Jericho Hill
@motoconomist.bsky.social
Have a PhD. Would never call myself doctor except in jest. PhD is a humbling experience where you learn that you don't know much. Recovering Economist. Supposedly know a few things on AI/RPA
Reposted by Jericho Hill
They feed us poison (inflation being all over the place)
So we take their cures (targeting an inflation range)
While depriving us of our medicine (NGDP targeting)
So we take their cures (targeting an inflation range)
While depriving us of our medicine (NGDP targeting)
BESSENT: SUGGESTS THE FED REVISE ITS 2% INFLATION TARGET TO 1.5%–2.5% OR 1%–3% U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the Federal Reserve should re-examine its inflation target as inflation declines toward 2%. He proposed shifting from a fixed target to a range, such as 1.5%–2.5%
December 23, 2025 at 4:11 PM
They feed us poison (inflation being all over the place)
So we take their cures (targeting an inflation range)
While depriving us of our medicine (NGDP targeting)
So we take their cures (targeting an inflation range)
While depriving us of our medicine (NGDP targeting)
Per the jobs report today: We continue to see a tale of two Americas. GDP growth continues to be decoupled from job creation.
I think that's a problem. Increasingly, the stock market / GDP do not reflect the experiences of the normal citizen.
I think that's a problem. Increasingly, the stock market / GDP do not reflect the experiences of the normal citizen.
December 23, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Per the jobs report today: We continue to see a tale of two Americas. GDP growth continues to be decoupled from job creation.
I think that's a problem. Increasingly, the stock market / GDP do not reflect the experiences of the normal citizen.
I think that's a problem. Increasingly, the stock market / GDP do not reflect the experiences of the normal citizen.
Reposted by Jericho Hill
it's an interesting conversation in media as well when you consider all the link rot and intentional destruction of journalistic history that occurs at the hands of corporate power
a narrow window of badly curated knowledge dictated by unreliable narrators forming the foundation of modern wisdom
a narrow window of badly curated knowledge dictated by unreliable narrators forming the foundation of modern wisdom
Wait until you hear that LLMs can only train on digitized/datafied info.
Most of the FACTS scholars use are in archives/libraries.
Less than 1% of archival colletions worldwide have been digitized.
Also: lots of facts are not even in archives, but in the attics.
Most of the FACTS scholars use are in archives/libraries.
Less than 1% of archival colletions worldwide have been digitized.
Also: lots of facts are not even in archives, but in the attics.
suspect a big reason why many academics and others who work in areas where getting facts RIGHT is key are disinterested in using LLMs for research:
they’ve tried it, they keep noticing major errors in output, and they conclude that having to verify all that doesn’t actually save them time.
they’ve tried it, they keep noticing major errors in output, and they conclude that having to verify all that doesn’t actually save them time.
December 22, 2025 at 5:08 PM
it's an interesting conversation in media as well when you consider all the link rot and intentional destruction of journalistic history that occurs at the hands of corporate power
a narrow window of badly curated knowledge dictated by unreliable narrators forming the foundation of modern wisdom
a narrow window of badly curated knowledge dictated by unreliable narrators forming the foundation of modern wisdom
Reposted by Jericho Hill
AI radically lowers the cost of polluting our information ecosystem.
Our ecosystem was already stressed & under attack across many fronts.
This unleashes new floods of slop. Slop swamps high-quality info, forcing us each to pay more for costly discernment or accept losing our way in the flood.
Our ecosystem was already stressed & under attack across many fronts.
This unleashes new floods of slop. Slop swamps high-quality info, forcing us each to pay more for costly discernment or accept losing our way in the flood.
December 15, 2025 at 11:26 PM
AI radically lowers the cost of polluting our information ecosystem.
Our ecosystem was already stressed & under attack across many fronts.
This unleashes new floods of slop. Slop swamps high-quality info, forcing us each to pay more for costly discernment or accept losing our way in the flood.
Our ecosystem was already stressed & under attack across many fronts.
This unleashes new floods of slop. Slop swamps high-quality info, forcing us each to pay more for costly discernment or accept losing our way in the flood.
Reposted by Jericho Hill
Here is a godawful joke in chart form to ruin your Christmas season 🤪🎄
December 2, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Here is a godawful joke in chart form to ruin your Christmas season 🤪🎄
Since DnD is in the news😱 I hosted 6 7 year olds (haha) for their first team DnD adventure where they fought slimes, chased a living birthday cake, and beat the big boss.
What I will remember is that they got into a team huddle to make the big decision. Also, my daughter rolled a nat 20. Chaos.
What I will remember is that they got into a team huddle to make the big decision. Also, my daughter rolled a nat 20. Chaos.
November 30, 2025 at 7:29 PM
Since DnD is in the news😱 I hosted 6 7 year olds (haha) for their first team DnD adventure where they fought slimes, chased a living birthday cake, and beat the big boss.
What I will remember is that they got into a team huddle to make the big decision. Also, my daughter rolled a nat 20. Chaos.
What I will remember is that they got into a team huddle to make the big decision. Also, my daughter rolled a nat 20. Chaos.
Reposted by Jericho Hill
Following yesterday’s story about Australia’s success tackling cervical cancer with the HPV vaccine, here’s the latest research on how vaccines can help prevent dementia, heart disease and some cancers.
The common vaccines that can prevent chronic disease or some cancers
In addition to cancer, a growing body of research has shown that vaccines can reduce the risk of developing dementia and heart conditions.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 29, 2025 at 5:16 PM
Following yesterday’s story about Australia’s success tackling cervical cancer with the HPV vaccine, here’s the latest research on how vaccines can help prevent dementia, heart disease and some cancers.
Reposted by Jericho Hill
We are a rich country. We can afford to do better for the poorest amongst us.
November 28, 2025 at 9:04 PM
We are a rich country. We can afford to do better for the poorest amongst us.
Season 3 - Indigestion 2004 PSA | Red vs. Blue
YouTube video by Rooster Teeth Animation
www.youtube.com
November 27, 2025 at 12:00 PM
Reposted by Jericho Hill
It's very... Congress. Annoyed by a problem, write a change that doesn't actually fix the problem, and is also easily evaded insofar as it does anything at all.
November 21, 2025 at 7:55 PM
It's very... Congress. Annoyed by a problem, write a change that doesn't actually fix the problem, and is also easily evaded insofar as it does anything at all.
Perfect girl dad energy.
Going to end on one of the most beautiful commercials ever made with the reminder and a call to remember the small things. They make a big difference to others.
Love all, help all.
Go Jackets.
Love all, help all.
Go Jackets.
November 21, 2025 at 6:17 PM
Perfect girl dad energy.
Risk pooling, what is it?
Cassidy: "The president is proposing that we take the $26b that would be going to insurance companies if we just do an extension and give it directly to the American people in which 100% of the money is used for them to purchase healthcare on their own terms. That makes them an informed consumer."
November 16, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Risk pooling, what is it?
Reposted by Jericho Hill
Got a bunch of response to this one, from a lot of folks doing caregiving themselves. Check out the whole thing @heardtell.bsky.social
New @heardtell.bsky.social Grown folk talk about 63m Americans doing caregiving & home healthcare w/host @four4thefire.bsky.social who has been doing just that
iTunes t.co/AD5dHUYPzJ
Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/5dkc...
YouTube youtu.be/ncH6_xyn54s
SubStack heardtell.substack.com/p/me-and-63-...
iTunes t.co/AD5dHUYPzJ
Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/5dkc...
YouTube youtu.be/ncH6_xyn54s
SubStack heardtell.substack.com/p/me-and-63-...
November 16, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Got a bunch of response to this one, from a lot of folks doing caregiving themselves. Check out the whole thing @heardtell.bsky.social
Reposted by Jericho Hill
November 14, 2025 at 8:09 PM
Reposted by Jericho Hill
Did it help first-time buyers?
Mmmh… Nope. The debate is not quite settled, but much points to the mechanism above - in line with economic theory. It likely created a capital transfer to existing owners.
Claes Backman has a paper on this btw
claesbackman.github.io/Papers/DkHou...
Mmmh… Nope. The debate is not quite settled, but much points to the mechanism above - in line with economic theory. It likely created a capital transfer to existing owners.
Claes Backman has a paper on this btw
claesbackman.github.io/Papers/DkHou...
November 9, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Did it help first-time buyers?
Mmmh… Nope. The debate is not quite settled, but much points to the mechanism above - in line with economic theory. It likely created a capital transfer to existing owners.
Claes Backman has a paper on this btw
claesbackman.github.io/Papers/DkHou...
Mmmh… Nope. The debate is not quite settled, but much points to the mechanism above - in line with economic theory. It likely created a capital transfer to existing owners.
Claes Backman has a paper on this btw
claesbackman.github.io/Papers/DkHou...
Calling a timeout to "save time" instead of letting Indy rush their field goal personnel out and kick a hurried field goal says everything about this Atlanta Failcans team.
I am sick and tired of this culture of bad coaching decisions.
I am sick and tired of this culture of bad coaching decisions.
November 9, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Calling a timeout to "save time" instead of letting Indy rush their field goal personnel out and kick a hurried field goal says everything about this Atlanta Failcans team.
I am sick and tired of this culture of bad coaching decisions.
I am sick and tired of this culture of bad coaching decisions.
On the GA PSC results, it may have been a strategic blunder to schedule these elections at the same time as municipal elections in GA. Can't wait to see the data
November 5, 2025 at 2:23 AM
On the GA PSC results, it may have been a strategic blunder to schedule these elections at the same time as municipal elections in GA. Can't wait to see the data
LLMs are useful in limited, specific contexts. Examples like this show the limitations. Unfortunately, the conversation on LLMs from important figures does not convey the fragility and limits of LLMs
Wrote up a little intervention post/explanation for my class about why using LLMs for trying to learn programming (as first time learners!) is bad and detrimental datavizf25.classes.andrewheiss.com/news/2025-11...
November 2, 2025 at 10:29 PM
LLMs are useful in limited, specific contexts. Examples like this show the limitations. Unfortunately, the conversation on LLMs from important figures does not convey the fragility and limits of LLMs
Reposted by Jericho Hill
$AVB saying only 5,000 apartment units expected to be delivered in the DC metro in 2026, the fewest seen in a long time.
October 30, 2025 at 5:41 PM
$AVB saying only 5,000 apartment units expected to be delivered in the DC metro in 2026, the fewest seen in a long time.
I was the statistical expert hired by voters who sought a change in how the PSC elects its members. A summary here:
patch.com/georgia/acro...
patch.com/georgia/acro...
October 30, 2025 at 10:13 AM
I was the statistical expert hired by voters who sought a change in how the PSC elects its members. A summary here:
patch.com/georgia/acro...
patch.com/georgia/acro...
Reposted by Jericho Hill
Anyone can type "reg x y".
The training is so you can type "reg x y, r".
The training is so you can type "reg x y, r".
October 28, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Anyone can type "reg x y".
The training is so you can type "reg x y, r".
The training is so you can type "reg x y, r".