Lotte Hargrave
@lottehargrave.bsky.social
Lecturer in Quantitative Political Science at The University of Manchester. Research gender, political behaviour, elections, and representation
https://www.lottehargrave.com/
Non-academically, lover of:
- Hiking 🥾
- Wild swimming 🌊
- Pub going 🍺
https://www.lottehargrave.com/
Non-academically, lover of:
- Hiking 🥾
- Wild swimming 🌊
- Pub going 🍺
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Many studies attribute the success of right-wing parties to sexism.
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
October 27, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Many studies attribute the success of right-wing parties to sexism.
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections?
My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social!
1/7
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
This is why I wouldn’t put too much stock in current MRP results showing reform majority - voters can and do tactically co-ordinate as we saw last July with anti-Con tactical voting. Indeed, strong MRP results for Reform may help inform and encourage anti-Farage tactical voting.
It's easy to look at stuff like this and assume the next general election is going to a mess. But there are 650 individual contests — in which voters are pretty adept at working out which lever they need to pull to get the result they want.
October 24, 2025 at 6:30 AM
This is why I wouldn’t put too much stock in current MRP results showing reform majority - voters can and do tactically co-ordinate as we saw last July with anti-Con tactical voting. Indeed, strong MRP results for Reform may help inform and encourage anti-Farage tactical voting.
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
1. Ecological Fallacy: just because a constituency goes from one party to another doesn't mean many individual voters made same journey
2. Availability Bias: just because you can easily picture the stereotype of a particular voter doesn't mean that they are numerous in electorate
2. Availability Bias: just because you can easily picture the stereotype of a particular voter doesn't mean that they are numerous in electorate
The Two Psychological Biases to Avoid to Understand Voting Behaviour in 2025
The ecological fallacy and availability bias
jamesbreckwoldt.substack.com
October 14, 2025 at 7:27 AM
1. Ecological Fallacy: just because a constituency goes from one party to another doesn't mean many individual voters made same journey
2. Availability Bias: just because you can easily picture the stereotype of a particular voter doesn't mean that they are numerous in electorate
2. Availability Bias: just because you can easily picture the stereotype of a particular voter doesn't mean that they are numerous in electorate
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
🚨 Job Opportunity! 🚨 Applications are now open for a new 2.5-year postdoc at @edinburghpir.bsky.social to examine how parliaments gather, analyse and use different types of knowledge - see the full job listing here: elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...
Postdoctoral Research Fellow (SPARK)
We are looking for a Postdoctoral Research Fellow with experience in the politics of the UK, Scottish, German or Bavarian parliaments to join the UKRI-funded research project, ‘Studying Parliaments an...
elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com
September 30, 2025 at 12:50 PM
🚨 Job Opportunity! 🚨 Applications are now open for a new 2.5-year postdoc at @edinburghpir.bsky.social to examine how parliaments gather, analyse and use different types of knowledge - see the full job listing here: elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
🚨 New article out today in @cpsjournal.bsky.social !
📄 “Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests”
With Bonnie Meguid, @hildecoffe.bsky.social & Miki Kittilson
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
📄 “Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests”
With Bonnie Meguid, @hildecoffe.bsky.social & Miki Kittilson
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests - Bonnie M. Meguid, Hilde Coffé, Ana Catalano Weeks, Miki Caul Kittilson, 2025
Despite their Männerparteien reputation, populist radical right (PRR) parties have recently expanded their agendas to include women’s interests. When do they em...
doi.org
October 1, 2025 at 9:33 AM
🚨 New article out today in @cpsjournal.bsky.social !
📄 “Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests”
With Bonnie Meguid, @hildecoffe.bsky.social & Miki Kittilson
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
📄 “Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests”
With Bonnie Meguid, @hildecoffe.bsky.social & Miki Kittilson
🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...
Sadly, I couldn’t be at APSA to accept in person - but so delighted that my article "Earning Their Stripes? How Political Experience Shapes Gendered Policy Prioritization" has won the Jewell-Loewenberg Award for the best comparative politics article in @lsqjournal.bsky.social! 🏆✨
2️⃣ Comparative Legislatures Prize
👏 Cheers to Lotte Hargrave (Manchester) for receiving the Best Article in Comparative Legislatures Prize from the APSA Legislative Studies Section!
📖 “Earning Their Stripes? How Political Experience Shapes Gendered Policy Prioritization” (LSQ, Vol. 49: 429-454)
👏 Cheers to Lotte Hargrave (Manchester) for receiving the Best Article in Comparative Legislatures Prize from the APSA Legislative Studies Section!
📖 “Earning Their Stripes? How Political Experience Shapes Gendered Policy Prioritization” (LSQ, Vol. 49: 429-454)
September 19, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Sadly, I couldn’t be at APSA to accept in person - but so delighted that my article "Earning Their Stripes? How Political Experience Shapes Gendered Policy Prioritization" has won the Jewell-Loewenberg Award for the best comparative politics article in @lsqjournal.bsky.social! 🏆✨
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Radical right accommodation really does not work.
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
September 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Radical right accommodation really does not work.
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Do men see gender parity in representation as detrimental to their interests? What about when women’s representation exceeds parity? And how do such shifts affect men’s fairness perceptions? I address these questions in my article, now published in PRQ. 1/9
doi.org/10.1177/1065...
doi.org/10.1177/1065...
August 14, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Do men see gender parity in representation as detrimental to their interests? What about when women’s representation exceeds parity? And how do such shifts affect men’s fairness perceptions? I address these questions in my article, now published in PRQ. 1/9
doi.org/10.1177/1065...
doi.org/10.1177/1065...
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
3. it makes me incredibly, disproportionally sad to see the swimwear offering for women and realise that it's assumed that the vast majority of women don't actually want to swim when they go to the beach, they're missing out, swimming in the sea is one of the best things about being alive
July 22, 2025 at 1:20 PM
3. it makes me incredibly, disproportionally sad to see the swimwear offering for women and realise that it's assumed that the vast majority of women don't actually want to swim when they go to the beach, they're missing out, swimming in the sea is one of the best things about being alive
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
📣 NEW PAPER ALERT! 🚨
"School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support"
Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🧵👇
"School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support"
Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🧵👇
July 14, 2025 at 1:13 PM
📣 NEW PAPER ALERT! 🚨
"School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support"
Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🧵👇
"School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support"
Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🧵👇
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Most literature reviews miss the point.
Not because they’re sloppy.
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.
In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...
🧵
Not because they’re sloppy.
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.
In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...
🧵
Most Literature Reviews Miss the Point. Don’t Let Yours
Critically Engaging Past Work to Confidently Shape Your Own
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
June 24, 2025 at 6:01 AM
Most literature reviews miss the point.
Not because they’re sloppy.
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.
In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...
🧵
Not because they’re sloppy.
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.
In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...
🧵
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
I was up early this morning to talk to BBC 5 Live about the assisted dying bill, while I decide whether to go back to sleep in this heat here's what to expect from today's session
The bill will have its third reading today, after MPs vote on some outstanding amendments from last Friday (1/10)
The bill will have its third reading today, after MPs vote on some outstanding amendments from last Friday (1/10)
June 20, 2025 at 5:45 AM
I was up early this morning to talk to BBC 5 Live about the assisted dying bill, while I decide whether to go back to sleep in this heat here's what to expect from today's session
The bill will have its third reading today, after MPs vote on some outstanding amendments from last Friday (1/10)
The bill will have its third reading today, after MPs vote on some outstanding amendments from last Friday (1/10)
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
And @timbale.bsky.social @psurridge.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social and I are just putting the finishing touches on “The British General Election of 2024”, the definitive account of the contest that got off to a soggy start exactly 1 year ago…coming this autumn!
May 22, 2025 at 7:31 AM
And @timbale.bsky.social @psurridge.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social and I are just putting the finishing touches on “The British General Election of 2024”, the definitive account of the contest that got off to a soggy start exactly 1 year ago…coming this autumn!
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
UK has a comparatively difficult registration process.
Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Britain has one of most difficult voter registration processes, report finds
UK system makes it a ‘real outlier’ among liberal democracies, according to study examining 62 countries
www.theguardian.com
May 12, 2025 at 11:30 AM
UK has a comparatively difficult registration process.
Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Predictably fascinating from Sir John (helped, of course, by @robfordmancs.bsky.social, @stevefisher.bsky.social, @patrick-pme.bsky.social and @lottehargrave.bsky.social). Left me wondering how much Reform's success correlates with low turnout and vice versa? Guessing that might matter in 2028/9?
Sir John Curtice: The map that reveals the extent of Reform's triumph
It suggests the party was particularly popular among those who voted for Brexit in 2016 and for Boris Johnson in 2019.
www.bbc.co.uk
May 4, 2025 at 7:06 AM
Predictably fascinating from Sir John (helped, of course, by @robfordmancs.bsky.social, @stevefisher.bsky.social, @patrick-pme.bsky.social and @lottehargrave.bsky.social). Left me wondering how much Reform's success correlates with low turnout and vice versa? Guessing that might matter in 2028/9?
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Labour’s “Farage is right, don’t vote for him” strategy, which was so successful on Thursday, looks set to continue.
Prime Minister Keir Starmer is preparing tougher measures on immigration to stem a record flow of arrivals across the English Channel and stave off the threat posed by Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party after it made sweeping gains in this week’s local elections.
Starmer Plots Harder Line on Migration to Counter Farage Threat
Prime Minister Keir Starmer is preparing tougher measures on immigration to stem a record flow of arrivals across the English Channel and stave off the threat posed by Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party after it made sweeping gains in this week’s local elections.
bloom.bg
May 3, 2025 at 7:53 AM
Labour’s “Farage is right, don’t vote for him” strategy, which was so successful on Thursday, looks set to continue.
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
An illustration of how FPP goes from sandbag to springboard - Reform votes and seats in different councils:
Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats
Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats
Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats
Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats
Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats
Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats
Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats
Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats
Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
May 2, 2025 at 5:07 PM
An illustration of how FPP goes from sandbag to springboard - Reform votes and seats in different councils:
Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats
Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats
Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats
Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats
Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats
Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats
Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats
Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats
Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
NEW -
Winning Votes and Changing Minds: Do Populist Arguments Affect Candidate Evaluations and Issue Preferences? - cup.org/4jGIsVP
- @markuskollberg.bsky.social, @benlauderdale.bsky.social &
@chriswratil.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Winning Votes and Changing Minds: Do Populist Arguments Affect Candidate Evaluations and Issue Preferences? - cup.org/4jGIsVP
- @markuskollberg.bsky.social, @benlauderdale.bsky.social &
@chriswratil.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
April 22, 2025 at 1:08 PM
NEW -
Winning Votes and Changing Minds: Do Populist Arguments Affect Candidate Evaluations and Issue Preferences? - cup.org/4jGIsVP
- @markuskollberg.bsky.social, @benlauderdale.bsky.social &
@chriswratil.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Winning Votes and Changing Minds: Do Populist Arguments Affect Candidate Evaluations and Issue Preferences? - cup.org/4jGIsVP
- @markuskollberg.bsky.social, @benlauderdale.bsky.social &
@chriswratil.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
March 25, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗
Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...
Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Are you a PhD or ECR interested in British or European politics? Would you like an all expenses covered trip to Manchester to present your work, meet ECR colleagues, and take part in career development events? Then this is the event for you! Be quick: one week left to apply!
📢 CALL FOR PAPERS 📢
🚨 Just over a week left to apply for this amazing opportunity with UKICE's @robfordmancs.bsky.social & @uniofmanchester.bsky.social 👇
🚨 Just over a week left to apply for this amazing opportunity with UKICE's @robfordmancs.bsky.social & @uniofmanchester.bsky.social 👇
March 21, 2025 at 11:26 AM
Are you a PhD or ECR interested in British or European politics? Would you like an all expenses covered trip to Manchester to present your work, meet ECR colleagues, and take part in career development events? Then this is the event for you! Be quick: one week left to apply!
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Really pleased that my @annualreviews.bsky.social on "Gender and Leadership in Executive Branch Politics" w/ @tiffanydbarnes.bsky.social is now out!
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
Gender and Leadership in Executive Branch Politics | Annual Reviews
Gender influences who has access to power, how leaders behave and are received within institutions, and how institutions are perceived. This review examines gender dynamics in the executive branch, fo...
www.annualreviews.org
March 10, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Really pleased that my @annualreviews.bsky.social on "Gender and Leadership in Executive Branch Politics" w/ @tiffanydbarnes.bsky.social is now out!
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
🚨 EPOP 2025 Call for papers now open! 🚨
Please fill out this form before the end of April to submit your paper proposal forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi
Accepting presentations on all aspects of elections, public opinion and parties using all methods.
Please fill out this form before the end of April to submit your paper proposal forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi
Accepting presentations on all aspects of elections, public opinion and parties using all methods.
Microsoft Forms
forms.office.com
February 27, 2025 at 9:35 AM
🚨 EPOP 2025 Call for papers now open! 🚨
Please fill out this form before the end of April to submit your paper proposal forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi
Accepting presentations on all aspects of elections, public opinion and parties using all methods.
Please fill out this form before the end of April to submit your paper proposal forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi
Accepting presentations on all aspects of elections, public opinion and parties using all methods.
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Last few days to apply for this PhD opportunity - deadline is this Friday!
There are just TWO WEEKS left to apply for this PhD opportunity with me @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social
If you've ever wondered why polls get it wrong & want to spend three years fully funded (!) figuring out the answer, then apply now: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
If you've ever wondered why polls get it wrong & want to spend three years fully funded (!) figuring out the answer, then apply now: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
February 25, 2025 at 5:03 PM
Last few days to apply for this PhD opportunity - deadline is this Friday!
Reposted by Lotte Hargrave
Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all?
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
February 24, 2025 at 10:58 AM
Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all?
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.
Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.