Aaron Strauss
@aaronstrauss.bsky.social
Following the evidence to elect more Dems. Dad x2; kidney donor; baker; goalkeeper
Pinned
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
this is wild theshamblog.com/an-ai-agent-...
An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me
Summary: An AI agent of unknown ownership autonomously wrote and published a personalized hit piece about me after I rejected its code, attempting to damage my reputation and shame me into acceptin…
theshamblog.com
February 13, 2026 at 9:01 PM
this is wild theshamblog.com/an-ai-agent-...
Research Obsession Day 8: A reminder to meet voters where they are, featuring research by @mollyow.bsky.social on persuading voters on climate.
Plus: why microtargeting ain't all that.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Plus: why microtargeting ain't all that.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
February 13, 2026 at 7:40 PM
Research Obsession Day 8: A reminder to meet voters where they are, featuring research by @mollyow.bsky.social on persuading voters on climate.
Plus: why microtargeting ain't all that.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Plus: why microtargeting ain't all that.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
HORRIFYING -
Dismantling USAID & cancelling >80% of aid caused ~750,000 deaths by mid-2025
🧸Most were children
⌛️ Many died within the first year
😰 Preventable deaths were mainly from:
- HIV, TB, malaria
- Maternal & fetal deaths
- Malnutrition
news.westernu.ca/2026/01/u-s-...
Dismantling USAID & cancelling >80% of aid caused ~750,000 deaths by mid-2025
🧸Most were children
⌛️ Many died within the first year
😰 Preventable deaths were mainly from:
- HIV, TB, malaria
- Maternal & fetal deaths
- Malnutrition
news.westernu.ca/2026/01/u-s-...
Expert insight: U.S. withdrawal from WHO could affect global health - Western News
History professor Mitchell L. Hammond explains how the U.S. withdrawal from the World Health Organization could affect global health and disease threats.
news.westernu.ca
February 10, 2026 at 1:04 AM
HORRIFYING -
Dismantling USAID & cancelling >80% of aid caused ~750,000 deaths by mid-2025
🧸Most were children
⌛️ Many died within the first year
😰 Preventable deaths were mainly from:
- HIV, TB, malaria
- Maternal & fetal deaths
- Malnutrition
news.westernu.ca/2026/01/u-s-...
Dismantling USAID & cancelling >80% of aid caused ~750,000 deaths by mid-2025
🧸Most were children
⌛️ Many died within the first year
😰 Preventable deaths were mainly from:
- HIV, TB, malaria
- Maternal & fetal deaths
- Malnutrition
news.westernu.ca/2026/01/u-s-...
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
Of all the things to attack Democrats about.
Trans rights is like one the few policies where Democrats are well to the left of almost every major political party in the world.
Trans rights is like one the few policies where Democrats are well to the left of almost every major political party in the world.
Oh boy, did Hasan just fly into an anti-Democrat rage after being criticized by two trans people? You'd think he'd be more mature than this, but...
February 13, 2026 at 2:28 AM
Of all the things to attack Democrats about.
Trans rights is like one the few policies where Democrats are well to the left of almost every major political party in the world.
Trans rights is like one the few policies where Democrats are well to the left of almost every major political party in the world.
Research Obsession Day 7: How hard is it for a candidate to portray themselves as "not the usual Dem"?
A: pretty hard these days, according to @fairvote.bsky.social
A: pretty hard these days, according to @fairvote.bsky.social
February 12, 2026 at 10:12 PM
Research Obsession Day 7: How hard is it for a candidate to portray themselves as "not the usual Dem"?
A: pretty hard these days, according to @fairvote.bsky.social
A: pretty hard these days, according to @fairvote.bsky.social
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
“Along with food, Parikh said he is concerned about soda and claimed he always mixes it with alcohol ‘to sanitize it.’”
I called up one of the White House's "special government employees" involved in the Fulton County FBI raid.
I ended up on the phone for almost two hours hearing about the "deep state" "cabal," "Satanists," poison soda, and the "pure evil" of "gay pride." talkingpointsmemo.com/news/meet-th...
I ended up on the phone for almost two hours hearing about the "deep state" "cabal," "Satanists," poison soda, and the "pure evil" of "gay pride." talkingpointsmemo.com/news/meet-th...
February 12, 2026 at 2:15 AM
“Along with food, Parikh said he is concerned about soda and claimed he always mixes it with alcohol ‘to sanitize it.’”
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
This is the second account - the first being in Chicago - of DHS agents mass detaining people and then *sorting them by race*.
More than 400 people, including hundreds of citizens, were “sorted” at gun point into racial and ethnic groups by 200 ICE agents who fired flash-bang grenades into cars with people inside, pointed guns at children & demanded their zip tied parents not comfort them. apple.news/Ausdx6kWtT0e...
Idaho families sue over immigration raid that swept up hundreds, including U.S. citizens — NBC News
About 400 people, including children and U.S. citizens, were detained for four hours while they were denied food and water in the raid, according to the lawsuit.
apple.news
February 12, 2026 at 2:26 AM
This is the second account - the first being in Chicago - of DHS agents mass detaining people and then *sorting them by race*.
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
Jayapal: To the survivors in the room, if you are willing, please stand. And if you are willing, please raise your hands. If you have still not been able to meet with this DOJ. Please note for the record that every single survivor has raised their hand.
February 11, 2026 at 3:45 PM
Jayapal: To the survivors in the room, if you are willing, please stand. And if you are willing, please raise your hands. If you have still not been able to meet with this DOJ. Please note for the record that every single survivor has raised their hand.
Research Obsession Day 6: Yesterday we explored the danger of running as a "stereotypical Dem".
Today: What if you followed the mantra of "Listen. To. Voters" -- a case study of Mamdani and costs
Featuring research from @searchlightinst.bsky.social
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/how...
Today: What if you followed the mantra of "Listen. To. Voters" -- a case study of Mamdani and costs
Featuring research from @searchlightinst.bsky.social
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/how...
February 11, 2026 at 12:49 PM
Research Obsession Day 6: Yesterday we explored the danger of running as a "stereotypical Dem".
Today: What if you followed the mantra of "Listen. To. Voters" -- a case study of Mamdani and costs
Featuring research from @searchlightinst.bsky.social
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/how...
Today: What if you followed the mantra of "Listen. To. Voters" -- a case study of Mamdani and costs
Featuring research from @searchlightinst.bsky.social
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/how...
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
This whole piece is 🔥 www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
February 10, 2026 at 2:33 PM
This whole piece is 🔥 www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Research Obsession Day 4: Why voters stereotyping Democrats is dangerous.
Featuring research from the Center for Working-Class Politics
images.jacobinmag.com/wp-content/u...
Featuring research from the Center for Working-Class Politics
images.jacobinmag.com/wp-content/u...
February 10, 2026 at 2:01 PM
Research Obsession Day 4: Why voters stereotyping Democrats is dangerous.
Featuring research from the Center for Working-Class Politics
images.jacobinmag.com/wp-content/u...
Featuring research from the Center for Working-Class Politics
images.jacobinmag.com/wp-content/u...
Research Obsession Day 4: Lots of chatter about the Harris campaign yesterday, let's correct one thing for the record based on this research from @jacobinmag.bsky.social
jacobin.com/2024/11/harr...
jacobin.com/2024/11/harr...
Yes, I AM obsessed with learning how to win elections!
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
February 9, 2026 at 11:47 PM
Research Obsession Day 4: Lots of chatter about the Harris campaign yesterday, let's correct one thing for the record based on this research from @jacobinmag.bsky.social
jacobin.com/2024/11/harr...
jacobin.com/2024/11/harr...
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
“For 280 days we haven’t eaten a single piece of fruit, banana, apple, orange, or anything fresh. We are all in one big room with no doors or windows. We can’t see any grass or trees. We are all constantly sick.”
Conditions in a San Diego concentration camp, via message hurled out in a bottle.
Conditions in a San Diego concentration camp, via message hurled out in a bottle.
![“Good afternoon. My name is [redacted] and my wife and I have been at OMDC since April 15 2025,” reads a handwritten note, wrapped around a lotion bottle that was thrown by a man held captive inside the Otay Mesa Detention Center (OMDC) on Sunday.
“It’s cold here all the time and the food is poor,” the missive continues. “For 280 days we haven’t eaten a single piece of fruit, banana, apple, orange, or anything fresh. We are all in one big room with no doors or windows. We can’t see any grass or trees. We are all constantly sick.”](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:tgw3d4hvw3x5ijrxax7lg26u/bafkreiet46krrk7ovnqxsd6vr7ogw2lgame43jsqw25u2ygi5el5i5toom@jpeg)
February 8, 2026 at 1:29 PM
“For 280 days we haven’t eaten a single piece of fruit, banana, apple, orange, or anything fresh. We are all in one big room with no doors or windows. We can’t see any grass or trees. We are all constantly sick.”
Conditions in a San Diego concentration camp, via message hurled out in a bottle.
Conditions in a San Diego concentration camp, via message hurled out in a bottle.
Obsession Day 3: Yesterday we discussed how non-ideological voters are economically-liberal and socially-conservative. Does this pattern appear in other countries?
A quick one since it’s a Sunday (the answer is yes). Featuring @benansell.bsky.social
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
A quick one since it’s a Sunday (the answer is yes). Featuring @benansell.bsky.social
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
February 8, 2026 at 1:31 PM
Obsession Day 3: Yesterday we discussed how non-ideological voters are economically-liberal and socially-conservative. Does this pattern appear in other countries?
A quick one since it’s a Sunday (the answer is yes). Featuring @benansell.bsky.social
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
A quick one since it’s a Sunday (the answer is yes). Featuring @benansell.bsky.social
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
He tried to replicate it, failed to do so, and declined to publish his results
Study Finds 0.7% COVID-19 Antibodies Among MLB Employees
The test kits were sent to some 10,000 MLB employees and 5,754 of them responded, using a pin prick to draw blood.
healthpolicy.fsi.stanford.edu
February 8, 2026 at 3:30 AM
He tried to replicate it, failed to do so, and declined to publish his results
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
By the way, for those of you not in MN: Homan’s strategy was to withdraw some agents, so it felt like we were in the denouement of the crisis, and then escalate hard against observers. They’re being incredibly aggressive with observers now. National media may not want to check out just yet
February 7, 2026 at 3:38 AM
By the way, for those of you not in MN: Homan’s strategy was to withdraw some agents, so it felt like we were in the denouement of the crisis, and then escalate hard against observers. They’re being incredibly aggressive with observers now. National media may not want to check out just yet
People have so much trouble keeping two facts in their head at the same time:
• Harris lost
• The non-battleground states swung *much* more right than the 7 battleground states
Tactics will never explain why NY swung from +23 to +12
• Harris lost
• The non-battleground states swung *much* more right than the 7 battleground states
Tactics will never explain why NY swung from +23 to +12
February 6, 2026 at 8:31 PM
People have so much trouble keeping two facts in their head at the same time:
• Harris lost
• The non-battleground states swung *much* more right than the 7 battleground states
Tactics will never explain why NY swung from +23 to +12
• Harris lost
• The non-battleground states swung *much* more right than the 7 battleground states
Tactics will never explain why NY swung from +23 to +12
Research Obsession Day 2: Voters & ideology. @gelliottmorris.com has a fantastic two-part series. Here's the latest, from just this week: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/more-evide...
(I figured since he was the inspiration for this series I should include him early on)
(I figured since he was the inspiration for this series I should include him early on)
February 6, 2026 at 7:33 PM
Research Obsession Day 2: Voters & ideology. @gelliottmorris.com has a fantastic two-part series. Here's the latest, from just this week: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/more-evide...
(I figured since he was the inspiration for this series I should include him early on)
(I figured since he was the inspiration for this series I should include him early on)
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
today's New Jersey primary is all about the collapse of the Dem party's mighty machine in NJ — their candidate is coming in 4th.
a piece from 2024 in bolts that gives you a window into what's happening right now: boltsmag.org/new-jersey-p...
a piece from 2024 in bolts that gives you a window into what's happening right now: boltsmag.org/new-jersey-p...
February 6, 2026 at 4:12 AM
today's New Jersey primary is all about the collapse of the Dem party's mighty machine in NJ — their candidate is coming in 4th.
a piece from 2024 in bolts that gives you a window into what's happening right now: boltsmag.org/new-jersey-p...
a piece from 2024 in bolts that gives you a window into what's happening right now: boltsmag.org/new-jersey-p...
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
“I do not think that 50 year old men should be having sex with 16 year old girls. But “
This level of apologia (from Megan McArdle in a podcast with Josh Barro and Ross Douthat) is fucking appalling. Idk what else there is to say.
February 5, 2026 at 11:31 PM
“I do not think that 50 year old men should be having sex with 16 year old girls. But “
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
February 5, 2026 at 5:37 PM
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
New from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : Is Rogan really turning on Trump? Ehh...
Rogan is now more critical of Trump. But his overall framing of immigration is still negative. Fundamentally he is a pushover, and this benefits rightwing guests.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/is-joe-rog...
Rogan is now more critical of Trump. But his overall framing of immigration is still negative. Fundamentally he is a pushover, and this benefits rightwing guests.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/is-joe-rog...
February 3, 2026 at 1:42 PM
New from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : Is Rogan really turning on Trump? Ehh...
Rogan is now more critical of Trump. But his overall framing of immigration is still negative. Fundamentally he is a pushover, and this benefits rightwing guests.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/is-joe-rog...
Rogan is now more critical of Trump. But his overall framing of immigration is still negative. Fundamentally he is a pushover, and this benefits rightwing guests.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/is-joe-rog...
Yes, I AM obsessed with learning how to win elections!
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
February 4, 2026 at 10:30 PM
Yes, I AM obsessed with learning how to win elections!
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
Scammers just tried to hit me with this very sophisticated approach. If not for their accents, it would have sounded very legit. I hung up on them and was about to call the actual Cheyenne police department (in case my ID was stolen), when I found this page.
Be vigilant out there!
Be vigilant out there!
February 4, 2026 at 9:44 PM
Scammers just tried to hit me with this very sophisticated approach. If not for their accents, it would have sounded very legit. I hung up on them and was about to call the actual Cheyenne police department (in case my ID was stolen), when I found this page.
Be vigilant out there!
Be vigilant out there!
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
INBOX: Washington Post Ukraine Correspondent Lizzie Johnson announces that she has been laid off in the middle of a below-freezing war zone without power, heat, or running water.
February 4, 2026 at 5:11 PM
INBOX: Washington Post Ukraine Correspondent Lizzie Johnson announces that she has been laid off in the middle of a below-freezing war zone without power, heat, or running water.