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by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Terrifying stuff. We are going down branches of the game tree that were truly unimaginable.

How the Military Became Another Instrument of Trump’s Power www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/o...
Opinion | How the Military Became Another Instrument of Trump’s Power
www.nytimes.com
2 13

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
The source of randomness doesn’t really matter. The thing is that it won’t go away, bc it serves that purpose.
2 1 23

by Brazil — Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Michael A. Clemens, Mark D. White , and 2 more

filipecampante.bsky.social
In authoritarian crackdowns, it’s important to randomly ensnare some people whom one would think would be safe, so that everyone is at least a little bit afraid that something could happen to them. The regime scales up its power of intimidation over a much larger group than those directly affected.
eliothiggins.bsky.social
Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · Aug 13
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
Sarah Shaw, who has a US visa and lives in Washington state, was detained after attempting to re-enter US from Canada
www.theguardian.com
120 1.9K 4.8K

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Gary Becker’s soul must be smiling right now.
8

Reposted by Brazil, Families, Adrian Vickers , and 4 more

eliothiggins.bsky.social
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
www.theguardian.com/world/2025/a...
New Zealand woman and six-year-old son detained for three weeks by Ice in US enduring ‘terrifying’ ordeal
Sarah Shaw, who has a US visa and lives in Washington state, was detained after attempting to re-enter US from Canada
www.theguardian.com
170 1.4K 2.5K

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Real estate! bsky.app/profile/davi...
daviddarmofal.bsky.social
David Darmofal @daviddarmofal.bsky.social · Aug 12
And here you go. I honestly do not understand the moral cowardice that leads some of our fellow citizens to not speak out against what's going on.
1 8

Reposted by Brazil, Scott L. Greer, Rosemary A. Joyce , and 2 more

daviddarmofal.bsky.social
And here you go. I honestly do not understand the moral cowardice that leads some of our fellow citizens to not speak out against what's going on.
79 520 1.3K

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
President deploying security forces under his personal control in the national capital --> just a real-estate guy doing realestate-y things!
4 5 33

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
The NYT these days is a daily homage to the "imagine if this were happening in another country" genre.
pgourevitch.bsky.social
Philip Gourevitch @pgourevitch.bsky.social · Aug 12
Grossly irresponsible of the Times to have this ludicrous credulous spin as the top story the morning after a president who rules by fiat proclaims a totally specious emergency to militarize the capital - an editorial insult to our intelligence and our democracy.
3 12 53

by Brazil — Reposted by Joanna Bryson, Henry Farrell

filipecampante.bsky.social
If you were not online yesterday, you had missed out on this, so let me fix that for you...
filipecampante.bsky.social
Filipe Campante @filipecampante.bsky.social · Aug 11
NEW PAPER!!

We study how the "AI slop" era could actually boost demand for credible news.

In an experiment with thousands of Süddeutsche Zeitung readers, we found that AI misinformation made people *trust news less*, but *read it more*. 🧵
4 24

Reposted by Brazil, Anna O. Law, Jan W. Mueller , and 7 more

pgourevitch.bsky.social
Grossly irresponsible of the Times to have this ludicrous credulous spin as the top story the morning after a president who rules by fiat proclaims a totally specious emergency to militarize the capital - an editorial insult to our intelligence and our democracy.
860 2.9K 12K

Reposted by Brazil, Stephen M. Walt, Kim L. Scheppele , and 21 more

jasonfurman.bsky.social
I don’t think I have ever publicly criticized any Presidential nominee before.

But E.J. Antoni is completely unqualified to be BLS Commissioner. He is an extreme partisan and does not have any relevant expertise.

He would be a break from decades of nonpartisan technocrats.
140 810 3.1K

Reposted by Brazil

nber.org
AI-generated misinformation raises demand for trustworthy news. A field experiment with a top German outlet finds more visits and retention—even as trust drops, from @filipecampante.bsky.social, Ruben Durante, Felix Hagemeister, and Ananya Sen https://www.nber.org/papers/w34100
5 19

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
By which I mean, elections are definitionally high-profile events that are widely covered by the quality news sources...

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Very interesting point... Perhaps ironically given widespread fears, might elections be one of the last bastions that are relatively resistant to deepfakes??
2 1

Reposted by Brazil, Rebecca Tushnet, Woodrow Hartzog

zey.bsky.social
AI video is almost there: no amount of post-hoc squinting can tell fake from real.

Losing our last bastion of verification is no joke. Trusted news can help with high-profile events, but what about everyday life? Recipe for chaos.

Gift link:
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/11/o...
8 49 90

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Separate problem, though. But as long as some people want to know what’s real, the opportunity is there, and trust in news need not collapse completely.
1

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Yet our model also makes clear the nature of the challenge: as AI becomes better at mimicking reality, your ability to help readers spot it can’t stay still; it has to evolve at least as fast…
1 2

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
This right here is at the heart of the model with which we interpret our findings: when credibility becomes scarcer, it also becomes more valuable.
2 2 2

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Right on cue with our paper, here’s a @zey.bsky.social column on a recent deepfake targeting @aoc.bsky.social. In a world of deepfakes, the ability to help your audience discern real from fake is the way for high-quality news to survive. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/11/o...
2 3 13

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Paper here: www.nber.org/papers/w34100
And here: cepr.org/publications...
And here (ungated): filipecampante.org/publication/...
GenAI Misinformation, Trust, and News Consumption: Evidence from a Field Experiment
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
1 9

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Takeaway: in the GenAI era, credibility is a competitive edge: if you can help readers mitigate the noise, they will keep coming. But as our model shows, your ability to mitigate the noise needs to increase at least as fast as the noise itself...
2 2 9

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
We have a model to make sense of that: when misinformation floods the info space, the *relative* value of credible news grows. Even if trust in the credible source also dips, the alternatives become relatively worse, and people turn to trusted outlets more.
1 3

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
But here's the twist: trust fell, but engagement *rose*.

Daily visits to SZ content jumped +2.5% right after the treatment.

Subscriber retention increase +1.1% over 5 months -- cutting attrition by 1/3.
1 2

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Some readers were randomly assigned to a quiz: Spot the real vs AI-generated images. Others got a similar picture quiz on current affairs, real images only.

The quiz made people more worried about misinformation (+0.3 s.d.). It also nudged trust in news down (-0.1 s.d.), *even for SZ itself*.
1 4

by Brazil — Reposted by Brazil, Joshua Goodman, Henry Farrell

filipecampante.bsky.social
NEW PAPER!!

We study how the "AI slop" era could actually boost demand for credible news.

In an experiment with thousands of Süddeutsche Zeitung readers, we found that AI misinformation made people *trust news less*, but *read it more*. 🧵
3 17 62

Reposted by Brazil

atila.bsky.social
Ontem foi dia da conversa com o @filipecampante.bsky.social explicando o que o Trump está fazendo coma economia dos EUA com as tarifas, isenção pros mais ricos e afins.
Pra que serve o tarifaço do Trump - PODCAST Não Ficção
YouTube video by Atila Iamarino
youtu.be
1 17 160

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Eu no podcast do @atila.bsky.social, falando de tarifas e da situação nos EUA.

m.youtube.com/watch?v=8zqa...
Pra que serve o tarifaço do Trump - PODCAST Não Ficção
Compre Insider: https://creators.insiderstore.com.br/ATILA Cupom: ATILA #insiderstore Uma conversa sobre como as tarifas de Trump estão afetando a economia do seu país e como ele está desmantelando a estrutura do Estado para diminuir impostos para os mais ricos, com Filipe Campante, mestre em economia pela PUC Rio, PhD por Harvard e é professor de economia na Universidade Johns Hopkins em Washington, que trata de economia política e economia do desenvolvimento. Apresentação: Atila Iamarino - Bluesky @atila.bsky.social Instagram @oatila Direção e Produção executiva: Paloma Sato Pré-produção: Carol Piza Thumb e edição: Giulia Donadio: Instagram: @giulia_donadio Produção e edição: Dener Yukio: Instagram: @dyukio
m.youtube.com
1 2 21

by Brazil

filipecampante.bsky.social
Minha nova coluna no @nexojornal.bsky.social é sobre o fato de que os EUA são hj governados por um autocrata eleito, e que isso torna muito difícil qualquer negociação. www.nexojornal.com.br/colunistas/2...
É difícil negociar com um autocrata como Donald Trump
As negociações do governo brasileiro em torno das tarifas impostas pelos EUA esbarram no fato de o republicano governar sem restrições: não há processo de formulação de políticas, tampouco garantia de...
www.nexojornal.com.br
3 2 13

by Menzie Chinn — Reposted by Brazil, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

mchinn.bsky.social
Don't show Trump/Miran/Hassett this picture from Cavallo et al. #econsky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
10 27

References

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