Scholar

John Doyle

H-index: 26
Political science 49%
Sociology 22%
nytimes.com
Israel said Friday that it will allow other countries to drop aid from the air into the Gaza Strip, where children have died of malnutrition and nearly one in three people is coping with food insecurity, according to the UN's World Food Program.
Israel to Allow Aid Airdrops Over Gaza During Starvation Crisis
Jordan and the United Arab Emirates were expected to begin airdrops in the coming days, but experts warned that the bulk of necessary aid could come only by land.
trib.al

Reposted by: John Doyle

bentonra.bsky.social
Contemptible… lesson 19 in ‘strategic autonomy’ this week
ehunterchristie.bsky.social
1-4
The U.S. has cut off support for the electronic countermeasures of Ukraine's F-16s.

Sadly predictable. I think many analysts were thinking it without saying it, for fear of appearing to suggest it.

Sorry, Lockheed Martin. I will henceforth have to recommend that nobody buys your aircraft.
jayinkyiv.bsky.social
Trump expands his war against Ukraine, remotely cutting off vital electronic interference equipment on Ukraine's F-16's.

Trump is merely Putin's whore.

news.online.ua/en/the-us-is...

Reposted by: John Doyle

eugenemcparland.bsky.social
Trump has announced that any new U.S. F-47 fighter jets sold to allied nations will be deliberately downgraded by 10%, citing potential future changes in alliances.

“It probably makes sense, because someday, maybe they’re not our allies” Trump said

ukdefencejournal.org.uk/u-s-to-reduc...
U.S. to reduce capabilities of new jet purchased by allies
ukdefencejournal.org.uk
nvondarza.bsky.social
Very good piece by Sven Biscop on the lack of strategic thinking in Europe - and why just trying to satisfy Trump with a fantasy number of defence spending will neither help defend Europe or solve the issues at the heart of transatlantic relationship:
Don’t Join the NATO Summit Without Knowing Who You Are - Egmont Institute
“The most loyal allies of the United States”. For decades, that is what most European political and military leaders understood Europe’s role on the world stage to be. In my […]
www.egmontinstitute.be

Reposted by: John Doyle

seamusmcguinness.bsky.social
Extremely important study that adopts a dynamic approach to the question of constitutional change in Ireland. The study demonstrates that the subvention is not a fixed cost and can be eliminated, post unity, by policies that promote NI economic growth.
johndoyle.bsky.social
‘The Projected Public Finances of the Early Years of a United Ireland, and the Northern Ireland Subvention’ updated analysis with 2023 data, responding to debate & new info of recent years. Models public finances for the first 10 years of a united Ireland
all-islandeconomy.com/analysing-th...
colinmurray.bsky.social
One does not simply... rewrite the Belfast/Good Friday Agreement.

😅😅😅😅😅...😭

Reposted by: John Doyle

alangorman.bsky.social
What shapes a mentor?
New open access article explores how cooperating teachers’ personal histories and identities impact how they support student teachers on placement.

Link below👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/ref/10.1...

@dublincityuni.bsky.social @dcuresearch.bsky.social @dcucreate.bsky.social
Screenshot of journal and article.
johndoyle.bsky.social
13b gap between tax & spending includes NI share of spending that will stay in GB, nuclear weapons, debt, pro-rata share of pensions etc. €3b is the year one gap between tax & spending that would stay in NI plus a boost of €1b
johndoyle.bsky.social
Thanks Seamus
seamusmcguinness.bsky.social
Extremely important study that adopts a dynamic approach to the question of constitutional change in Ireland. The study demonstrates that the subvention is not a fixed cost and can be eliminated, post unity, by policies that promote NI economic growth.
johndoyle.bsky.social
‘The Projected Public Finances of the Early Years of a United Ireland, and the Northern Ireland Subvention’ updated analysis with 2023 data, responding to debate & new info of recent years. Models public finances for the first 10 years of a united Ireland
all-islandeconomy.com/analysing-th...

Reposted by: John Doyle

dublincityuni.bsky.social
United Ireland would cost Irish taxpayer €3bn in the first year, study finds.
“Much commentary on the Northern Ireland subvention fails to look at the detail of how it is constructed,” - Prof @johndoyle.bsky.social, VP for Research at DCU.
Read in @irishexaminer.bsky.social: launch.dcu.ie/3I95Uxz
Prof John Doyle, Vice President for Research at Dublin City University

by John DoyleReposted by: John Doyle

johndoyle.bsky.social
‘The Projected Public Finances of the Early Years of a United Ireland, and the Northern Ireland Subvention’ updated analysis with 2023 data, responding to debate & new info of recent years. Models public finances for the first 10 years of a united Ireland
all-islandeconomy.com/analysing-th...
johndoyle.bsky.social
The costs associated with Unity have tended to be exaggerated and the benefits of an all-Ireland economy largely ignored. Without underestimating the difficulties, the aim of this report is to contribute to the discussion by demonstrating the range of possible costs and benefits
johndoyle.bsky.social
However, it is unlikely that the necessary policy change could be secured within the UK in the short-to-medium term political context. Some issues such as full access to EU services market
johndoyle.bsky.social
Some of the necessary policy changes to boost productivity and wages could be delivered in a stronger model of devolution to NI inside the UK, such as higher spending on education, infrastructure and on R&D, a competitive corporation tax policy, a more equitable tax policy.
johndoyle.bsky.social
In the worst case scenario where the UK refuses to any pensions whatsoever - even to retired public sector workers - the fiscal transition would still reach break even between 8 and 14 years.
johndoyle.bsky.social
The ‘deficit’ of just over €3b pa would be a ‘subvention’ from the ‘South’ funded by taxes or borrowing of less than three quarters of one per cent of GNI* in year one, (falling gradually as the economy grows) and reaching breakeven point within 5 to 9 years.
johndoyle.bsky.social
With NI achieving a growth rate of 2% above recent historic norms after unity (mid-level of Central European performance), the fiscal deficit would end by year 6, by year 10 NI would have an annual surplus of €3.6b pa , or more likely fund further improvements to public services
johndoyle.bsky.social
GDP convergence would happen but slowly, but public finances would improve more quickly. Report looks at 3 scenarios - reflecting the experience of Central Europe after they joined the EU, and at the mid range reflecting the South's performance.
johndoyle.bsky.social
Model based on an assumption that with the same set of policies on education, infrastructure, tax and Foreign Direct Investment, there is no reason why Northern Ireland would remain so much poorer and so much less economically productive than other parts of the island.
johndoyle.bsky.social
NI economy grew (real terms) by just over 30%, between 2000 and 2024, average of 1.3% pa. Using modified Gross National Income GNI* to exclude the distortions from multinational operations, the Republic’s economy grew by 71% over the same period, an average of just over 3.2% pa.
johndoyle.bsky.social
Model in the report increases public exp by one billion euros pa - maintained for the ten years - to deal with health, education, infrastructure. Public sector wages increased by 48% to bring in line with South over 15 years (as an example). Starting deficit is therefore €3b
johndoyle.bsky.social
At present the full cost of UK central state agencies is allocated to each region based on population, but tax paid by employees (and VAT) is credited to the region when that central office is based (mostly London). This increases the subvention artificially.
johndoyle.bsky.social
Calculates starting deficit at £1.5b (€1.75b) - based on assumptions (1) pensions deal follows the current practice of pro-rata liability based on years of tax paid in each jurisdiction (2) UK does not renege on debt & Irl has no liability (3) Defence exp incr happens sooner

References

Fields & subjects

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