Dom White
@domw.bsky.social
Chief economist at Absolute Strategy Research in London. But all of the nonsense I spout on here is mine and mine alone. RTs are not endorsements unless they are.
Confidence is a preference for the habitual voyeur
Of what is known as …
Of what is known as …
November 23, 2025 at 10:07 PM
Confidence is a preference for the habitual voyeur
Of what is known as …
Of what is known as …
Reposted by Dom White
Found the culprit for the global selloff:
November 21, 2025 at 5:26 PM
Found the culprit for the global selloff:
Mo is short bonds
EL-ERIAN WARNS MARKETS ON WILLIAMS’ DOVISH REMARKS Economist Mohamed El-Erian cautioned markets not to overreact to NY Fed President John Williams’ comments suggesting a near-term rate cut. He noted that Fed Chair Powell still faces a tough fight to unify the FOMC ahead of
November 21, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Mo is short bonds
Reposted by Dom White
Hey, #EconSky!
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is here @usbls.bsky.social!
bsky.app/profile/usbl...
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is here @usbls.bsky.social!
bsky.app/profile/usbl...
November 21, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Hey, #EconSky!
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is here @usbls.bsky.social!
bsky.app/profile/usbl...
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is here @usbls.bsky.social!
bsky.app/profile/usbl...
Reposted by Dom White
@usbls.bsky.social seems to be real
It is really them!
November 21, 2025 at 2:45 PM
@usbls.bsky.social seems to be real
Reposted by Dom White
7.2 million job openings in August 2025 #BLSData www.bls.gov/opub/ted/202...
November 20, 2025 at 4:32 PM
7.2 million job openings in August 2025 #BLSData www.bls.gov/opub/ted/202...
Is there anything more beautiful in this life than seeing Australian wickets get knocked over?
November 21, 2025 at 9:33 AM
Is there anything more beautiful in this life than seeing Australian wickets get knocked over?
Reposted by Dom White
Best reasonably priced breakfast on or near Brick Lane please, Hive Mind?
November 21, 2025 at 9:22 AM
Best reasonably priced breakfast on or near Brick Lane please, Hive Mind?
Reposted by Dom White
COST is a great one to watch in part because they do monthly sales reports.
November 20, 2025 at 2:56 PM
COST is a great one to watch in part because they do monthly sales reports.
Shocking chart. Particularly alarming that the UK's figure has gone from 5% to ~10% since around 2014 whereas it's taken about 25 years for the same to happen in the US.
Attention is on NEETs today, but the problem is much worse.
NEETs include stay-at-home parents & jobseekers.
Strip those out to focus on people not working, not seeking work, not in education & not parenting: this group of economically & socially dislocated young adults has *doubled* in a decade.
NEETs include stay-at-home parents & jobseekers.
Strip those out to focus on people not working, not seeking work, not in education & not parenting: this group of economically & socially dislocated young adults has *doubled* in a decade.
November 20, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Shocking chart. Particularly alarming that the UK's figure has gone from 5% to ~10% since around 2014 whereas it's taken about 25 years for the same to happen in the US.
Looks like bubble is back on the menu, boys!
November 19, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Looks like bubble is back on the menu, boys!
Reposted by Dom White
Let's talk about tomorrow's jobs data: what to expect?
1/ First thing I'll be looking at is the unemployment rate (ideally, unrounded).
The Chicago Fed nowcasts 4.34% for September, a tiny bit higher than 4.32% in August.
(They also have a nowcast for October of 4.36%)
1/ First thing I'll be looking at is the unemployment rate (ideally, unrounded).
The Chicago Fed nowcasts 4.34% for September, a tiny bit higher than 4.32% in August.
(They also have a nowcast for October of 4.36%)
November 19, 2025 at 8:36 PM
Let's talk about tomorrow's jobs data: what to expect?
1/ First thing I'll be looking at is the unemployment rate (ideally, unrounded).
The Chicago Fed nowcasts 4.34% for September, a tiny bit higher than 4.32% in August.
(They also have a nowcast for October of 4.36%)
1/ First thing I'll be looking at is the unemployment rate (ideally, unrounded).
The Chicago Fed nowcasts 4.34% for September, a tiny bit higher than 4.32% in August.
(They also have a nowcast for October of 4.36%)
Reposted by Dom White
Perhaps it’s more like a Russian Mavrodi*i-style Ponzi scheme: everyone knows it’s fake, but we participate anyway as an alternative to our socioeconomic vacuum.
* en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MMM_(Po...
* en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MMM_(Po...
If I think it’s a bubble, you think it’s a bubble, everyone thinks it’s a bubble and the Fed is warning of the possibility of disorderly fall in equity prices … does that still make it a bubble?
“.. with several of these participants highlighting the possibility of a disorderly fall in equity prices ..” 👀
#FedMinutes
#FedMinutes
November 19, 2025 at 7:57 PM
Perhaps it’s more like a Russian Mavrodi*i-style Ponzi scheme: everyone knows it’s fake, but we participate anyway as an alternative to our socioeconomic vacuum.
* en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MMM_(Po...
* en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MMM_(Po...
If I think it’s a bubble, you think it’s a bubble, everyone thinks it’s a bubble and the Fed is warning of the possibility of disorderly fall in equity prices … does that still make it a bubble?
“.. with several of these participants highlighting the possibility of a disorderly fall in equity prices ..” 👀
#FedMinutes
#FedMinutes
November 19, 2025 at 7:39 PM
If I think it’s a bubble, you think it’s a bubble, everyone thinks it’s a bubble and the Fed is warning of the possibility of disorderly fall in equity prices … does that still make it a bubble?
A year or so ago, it was popular (and quite persuasive) to blame inflation for the unpopularity of most incumbent governments. Quite interesting that three new governments since then (Trump, Starmer, Merz) have rapidly become unpopular too.
November 19, 2025 at 9:55 AM
A year or so ago, it was popular (and quite persuasive) to blame inflation for the unpopularity of most incumbent governments. Quite interesting that three new governments since then (Trump, Starmer, Merz) have rapidly become unpopular too.
Ah man, gotta love that for the Scots.
November 18, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Ah man, gotta love that for the Scots.
lol. Imagine being the one guy who voted against it.
Passed 427-1
November 18, 2025 at 8:29 PM
lol. Imagine being the one guy who voted against it.
Seems a like investors are downgrading their estimates of the future flow of illegal transactions that Bitcoin can be used to transact.
November 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Seems a like investors are downgrading their estimates of the future flow of illegal transactions that Bitcoin can be used to transact.
Reposted by Dom White
If an attractive young woman a third my age didn't want to date me, then why did she ask me for feedback on an economics paper?
by Larry Summers
by Larry Summers
November 17, 2025 at 6:54 PM
If an attractive young woman a third my age didn't want to date me, then why did she ask me for feedback on an economics paper?
by Larry Summers
by Larry Summers
Reposted by Dom White
Imagine, if you wish, the manager of a football club shouting at the fans that parking the bus and general hacking and shit-housery all over the pitch is, unfortunately, the only viable plan to win games. And then you look up the league table, and the club is 14pts off the first Europa League spots
November 17, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Imagine, if you wish, the manager of a football club shouting at the fans that parking the bus and general hacking and shit-housery all over the pitch is, unfortunately, the only viable plan to win games. And then you look up the league table, and the club is 14pts off the first Europa League spots
If this works (big if) it will transform the experience of buying tickets online.
November 17, 2025 at 6:06 PM
If this works (big if) it will transform the experience of buying tickets online.
Someone call the police, there’s been a triple homicide.
(Great post though.)
(Great post though.)
November 16, 2025 at 11:50 AM
Someone call the police, there’s been a triple homicide.
(Great post though.)
(Great post though.)
Reposted by Dom White
Very senior economist speaks out against Summers and against the discipline continuing to bestow privileges and honors on him; calls out sexism in economics.
You'd think this site should be flooded with similar threads...
You'd think this site should be flooded with similar threads...
1/ Egalitarianism should begin at home. I link to this article by @bencasselman.bsky.social in light of the communications between Larry Summers and Jeffrey Epstein that have just been released. The released emails and the fact of friendship are vile.
www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
www.nytimes.com/2021/02/23/b...
For Women in Economics, the Hostility Is Out in the Open (Published 2021)
www.nytimes.com
November 15, 2025 at 10:49 PM
Very senior economist speaks out against Summers and against the discipline continuing to bestow privileges and honors on him; calls out sexism in economics.
You'd think this site should be flooded with similar threads...
You'd think this site should be flooded with similar threads...
Reposted by Dom White
New Substack: chrisdillow.substack.com/p/on-incompe... Parts of the Labour party and BBC simply don't know what their jobs should be.
On incompetence
Much of our political culture is fundamentally incompetent.
chrisdillow.substack.com
November 15, 2025 at 10:47 AM
New Substack: chrisdillow.substack.com/p/on-incompe... Parts of the Labour party and BBC simply don't know what their jobs should be.