⑆Luke Stein⑈
@lukestein.com
3.8K followers 850 following 320 posts
Financial economist (finance ⚭ labor ⚭ history) ✨ Asst. Professor at Babson College ✨ Migrating here from @lukestein on the bird site ✨ he/him/かれ
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lukestein.com
🧑🏾🐎🧑🏽🐎🧑🏼🐎 WP: “Racial discrimination in asset prices: Evidence from horse betting” w/ @spencerbarnes.bsky.social

If gamblers underestimate minority trainers (or just don’t 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦 them), their horses may generate higher risk-adjusted returns!

Download WP lukeste.in/horsebetting
1/7
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
natasharsarin.bsky.social
Worth noting that the IRS has just lost its 3rd commissioner in *this* filing season.

That’s unheard of. With tax day around the corner, fair to be worried about this filing season – and what’s to come with respect to our ability to collect taxes and raise revenue
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
natasharsarin.bsky.social
New analysis from @budgetlab.bsky.social:

The IRS is entering into an agmt to share data about undocumented immigrants with ICE. Historically, the agency promised data would not be used in this way.

We estimate the govt will lose ~$300B in the next decade as a result.
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
o.simardcasanova.net
Hard endorse
ginapieters.bsky.social
I never want to hear an #EconSky debate about dropping macro from the PhD core ever again.
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
maibennett.com
It’s not secret at all! Hmu for your dog bandana needs, and I’ll ship you some for free. My goal is for all dogs to be #DogsInBandanas.
lukestein.com
In contrast with much in the world being terrible, let it be known that @maibennett.com is a delight to hang out with irl, and she has a not-so-secret hobby sewing adorable dog bandannas
maibennett.com
Another happy client of #BobsBandanas cc @lukestein.com
lukestein.com
Heck yeah we are! Thank you so much again, Mai 🙏
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
maibennett.com
Another happy client of #BobsBandanas cc @lukestein.com
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
annmlipton.bsky.social
Literally recorded a pod about this to release tomorrow. Investors don't buy shares; they buy interest in an SPV, so the companies can limit the number of investors on their books and remain legally private
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
xntl.bsky.social
I am not saying this out of glee or schadenfreude, or to score political points. I actually think it's an important data point that may not be getting through to people in the US because of all the other horrors they're confronting and trying to resist.
xntl.bsky.social
I wonder if my American friends understand how much Trump has destroyed the US as a travel destination. People are legitimately afraid that they might be detained for weeks in conditions that violate human rights standards, and have no idea how to avoid that outcome. So they aren't coming.
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
abhw.bsky.social
I wasn't browsing r/dataisbeautiful for this, but interesting pattern, good use of the scatter (and layers) and the overlaid histograms (which generally isn't my favorite).
www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeau...
a scatterplot of grant obligations vs trump-harris vote margin, showing cancelled grants (in red) were predominantly in harris-leaning counties (whereas grants overall in gray span all margins), with a histogram below reinforcing the difference. a scatterplot of contract obligations vs trump-harris vote margin, showing cancelled contracts (in red) were predominantly in harris-leaning counties (whereas grants overall in gray span all margins), with a histogram below reinforcing the difference, a less stark pattern than with grants
lukestein.com
Today’s shitpost is tomorrow’s Beamer theme @spencerbarnes.bsky.social
lukestein.com
“So, why don’t you start by telling us a bit about your job market paper”
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
brendannyhan.bsky.social
If the government can do this to universities, we don't live in a free society. Five alarm fire.
jameeljaffer.bsky.social
I’m told this is a real letter. It basically says, “We’ll destroy Columbia unless you destroy it first.”
lukestein.com
Quick and dirty: Trading days from first entering “correction” territory (don't like that term, but 🤷) until hitting deepest drawdown:

- 20% turn around the next day
- 40% turn around two weeks – two months
- 27% five months – one year
- 13% more than a year
lukestein.com
Lunchtime chat w colleague Linghang. In spirit of what our MSF students are learning to code, here’s max drawdown following every 10% S&P 500 correction back to 1980 (n=15 excl. today)

- 6 hit a new high before dropping 15%
- Another 6 fell >25%
- Only 3 turned around at 15–25% (all close to 20%)
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
nealemahoney.bsky.social
Context for today's headlines
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
annmlipton.bsky.social
genuine respect for williams & connolly, hope law students with multiple options take notice
lukestein.com
The microdosing I’m on board with
Reposted by ⑆Luke Stein⑈
burgerkingcorpus.bsky.social
Hi, McDonalds here!

Everyone at our company is a stupid dumbass moron and think people don't wanna order hotcakes and sausages at 1 P.M when it's been shown with extensive market research and customer reviews they DO want that.

We used to offer it but removed it. Sorry, I hate our hashbrowns too.