Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

@paulgp.com

18K followers 1.8K following 3.5K posts

Yale SOM professor & Bulls fan. I study consumer finance, and econometrics is a big part of my research identity. He/him/his

Videos

Economics 47%

Mathematics 9%

Posts Replies Media Videos

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1h

That feeling before the next news item drops

iykyk

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Grant McDermott @gmcd.bsky.social · 6h

I see a lot of econ/socsci Bluesky asking for AI starter advice. IMO the highest impact, low cost tweak to your workflow is training an AI to follow *your* coding/writing prefs & habits.

Literally, tell Claude: "Look at <XYZ dirs>. ID common themes, styles & conventions. Write them to a .md file."

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 9h

LOL

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 9h

Breaking News: The EPA will stop considering lives saved when setting pollution limits and instead calculate only the cost to businesses.

E.P.A. to Stop Considering Lives Saved by Limiting Air Pollution

In a reversal, the agency plans to calculate only the cost to industry when setting pollution limits, and not the monetary value of saving human lives, documents show.

nyti.ms

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 9h

Breaking News: The EPA will stop considering lives saved when setting pollution limits and instead calculate only the cost to businesses.

E.P.A. to Stop Considering Lives Saved by Limiting Air Pollution

In a reversal, the agency plans to calculate only the cost to industry when setting pollution limits, and not the monetary value of saving human lives, documents show.

nyti.ms

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

John Holbein @johnholbein1.bsky.social · 12h

Two new preprints on the efx of GLP-1s just dropped.

They use different samples, data, & designs.

But they come to the same conclusion on one point:

GLP-1s do not generate meaningful short- to medium-run reductions in non-GLP-1 medical spending, despite clear health benefits.

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Jomboy Media (Unofficial) @jomboymedia-mirror.bsky.social · 13h

“I want AJ Brown packing his bags… And I also want Kevin Patullo flipping burgers at the local McDonald’s.”

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 13h

your boy is (very briefly) cited in this week’s Economist to point out once again that if tariffs were so good they wouldn’t have to exempt data centers from them

turing sector that sends nearly a quarter of its output abroad, this is a significant pro-blem. Many inputs also come from abroad-think of industrial chemicals used in adhesive, coatings and plastics for cars or active pharmaceutical ingredients for medicines. Indeed, surveys suggest that export orders and import volumes for manufacturing have contracted markedly since Mr Trump announced high tariffs on
"Liberation Day" in April, one that goes beyond the wider weakness in manufactur-ing. Factory bosses report difficulty making long-term plans.
Another way to see these costs is to look at the one sort of manufacturing that has been on a tear: computer equipment, especially semiconductors (see chart 2).
Demand for chips has leapt owing to the data-centre boom. Notably, however, computer parts have also received exemptions tory-owners wishing that ti less enthusiast
Everything's
US, manufacturin
January 2017=10
Overall
TT
10
2000
05
Source: Federal Reserve

from Mr Trump's tariffs, points out Joseph Politano of Apricitas Economics, a news-letter. Semiconductors have been carved out from Mr Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs on specific countries. More recently, the president has also watered down the export-control regime designed to deny China chips used to train the most sophisticated Al models. This rare free-trade turn seems to have provided a spur to the industry.

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

Right right right cool cool

Reposted by Nathan Nunn

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

In last 8 days: invade Venezuela and kidnap president, ICE shoots a mom in the face, and Trump admin brings criminal charges against Fed chair?

Am I missing anything?

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

I proposed Creep at the meeting

Reposted by Kim L. Scheppele, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Colby Smith @colbylsmith.bsky.social · 1d

NEW: Federal prosecutors have opened up a criminal investigation into Fed chair Powell over the central bank’s renovation of its Washington headquarters and whether Powell lied to Congress about the scope of the project

www.nytimes.com/2026/01/11/u... @nytimes.com

Federal Prosecutors Are Said to Have Opened Inquiry Into Fed Chair Powell

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Joshua Gans, Caroline Krafft, Edgar Morgenroth , and 3 more Joshua Gans, Caroline Krafft, Edgar Morgenroth, Margot C. Finn, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Bessma Momani

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 1d

Economists!

I am looking for someone to coauthor an article on the massive decline in costs of genome sequencing.

The science is all fine, but I'm interested in the economics of it all: the innovation, funding, prizes, patents, etc.

Does anyone come to mind? Thanks!

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

Just did 40 year old dads band practice where we played weezer, rhcp, oasis and sublime. #90sdadrock #thirdspace

Reposted by Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Rebecca Tushnet , and 1 more Will Jennings, Steve Peers, Rebecca Tushnet, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Goad (Legal Expert) @goad.bsky.social · 1d

Losing my shit at Ashley St Clair doing a reverse Naomi Wolf.

Ashley St Clair: dark woke cause the other option is bootlicking feds + pedophiles + nerds

JunLper: you’ve previously engaged in blatant transphobia, how do you feel about trans people in the wake of noticing how the far right truly is?

Ashley St Clair: I feel immense guilt for my role. And even more guilt that things I have said in the past may have caused my son’s sister more pain. Idrk how to make amends for many of these things but I have been trying incredibly hard privately to learn + advocate for those within the trans community that I’ve hurt.

I also haven’t said much on this bc I have gone back and forth over whether my voice would be helpful on the issue since it will be framed as disingenuous or just turning bc I’m “scorned.” Even this reply will become right wing hysteria but yeah I am sorry. Let me know how I can help

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

Slightly diminish a game:

Hollow squire

Reconstructionist @unavaleable.bsky.social · 1d

Slightly diminish a game:

Red Dead Apology 2

The Alternate Historian @althistorian.bsky.social · 1d

Slightly diminish a game:

The Memento of Zelda.

Reposted by Scott A. Imberman, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Reconstructionist @unavaleable.bsky.social · 1d

Slightly diminish a game:

Red Dead Apology 2

The Alternate Historian @althistorian.bsky.social · 1d

Slightly diminish a game:

The Memento of Zelda.

Arturo Serrano 🇨🇴🤖👽🧙🦄 @carturo222.bsky.social · 1d

Slightly diminish a game:

Petty Theft Auto

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Caroline T. Schroeder, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , and 4 more Anna O. Law, Caroline T. Schroeder, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Catherine J. Frieman, Kathleen Kennedy, Hisham Zerriffi, David S. Tanenhaus

Anjali Dayal @anjalikdayal.bsky.social · 1d

we’re in the vet’s office waiting room and they just called for Agamemnon. we all looked at the Great Dane but it turns out Agamemnon is an orange kitten in a backpack that makes him look like an astronaut cheese puff

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Carlos Scheidegger @cscheid.net · 1d

Today Claude is building a command-line app to convert sheet music to a music grid format I use personally to memorize tunes. Screenshots of the Claude Code session follow.

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Antonio J. Pérez‐Luque

Jakub Nowosad @jakubnowosad.com · 1d

We just published a JOSIS paper on what spatial data science languages have in common and what they still need. Insights from across the R, Python & Julia ecosystems.

URL: doi.org/10.5311/JOSI...

#SpatialDataScience #GISchat #OpenSource #RSpatial #GeoPython #JuliaGeo

Reposted by Alan de Brauw, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Bill Amend @billamend.bsky.social · 1d

This week's comic: Thermathstat foxtrot.com/2026/01/11/t...

Thermathstat

FoxTrot by Bill Amend | January 11, 2026

foxtrot.com

Reposted by Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Joshua Goodman, Scott A. Imberman , and 1 more Kevin J. Anchukaitis, Joshua Goodman, Scott A. Imberman, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 1d

NEW from me:

Job growth has been functionally zero over the last five months, as the US sinks from a “low hire, low fire” labor market to a “no hire” one.

That slowdown is hitting young & low income workers the hardest 🧵
www.apricitas.io/p/the-no-hir...

The 'No Hire' Economy

US Job Growth has Zeroed Out as Hiring Rates Sink, Hitting Young & Low Income Workers the Hardest

www.apricitas.io

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

I did not know this!

Matt Notowidigdo @profnoto.bsky.social · 2d

I have been hearing recently that many people don't know about the ability to submit to AEJ-Policy (or any of the other AEJs) after submitting to AER-Insights (following the same process that existed going from the AER to the AEJs)

More details and instructions here: www.aeaweb.org/journals/pol...

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

There’s this fact too (by a former Yale student now at MIT) bsky.app/profile/paul...

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

A recent finding has suggested that the medium to long term effects of this are smaller than we had hoped

tahachoukhmane.com/wp-content/u...

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

A recent finding has suggested that the medium to long term effects of this are smaller than we had hoped

tahachoukhmane.com/wp-content/u...

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

Ok guess it’s time for me to hop on the bears bandwagon

Reposted by Alexander Wuttke

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 1d

If you’re not using the For you feed you’re missing out

dan @danabra.mov · 2d

i wonder how much of this is people using the For You feed which does a much better job at finding “your” cluster

Finfet @finfet.sh · 2d

The discussions about LLMs today have been fascinating. Genuinely healthy conversations (imo). I have no idea how public perception within the dev community here changed so much over the last 30 days.

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

Joel Chan @joelchan86.bsky.social · 2d

Really fascinating to watch progress on AI-assisted research in mathematics, especially since we have an incredible narrator in Field Medalist Terence Tao!

#TIL he's been curating examples of attempts/successes here: github.com/teorth/erdos...

screenshot of a wiki about AI contribution to erdos problems. it shows the description of the wiki (collecting "various ways in which Ai tools have contributed to the understanding of Erdos problems"), as well as various disclaimers about how to interpret the contributions listed.

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

dan @danabra.mov · 2d

i wonder how much of this is people using the For You feed which does a much better job at finding “your” cluster

Finfet @finfet.sh · 2d

Reposted by Rosemary A. Joyce, Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham

more mr. nice guy @juniorhoncho.bsky.social · 2d

forgetting the word Domesticated and telling people at this party raccoons have gotten "more coachable." at some point i start adding "over the offseason" which i don't think raccoons even have yet

Reposted by Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham, Charles T. Mathewes

Isaac Chotiner @ichotiner.bsky.social · 2d

New Interview: www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...

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