Louise Hawley
@louiseah.bsky.social
530 followers 1.7K following 820 posts
Returned to Uni - now European Studies MA (KCL). Euro integration Political Economy UK and EU Career Qual researcher, listening ears on. Very sensitive to pronouncements based on single focus groups
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Reposted by Louise Hawley
davidallengreen.bsky.social
The party once led by a novelist (Disraeli), a published philosopher (Balfour) and a winner of the Nobel Prize for Literature (Churchill), as well as someone who annually devoured Austen and Trollope (Macmillan), is now against English degrees.
Reposted by Louise Hawley
13sarahmurphy.bsky.social
Private Eye offers up an excellently scornful commentary on the relentless polling. It’s become ridiculous and has oversimplified our politics to dangerous levels of stupid and irresponsible.
SHOCK POLL:
NIGEL FARAGE WILL BE PM TOMORROW
IN an amazing poll conducted
by The Pointless Polling Company, it was revealed that voters' intentions
may well change over the next three and a half years and at present it's 100 percent impossible to guess what the next government might look like.
However, 99 percent of journalists
agree that it would be much more fun if we had an election tomorrow and everybody resigned and everything was chaos and Farage had a go at being PM, just for the hell of it, because it was so much fun when
Brexit happened and then the government kept falling every five minutes and we could write endless pieces about (cont. p94)
Reposted by Louise Hawley
timbale.bsky.social
I for one wasn't aware they'd even started.
Reposted by Louise Hawley
ukandeu.bsky.social
"Are they [MRPs] any use to anyone at this stage of the Parliament? No! Do something more useful. Stop producing these polls. They're not magic."

Expert pollster @psurridge.bsky.social reflects on polls and electoral reform

Catch up on the discussion in full here 👇 www.youtube.com/live/ivRLHUb...
Reposted by Louise Hawley
iandunt.bsky.social
It's properly unconscionable that the Home Office has created this situation. It should never have been allowed to happen and once it did happen it should have been immediately reversed.
thenewworldmag.bsky.social
🚨BREAKING: The metropolitan police
arrest a man for carrying a copy of our magazine. This is a threat to both journalism and freedom to protest
aaliyahxx.bsky.social
Watch | A man was arrested in London for holding up The New World magazine, featuring the "sign of the times" with the words:

"I oppose genocide. I support Palestine Action"
louiseah.bsky.social
Still ask that! They are wrong like giraffes!
louiseah.bsky.social
Congratulations - may not be hassle free here but healthy conversations can be had across divides and blocks are blocks!
louiseah.bsky.social
Migrants suggests move from place to place (eg migrant birds) - immigrants move into a single place & implies permanence
louiseah.bsky.social
Interesting - especially given turnout figure
europeelects.bsky.social
Switzerland, final results:

Electronic identity (e-ID) scheme (Optional referendum)

Support: 50.39%
Oppose: 49.61%

Turnout: 49.55%

➤ europeelects.eu/switzerland

#CHvote #Abst25 #Votazioni #Votaziuns
Reposted by Louise Hawley
gabrielmilland.bsky.social
I mean, you could have written this in a dystopian comedy script 10 years ago. But no one would have believed that this is the sort of thing that the President of the United States would actually come out with.
bencollins.bsky.social
This was always the funniest conspiracy theory to me — that there are MRI machine-like devices that can cure all known illnesses in seconds, but the government has been hiding them — and Trump just posted an AI generated video of himself announcing they're real. We're cooked!
alkapdc.bsky.social
Trump tonight appears to have pushed the false "medbed" conspiracy theory, which has spread in the far-right internet over the years. www.yahoo.com/news/qanon-c...
louiseah.bsky.social
Another could've, would've should've story that Dan Neidle has already explained but damage is already done by LK - suprised didnt explore further 'what if they found oil in the field - then what would the value be?'
louiseah.bsky.social
Something worth celebrating!
davelegro.bsky.social
Harry Hudson Great Britain Junior World road champion
Reposted by Louise Hawley
samfr.bsky.social
Brits don't hate them! They have always had substantial majority support in polls. (Most recent YG showed 57% support vs 25% oppose).

What's odd is that bits of the right-wing press oppose them (e.g. today's Mail front page).
youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com
I realise the audience for this would just be "me, and also maybe other foreigners" but I would love to read something on why Brits, who are happy to live in a country where their every movement outside is filmed by CCTV, hate the idea of having ID cards, something plenty of countries happily have
Reposted by Louise Hawley
fascowell.bsky.social
This is such an under explored argument. A contributing factor to the Windrush scandal was a lack of free way to establish a persons identity and legal status. Voter ID was so bad because of a lack of a universal free way to establish ID. Universal ID can be a protection.
robfordmancs.bsky.social
“A Farage government will use it against immigrants and marginalised groups.” They might, yes, but they might also exploit the *lack* of universal id to persecute such groups (as has already happened in US). Having a universal credential to prove your rights can be a * protectjon* against this.
louiseah.bsky.social
Because thats not what a large proportion of the general public needs to believe - it takes away convenient blame for why life is so difficult in their communities and presents media and politicians with a ready-to-go wedge issue - immigration is bad is and has always been bubbling under the surface
Reposted by Louise Hawley
lewisbaston.bsky.social
These false beliefs do not arise in a vacuum. Yet we seem collectively incurious about their origins.
joetwyman.bsky.social
Nearly half of British adults believe a majority of immigrants to this country in the last year came here illegally.
Just under a third (32%) believe the majority came here legally and a further one in five (20%) don't know.
Reposted by Louise Hawley
paulbernal.bsky.social
I’ve had a number of arguments on here along these lines:

“ID cards work fine in Europe, why not here?”

They *do* work in Europe, but *not* as immigration enforcement. If Labour want to push them for other uses, then please make that case.

For immigration enforcement? It won’t work.
Reposted by Louise Hawley
stevepeers.bsky.social
Legal migration was not "uncontrolled". Why accept far right framing?
stephenkb.bsky.social
He's essentially saying 'I didn't agree with the 1993-2016 economic model, and I didn't agree with Boris Johnson's either'. Okay, but you didn't agree with Corbynism either. What is yours, to hope that it turns out that 'the easiest route in every poll' turns out to drive growth?
Equally, the belief that uncontrolled legal migration was nothing but good news for an economy should never have been accepted on the Left. It is not compassionate Left-wing politics to rely on labour that exploits foreign workers and undercuts fair wages.

The huge increase in immigration that happened under the Conservatives was based on a hyper-liberal free-market viewpoint. Labour is clear that there must be no return to that.
louiseah.bsky.social
Just a *small* point but "ignored immigration" and "ignored immigration fears" have significantly different meanings
Reposted by Louise Hawley
anandmenon.bsky.social
They’re not on course to form the next gov. Today’s polling suggests they might win if there was an election today…
Reposted by Louise Hawley
psurridge.bsky.social
First thought, was I know I'm tired but I didn't realise I'd slept for 3 years. This is an absolutely crazy way to use and report polling. It should not be getting this kind of priority at this stage in an electoral cycle.
anandmenon.bsky.social
They’re not on course to form the next gov. Today’s polling suggests they might win if there was an election today…
Reposted by Louise Hawley
tomashirstecon.bsky.social
Reform’s rhetoric has already shifted to mass deportations - nothing the government do will on immigration will ever be enough. That’s the whole point. Conceding that they are directionally correct is to give up the argument. And the stakes of that argument today are enthonationists in the streets.
Reposted by Louise Hawley
psurridge.bsky.social
They've been very transparent about the methodology but they do start out with more than 1 in 3 don't know responses and I think that's a problem as the people saying don't know aren't random. This is last week's, 2/3rds then still say don't know after the squeeze question.