Aaron Strauss
@aaronstrauss.bsky.social
Following the evidence to elect more Dems. Dad x2; kidney donor; baker; goalkeeper
Pinned
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Research Obsession Day 6: Yesterday we explored the danger of running as a "stereotypical Dem".
Today: What if you followed the mantra of "Listen. To. Voters" -- a case study of Mamdani and costs
Featuring research from @searchlightinst.bsky.social
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/how...
Today: What if you followed the mantra of "Listen. To. Voters" -- a case study of Mamdani and costs
Featuring research from @searchlightinst.bsky.social
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/how...
February 11, 2026 at 12:49 PM
Research Obsession Day 6: Yesterday we explored the danger of running as a "stereotypical Dem".
Today: What if you followed the mantra of "Listen. To. Voters" -- a case study of Mamdani and costs
Featuring research from @searchlightinst.bsky.social
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/how...
Today: What if you followed the mantra of "Listen. To. Voters" -- a case study of Mamdani and costs
Featuring research from @searchlightinst.bsky.social
www.searchlightinstitute.org/research/how...
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
This whole piece is 🔥 www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
February 10, 2026 at 2:33 PM
This whole piece is 🔥 www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Research Obsession Day 4: Why voters stereotyping Democrats is dangerous.
Featuring research from the Center for Working-Class Politics
images.jacobinmag.com/wp-content/u...
Featuring research from the Center for Working-Class Politics
images.jacobinmag.com/wp-content/u...
February 10, 2026 at 2:01 PM
Research Obsession Day 4: Why voters stereotyping Democrats is dangerous.
Featuring research from the Center for Working-Class Politics
images.jacobinmag.com/wp-content/u...
Featuring research from the Center for Working-Class Politics
images.jacobinmag.com/wp-content/u...
Research Obsession Day 4: Lots of chatter about the Harris campaign yesterday, let's correct one thing for the record based on this research from @jacobinmag.bsky.social
jacobin.com/2024/11/harr...
jacobin.com/2024/11/harr...
Yes, I AM obsessed with learning how to win elections!
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
February 9, 2026 at 11:47 PM
Research Obsession Day 4: Lots of chatter about the Harris campaign yesterday, let's correct one thing for the record based on this research from @jacobinmag.bsky.social
jacobin.com/2024/11/harr...
jacobin.com/2024/11/harr...
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
“For 280 days we haven’t eaten a single piece of fruit, banana, apple, orange, or anything fresh. We are all in one big room with no doors or windows. We can’t see any grass or trees. We are all constantly sick.”
Conditions in a San Diego concentration camp, via message hurled out in a bottle.
Conditions in a San Diego concentration camp, via message hurled out in a bottle.
![“Good afternoon. My name is [redacted] and my wife and I have been at OMDC since April 15 2025,” reads a handwritten note, wrapped around a lotion bottle that was thrown by a man held captive inside the Otay Mesa Detention Center (OMDC) on Sunday.
“It’s cold here all the time and the food is poor,” the missive continues. “For 280 days we haven’t eaten a single piece of fruit, banana, apple, orange, or anything fresh. We are all in one big room with no doors or windows. We can’t see any grass or trees. We are all constantly sick.”](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:tgw3d4hvw3x5ijrxax7lg26u/bafkreiet46krrk7ovnqxsd6vr7ogw2lgame43jsqw25u2ygi5el5i5toom@jpeg)
February 8, 2026 at 1:29 PM
“For 280 days we haven’t eaten a single piece of fruit, banana, apple, orange, or anything fresh. We are all in one big room with no doors or windows. We can’t see any grass or trees. We are all constantly sick.”
Conditions in a San Diego concentration camp, via message hurled out in a bottle.
Conditions in a San Diego concentration camp, via message hurled out in a bottle.
Obsession Day 3: Yesterday we discussed how non-ideological voters are economically-liberal and socially-conservative. Does this pattern appear in other countries?
A quick one since it’s a Sunday (the answer is yes). Featuring @benansell.bsky.social
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
A quick one since it’s a Sunday (the answer is yes). Featuring @benansell.bsky.social
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
February 8, 2026 at 1:31 PM
Obsession Day 3: Yesterday we discussed how non-ideological voters are economically-liberal and socially-conservative. Does this pattern appear in other countries?
A quick one since it’s a Sunday (the answer is yes). Featuring @benansell.bsky.social
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
A quick one since it’s a Sunday (the answer is yes). Featuring @benansell.bsky.social
benansell.substack.com/p/bloc-parties
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
He tried to replicate it, failed to do so, and declined to publish his results
Study Finds 0.7% COVID-19 Antibodies Among MLB Employees
The test kits were sent to some 10,000 MLB employees and 5,754 of them responded, using a pin prick to draw blood.
healthpolicy.fsi.stanford.edu
February 8, 2026 at 3:30 AM
He tried to replicate it, failed to do so, and declined to publish his results
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
By the way, for those of you not in MN: Homan’s strategy was to withdraw some agents, so it felt like we were in the denouement of the crisis, and then escalate hard against observers. They’re being incredibly aggressive with observers now. National media may not want to check out just yet
February 7, 2026 at 3:38 AM
By the way, for those of you not in MN: Homan’s strategy was to withdraw some agents, so it felt like we were in the denouement of the crisis, and then escalate hard against observers. They’re being incredibly aggressive with observers now. National media may not want to check out just yet
People have so much trouble keeping two facts in their head at the same time:
• Harris lost
• The non-battleground states swung *much* more right than the 7 battleground states
Tactics will never explain why NY swung from +23 to +12
• Harris lost
• The non-battleground states swung *much* more right than the 7 battleground states
Tactics will never explain why NY swung from +23 to +12
February 6, 2026 at 8:31 PM
People have so much trouble keeping two facts in their head at the same time:
• Harris lost
• The non-battleground states swung *much* more right than the 7 battleground states
Tactics will never explain why NY swung from +23 to +12
• Harris lost
• The non-battleground states swung *much* more right than the 7 battleground states
Tactics will never explain why NY swung from +23 to +12
Research Obsession Day 2: Voters & ideology. @gelliottmorris.com has a fantastic two-part series. Here's the latest, from just this week: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/more-evide...
(I figured since he was the inspiration for this series I should include him early on)
(I figured since he was the inspiration for this series I should include him early on)
February 6, 2026 at 7:33 PM
Research Obsession Day 2: Voters & ideology. @gelliottmorris.com has a fantastic two-part series. Here's the latest, from just this week: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/more-evide...
(I figured since he was the inspiration for this series I should include him early on)
(I figured since he was the inspiration for this series I should include him early on)
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
today's New Jersey primary is all about the collapse of the Dem party's mighty machine in NJ — their candidate is coming in 4th.
a piece from 2024 in bolts that gives you a window into what's happening right now: boltsmag.org/new-jersey-p...
a piece from 2024 in bolts that gives you a window into what's happening right now: boltsmag.org/new-jersey-p...
February 6, 2026 at 4:12 AM
today's New Jersey primary is all about the collapse of the Dem party's mighty machine in NJ — their candidate is coming in 4th.
a piece from 2024 in bolts that gives you a window into what's happening right now: boltsmag.org/new-jersey-p...
a piece from 2024 in bolts that gives you a window into what's happening right now: boltsmag.org/new-jersey-p...
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
“I do not think that 50 year old men should be having sex with 16 year old girls. But “
This level of apologia (from Megan McArdle in a podcast with Josh Barro and Ross Douthat) is fucking appalling. Idk what else there is to say.
February 5, 2026 at 11:31 PM
“I do not think that 50 year old men should be having sex with 16 year old girls. But “
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
February 5, 2026 at 5:37 PM
Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
New from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : Is Rogan really turning on Trump? Ehh...
Rogan is now more critical of Trump. But his overall framing of immigration is still negative. Fundamentally he is a pushover, and this benefits rightwing guests.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/is-joe-rog...
Rogan is now more critical of Trump. But his overall framing of immigration is still negative. Fundamentally he is a pushover, and this benefits rightwing guests.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/is-joe-rog...
February 3, 2026 at 1:42 PM
New from @ymriofficial.bsky.social : Is Rogan really turning on Trump? Ehh...
Rogan is now more critical of Trump. But his overall framing of immigration is still negative. Fundamentally he is a pushover, and this benefits rightwing guests.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/is-joe-rog...
Rogan is now more critical of Trump. But his overall framing of immigration is still negative. Fundamentally he is a pushover, and this benefits rightwing guests.
youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/is-joe-rog...
Yes, I AM obsessed with learning how to win elections!
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
February 4, 2026 at 10:30 PM
Yes, I AM obsessed with learning how to win elections!
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
(from @gelliottmorris.com)
And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day
But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:
Scammers just tried to hit me with this very sophisticated approach. If not for their accents, it would have sounded very legit. I hung up on them and was about to call the actual Cheyenne police department (in case my ID was stolen), when I found this page.
Be vigilant out there!
Be vigilant out there!
February 4, 2026 at 9:44 PM
Scammers just tried to hit me with this very sophisticated approach. If not for their accents, it would have sounded very legit. I hung up on them and was about to call the actual Cheyenne police department (in case my ID was stolen), when I found this page.
Be vigilant out there!
Be vigilant out there!
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
INBOX: Washington Post Ukraine Correspondent Lizzie Johnson announces that she has been laid off in the middle of a below-freezing war zone without power, heat, or running water.
February 4, 2026 at 5:11 PM
INBOX: Washington Post Ukraine Correspondent Lizzie Johnson announces that she has been laid off in the middle of a below-freezing war zone without power, heat, or running water.
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
Floored by this story. A man wrote a pollite email to a federal prosecutor objecting to the deportation of an Afghan seeking asylum. DHS responded with an administrative warrant to get the man's info from Google, then visited his home to intimidate him.
DHS Hunts Down 67-Year-Old U.S. Citizen Who Criticized Them in Email
The Department of Homeland Security is using a little-known tool to go after its critics.
newrepublic.com
February 3, 2026 at 11:14 PM
Floored by this story. A man wrote a pollite email to a federal prosecutor objecting to the deportation of an Afghan seeking asylum. DHS responded with an administrative warrant to get the man's info from Google, then visited his home to intimidate him.
Under which definition of "popular"? Certainly not "what disaffected or indie voters wanted".
These political scientists are so close to getting it -- so close!
These political scientists are so close to getting it -- so close!
February 3, 2026 at 4:56 PM
Under which definition of "popular"? Certainly not "what disaffected or indie voters wanted".
These political scientists are so close to getting it -- so close!
These political scientists are so close to getting it -- so close!
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
I do not know how to live in a world where (mostly) men who sit at the very highest levels of power and prestige select, rape and dispose of countless girls not merely without consequences but with social and financial rewards.
February 3, 2026 at 4:44 PM
I do not know how to live in a world where (mostly) men who sit at the very highest levels of power and prestige select, rape and dispose of countless girls not merely without consequences but with social and financial rewards.
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
Russia is conducting a major terror attack on Kyiv, Kharkiv and other Ukrainian cities at this very moment.
Trump is a fool, a liar and a danger.
Trump is a fool, a liar and a danger.
Trump: "I did call up President Putin and he's agreed -- they have the same cold wave that we do, maybe different because it's pretty far away, but it's the equivalent. And Ukraine is a very cold country, much colder than us. I asked him if he wouldn't shoot for one week and he's agreed to do it."
February 2, 2026 at 11:32 PM
Russia is conducting a major terror attack on Kyiv, Kharkiv and other Ukrainian cities at this very moment.
Trump is a fool, a liar and a danger.
Trump is a fool, a liar and a danger.
Reposted by Aaron Strauss
He made a lot of promises about DOGE, too.
Elon Musk promises to "unearth the Black Garden from beneath the sands of Mars", says he will "bring about the end of flesh" and "instantiate the Godmind"
February 2, 2026 at 11:50 PM
He made a lot of promises about DOGE, too.
Election rarity: an upset landslide!
Here's Taylor Rehmet's ad -- lowering costs, fixing schools. Great message!
host2.adimpact.com/admo/#/viewe...
Here's Taylor Rehmet's ad -- lowering costs, fixing schools. Great message!
host2.adimpact.com/admo/#/viewe...
February 1, 2026 at 5:05 AM
Election rarity: an upset landslide!
Here's Taylor Rehmet's ad -- lowering costs, fixing schools. Great message!
host2.adimpact.com/admo/#/viewe...
Here's Taylor Rehmet's ad -- lowering costs, fixing schools. Great message!
host2.adimpact.com/admo/#/viewe...
Good morning--it's election day... in Texas! A telltale special: Trump won St. Sen. Dist. 9 by 17 points(!), but Dem Taylor Rehmet has a real shot at winning.
He has a great message for the reddish district & has leaned into relational organizing, so everyone here can be happy if we win tonight 😁
He has a great message for the reddish district & has leaned into relational organizing, so everyone here can be happy if we win tonight 😁
January 31, 2026 at 1:23 PM
Good morning--it's election day... in Texas! A telltale special: Trump won St. Sen. Dist. 9 by 17 points(!), but Dem Taylor Rehmet has a real shot at winning.
He has a great message for the reddish district & has leaned into relational organizing, so everyone here can be happy if we win tonight 😁
He has a great message for the reddish district & has leaned into relational organizing, so everyone here can be happy if we win tonight 😁
These past few days have been a great reminder that REPUBLICANS HAVE AGENCY -- and if they wanted to put a stop to all this madness, they absolutely could.
January 30, 2026 at 8:33 PM
These past few days have been a great reminder that REPUBLICANS HAVE AGENCY -- and if they wanted to put a stop to all this madness, they absolutely could.