Reposted
HISTORIC HEAT IN SOUTHERN AFRICA
4 consecutive Minimums >29C in Juan de Nova Island,French Southern Territories.
Unprecedented in climatic history of all tropical Africa south of equator.
Once again,climatic history is being rewritten.
4 consecutive Minimums >29C in Juan de Nova Island,French Southern Territories.
Unprecedented in climatic history of all tropical Africa south of equator.
Once again,climatic history is being rewritten.
January 21, 2026 at 3:35 AM
HISTORIC HEAT IN SOUTHERN AFRICA
4 consecutive Minimums >29C in Juan de Nova Island,French Southern Territories.
Unprecedented in climatic history of all tropical Africa south of equator.
Once again,climatic history is being rewritten.
4 consecutive Minimums >29C in Juan de Nova Island,French Southern Territories.
Unprecedented in climatic history of all tropical Africa south of equator.
Once again,climatic history is being rewritten.
Reposted
By @bronwenmaddox.bsky.social Note her comments on the monetisation of the presidency www.chathamhouse.org/2026/01/chat... Note it's not just about the military alliance. It's far, far deeper than that. @francescoppola.bsky.social @alexhh.bsky.social
Chatham House Director Bronwen Maddox warns ‘This does mark the end of the Western alliance'
In her annual lecture, Maddox described a world in which superpower competition threatens the peace of others, and said that US policy under President Trump amounts to a revolution.
www.chathamhouse.org
January 21, 2026 at 1:55 AM
By @bronwenmaddox.bsky.social Note her comments on the monetisation of the presidency www.chathamhouse.org/2026/01/chat... Note it's not just about the military alliance. It's far, far deeper than that. @francescoppola.bsky.social @alexhh.bsky.social
Reposted
INDONESIA ENDLESS RECORD HEAT
Another scorching hot night with Minimums up to 28C in Vanuatu and in West Papua (Indonesia)
New Records of Hottest night in history MINIMUMS:
27.2 Manokwari
26.6 Jayapura AP
Its last remaining glaciers,the Carstensz,are on its way to the extinction
Another scorching hot night with Minimums up to 28C in Vanuatu and in West Papua (Indonesia)
New Records of Hottest night in history MINIMUMS:
27.2 Manokwari
26.6 Jayapura AP
Its last remaining glaciers,the Carstensz,are on its way to the extinction
January 21, 2026 at 2:35 AM
INDONESIA ENDLESS RECORD HEAT
Another scorching hot night with Minimums up to 28C in Vanuatu and in West Papua (Indonesia)
New Records of Hottest night in history MINIMUMS:
27.2 Manokwari
26.6 Jayapura AP
Its last remaining glaciers,the Carstensz,are on its way to the extinction
Another scorching hot night with Minimums up to 28C in Vanuatu and in West Papua (Indonesia)
New Records of Hottest night in history MINIMUMS:
27.2 Manokwari
26.6 Jayapura AP
Its last remaining glaciers,the Carstensz,are on its way to the extinction
Reposted
And here is the corresponding global upper ocean heat content (0 to 700 m depth) for 2025 and set a new record too... 🔥
Data (shown as anomalies on the graph) and methods from: www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/globa...
Data (shown as anomalies on the graph) and methods from: www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/globa...
January 21, 2026 at 12:27 AM
And here is the corresponding global upper ocean heat content (0 to 700 m depth) for 2025 and set a new record too... 🔥
Data (shown as anomalies on the graph) and methods from: www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/globa...
Data (shown as anomalies on the graph) and methods from: www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/globa...
Reposted
This is the most astonishing graph of what the Trump regime has done to US science. They have destroyed the federal science workforce across the board. The negative impacts on Americans will be felt for generations, and the US might never be the same again.
www.nature.com/immersive/d4...
www.nature.com/immersive/d4...
January 20, 2026 at 10:53 PM
This is the most astonishing graph of what the Trump regime has done to US science. They have destroyed the federal science workforce across the board. The negative impacts on Americans will be felt for generations, and the US might never be the same again.
www.nature.com/immersive/d4...
www.nature.com/immersive/d4...
Reposted
“The old order is not coming back. We should not mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy.”
As a piece of prose and geopolitical analysis Carney’s Davos speech feels history-making. paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...
As a piece of prose and geopolitical analysis Carney’s Davos speech feels history-making. paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...
The Carney doctrine
Open comment thread on the PM's Davos speech
paulwells.substack.com
January 20, 2026 at 7:56 PM
“The old order is not coming back. We should not mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy.”
As a piece of prose and geopolitical analysis Carney’s Davos speech feels history-making. paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...
As a piece of prose and geopolitical analysis Carney’s Davos speech feels history-making. paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...
Reposted
The Trump disbelief that the Norwegian govt doesn't control the Nobel process is deeply indicative of his thinking. He can't conceive that an institution could (or should) be genuinely independent of coercion or political power. That's the change he represents.
Trump: "I should have gotten the Nobel prize for each war...I saved millions and millions of people...and don't let anyone tell you that Norway doesn't control the shots. It's in Norway. Norway controls the shots. It's a joke. They've lost such prestige.“
January 20, 2026 at 8:02 PM
The Trump disbelief that the Norwegian govt doesn't control the Nobel process is deeply indicative of his thinking. He can't conceive that an institution could (or should) be genuinely independent of coercion or political power. That's the change he represents.
Reposted
Here's an update on global sea-surface temperatures, as of Jan. 19, 2026. Currently they rank 4th hottest for the date.
It's been a while since the oceans have been in gobsmacking bananas uncharted territory, but with an El Nino brewing, we could easily get there later this year.
Stay tuned!
It's been a while since the oceans have been in gobsmacking bananas uncharted territory, but with an El Nino brewing, we could easily get there later this year.
Stay tuned!
January 20, 2026 at 7:08 PM
Here's an update on global sea-surface temperatures, as of Jan. 19, 2026. Currently they rank 4th hottest for the date.
It's been a while since the oceans have been in gobsmacking bananas uncharted territory, but with an El Nino brewing, we could easily get there later this year.
Stay tuned!
It's been a while since the oceans have been in gobsmacking bananas uncharted territory, but with an El Nino brewing, we could easily get there later this year.
Stay tuned!
Reposted
This is quite possibly, and worryingly, the only interesting thing to have ever come out of Davos in my adult life.
In a speech to the World Economic Forum, Mark Carney says middle powers such as Canada must accept that the rules-based international order is effectively dead, and great power rivalry with is here to stay. Key excerpt:
January 20, 2026 at 4:06 PM
This is quite possibly, and worryingly, the only interesting thing to have ever come out of Davos in my adult life.
Reposted
Heat is increasing in Central Africa:
Today it was the hottest day of 2026 in both Hemispheres with 50.0C in Australia and...
41.5C at Bokoro, CHAD
close to the national monthly record which will be threatened next days.
Coming Soon:Exceptional heat in Balkans,Greece and Turkey
Today it was the hottest day of 2026 in both Hemispheres with 50.0C in Australia and...
41.5C at Bokoro, CHAD
close to the national monthly record which will be threatened next days.
Coming Soon:Exceptional heat in Balkans,Greece and Turkey
January 20, 2026 at 6:34 PM
Heat is increasing in Central Africa:
Today it was the hottest day of 2026 in both Hemispheres with 50.0C in Australia and...
41.5C at Bokoro, CHAD
close to the national monthly record which will be threatened next days.
Coming Soon:Exceptional heat in Balkans,Greece and Turkey
Today it was the hottest day of 2026 in both Hemispheres with 50.0C in Australia and...
41.5C at Bokoro, CHAD
close to the national monthly record which will be threatened next days.
Coming Soon:Exceptional heat in Balkans,Greece and Turkey
Reposted
The Carney speech is v good.
More generally, I think it’s important that the UK & EU recognise that this is a new world. And waiting for the mid-terms or 2028 and things to get back to ‘normal’ isn’t good enough.
Need to build the capacity & resilience to be less reliant on the US for security.
More generally, I think it’s important that the UK & EU recognise that this is a new world. And waiting for the mid-terms or 2028 and things to get back to ‘normal’ isn’t good enough.
Need to build the capacity & resilience to be less reliant on the US for security.
January 20, 2026 at 6:01 PM
The Carney speech is v good.
More generally, I think it’s important that the UK & EU recognise that this is a new world. And waiting for the mid-terms or 2028 and things to get back to ‘normal’ isn’t good enough.
Need to build the capacity & resilience to be less reliant on the US for security.
More generally, I think it’s important that the UK & EU recognise that this is a new world. And waiting for the mid-terms or 2028 and things to get back to ‘normal’ isn’t good enough.
Need to build the capacity & resilience to be less reliant on the US for security.
Reposted
Further to the Carney speech - there's still the danger that we over-react to every Trump provocation and under-react to the long-term changes. There is still a world order, and world rules. These are however evolving, mostly independently of the US President.
Decent analysis, solutions still rather a work in progress not least the balancing of openness and dependencies which is admittedly an incredibly difficult question.
Here is the full text of Carney's speech. Very much worth reading.
paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...
paulwells.substack.com/p/the-carney...
January 20, 2026 at 5:46 PM
Further to the Carney speech - there's still the danger that we over-react to every Trump provocation and under-react to the long-term changes. There is still a world order, and world rules. These are however evolving, mostly independently of the US President.
Reposted
From record warmth to record cold in few days
Incredible turnaround in Northern CHINA where dozens of January warm records were broken 1 week ago.
Today 5 stations broke their January cold records (3 Mins+2 low maxes)
In particular, -33.1C at Linxi is a new all time record low
Incredible turnaround in Northern CHINA where dozens of January warm records were broken 1 week ago.
Today 5 stations broke their January cold records (3 Mins+2 low maxes)
In particular, -33.1C at Linxi is a new all time record low
January 20, 2026 at 5:19 PM
From record warmth to record cold in few days
Incredible turnaround in Northern CHINA where dozens of January warm records were broken 1 week ago.
Today 5 stations broke their January cold records (3 Mins+2 low maxes)
In particular, -33.1C at Linxi is a new all time record low
Incredible turnaround in Northern CHINA where dozens of January warm records were broken 1 week ago.
Today 5 stations broke their January cold records (3 Mins+2 low maxes)
In particular, -33.1C at Linxi is a new all time record low
Reposted
It's so exhausting to to be constantly told by American leaders that the defining policy of the 80 odd years during which the US became the most wealthy and powerful country in the history of the world was a grossly unfair failure for them.
US trade secretary Howard Lutnick really not mincing his words here at Davos: "We are here to make a v clear point: globalisation has failed the West and the USA. It's a failed policy. It's what the WEF has stood for, which is, export, offshore, find the cheapest labour in the world."
January 20, 2026 at 3:47 PM
It's so exhausting to to be constantly told by American leaders that the defining policy of the 80 odd years during which the US became the most wealthy and powerful country in the history of the world was a grossly unfair failure for them.
Reposted
"If great powers abandon even the pretense of rules & values for the unhindered pursuit of their power & interest, the gains from transactionalism will become harder to replicate" -- Carney's speech at Davos is an extended criticism of the damage Trump is doing (though he's not mentioning his name)
January 20, 2026 at 3:52 PM
"If great powers abandon even the pretense of rules & values for the unhindered pursuit of their power & interest, the gains from transactionalism will become harder to replicate" -- Carney's speech at Davos is an extended criticism of the damage Trump is doing (though he's not mentioning his name)
Reposted
I think @dandrezner.bsky.social and @profsaunders.bsky.social are two of the best analysts of Trump and their Foreign Affairs piece is predictably worth reading on the anarchy being unleashed - "nasty, brutish and shortsighted"
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
January 20, 2026 at 3:14 PM
I think @dandrezner.bsky.social and @profsaunders.bsky.social are two of the best analysts of Trump and their Foreign Affairs piece is predictably worth reading on the anarchy being unleashed - "nasty, brutish and shortsighted"
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
Reposted
One of my priors is that things are really bad if I am coming across news related to the bond market.
*DANISH PENSION FUND AKADEMIKERPENSION TO EXIT US TREASURIES
January 20, 2026 at 1:57 PM
One of my priors is that things are really bad if I am coming across news related to the bond market.
Reposted
Almost everyone's Trump handling tactic is public flattery and private delay / obfuscation. Why? Because it works better than any alternative that has been tried.
There is though a big weakness which is that this strategy can't actually be publicly communicated.
There is though a big weakness which is that this strategy can't actually be publicly communicated.
January 20, 2026 at 12:39 PM
Almost everyone's Trump handling tactic is public flattery and private delay / obfuscation. Why? Because it works better than any alternative that has been tried.
There is though a big weakness which is that this strategy can't actually be publicly communicated.
There is though a big weakness which is that this strategy can't actually be publicly communicated.
Reposted
Temperature anomalies over the last month (left), 3 months (center), and 12 months (right) across the Southern Hemisphere. Red areas denote warmer than average temperatures and blue areas colder than average.
Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...
Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...
January 20, 2026 at 11:38 AM
Temperature anomalies over the last month (left), 3 months (center), and 12 months (right) across the Southern Hemisphere. Red areas denote warmer than average temperatures and blue areas colder than average.
Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...
Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds...
Reposted
🇬🇪🇮🇷Georgia is strategically very important to the Iranian regime.
Not marginal. Not incidental.
Under Georgian Dream, Georgia has become a country Iran actively relies on to move money, goods, and political influence.
1/11
Not marginal. Not incidental.
Under Georgian Dream, Georgia has become a country Iran actively relies on to move money, goods, and political influence.
1/11
January 19, 2026 at 2:10 PM
🇬🇪🇮🇷Georgia is strategically very important to the Iranian regime.
Not marginal. Not incidental.
Under Georgian Dream, Georgia has become a country Iran actively relies on to move money, goods, and political influence.
1/11
Not marginal. Not incidental.
Under Georgian Dream, Georgia has become a country Iran actively relies on to move money, goods, and political influence.
1/11
Reposted
“Ministers have failed to grasp the underlying issue which is corporate greed. The only people who will be paying for this are customers and billpayers.” Spot on from Feargal Sharkey 👇
Water firms could be let off pollution fines as part of government overhaul
Exclusive: Campaigners claim changes will let companies ‘off the hook’, as government prepares to unveil new white paper for water industry
www.theguardian.com
January 20, 2026 at 11:05 AM
“Ministers have failed to grasp the underlying issue which is corporate greed. The only people who will be paying for this are customers and billpayers.” Spot on from Feargal Sharkey 👇
Reposted
Just went and did some extra calculations on this, and realised that during Covid (March 2020-December 2021), when the Bank of England base rate was 0.1 per cent and you could get the cheapest mortgages imaginable, student loans were rising at between 4.5 and 5.6 per cent. Basically 50 times higher
Fucking *hell*, I had not realised this
January 20, 2026 at 10:54 AM
Just went and did some extra calculations on this, and realised that during Covid (March 2020-December 2021), when the Bank of England base rate was 0.1 per cent and you could get the cheapest mortgages imaginable, student loans were rising at between 4.5 and 5.6 per cent. Basically 50 times higher
Reposted
If Labour won’t nationalise water, their “big overhaul” is a con.
Sewage in our rivers. Bills going up. Profits protected.
Public services should be in public hands.
Sewage in our rivers. Bills going up. Profits protected.
Public services should be in public hands.
January 20, 2026 at 9:09 AM
If Labour won’t nationalise water, their “big overhaul” is a con.
Sewage in our rivers. Bills going up. Profits protected.
Public services should be in public hands.
Sewage in our rivers. Bills going up. Profits protected.
Public services should be in public hands.
Reposted
Trump's "Board of Peace" isn't an international organisation; it's a personal fiefdom.
Its Charter names him personally as chair,subject only to resignation or unanimous vote of incapacity; lets him pick his successor; allows him to hire & fire the executive...
www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-ch...
Its Charter names him personally as chair,subject only to resignation or unanimous vote of incapacity; lets him pick his successor; allows him to hire & fire the executive...
www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-ch...
Full text: Charter of Trump’s Board of Peace
No mention of Gaza, which bolsters ToI's reporting that US also envisions panel helping resolve other conflicts worldwide; member countries must pay $1 billion for permanent spot
www.timesofisrael.com
January 20, 2026 at 10:48 AM
Trump's "Board of Peace" isn't an international organisation; it's a personal fiefdom.
Its Charter names him personally as chair,subject only to resignation or unanimous vote of incapacity; lets him pick his successor; allows him to hire & fire the executive...
www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-ch...
Its Charter names him personally as chair,subject only to resignation or unanimous vote of incapacity; lets him pick his successor; allows him to hire & fire the executive...
www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-ch...
Reposted
I’ve been reading Trump’s "Board of Peace Charter," and despite the name, this isn’t a multilateral institution, it’s a centralised structure built entirely around the authority of one person (Trump).
www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-ch...
www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-ch...
Full text: Charter of Trump’s Board of Peace
No mention of Gaza, which bolsters ToI's reporting that US also envisions panel helping resolve other conflicts worldwide; member countries must pay $1 billion for permanent spot
www.timesofisrael.com
January 20, 2026 at 9:26 AM
I’ve been reading Trump’s "Board of Peace Charter," and despite the name, this isn’t a multilateral institution, it’s a centralised structure built entirely around the authority of one person (Trump).
www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-ch...
www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-ch...