Christy Quirk
@cequirk.bsky.social
Opinion research and advocacy/political strategy in declining democracies and emerging autocracies. Don’t ask questions you don’t want the answers to. Nice, FR
quirkglobalstrategies.com
linkedin.com/in/christinequirk
Quirkglobalstrategies: Substack
quirkglobalstrategies.com
linkedin.com/in/christinequirk
Quirkglobalstrategies: Substack
Reposted by Christy Quirk
Finally some straight talk about the biggest elephant in the room. @slotkin.senate.gov emphasizes: „We‘re in a struggle for our democracy. I‘m very concerned about the 2026 elections.“ References the very concerning comments by Trump and others.
February 14, 2026 at 4:04 PM
Finally some straight talk about the biggest elephant in the room. @slotkin.senate.gov emphasizes: „We‘re in a struggle for our democracy. I‘m very concerned about the 2026 elections.“ References the very concerning comments by Trump and others.
Reposted by Christy Quirk
Democracy is when voters choose their leaders. Autocracy is when leaders choose their voters.
Kristi Noem: "When it gets to Election Day, we've been proactive to make sure we have the right people voting, electing the right leaders to lead this country."
February 14, 2026 at 3:33 PM
Democracy is when voters choose their leaders. Autocracy is when leaders choose their voters.
Reposted by Christy Quirk
Someone for everyone
February 14, 2026 at 3:09 PM
Someone for everyone
Reposted by Christy Quirk
roses are red
violets are great
we need Census data
to properly weight
violets are great
we need Census data
to properly weight
February 14, 2024 at 9:30 PM
roses are red
violets are great
we need Census data
to properly weight
violets are great
we need Census data
to properly weight
Worth reposting
roses are red
violet are magnificent
a change of 1 point's not
statistically significant
violet are magnificent
a change of 1 point's not
statistically significant
February 14, 2026 at 3:50 PM
Worth reposting
Reposted by Christy Quirk
lol. lmao, even
Today a certain pseudo-moderate commentator decided to double down on “politicians shouldn’t waste their time trying to persuade and change public opinion”.
Just noting this because I have cited the trends a lot recently: Tracking data from Civiqs now shows a plurality of the public favors abolishing ICE, with 47% in support and 46% opposed. Independents are net +5 on abolish, up from -40 a year ago substack.com/profile/4791...
February 14, 2026 at 2:14 PM
lol. lmao, even
Reposted by Christy Quirk
The NYT appears to have edited their incorrect paragraphs on public opinion toward Trump’s immigration policies, completely changing the meaning of the paragraph and not offering a note on the piece. Cmon…
There's been a substantial edit, with no correction noted in the article as of now.
February 14, 2026 at 3:13 AM
The NYT appears to have edited their incorrect paragraphs on public opinion toward Trump’s immigration policies, completely changing the meaning of the paragraph and not offering a note on the piece. Cmon…
Reposted by Christy Quirk
It is not merely that one must under no circumstances continue appeasing Putin by keeping Ukraine out of NATO -- now every thinking person should be practically praying for a force like Ukraine to be part of the free world's collective defense.
February 13, 2026 at 11:04 PM
It is not merely that one must under no circumstances continue appeasing Putin by keeping Ukraine out of NATO -- now every thinking person should be practically praying for a force like Ukraine to be part of the free world's collective defense.
Reposted by Christy Quirk
INBOX: Rep. Thomas Massie, who has enraged Trump for his insistence on blocking tariffs and releasing the Epstein files according to the law, just issued what is widely known among Chinese dissidents as "a declaration of no suicidal intent" (不自殺聲明), a sign of extreme distress.
February 13, 2026 at 11:17 PM
INBOX: Rep. Thomas Massie, who has enraged Trump for his insistence on blocking tariffs and releasing the Epstein files according to the law, just issued what is widely known among Chinese dissidents as "a declaration of no suicidal intent" (不自殺聲明), a sign of extreme distress.
Reposted by Christy Quirk
BREAKING: The Project 2025 architect who promised to put federal employees “in trauma” is spending $15 million of former USAID funding—money that would have gone toward fighting HIV, polio, malaria, and other diseases—to bankroll his security detail. trib.al/mRYS7FH
February 13, 2026 at 5:30 PM
BREAKING: The Project 2025 architect who promised to put federal employees “in trauma” is spending $15 million of former USAID funding—money that would have gone toward fighting HIV, polio, malaria, and other diseases—to bankroll his security detail. trib.al/mRYS7FH
Reposted by Christy Quirk
My opinion on this editorially is that if your organization is going to act as the fourth estate/a check on an authoritarian president, it is important to get the data on public opinion correct so you don't end up manufacturing consent for the regime's position. NYT should correct...
February 13, 2026 at 5:59 PM
My opinion on this editorially is that if your organization is going to act as the fourth estate/a check on an authoritarian president, it is important to get the data on public opinion correct so you don't end up manufacturing consent for the regime's position. NYT should correct...
A good explanation of how the Kremlin controls and manipulates its loyal opposition and undermines leaders who might start to build an independent regional power base. ridl.io/the-shrinkin...
The Shrinking Quota for the Systemic Opposition – Riddle Russia
Andrey Pertsev sums up the political week (February 9−13)
ridl.io
February 13, 2026 at 6:00 PM
A good explanation of how the Kremlin controls and manipulates its loyal opposition and undermines leaders who might start to build an independent regional power base. ridl.io/the-shrinkin...
This is a great letter from Gallup Nordic, which lays out what’s at stake when trust in statistics and the science of polling is intentionally undermined.
“Educate the public: Be the loudest voice in the room when media outlets present unscientific polls as legitimate population estimates.”
“Educate the public: Be the loudest voice in the room when media outlets present unscientific polls as legitimate population estimates.”
Defending Scientific Integrity: An Open Letter to WAPOR & AAPOR
Is polling science dying? Read the open letter to WAPOR and AAPOR regarding the erosion of scientific integrity, Gallup's decline, and the defense of probability sampling.
gallupnordic.com
February 13, 2026 at 4:44 PM
This is a great letter from Gallup Nordic, which lays out what’s at stake when trust in statistics and the science of polling is intentionally undermined.
“Educate the public: Be the loudest voice in the room when media outlets present unscientific polls as legitimate population estimates.”
“Educate the public: Be the loudest voice in the room when media outlets present unscientific polls as legitimate population estimates.”
Reposted by Christy Quirk
Facebook plans to put facial recognition in its glasses and they think we’re too stupid to fight back.
Their internal memo: “We will launch during a dynamic political environment where many civil society groups that we would expect to attack us would have their resources focused on other concerns.”
Their internal memo: “We will launch during a dynamic political environment where many civil society groups that we would expect to attack us would have their resources focused on other concerns.”
Meta Plans to Add Facial Recognition Technology to Its Smart Glasses
www.nytimes.com
February 13, 2026 at 12:16 PM
Facebook plans to put facial recognition in its glasses and they think we’re too stupid to fight back.
Their internal memo: “We will launch during a dynamic political environment where many civil society groups that we would expect to attack us would have their resources focused on other concerns.”
Their internal memo: “We will launch during a dynamic political environment where many civil society groups that we would expect to attack us would have their resources focused on other concerns.”
Reposted by Christy Quirk
One of the most fascinating aspects of the America Crisis is how under Trump much of the US Homeland security apparatus seems to understand places like Minnesota or Maine as little as the US National security apparatus under Bush understood places like Anbar or Herat
Inexperienced and delusional rookies at the helm... check. Comically bad misreading of local politics... check. Trying to correct with "a surge" that makes things worse... check.
February 13, 2026 at 11:03 AM
One of the most fascinating aspects of the America Crisis is how under Trump much of the US Homeland security apparatus seems to understand places like Minnesota or Maine as little as the US National security apparatus under Bush understood places like Anbar or Herat
Reposted by Christy Quirk
This story is very funny, but also, someone is telling journalists this story. Which is also very funny.
February 13, 2026 at 2:36 AM
This story is very funny, but also, someone is telling journalists this story. Which is also very funny.
Reposted by Christy Quirk
looks like it won't be long before we see what it looks like when the government of an EU member state refuses to cede power
💥Dramatic turn in Hungary’s election race: Orbán rival Péter Magyar says that in 2024 his ex-girlfriend set a honey trap to secretly record them having sex—footage he claims Orbán’s camp plans to publish to ruin and blackmail him.
Magyar currently holds a big lead in the polls. Election in 59 days.
Magyar currently holds a big lead in the polls. Election in 59 days.
February 12, 2026 at 6:26 PM
looks like it won't be long before we see what it looks like when the government of an EU member state refuses to cede power
And what she says about Ukraine/Russia. 👀
I'll be watching this closely, as I recall a relatively predictable "legacy left" Western Hemispheric vision a few years back. Curious to see if she's updated it at all (although it's more relevant now than back then).
She's so smart, so I expect something good.
Anyone know who she's listening to?
She's so smart, so I expect something good.
Anyone know who she's listening to?
Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez plans to offer her foreign policy vision at the Munich Security Conference as speculation grows about her political future.
February 12, 2026 at 9:51 PM
And what she says about Ukraine/Russia. 👀
How I spent my afternoon
February 12, 2026 at 2:46 AM
How I spent my afternoon
Reposted by Christy Quirk
We're keeping track of all 4th place finishes at the 2026 Winter Olympics with our Aluminum Medal Table!
After Day 5, the US and Italy are at the top of the board with 4 4th place finishes each.
After Day 5, the US and Italy are at the top of the board with 4 4th place finishes each.
February 11, 2026 at 11:18 PM
We're keeping track of all 4th place finishes at the 2026 Winter Olympics with our Aluminum Medal Table!
After Day 5, the US and Italy are at the top of the board with 4 4th place finishes each.
After Day 5, the US and Italy are at the top of the board with 4 4th place finishes each.
Reposted by Christy Quirk
As I was saying, Ukraine isn't about to violate its constitution and hold elections under Ru bombardment just to please Trump
February 12, 2026 at 12:30 AM
As I was saying, Ukraine isn't about to violate its constitution and hold elections under Ru bombardment just to please Trump
Also Gallup has a lot of business tangentially related to polling/analytics. Probably has nothing to do with this decision. 🙄
i think they’ll lose a bunch of traffic and some if not a lot of political relevance — and I think they know this, and have made their decision anyway because they have other priorities. polls are expensive, esp they way Gallup does it, so the business decision makes some sense to me
What do you think is going to happen WRT Gallup?
February 12, 2026 at 12:54 AM
Also Gallup has a lot of business tangentially related to polling/analytics. Probably has nothing to do with this decision. 🙄
Reposted by Christy Quirk
“We ran out of numbers low enough,” explains Gallup president Giuseppe Gallup.
Gallup will no longer measure presidential approval after 88 years thehill.com/homenews/med...
February 11, 2026 at 8:35 PM
“We ran out of numbers low enough,” explains Gallup president Giuseppe Gallup.
Reposted by Christy Quirk
Reposted by Christy Quirk
Oh, so their internal polling is BAD bad
February 9, 2026 at 9:08 PM
Oh, so their internal polling is BAD bad