Patrick M Kuhn
@pmkuhn.bsky.social
810 followers 630 following 44 posts
Political Scientist at Durham University in the Centre for Institutions and Political Behaviour | Researching the politics of political and economic development | PI of 19th-Century Election Violence Project
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pmkuhn.bsky.social
Has always been and will always be…und can ignore it for a while, but economics will eventually come back and bite.
deargodwhatnow.bsky.social
Fundamentally anyone who says politics isn't about economics any more, is an idiot. People like having money and dislike not having enough money
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
jdportes.bsky.social
@robfordmancs.bsky.social argues that the unpopularity of Reform's proposals offer the government an opportunity - but I'd add that they will squander that if they introduce what just looks like a watered-down version of those proposals.
y pushing for such a hardline policy, Reform may have over-reached and handed a powerful weapon to their political opponents, who can attack a potential Farage government as a clear and present danger to the rights and security hundreds of thousands of decent hard-working migrant families, including friends, neighbours and workmates. After years of making the running on immigration, Farage may this week have handed the initiative back to his opponents.
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
rfrbrghs.bsky.social
🚨📢 I am hiring a PhD candidate /research assistant in Swiss Politics and/or Comparative Politics (100%)!

🚨📢 Je recrute un·e assistant·e diplômé·e en science politique en politique suisse et comparée!

Please join me @unil.bsky.social, Switzerland!

Thanks for sharing! polisky @sspunil.bsky.social
pmkuhn.bsky.social
Sunday afternoon at the lake -Afagato weather with view…
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
mariusbrulhart.bsky.social
"Werden Häuser noch teurer?", fragt der Tagi bezüglich #Eigenmietwert.
Meine Antwort: Selbstverständlich.
Wenn man Steuern senkt auf ein inelastisch angebotenes Gut, dann steigt dessen Marktpreis.
Wie stark wäre der Preisschub?
Eine grobe Schätzung.
🧵 1/
www.tagesanzeiger.ch/eigenmietwer...
Die Schweiz ist Weltmeisterin bei Immobilienschulden. Ändert die Abschaffung des Eigenmietwerts etwas daran?
Laut dem Bundesrat wäre ein Systemwechsel bei der Besteuerung von Wohneigentum gut für die Finanzstabilität. Doch das Argument steht auf wackeligen Beinen.
www.tagesanzeiger.ch
pmkuhn.bsky.social
This is shocking…
adambonica.bsky.social
The annoying spam texts destroying the Democratic brand:

$678M raised through those spam tactics

$282M to one consulting firm: Mothership Strategies.

$11M to actual campaigns (1.6%)

The party isn’t just treating donors like marks—it’s being fleeced itself yet continues to back Mothership.
The Mothership Vortex: An Investigation Into the Firm at the Heart of the Democratic Spam Machine
How a single consulting firm extracted $282 million from a network of spam PACs while delivering just $11 million to actual campaigns.
open.substack.com
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
davidho.bsky.social
Motherfucking wind farms…
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
tabouchadi.bsky.social
New article out in World Politcs. We analyze how different groups react to varying programs of social democratic parties. We find less trade-offs than often assumed. Generally, more left-progressive programs increase support among social democratic potentials
muse.jhu.edu/pub/1/articl...
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
pastpresentsoc.bsky.social
From the current issue: “Electoral Violence in England and Wales, 1832–1914”

by Luke Blaxill (@oxhistoryfaculty.bsky.social), Gary Hutchison (@edinburgh-uni.bsky.social), @pmkuhn.bsky.social, @gidoncohen.bsky.social, Nick Vivyan (@durham-university.bsky.social)

#OpenAccess

doi.org/10.1093/past...
doi.org
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
bleddb.bsky.social
Thanks to @pmkuhn.bsky.social for inviting me onto our departmental podcast to talk about the UK Strategic Defence Review, the space dimensions of it in particular and some wider issues in UK defence.

open.spotify.com/episode/52UK...
The UK's Military Makeover: Assessing the Strategic Defence Review
Politics in the Rearview Mirror · Episode
open.spotify.com
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
pmkuhn.bsky.social
Check out the forthcoming JCR article by Anouk Rigterink and my PhD student @wangyinzhao.bsky.social 👇
wangyinzhao.bsky.social
🚨Kicking off my first post with a publication!

My first peer-reviewed article - “The Impact of Natural Disasters on the Ongoing Civil War: The Role of Spatial Configuration of Territorial Control” - now out in Journal of Conflict Resolution!

📖Read: doi.org/10.1177/0022...

🧵What is new👇
pmkuhn.bsky.social
Check out the forthcoming JCR article by Anouk Rigterink and my PhD student @wangyinzhao.bsky.social 👇
wangyinzhao.bsky.social
🚨Kicking off my first post with a publication!

My first peer-reviewed article - “The Impact of Natural Disasters on the Ongoing Civil War: The Role of Spatial Configuration of Territorial Control” - now out in Journal of Conflict Resolution!

📖Read: doi.org/10.1177/0022...

🧵What is new👇
pmkuhn.bsky.social
b), you can do a) when you are 50, 60, or 70.
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
pmkuhn.bsky.social
Explore incidents of election violence in 19th Century England and Wales on our interactive map at victorianelectionviolence.uk/interactive-....

Read short descriptions, see how violence changed over time, and follow the historical newspapers sources to discover more.
pmkuhn.bsky.social
We discovered a lot of "fun" local electoral history bits that have been hidden. Some of the buildings and public houses involved are still standing.
pmkuhn.bsky.social
Explore incidents of election violence in 19th Century England and Wales on our interactive map at victorianelectionviolence.uk/interactive-....

Read short descriptions, see how violence changed over time, and follow the historical newspapers sources to discover more.
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
nber.org
NBER @nber.org · May 25
A new method to estimate treatment effects on long-term outcomes that uses intermediate outcomes to correct for selection bias, relaxes assumptions of popular surrogate estimators, from Susan Athey, Raj Chetty, and Guido Imbens https://www.nber.org/papers/w33817
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
durhamcipb.bsky.social
📣 New episode alert!
CIPB member @pmkuhn.bsky.social explores the Madman Theory—can presidential unpredictability, from Nixon to Trump, really win concessions? Tune in for the data-driven verdict: open.spotify.com/episode/0cov...
Mad or Method? A Closer Look at the Madman Theory
Politics in the Rearview Mirror · Episode
open.spotify.com
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
danbischof.bsky.social
📢📢📢 JOBS: 4 postdocs 📢📢📢

Uni Münster has opened a call for 4! postdoc positions. I'm involved in one hiring and really hope that suitable candidates (in particular quants) apply!

Why would you apply? Check out @thiloalbers.bsky.social FAQ!

sites.google.com/site/tnhalbe...
Reposted by Patrick M Kuhn
robertsaunders.bsky.social
Starmer's language was deplorable.

It was grotesquely offensive, accusing people who have brought their gifts to this country of doing "incalculable" "damage"; & politically foolish, in endorsing Farage's claims of an establishment conspiracy.

But bad analogies with Powell miss the key problem. 🧵
Image from the Financial Times, placing Keir Starmer next to Enoch Powell.