GrumpySilverback
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GrumpySilverback
@grumpysilverback.bsky.social
330 followers 79 following 1.2K posts
Military Veteran. Russian and German Linguist. IT guru. Degrees in International Relations and Philosophy. OG Star Wars nerd. Husband to a fantastic wife, father to three incredible human beings, Silverback for my family. Always Grumpy!
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POTUS can direct any military operations they feel necessary without Congressional approval.

Only Congress can declare war.

After engaging in mil ops, POTUS must seek Congressional approval within 60 days to continue funding allocations.

Been this way since the War Powers Act of 73.
The only way out now is regime change in Iran.

W/o regime change, Iran achieves a nuke pretty rapidly. I expect them to move all things nuke east and prob into one of the Stans.

Also, I expect Iran to build and employ dirty bombs due to all of this.

None of this ends well.
POTUS doesnt need Congressional authorization to conduct military operations, POTUS is CINC of military.

Only Congress can declare war.

We arent at war.

There is a big difference in these types of mil ops and war.

POTUS needs Congress approval to spend money on this within 90 days.
3 decades.

He murdered Rabin just to get to this moment.
According to Netanyahu, Iran has been 3 years away from a nuclear weapon since 1994!
If?

No, no good sir ... when!
Reposted by GrumpySilverback
#Iran: Weeks away from having nuclear weapons since 1995
Ever been to Utah?

Full of hypocrites and deplorables.

They soak in it!
2/ Netanyahu and the radical zealots in Israel who preach manifest destiny have been the problem there for the last 3 decades.
Israels actions respective to both Gaza and Iran are egregious oversteps and clear violations of multiple international treaties and laws.

Iran was completely contained, its proxy armies defeated and gone. Iran's military is garbage. Iran cant effectively threaten Israel by any legitimate means.
No, I live in the reality that actually exists. Iran talks shit, that is what they do. They have never acted on any of their rhetoric. Ever. Everything they do is performative to keep the regime in power. Nothing more.

Any different assessment of this fact is quite simply wrong.
The Sauds have openly stated, multiple times, they have zero interest in nuclear anything. No other Persian/Arab nation would rush to get one either.

Israel acquiring nuclear weapons is what started Iran on this path. Israel started this security spiral.

Iran is then simply balancing the system.
Reposted by GrumpySilverback
Reminder: The State Department's reported plans for an office of “remigration” stem from a far-right policy that calls for “soft-style ethnic cleansing.”

It is rooted in the debunked Great Replacement theory and favored by the European far-right and White nationalist extremists.
The worrying backstory of Trump’s proposed “Office of Remigration”
The State Department is reportedly creating an office for "remigration": a far-right policy that calls for what has been described as "soft-style ethnic cleansing."
www.motherjones.com
5/ but this attack now gives Iran a tempo and credence against Israel.

Israel cannot stop Iran from getting a nuke.

And now Iran has zero reason to negotiate with anyone about it.

This was unbelievably stupid by Netanyahu, who has wanted this for decades (after he killed Rabin).
4/ all the bluster of Iran is performative, and always has been. This attack was unnecessary as Iran was fully contained due to the fuck up by Hamas, they and Hezbollah are gone, Iran lost its proxy armies. Syria and Lebanon as well. The only support left is a small band in Yemen.
3/ it is a fantastical lie that if Iran were to achieve nuclear weapons there would be an arms race, security spiral, or that they would use them against anyone in a first strike.
Iran has never been expeditionary and doesnt have chem/bio outside of PBAs and riot control type agents.
2/ Pakistan, home to multiple radical jihadist groups, has had nuclear tech and weapons for over 40 years, and it was only via espionage that it left their borders. China and Russia didnt help much either.
Funnily, it was France who helped Iran the most, providing material during the sanctions.
Saying Iran is a radicalized jihadist nation is an idiotic statement. The Khomenis have always used wild rhetoric to oppress their populace and stay in power, nothing more. Iran's proxy armies engaged in nothing more than needle pricking Israel for that same purpose, to retain power at home. 1/
Reposted by GrumpySilverback
This is so important it hurts. This is the tiny area of a massive sprawling city that Trump is attacking and the entire propaganda machine is churning to make us believe more is happening. Don’t fall for the lies.
Let's hope not. I think Iran will concentrate on military targets as not to escalate further.

It will be commensurate in that manner much like the exchange last year.
History also says that the US had nuclear weapons in Turkey, Italy, and West Germany long before the Soviets even thought about Cuba.

These egregious actions by Netanyahu will not prevent Iran from creating nuclear weapons, and in fact will most likely accelerate that process.
Reposted by GrumpySilverback
Also cannot be emphasized enough: Barack Obama successfully negotiated the shutdown of Iran's nuclear program. It exists today because Trump deliberately tore up that agreement.

The deaths happening right now can be laid at his door.
Israel aggressively bombing Iran—unlike two incidents of strikes in 2024, which followed Iranian missiles launches against Israel—is in part another consequence of a weak, chaotic US president.

Worth noting that this didn't happen under Biden, Obama, or Bush, despite Israel talking about it a lot.
Reposted by GrumpySilverback
Trump said he wanted a deal with Iran. I guess he couldn’t convince his good friend Netanyahu. No respect. Looks weak.
Israel aggressively bombing Iran—unlike two incidents of strikes in 2024, which followed Iranian missiles launches against Israel—is in part another consequence of a weak, chaotic US president.

Worth noting that this didn't happen under Biden, Obama, or Bush, despite Israel talking about it a lot.
Reposted by GrumpySilverback
If they win on this they won’t stop here. Indian Americans, Chinese Americans, Cuban Americans, Vietnamese Americans, African Americans, they are coming for all of you, too.
Reposted by GrumpySilverback
That’s right. They want Mexican Americans to be ashamed of being Mexican. They’re leaning on the implicit racist belief of white people - including too many liberals - that Mexican heritage makes someone presumptively dangerous or criminal. It’s nativism and we shouldn’t give them one single inch.
They’re attacking latinos, flying the Mexican flag is about not bowing down to racists and the fascist administration it’s not about being proud to be “American” it’s about being proud of the things they are trying to demonize about you.