Implied Vol
@impliedvol.bsky.social
Code writer. Interested in what folks think during the trading day.
Hoping Bluesky breaks the link between trader talk and rightwing bloviating.
Not a fan of DMs or automatic followbacks -- no offense intended.
Hoping Bluesky breaks the link between trader talk and rightwing bloviating.
Not a fan of DMs or automatic followbacks -- no offense intended.
Reposted by Implied Vol
JUST IN 🚨: Gold has now traded green for 9 consecutive weeks 📈 Next week, it will go for 10 straight which would be its longest winning streak in 22 years 🤯👀
October 17, 2025 at 8:41 PM
JUST IN 🚨: Gold has now traded green for 9 consecutive weeks 📈 Next week, it will go for 10 straight which would be its longest winning streak in 22 years 🤯👀
Reposted by Implied Vol
Business districts, once Sweetgreen’s prime locations, are no longer packed with lunchtime regulars. Instead, urban outlets now depend on local traffic and dinner orders—which require more substantial fare than a bowl of greens. trib.al/MEW0E7a
Sweetgreen's CEO is beefing up protein portion sizes because corporate America is demanding more from $16 sad desk salads
The urban salad chain, which dominated the zeitgeist of the 2010s, cut its annual outlook the last two quarters consecutively.
trib.al
August 10, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Business districts, once Sweetgreen’s prime locations, are no longer packed with lunchtime regulars. Instead, urban outlets now depend on local traffic and dinner orders—which require more substantial fare than a bowl of greens. trib.al/MEW0E7a
Reposted by Implied Vol
‘The 10-day average of retail participation in non-profitable technology companies reached 23% — the highest level since a Goldman Sachs trading desk began tracking it — and rose to 25% this week.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
July 24, 2025 at 1:38 PM
‘The 10-day average of retail participation in non-profitable technology companies reached 23% — the highest level since a Goldman Sachs trading desk began tracking it — and rose to 25% this week.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Reposted by Implied Vol
Surrendering the future to China
Most Americans really have no clue how far the US is being left behind.
July 24, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Surrendering the future to China
Reposted by Implied Vol
* BLACKSTONE COO SAYS WE HAVE THE LARGEST FORWARD IPO PIPELINE SINCE 2021
* BLACKSTONE COO SAYS WE BELIEVE THE DEALMAKING PAUSE IS BEHIND US
@reuters.com $BX
* BLACKSTONE COO SAYS WE BELIEVE THE DEALMAKING PAUSE IS BEHIND US
@reuters.com $BX
July 24, 2025 at 1:28 PM
* BLACKSTONE COO SAYS WE HAVE THE LARGEST FORWARD IPO PIPELINE SINCE 2021
* BLACKSTONE COO SAYS WE BELIEVE THE DEALMAKING PAUSE IS BEHIND US
@reuters.com $BX
* BLACKSTONE COO SAYS WE BELIEVE THE DEALMAKING PAUSE IS BEHIND US
@reuters.com $BX
Reposted by Implied Vol
#CPIs for medial goods, recreation, education: Showing details behind the topline number #Inflation #econsky
July 15, 2025 at 12:47 PM
#CPIs for medial goods, recreation, education: Showing details behind the topline number #Inflation #econsky
Reposted by Implied Vol
June Employment Report: 147 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/07/june...
June Employment Report: 147 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate
From the BLS: Employment Situation Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 147,000 in June, and the unemployment rate changed little...
www.calculatedriskblog.com
July 3, 2025 at 12:41 PM
June Employment Report: 147 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/07/june...
Reposted by Implied Vol
All of the Dollar weakness so far this year is based on markets forecasting recession. But the US economy continues to surprise positively, including with today's payrolls. That means cyclical weakness in the Dollar is very vulnerable to a reversal, especially if tariffs boost inflation in H2 2025.
July 3, 2025 at 1:04 PM
All of the Dollar weakness so far this year is based on markets forecasting recession. But the US economy continues to surprise positively, including with today's payrolls. That means cyclical weakness in the Dollar is very vulnerable to a reversal, especially if tariffs boost inflation in H2 2025.
Reposted by Implied Vol
Deutsche Bank: “Foreigners are saying ‘Thanks but no thanks’ to US assets (close to zero net buying of both US bonds and equities from foreign-domiciled funds)”
Foreigners stopped financing America's huge current account deficit (--> dollar depreciates)
Foreigners stopped financing America's huge current account deficit (--> dollar depreciates)
July 3, 2025 at 6:56 AM
Deutsche Bank: “Foreigners are saying ‘Thanks but no thanks’ to US assets (close to zero net buying of both US bonds and equities from foreign-domiciled funds)”
Foreigners stopped financing America's huge current account deficit (--> dollar depreciates)
Foreigners stopped financing America's huge current account deficit (--> dollar depreciates)
Reposted by Implied Vol
AAII Folks finally jumped the fence.
Bulls 45% (+10)
Bears 33.1% (-7)
Bulls 45% (+10)
Bears 33.1% (-7)
July 3, 2025 at 10:32 AM
AAII Folks finally jumped the fence.
Bulls 45% (+10)
Bears 33.1% (-7)
Bulls 45% (+10)
Bears 33.1% (-7)
Reposted by Implied Vol
Private-equity firms raised $223 billion in the first half of this year, putting the global industry on pace for a second consecutive annual decline in fundraising, PitchBook data show.
Private-Equity Fundraising Sputters Through 2025’s First Half
U.S. buyout and growth firms are on track for their third consecutive year of fundraising declines.
on.wsj.com
July 3, 2025 at 10:46 AM
Private-equity firms raised $223 billion in the first half of this year, putting the global industry on pace for a second consecutive annual decline in fundraising, PitchBook data show.
Reposted by Implied Vol
Speaking of $$$, here's a fun story about the steep price tag attached to THE consensus trade in the market right now
Shorting the dollar is expensive b/c of the negative carry (US rates much > Japan, Swiss, eurozone)
"There’s only so long you can hold that trade"
www.ifre.com/topic-codes/...
Shorting the dollar is expensive b/c of the negative carry (US rates much > Japan, Swiss, eurozone)
"There’s only so long you can hold that trade"
www.ifre.com/topic-codes/...
June 16, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Speaking of $$$, here's a fun story about the steep price tag attached to THE consensus trade in the market right now
Shorting the dollar is expensive b/c of the negative carry (US rates much > Japan, Swiss, eurozone)
"There’s only so long you can hold that trade"
www.ifre.com/topic-codes/...
Shorting the dollar is expensive b/c of the negative carry (US rates much > Japan, Swiss, eurozone)
"There’s only so long you can hold that trade"
www.ifre.com/topic-codes/...
Reposted by Implied Vol
“Breadth is not looking great. AI/tech/narrow driving the rally. Rates + small caps singing a different tune.” www.dailychartbook.com/p/698 via @dailychartbook.bsky.social
June 11, 2025 at 2:20 PM
“Breadth is not looking great. AI/tech/narrow driving the rally. Rates + small caps singing a different tune.” www.dailychartbook.com/p/698 via @dailychartbook.bsky.social
Reposted by Implied Vol
TINA (There Is No Alternative) is the biggest ally of US reserve currency status. It's notable that with all the positive buzz around Europe, Euro longs (blue) are below their all-time highs of recent years. For the Euro to be a true alternative, Europe needs fiscal union and that moment has passed.
June 8, 2025 at 9:51 AM
TINA (There Is No Alternative) is the biggest ally of US reserve currency status. It's notable that with all the positive buzz around Europe, Euro longs (blue) are below their all-time highs of recent years. For the Euro to be a true alternative, Europe needs fiscal union and that moment has passed.
Reposted by Implied Vol
"Senate Republicans are working on a plan that would shield some NASA programs from large cuts proposed by the White House.
Officials have discussed directing around $10 billion in funding toward Artemis, NASA’s flagship exploration program, as well as the ISS, people familiar with the matter said"
Officials have discussed directing around $10 billion in funding toward Artemis, NASA’s flagship exploration program, as well as the ISS, people familiar with the matter said"
Exclusive | Senate Republicans Seek to Protect NASA Programs Targeted for Cuts
Officials have discussed directing around $10 billion in funding toward Artemis, NASA’s flagship exploration program, as well as the International Space Station, people familiar with the matter said.
www.wsj.com
June 5, 2025 at 6:54 PM
"Senate Republicans are working on a plan that would shield some NASA programs from large cuts proposed by the White House.
Officials have discussed directing around $10 billion in funding toward Artemis, NASA’s flagship exploration program, as well as the ISS, people familiar with the matter said"
Officials have discussed directing around $10 billion in funding toward Artemis, NASA’s flagship exploration program, as well as the ISS, people familiar with the matter said"
Reposted by Implied Vol
I think XOVR also owns Space X. But yours may be better
June 5, 2025 at 6:28 PM
I think XOVR also owns Space X. But yours may be better
Reposted by Implied Vol
DXYZ, a closed-end fund that owns a bunch of equity in pre-IPO tech stuff, is down 7% today. It's a proxy for SpaceX.
June 5, 2025 at 6:23 PM
DXYZ, a closed-end fund that owns a bunch of equity in pre-IPO tech stuff, is down 7% today. It's a proxy for SpaceX.
Reposted by Implied Vol
Jamie Dimon warns US bond market will ‘crack’ under pressure from rising debt
https://www.ft.com/content/8c3628f3-477f-4124-8b3f-2bb76bf567cd
https://www.ft.com/content/8c3628f3-477f-4124-8b3f-2bb76bf567cd
Jamie Dimon warns US bond market will ‘crack’ under pressure from rising debt
JPMorgan Chase chief calls on Trump administration to set country on better fiscal path
www.ft.com
May 30, 2025 at 8:30 PM
Jamie Dimon warns US bond market will ‘crack’ under pressure from rising debt
https://www.ft.com/content/8c3628f3-477f-4124-8b3f-2bb76bf567cd
https://www.ft.com/content/8c3628f3-477f-4124-8b3f-2bb76bf567cd
Reposted by Implied Vol
Those pesky courts. Hope they “settle down” soon. 🤡
Hassett: "The trade issue will have some uncertainty until the courts settle down. That's going to happen very very soon."
May 29, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Those pesky courts. Hope they “settle down” soon. 🤡
Reposted by Implied Vol
x
X has ~18m daily USA users. @bsky.app, ~1.5m.
Is it worth 20 MINS a day to proactively recruit and bring your friends, neighbors,relatives, businesses, anyone who is or could be a user, to @bsky.app?
If Bluesky ends up with more users than the others, you destabilize musk, zuck, trump.
X has ~18m daily USA users. @bsky.app, ~1.5m.
Is it worth 20 MINS a day to proactively recruit and bring your friends, neighbors,relatives, businesses, anyone who is or could be a user, to @bsky.app?
If Bluesky ends up with more users than the others, you destabilize musk, zuck, trump.
January 6, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Reposted by Implied Vol
Reposted by Implied Vol
A staggering $7.24 Trillion is now sitting in Money Market Funds, a new all-time high 🚨🚨
May 27, 2025 at 2:15 AM
A staggering $7.24 Trillion is now sitting in Money Market Funds, a new all-time high 🚨🚨
Reposted by Implied Vol
* BANK OF AMERICA CFO SAYS RESEARCH TEAM DOESNT BELIEVE WE WILL SEE A RECESSION: MEDIA CALL
@reuters.com $BAC
@reuters.com $BAC
April 15, 2025 at 11:36 AM
* BANK OF AMERICA CFO SAYS RESEARCH TEAM DOESNT BELIEVE WE WILL SEE A RECESSION: MEDIA CALL
@reuters.com $BAC
@reuters.com $BAC
Reposted by Implied Vol
MIT following Harvard's lead here
April 15, 2025 at 1:07 AM
MIT following Harvard's lead here
Reposted by Implied Vol
I think an advantage I have over lawyers in this moment is that every couple of years, at most, Congress does something incredibly stupid with the IRS and there's just no fixing it. You get very accustomed to understanding that people with power over your world don't understand it or care.
April 15, 2025 at 11:47 AM
I think an advantage I have over lawyers in this moment is that every couple of years, at most, Congress does something incredibly stupid with the IRS and there's just no fixing it. You get very accustomed to understanding that people with power over your world don't understand it or care.