@wapoliticalyapper.bsky.social
Leftist from WA. Every couple years I find myself unable to resist yapping about elections and politics. Looks like 2026 is not the year for that to change.
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#NJ11 update: New Jersey counted roughly 2,000 ballots today, and Analilia Mejia increased hear lead over Tom Malinowski from 0.8% to 1.1% (that's roughly +474 to +676).
February 7, 2026 at 12:08 AM
#NJ11 update: New Jersey counted roughly 2,000 ballots today, and Analilia Mejia increased hear lead over Tom Malinowski from 0.8% to 1.1% (that's roughly +474 to +676).
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Race is over with these vote totals, even allowing for a decent chunk of mail to still come and a high provisional rejection rate
Malinowski is winning Essex mail by 15% vs 36% in Morris
He might not even win late VBM in Essex, seems to be no sources of votes left for him
Malinowski is winning Essex mail by 15% vs 36% in Morris
He might not even win late VBM in Essex, seems to be no sources of votes left for him
February 6, 2026 at 10:56 PM
Race is over with these vote totals, even allowing for a decent chunk of mail to still come and a high provisional rejection rate
Malinowski is winning Essex mail by 15% vs 36% in Morris
He might not even win late VBM in Essex, seems to be no sources of votes left for him
Malinowski is winning Essex mail by 15% vs 36% in Morris
He might not even win late VBM in Essex, seems to be no sources of votes left for him
Feel like OH-07 could be a bit of a sleeper in a really blue year...
February 6, 2026 at 8:45 PM
Feel like OH-07 could be a bit of a sleeper in a really blue year...
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Texas - GOP Senate Polling
🟠 Paxton: 26%
🟡 Hunt: 25%
🔴 Cornyn: 22%
Cygnal / Jan 28, 2026
🟠 Paxton: 26%
🟡 Hunt: 25%
🔴 Cornyn: 22%
Cygnal / Jan 28, 2026
February 6, 2026 at 8:11 PM
Texas - GOP Senate Polling
🟠 Paxton: 26%
🟡 Hunt: 25%
🔴 Cornyn: 22%
Cygnal / Jan 28, 2026
🟠 Paxton: 26%
🟡 Hunt: 25%
🔴 Cornyn: 22%
Cygnal / Jan 28, 2026
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Rep. Mark Amodei, who is the sole Republican in Nevada's congressional delegation, will not seek reelection. Calculations by The Downballot show that Donald Trump carried his constituency, which includes Reno and dark red rural communities, 56-42 in 2024. www.the-downballot.com/p/the-downba...
Mark Amodei will retire at the end of his term - The Nevada Independent
The congressman, who has served for a decade and a half, is the only Republican in Nevada’s delegation.
thenevadaindependent.com
February 6, 2026 at 7:10 PM
Rep. Mark Amodei, who is the sole Republican in Nevada's congressional delegation, will not seek reelection. Calculations by The Downballot show that Donald Trump carried his constituency, which includes Reno and dark red rural communities, 56-42 in 2024. www.the-downballot.com/p/the-downba...
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With some new polls showing John Cornyn in *third* place in the #TXSen GOP primary, we asked the singular Eric Ostermeier of UMN's Smart Politics when was the last time such a fate befell an incumbent senator.
It's been a while: #NHSen Maurice Murphy took 3rd in a 1962 special election primary!
It's been a while: #NHSen Maurice Murphy took 3rd in a 1962 special election primary!
February 6, 2026 at 4:34 PM
"swift retraction and transparency" lmfaooooooooooooooo
February 6, 2026 at 4:15 AM
"swift retraction and transparency" lmfaooooooooooooooo
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lol did ddhq quietly rescind their call
February 6, 2026 at 3:41 AM
lol did ddhq quietly rescind their call
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This was three months ago, about the Seattle mayoral election. A propos tonight, unfortunately. Calling races should never be about being first.
Decision Desk "calling" Seattle's mayor race is quite startling & premature.
Will Harrell win? Very plausible: I'd even rather be him at this stage! But not what calls are about.
About 60% has been counted. Gap is 5.7%. Wilson needs to win what's left by 9%; she won what was counted today by 3.5%.
Will Harrell win? Very plausible: I'd even rather be him at this stage! But not what calls are about.
About 60% has been counted. Gap is 5.7%. Wilson needs to win what's left by 9%; she won what was counted today by 3.5%.
February 6, 2026 at 3:22 AM
This was three months ago, about the Seattle mayoral election. A propos tonight, unfortunately. Calling races should never be about being first.
Aside from the fact that I much prefer Mejia's political positions, I just can't fathom the electoral wisdom of nominating a guy who did insider stock trading last time he was in the House and massively underperformed his district twice (three times if you count this primary result)
February 6, 2026 at 3:23 AM
Aside from the fact that I much prefer Mejia's political positions, I just can't fathom the electoral wisdom of nominating a guy who did insider stock trading last time he was in the House and massively underperformed his district twice (three times if you count this primary result)
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Republicans bullying Tim Walz into retirement only to be met with Heaven's Stapler coming right at them
February 3, 2026 at 1:11 AM
Republicans bullying Tim Walz into retirement only to be met with Heaven's Stapler coming right at them
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THIS IS THE MOST IMPRESSIVE PERFORMANCE FOR A PROGRESSIVE CANDIDATE SINCE THE NYC PRIMARY, AND BEFORE THAT AOC
February 6, 2026 at 3:19 AM
THIS IS THE MOST IMPRESSIVE PERFORMANCE FOR A PROGRESSIVE CANDIDATE SINCE THE NYC PRIMARY, AND BEFORE THAT AOC
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Seriously it’s DDHQ made another terrible, wrong, premature call and mislead everyone with a terrible turnout estimate?
Wow, I didn’t know that, you’re just telling me now for the first time
Wow, I didn’t know that, you’re just telling me now for the first time
February 6, 2026 at 3:15 AM
Seriously it’s DDHQ made another terrible, wrong, premature call and mislead everyone with a terrible turnout estimate?
Wow, I didn’t know that, you’re just telling me now for the first time
Wow, I didn’t know that, you’re just telling me now for the first time
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February 6, 2026 at 3:15 AM
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LEAD CHANGE: Mejia, the Bernie/AOC-endorsed candidate, is now ahead of Malinowski.
And she’s been dominating Election Day ballots, so something would have to change for Malinowski to take it back.
And she’s been dominating Election Day ballots, so something would have to change for Malinowski to take it back.
February 6, 2026 at 3:15 AM
LEAD CHANGE: Mejia, the Bernie/AOC-endorsed candidate, is now ahead of Malinowski.
And she’s been dominating Election Day ballots, so something would have to change for Malinowski to take it back.
And she’s been dominating Election Day ballots, so something would have to change for Malinowski to take it back.
PASSAIC PUTS HER IN THE LEAD
February 6, 2026 at 3:13 AM
PASSAIC PUTS HER IN THE LEAD
34 votes separate the two
Yeah, Mejia's got this
Yeah, Mejia's got this
February 6, 2026 at 3:12 AM
34 votes separate the two
Yeah, Mejia's got this
Yeah, Mejia's got this
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WE HAVE AN UPSET BREWING FOLKS
February 6, 2026 at 3:05 AM
WE HAVE AN UPSET BREWING FOLKS
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SHE'S GONNA FUCKING WIN
February 6, 2026 at 3:03 AM
SHE'S GONNA FUCKING WIN
DID MEJIA JUST NET 1K OUT OF ESSEX WHAT THE FUCK?????
February 6, 2026 at 3:03 AM
DID MEJIA JUST NET 1K OUT OF ESSEX WHAT THE FUCK?????
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Kind of a crazy early/e-day vote split in #NJ11 so far:
Essex Early: Malinowski- 33%, Mejia- 23.3%
Essex E-Day: Mejia- 37.8%, Malinowski- 22.2%
Morris Early: Malinowski- 43.5%, Mejia- 17%
Morris E-Day: Mejia- 37.9%, Malinowski- 21.4%
Malinowski has definitely not won yet
Essex Early: Malinowski- 33%, Mejia- 23.3%
Essex E-Day: Mejia- 37.8%, Malinowski- 22.2%
Morris Early: Malinowski- 43.5%, Mejia- 17%
Morris E-Day: Mejia- 37.9%, Malinowski- 21.4%
Malinowski has definitely not won yet
February 6, 2026 at 2:26 AM
Kind of a crazy early/e-day vote split in #NJ11 so far:
Essex Early: Malinowski- 33%, Mejia- 23.3%
Essex E-Day: Mejia- 37.8%, Malinowski- 22.2%
Morris Early: Malinowski- 43.5%, Mejia- 17%
Morris E-Day: Mejia- 37.9%, Malinowski- 21.4%
Malinowski has definitely not won yet
Essex Early: Malinowski- 33%, Mejia- 23.3%
Essex E-Day: Mejia- 37.8%, Malinowski- 22.2%
Morris Early: Malinowski- 43.5%, Mejia- 17%
Morris E-Day: Mejia- 37.9%, Malinowski- 21.4%
Malinowski has definitely not won yet