our full writeup:
How did he do it? Here's our full writeup:
Breaking: Texas Democrats score landslide upset in race Trump badly wanted to win
Taylor Rehmet just flipped a deep-red seat—and gave his party a shot in the arm
www.the-downballot.com
February 1, 2026 at 5:09 AM
BREAKING: Texas Democrat Taylor Rehmet just won a *massive* landslide to flip a deep-red Senate district. He's up by 14 points in a Trump+17 seat—an overperformance of more than 30 points.
How did he do it? Here's our full writeup:
How did he do it? Here's our full writeup:
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
And guess what? We've got a criminal statute for that:
February 1, 2026 at 5:52 PM
And guess what? We've got a criminal statute for that:
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Reminder to Texans that tomorrow (Monday) is the last day to register to vote in the March elections
February 1, 2026 at 3:50 PM
Reminder to Texans that tomorrow (Monday) is the last day to register to vote in the March elections
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
The result builds on Democrats’ successes in 2025.
As Bolts has found, they flipped 21 percent of all GOP-held legislative seats at play last year. boltsmag.org/legislative-...
As Bolts has found, they flipped 21 percent of all GOP-held legislative seats at play last year. boltsmag.org/legislative-...
In 2025, Democrats Flipped 21 Percent of GOP-Held Legislative Seats - Bolts
Editor’s note: The article was updated on Dec. 31 to reflect the results of three special elections held in late December, none of which resulted in a partisan flip. At... Read More
boltsmag.org
February 1, 2026 at 3:53 PM
The result builds on Democrats’ successes in 2025.
As Bolts has found, they flipped 21 percent of all GOP-held legislative seats at play last year. boltsmag.org/legislative-...
As Bolts has found, they flipped 21 percent of all GOP-held legislative seats at play last year. boltsmag.org/legislative-...
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Just off of the big Texas result—but there's a lot happening next week, including a *Dem-held* legislative seat in quite *red* territory in Louisiana.
A busy stretch of elections is coming up next week. Bolts is watching a legislative primary in Arkansas on Tuesday, a congressional primary in New Jersey on Thursday and then, on Saturday, contests in Louisiana and Texas.
The 20 Elections to Watch This February - Bolts
Democrats hold the narrowest of majorities in Maine and Pennsylvania’s state Houses. They now need to defend vacant seats to retain their edge in each through the end of the... Read More
boltsmag.org
February 1, 2026 at 5:18 PM
Just off of the big Texas result—but there's a lot happening next week, including a *Dem-held* legislative seat in quite *red* territory in Louisiana.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
scenes from occupied Mpls: "Federal agents staged at the Powderhorn Park Recreation Center lot & began to throw chemical irritants at observers. They also kidnapped an observer. Our parks are meant for our children & neighbors. They should never be militarized zones meant to separate families"
February 1, 2026 at 4:34 PM
scenes from occupied Mpls: "Federal agents staged at the Powderhorn Park Recreation Center lot & began to throw chemical irritants at observers. They also kidnapped an observer. Our parks are meant for our children & neighbors. They should never be militarized zones meant to separate families"
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
I recorded this today, in Portland, Oregon, at a huge march to the ICE facility in SW. The crowd was full of cyclists who had ridden there in memory of Alex Pretti; members of several labor unions; and ordinary citizens of every age, including this little girl. So of course ICE deployed tear gas.
February 1, 2026 at 2:05 AM
I recorded this today, in Portland, Oregon, at a huge march to the ICE facility in SW. The crowd was full of cyclists who had ridden there in memory of Alex Pretti; members of several labor unions; and ordinary citizens of every age, including this little girl. So of course ICE deployed tear gas.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
“.. Democrat and machinist union leader Taylor Rehmet won the special election Saturday .. a stunning upset that injected a fresh and urgent sense of a panic into the GOP from the Texas Capitol to the White House ..”
@texastribune.org #SSD9
www.texastribune.org/2026/01/30/t...
@texastribune.org #SSD9
www.texastribune.org/2026/01/30/t...
February 1, 2026 at 2:04 PM
“.. Democrat and machinist union leader Taylor Rehmet won the special election Saturday .. a stunning upset that injected a fresh and urgent sense of a panic into the GOP from the Texas Capitol to the White House ..”
@texastribune.org #SSD9
www.texastribune.org/2026/01/30/t...
@texastribune.org #SSD9
www.texastribune.org/2026/01/30/t...
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
This email was sent 4 years, 6 months after Epstein pleaded guilty
How thoughtful of Howard Lutnick to bring a bunch of children to Epstein Island. They’ll have lots of other kids to play with.
February 1, 2026 at 3:25 PM
This email was sent 4 years, 6 months after Epstein pleaded guilty
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
🚨 Declassified FBI memo reveals Trump “compromised by Israel” and that Kushner was running a parallel State Department. Epstein and Dershowitz likely co-opted Mossad agents.
Plus more Russian interference and sketchy ties
www.justice.gov/epstein/file...
Plus more Russian interference and sketchy ties
www.justice.gov/epstein/file...
February 1, 2026 at 1:40 PM
🚨 Declassified FBI memo reveals Trump “compromised by Israel” and that Kushner was running a parallel State Department. Epstein and Dershowitz likely co-opted Mossad agents.
Plus more Russian interference and sketchy ties
www.justice.gov/epstein/file...
Plus more Russian interference and sketchy ties
www.justice.gov/epstein/file...
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Texas has historically been an atrocious state for Democrats in special elections so this is a very good sign for them
February 1, 2026 at 6:32 AM
Texas has historically been an atrocious state for Democrats in special elections so this is a very good sign for them
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
these are senator james talarico numbers
February 1, 2026 at 4:44 AM
these are senator james talarico numbers
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/blue-wave-...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/blue-wave-...
February 1, 2026 at 6:16 AM
Blue wave watch: Democrat flips Trump +17 Texas Senate seat in 32-point swing
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/blue-wave-...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/blue-wave-...
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Texas: the voter registration deadline is just a few days away on Monday, February 2nd.
To check your registration visit IWillVote.com
To check your registration visit IWillVote.com
January 29, 2026 at 1:51 PM
Texas: the voter registration deadline is just a few days away on Monday, February 2nd.
To check your registration visit IWillVote.com
To check your registration visit IWillVote.com
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
The leader of the GOP in Tarrant County - Texas' third-largest county and the largest Republican-held county in America - has spent this week openly spewing racial slurs and mocking people who will lose access to food stamps on Nov. 1.
October 29, 2025 at 4:06 PM
The leader of the GOP in Tarrant County - Texas' third-largest county and the largest Republican-held county in America - has spent this week openly spewing racial slurs and mocking people who will lose access to food stamps on Nov. 1.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
its so over
February 1, 2026 at 6:49 AM
its so over
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Holy fuck WHAT
February 1, 2026 at 6:53 AM
Holy fuck WHAT
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OH GOD OH FUCK OUR PRESIDENT IS ACTUALLY A PEDO WHO ISNT GOING TO LOWER PRICES HE ACTUALLY IS INSANE AND IT WASNT A BIT FUCKK FUCK FUCK FUCK OH NO OH NO
February 1, 2026 at 6:36 AM
OH GOD OH FUCK OUR PRESIDENT IS ACTUALLY A PEDO WHO ISNT GOING TO LOWER PRICES HE ACTUALLY IS INSANE AND IT WASNT A BIT FUCKK FUCK FUCK FUCK OH NO OH NO
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
A quick reminder that you can donate *directly* to literally dozens of 2026 Democratic candidates at once here: Blue26.org
—nothing goes to me
—pick & choose which candidates to donate to
—you can opt out of sharing your email/phone w/the campaigns
—red/blue leans included whenever possible
—nothing goes to me
—pick & choose which candidates to donate to
—you can opt out of sharing your email/phone w/the campaigns
—red/blue leans included whenever possible
Blue26.org
Not a PAC. Just helping raise money for Democratic candidates to help save democracy.
Blue26.org
February 1, 2026 at 5:28 AM
A quick reminder that you can donate *directly* to literally dozens of 2026 Democratic candidates at once here: Blue26.org
—nothing goes to me
—pick & choose which candidates to donate to
—you can opt out of sharing your email/phone w/the campaigns
—red/blue leans included whenever possible
—nothing goes to me
—pick & choose which candidates to donate to
—you can opt out of sharing your email/phone w/the campaigns
—red/blue leans included whenever possible
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Thought we should check in on the total list of legislative flips during Trump 2.0. The tally so far (including tonight):
Democrats: 26 flips
Republicans: 0 flips
Democrats: 26 flips
Republicans: 0 flips
February 1, 2026 at 5:19 AM
Thought we should check in on the total list of legislative flips during Trump 2.0. The tally so far (including tonight):
Democrats: 26 flips
Republicans: 0 flips
Democrats: 26 flips
Republicans: 0 flips