Aria Bercovich
@silverrain.bsky.social
I’m interested in art, meteorology, pyrogeography, behavioral economics, epidemiology, medical science, psychology, history, political science and so much more.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
The IBHS study is fascinating and grim reading. People questioning the value of veg management (zone 0) to protect communities should take a hard look at it. Preventing home ignition is a systems problem. Fix one thing (home hardening) but not the other (vegetation), you don’t get what you want.
Homes that had cleared vegetation within five feet of the walls were less likely to burn in the Eaton and Palisades fire, new investigation funded by the insurance industry finds: www.latimes.com/environment/... via @nohaggerty.bsky.social
Early adopters of 'zone zero' fared better in L.A. County fires, insurance-backed investigation finds
A new study found that in the Eaton and Palisades fires, homes that had already adopted proposed regulations on creating vegetation-free buffers were less likely to burn.
www.latimes.com
December 11, 2025 at 10:51 PM
The IBHS study is fascinating and grim reading. People questioning the value of veg management (zone 0) to protect communities should take a hard look at it. Preventing home ignition is a systems problem. Fix one thing (home hardening) but not the other (vegetation), you don’t get what you want.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
The fact that parts of Washington are seeing record-breaking flooding this week is not surprising given that 1) many locations saw record 24hr precipitation (well above 100yr ARI) & 2) near-record temperatures *simultaneously* (no snow in mtns, so all precip became runoff). #WAwx
December 12, 2025 at 12:32 AM
The fact that parts of Washington are seeing record-breaking flooding this week is not surprising given that 1) many locations saw record 24hr precipitation (well above 100yr ARI) & 2) near-record temperatures *simultaneously* (no snow in mtns, so all precip became runoff). #WAwx
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
Are you one of the 38% of U.S. households with a gas or propane stove? If so, spend the $50 needed to get an induction stove! New study: "if you use a gas stove, you’re often breathing as much nitrogen dioxide pollution indoors from your stove as you are from all outdoor sources combined.”
Switching to electric stoves can dramatically cut indoor air pollution
A new study links gas and propane stove emissions to asthma and other health risks. Transitioning to electric could reduce exposure by over 50%.
news.stanford.edu
December 5, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Are you one of the 38% of U.S. households with a gas or propane stove? If so, spend the $50 needed to get an induction stove! New study: "if you use a gas stove, you’re often breathing as much nitrogen dioxide pollution indoors from your stove as you are from all outdoor sources combined.”
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
After this weekend's racist attacks on the EU, I've written a column about the moral obligation to stop posting on X.
Oh no, wait, I wrote it *two years ago* when it was blatantly obvious what was going on and how it would get much much worse.
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Oh no, wait, I wrote it *two years ago* when it was blatantly obvious what was going on and how it would get much much worse.
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
December 7, 2025 at 10:18 PM
After this weekend's racist attacks on the EU, I've written a column about the moral obligation to stop posting on X.
Oh no, wait, I wrote it *two years ago* when it was blatantly obvious what was going on and how it would get much much worse.
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Oh no, wait, I wrote it *two years ago* when it was blatantly obvious what was going on and how it would get much much worse.
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
Evening dress
Designed by House of Worth
Circa 1898-1900
A favorite!
Source: The Met, https://buff.ly/2RSa5AQ
#victorian #victorianfashion #fashionhistory
Designed by House of Worth
Circa 1898-1900
A favorite!
Source: The Met, https://buff.ly/2RSa5AQ
#victorian #victorianfashion #fashionhistory
November 7, 2024 at 4:11 PM
Evening dress
Designed by House of Worth
Circa 1898-1900
A favorite!
Source: The Met, https://buff.ly/2RSa5AQ
#victorian #victorianfashion #fashionhistory
Designed by House of Worth
Circa 1898-1900
A favorite!
Source: The Met, https://buff.ly/2RSa5AQ
#victorian #victorianfashion #fashionhistory
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
It took a highly sophisticated Jacquard weave to create the incredibly detailed oranges that form the fabric of of this early 1890s dress. You can almost smell the citrusy peel. There so many details to observe here, the pattern matching, the cuff trim, the drama! #V&A #FashionHistory 🗃️🪡
October 8, 2025 at 11:33 AM
It took a highly sophisticated Jacquard weave to create the incredibly detailed oranges that form the fabric of of this early 1890s dress. You can almost smell the citrusy peel. There so many details to observe here, the pattern matching, the cuff trim, the drama! #V&A #FashionHistory 🗃️🪡
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
It's true that progressives valorize "ugliness." But I think this person doesn't interrogate this position enough and thus lands at the wrong conclusion.
Let me give you my perspective on ugliness. 🧵
Let me give you my perspective on ugliness. 🧵
June 20, 2025 at 9:24 PM
It's true that progressives valorize "ugliness." But I think this person doesn't interrogate this position enough and thus lands at the wrong conclusion.
Let me give you my perspective on ugliness. 🧵
Let me give you my perspective on ugliness. 🧵
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
October 30, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
ICYMI: Staggering rainfall in Vietnam in the past week. Bach Ma mountain near Hue City recorded a one-day rainfall of 1,740 mm (68.50 in). This is unofficially the second highest 24-hour rainfall ever recorded globally.
Record: 1,825 mm / 71.85 in La Réunion; January 7-8, 1966
(1/2)
Record: 1,825 mm / 71.85 in La Réunion; January 7-8, 1966
(1/2)
October 31, 2025 at 6:04 PM
ICYMI: Staggering rainfall in Vietnam in the past week. Bach Ma mountain near Hue City recorded a one-day rainfall of 1,740 mm (68.50 in). This is unofficially the second highest 24-hour rainfall ever recorded globally.
Record: 1,825 mm / 71.85 in La Réunion; January 7-8, 1966
(1/2)
Record: 1,825 mm / 71.85 in La Réunion; January 7-8, 1966
(1/2)
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
Smart move Jamaica. Climate catastrophe bond about to pay off.
“They divide Jamaica into boxes. Each box has a different central pressure that needs to be breached, so the storm needs to have a lower pressure than those boxes.”
www.cbc.ca/news/science...
“They divide Jamaica into boxes. Each box has a different central pressure that needs to be breached, so the storm needs to have a lower pressure than those boxes.”
www.cbc.ca/news/science...
November 1, 2025 at 1:52 AM
Smart move Jamaica. Climate catastrophe bond about to pay off.
“They divide Jamaica into boxes. Each box has a different central pressure that needs to be breached, so the storm needs to have a lower pressure than those boxes.”
www.cbc.ca/news/science...
“They divide Jamaica into boxes. Each box has a different central pressure that needs to be breached, so the storm needs to have a lower pressure than those boxes.”
www.cbc.ca/news/science...
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
NOAA aerial imagery is coming in. Hurricane Melissa literally turned western Jamaica from green to brown. Vegetation damage is immense — recovery will take years.
November 1, 2025 at 7:18 PM
NOAA aerial imagery is coming in. Hurricane Melissa literally turned western Jamaica from green to brown. Vegetation damage is immense — recovery will take years.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
My perhaps controversial assessment is that when you share the propaganda of your enemies to call it out or to mock it… you’re still spreading their propaganda and maybe doing exactly what they hope you’ll do.
November 1, 2025 at 11:52 AM
My perhaps controversial assessment is that when you share the propaganda of your enemies to call it out or to mock it… you’re still spreading their propaganda and maybe doing exactly what they hope you’ll do.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
This evening's update from the U.S. National Hurricane Center on #Melissa is ominous, and explicitly mentions: "catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding...extensive infrastructural damage...and potentially prolonged isolation of communities" in both Jamaica & Haiti.
October 25, 2025 at 9:27 PM
This evening's update from the U.S. National Hurricane Center on #Melissa is ominous, and explicitly mentions: "catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding...extensive infrastructural damage...and potentially prolonged isolation of communities" in both Jamaica & Haiti.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
Following today's light (to locally moderate) rainfall in northern California, a strong and persistent ridge appears likely to build across the American West and to linger for some time to come--bringing dry and much warmer than average conditions well into November. #CAwx #CAfire
October 25, 2025 at 9:57 PM
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
This extra height & heat will amplify the torrential tropical downpours. Many spots (esp hills) will see over 3 feet of rain with cascading flash flooding and mudslides. So despite winds 150+, the threat of rain flooding (and surge) may prove to be even more threatening.
October 26, 2025 at 12:11 PM
This extra height & heat will amplify the torrential tropical downpours. Many spots (esp hills) will see over 3 feet of rain with cascading flash flooding and mudslides. So despite winds 150+, the threat of rain flooding (and surge) may prove to be even more threatening.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
As major hurricane #Melissa passes over #Jamaica - moving painfully slow - it will dump biblical rainfall on the island, super-charged by both the rugged mountains and coincidentally the hottest water in all the Carbbean right now (88-89F) focused specifically around the island… 1/
October 26, 2025 at 12:11 PM
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
Let's check in and see how September temperatures have changed in the U.S. and Canada over the last 75 years. 🔥😢
October 8, 2025 at 9:34 AM
Let's check in and see how September temperatures have changed in the U.S. and Canada over the last 75 years. 🔥😢
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
When will the climate change coastal property bubble pop? A significant acceleration in coastal flooding from a lunar orbit shift (mid-2030s) will significantly stress the market. My 2024 post: "When will climate change turn life in the U.S. upside down?"
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/08/when...
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/08/when...
October 9, 2025 at 1:26 PM
When will the climate change coastal property bubble pop? A significant acceleration in coastal flooding from a lunar orbit shift (mid-2030s) will significantly stress the market. My 2024 post: "When will climate change turn life in the U.S. upside down?"
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/08/when...
yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/08/when...
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
#StormAmy boomerang loop of #Meteosat12 #MTG water vapour 6.2micron channel imagery over 36h (3-4 Oct 2025) shows extent & expansion of deep dry air intrusion, before being spun majestically around the record-breaking deep cyclone centre #VorticityInAction
October 4, 2025 at 5:16 PM
#StormAmy boomerang loop of #Meteosat12 #MTG water vapour 6.2micron channel imagery over 36h (3-4 Oct 2025) shows extent & expansion of deep dry air intrusion, before being spun majestically around the record-breaking deep cyclone centre #VorticityInAction
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
This is absolutely staggering.
Record warm ocean temperatures continued in September across the North Pacific Ocean, with a number of consequential impacts (including on downstream weather patterns).
This graph shows the average for a band across the midlatitudes for every September from 1854-2025 using @noaa.gov ERSSTv5 data.
This graph shows the average for a band across the midlatitudes for every September from 1854-2025 using @noaa.gov ERSSTv5 data.
October 5, 2025 at 11:04 AM
This is absolutely staggering.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
12 years is a long time. A good stretch. But the EF-5 “drought” has ended.
Also, this is a lesson to the Monday morning quarterbacks that this took *3 months* to confirm. Good analysis takes time. So save your hot takes immediately after an event.
Also, this is a lesson to the Monday morning quarterbacks that this took *3 months* to confirm. Good analysis takes time. So save your hot takes immediately after an event.
#FGF issues Public Information Statement (PNS) at Oct 6, 9:30 AM CDT ...Enderlin Tornado #1 Upgraded to EF-5... Link
October 6, 2025 at 3:36 PM
12 years is a long time. A good stretch. But the EF-5 “drought” has ended.
Also, this is a lesson to the Monday morning quarterbacks that this took *3 months* to confirm. Good analysis takes time. So save your hot takes immediately after an event.
Also, this is a lesson to the Monday morning quarterbacks that this took *3 months* to confirm. Good analysis takes time. So save your hot takes immediately after an event.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
Typhoon Matmo crossed the South China Sea while strengthening into a Category Two storm before making landfall in southern China.
October 6, 2025 at 3:56 PM
Typhoon Matmo crossed the South China Sea while strengthening into a Category Two storm before making landfall in southern China.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
Several models are suggesting that Imelda and Humberto could merge over the North Atlantic, as shown in this HAFS forecast.
September 30, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Several models are suggesting that Imelda and Humberto could merge over the North Atlantic, as shown in this HAFS forecast.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
A brilliant presentation of the aurora borealis high above the Earth last night following the arrival of a strong geomagnetic storm from the sun.
September 30, 2025 at 9:50 PM
A brilliant presentation of the aurora borealis high above the Earth last night following the arrival of a strong geomagnetic storm from the sun.
Reposted by Aria Bercovich
Some rare and remarkable processes are taking place this week, that we are not likely to observe for a long time!
These 2 Atlantic hurricanes are closer than any since at least the 1960s. They are now connected - in each other’s orbit, pivoting. Follow along 1/
These 2 Atlantic hurricanes are closer than any since at least the 1960s. They are now connected - in each other’s orbit, pivoting. Follow along 1/
September 30, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Some rare and remarkable processes are taking place this week, that we are not likely to observe for a long time!
These 2 Atlantic hurricanes are closer than any since at least the 1960s. They are now connected - in each other’s orbit, pivoting. Follow along 1/
These 2 Atlantic hurricanes are closer than any since at least the 1960s. They are now connected - in each other’s orbit, pivoting. Follow along 1/