US jobs rise, unemployment drops

Scholar power: 127.9%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Justin Wolfers	56%	58	127.9%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

57.0%

19.6 h

134

127.9%

Ranking score

0.879

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Claudia Sahm

66%

Scholar power: 66.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Claudia Sahm	54%	17	66.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

67.0%

19.0 h

78

66.8%

Ranking score

0.474

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Claudia Sahm

66%

Scholar power: 66.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Claudia Sahm	54%	17	66.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

51.0%

19.8 h

403

66.8%

Ranking score

0.378

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Justin Wolfers

127%

Scholar power: 127.9%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Justin Wolfers	56%	58	127.9%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

56.0%

20.2 h

8

127.9%

Ranking score

0.386

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Claudia Sahm Reposted by Dean Baker

97%

Scholar power: 97.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Claudia Sahm	54%	17	66.8%
🎓 Dean Baker	66%	21	30.2%
Total			97.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index + sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

47.0%

40.4 h

171

97.0%

Ranking score

0.214

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Reposted by Iikka Korhonen

37%

Scholar power: 37.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Iikka Korhonen	74%	25	37.0%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

59.0%

20.1 h

100

37.0%

Ranking score

0.186

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Ben Casselman

@bencasselman.bsky.social

As expected, the annual benchmark revisions sharply lowered estimates of job growth in earlier months. BLS now says we added just 181,000 jobs in 2025, down from the earlier estimate of 584,000. #NumbersDay

February 11, 2026 at 1:37 PM

by Justin Wolfers

127%

Scholar power: 127.9%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Justin Wolfers	56%	58	127.9%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

52.0%

20.0 h

12

127.9%

Ranking score

0.267

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Mohamed A. El‐Erian

72%

Scholar power: 72.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Mohamed A. El‐Erian	62%	15	72.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

64.0%

23.9 h

84

72.0%

Ranking score

0.183

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Mohamed A. El-Erian

@elerianm.bsky.social

Good morning and welcome to Jobs Report Day in the US.
The consensus forecasts are for a monthly employment gain of 65,000, an unemployment rate of 4.4%, and a 3.7% annual increase in average hourly earnings.
Two additional factors to note:
• There is an unusually wide gap in individual surveyed…

February 11, 2026 at 9:48 AM

by Claudia Sahm Reposted by Menzie Chinn, Aaron Sojourner

152%

Scholar power: 152.3%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Claudia Sahm	54%	17	66.8%
🎓 Menzie Chinn	85%	70	71.1%
🎓 Aaron Sojourner	30%	23	14.4%
Total			152.3%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index + sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

52.0%

35.1 h

21

152.3%

Ranking score

0.173

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Claudia Sahm

@claudia-sahm.bsky.social

"If the data revisions play out as expected tomorrow, the United States may have just had a year with essentially no net job growth, yet without being in a recession."

stayathomemacro.substack.com/p/a-year-wit...

A Year With No Jobs—But No Recession

Revisions in the January employment report may reveal that job growth stalled over the past year, even without a recession.

stayathomemacro.substack.com

February 10, 2026 at 10:40 PM

by Justin Wolfers

127%

Scholar power: 127.9%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Justin Wolfers	56%	58	127.9%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

45.0%

18.7 h

12

127.9%

Ranking score

0.188

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Aaron Sojourner Reposted by Trevon D. Logan, Stuart Shapiro

70%

Scholar power: 70.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Aaron Sojourner	30%	23	43.2%
🎓 Trevon D. Logan	32%	21	14.7%
🎓 Stuart Shapiro	28%	19	12.2%
Total			70.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index + sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

56.0%

20.4 h

10

70.0%

Ranking score

0.146

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Aaron Sojourner

@aaronsojourner.org

Happy Dec #JobsDay!

At 8:30 am ET, @usbls.bsky.social delivers one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing

Forecasts’ center:
+55K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) steady at 4.4%

Report will reflect normal, annual revision processes but fodder for disinfo:
bsky.app/profile/aaro...

Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 7d

2. Annual Revisions for BLS Jobs Numbers Expected To Be Downward: The Causes Explained static1.squarespace.com/static/5bedb...

Each year, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revises its labor market data as more complete
information becomes available. These annual revisions often attract attention and, at times, confusion
or misinterpretation. This explainer by the Friends of BLS is intended to provide background on why
such revisions occur, how they are carried out, and why they are a routine and essential part of
producing accurate labor market statistics. This explainer does not reflect advance knowledge of
forthcoming data releases or unannounced changes in BLS methods.
In the Employment Situation release for January 2025 (previously scheduled for February 6, but
postponed because of the partial government shutdown), expect BLS to make a downward
“benchmark” revision to its estimates of payroll employment from March 2024 onward. And, in
March, expect BLS to announce an increase in the number of people unemployed, which stems
entirely from two sources: the population controls and any estimated change in the number of
unemployed based on February CPS results. Neither should come as a surprise.
Rest assured, BLS’s benchmark and population control revision processes reflect long-standing,
world-class methods and commitment to accuracy. Annual revisions are a routine feature of federal
labor statistics that balance the values of timeliness and reliability. BLS uses benchmark revisions to
reconcile early monthly employment estimates based on quick-to-arrive but noisy surveys with slowerto-arrive, more-reliable administrative records. Similarly, population estimates (needed for the
unemployment and labor force participation rates) are not available to BLS in real time, so it changes
them once a year, when more accurate numbers arrive from the Census Bureau.

February 11, 2026 at 1:21 PM

by Claudia Sahm Reposted by Iikka Korhonen, Aaron Sojourner

118%

Scholar power: 118.2%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Claudia Sahm	54%	17	66.8%
🎓 Iikka Korhonen	74%	25	37.0%
🎓 Aaron Sojourner	30%	23	14.4%
Total			118.2%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index + sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

49.0%

39.9 h

48

118.2%

Ranking score

0.129

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Claudia Sahm

@claudia-sahm.bsky.social

WH keeps 'pumping up' payrolls for tomorrow. Here's why. Revisions could wipe out all job growth last year. Zero. zip. nada.

(Note, downward revisions start in 2024, so not a simple politics story.)

February 10, 2026 at 5:54 PM

by Justin Wolfers

127%

Scholar power: 127.9%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Justin Wolfers	56%	58	127.9%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

46.0%

40.0 h

297

127.9%

Ranking score

0.172

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Justin Wolfers

@justinwolfers.bsky.social

"So what does the job market data say to you?"

"It says that we're underperforming right now... The thing that matters most to people's lives is the unemployment rate. Can you find work? And that was as low as 3½% a couple of years ago. It's now up around 4½%."

February 10, 2026 at 5:46 PM

Reposted by Iikka Korhonen

37%

Scholar power: 37.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Iikka Korhonen	74%	25	37.0%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

51.0%

19.6 h

92

37.0%

Ranking score

0.124

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈

@josephpolitano.bsky.social

The US continues losing blue-collar jobs—year-on-year job losses have hit 170k as manufacturing, transportation, & mining industries lose jobs at a rapid pace while growth in construction remains low

February 11, 2026 at 2:09 PM

Reposted by Fabián Muniesa, David Darmofal

40%

Scholar power: 40.4%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Fabián Muniesa	42%	34	24.5%
🎓 David Darmofal	48%	11	15.9%
Total			40.4%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

51.0%

36.0 h

274

40.4%

Ranking score

0.099

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Aaron Rupar

@atrupar.com

Trump: "I've cut hundreds of thousands of jobs"

February 10, 2026 at 9:44 PM

by Claudia Sahm

66%

Scholar power: 66.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Claudia Sahm	54%	17	66.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

61.0%

21.0 h

0

66.8%

Ranking score

0.095

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Mohamed A. El‐Erian

72%

Scholar power: 72.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Mohamed A. El‐Erian	62%	15	72.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

62.0%

23.9 h

25

72.0%

Ranking score

0.094

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Mohamed A. El-Erian

@elerianm.bsky.social

…estimates, spanning from a job loss of 10,000 to a gain of nearly 140,000 jobs.
•There is an equally broad spectrum of opinions regarding the composition of this slowdown—specifically, the balance between supply-side constraints and cooling demand.
#economy #jobs #employment #unemployment #markets

February 11, 2026 at 9:49 AM

by Trevon D. Logan

44%

Scholar power: 44.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Trevon D. Logan	32%	21	44.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

57.0%

17.6 h

40

44.0%

Ranking score

0.091

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Trevon Logan

@trevondlogan.bsky.social

Everyone thinking about jobs numbers needs to follow @aaronsojourner.org because he is the BEST out there.

Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 20h

Happy Dec #JobsDay!

At 8:30 am ET, @usbls.bsky.social delivers one of the most-important signals abt how economy is changing

Forecasts’ center:
+55K jobs
Unemployment rate (UR) steady at 4.4%

Report will reflect normal, annual revision processes but fodder for disinfo:
bsky.app/profile/aaro...

Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 7d

2. Annual Revisions for BLS Jobs Numbers Expected To Be Downward: The Causes Explained static1.squarespace.com/static/5bedb...

February 11, 2026 at 4:11 PM

by Claudia Sahm

66%

Scholar power: 66.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Claudia Sahm	54%	17	66.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

55.0%

35.0 h

16

66.8%

Ranking score

0.082

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Aaron Sojourner

43%

Scholar power: 43.2%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 70%, Business 20%, Political science 10%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Aaron Sojourner	30%	23	43.2%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

65.0%

20.3 h

5

43.2%

Ranking score

0.077

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Aaron Sojourner

@aaronsojourner.org

Also labor market has weakened over the last year.

Hires rate like 2011 is particularly worrisome, falling since Fed's hikes (figure).

Jobs have been stable for employed but tough for small share unemployed & wage growth has decelerated.

Today will revise 2024-'25 job growth ⬇️.

February 11, 2026 at 1:24 PM

Add to Home Screen

Light up
your news

US jobs rise, unemployment drops

Add to Home Screen

Light upyour news

US jobs rise, unemployment drops

Scholar power: 127.9%

Scholar power: 66.8%

Scholar power: 66.8%

Scholar power: 127.9%

Scholar power: 97.0%

Scholar power: 37.0%

Scholar power: 127.9%

Scholar power: 72.0%

Scholar power: 152.3%

Scholar power: 127.9%

Scholar power: 70.0%

Scholar power: 118.2%

Scholar power: 127.9%

Scholar power: 37.0%

Scholar power: 40.4%

Scholar power: 66.8%

Scholar power: 72.0%

Scholar power: 44.0%

Scholar power: 66.8%

Scholar power: 43.2%

Sign in to Lightnews

Sign up to start reading

Connect Bluesky

Connect with Bluesky

Light up
your news