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Klaus H. Goetz

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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
💥Out now: The introduction to the Special Issue "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies"

"Updating cleavage theory for the twenty-first century" by @dpzollinger.bsky.social & @davidattewell6.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Updating cleavage theory for the twenty-first century" by Delia Zollinger and David Attewell. Published online first in West European Politics.
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Robert Huber

wepsocial.bsky.social
Structural unemployment drives support for income redistribution in Europe, while cyclical unemployment shows no general effect.

👉 Discover how welfare state size moderates the effect of cyclical unemployment in the latest study by Ivan Petrúšek & Kristyna Basna

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Structural and cyclical unemployment and redistribution support in Europe: the moderating role of welfare state size" by Ivan Petrúšek and Kristyna Basna. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 3, displaying point estimates and confidence intervals for the effects of contextual variables. Figure 4, displaying marginal effects of cyclical unemploymemt at different levels of average public social expenditure.
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Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz, Vincent Tiberj, Swen Hutter

davidattewell6.bsky.social
2/@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I set out 3 puzzles: How does a new cleavage work without strong intermediary orgs? How to reconcile cleavage theory w fragmented party systems? How are structural divides (e.g. ed) mobilized indirectly in political conflict today?

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Updating cleavage theory for the twenty-first century
Contemporary cleavage research has linked ‘socio-cultural’ conflicts mobilised by new left and far right parties to structural divides in post-industrial knowledge societies. Contributions in this ...
www.tandfonline.com
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Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz, Cas Mudde, Ruth Dassonneville , and 6 more

davidattewell6.bsky.social
@dpzollinger.bsky.social and I are thrilled "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies" is out as an SI at @wepsocial.bsky.social!

Its papers explore the foundations of the cleavage pitting new left against radical right parties, and how it compares to the classic cleavages of Lipset & Rokkan:

🧵⬇️
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
Online first:

"Women’s descriptive representation in multi-level political systems: (almost) no pyramids found"

The new research note by @adamgendzwill.bsky.social & Stanislaw Mazur

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the research note "Women's descriptive representation in multi-level political systems: (almost) no pyramids found" by Adam Gendzwill and Stanislaw Mazur. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying different patterns of the descriptive representation of women at national, regional, and local levels. Figure 2, displaying (a) levels of women's descriptive representation in two-tier countries (left panel), and (b) inter-level gaps in women's representation in three-tier countries (right panel). Tables 1 (upper panel) and 2 (lower panel), presenting the assignment of countries with three or two levels of political representation to specific patterns of women's descriptive representation.
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Mikael Persson

wepsocial.bsky.social
What matters more to politicians: the quantity or quality of public opinion signals?

Find out in the new article by @bart-maes.bsky.social Stefaan Walgrave Emmi Verleyen Frédéric Varone @annerasmussen.bsky.social & @professormpersson.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "What matters more to politicians: the quantity or quality of public opinion signals?" by Bart Maes, Stefaan Walgrave, Emmi Verleyen, Frédéric Varone, Anne Rasmussen and Mikael Persson. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying average (reversed) importance of each public opinion criterion aggregated across countries. Figure 3, displaying the frequency distribution of the quantity vs. quality public opinion criteria scale. Figure 4, displaying predicted values of politicians' ranking of the criteria.
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
Part of the Symposium: European Parliament Elections 2024, guest edited by @simonhix.bsky.social
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Simon Hix, Robert Huber, Simon Usherwood

wepsocial.bsky.social
What explains the rising turnout in recent EP elections?

@filipkostelka.bsky.social & @evakrejcova.bsky.social find that it's the strength of Eurosceptic parties at the national level. The more seats they hold in national parliament, the more mobilizing the EP election is

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Awakening the sleeping giant: rising Euroscepticism and turnout in European Parliament elections" by Filip Kostelka and Eva Krejcova. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying voter turnout in EP elections between 1979 and 2024. Figure 2, displaying Euroscepticism in national elections between 1974 and 2024. Figure 3, displaying predicted turnout at different levels of euroscepticism in national parliament.
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Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz, Ruth Dassonneville, Anne Rasmussen

bart-maes.bsky.social
Politicians don’t just care how many people hold an opinion — they care how good that opinion is. In our new (open-access) article in West European Politics, based on survey data from 900+ politicians across 11 countries, we show: quality > quantity. Read more: doi.org/10.1080/0140...
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
💥 Online first:

"Easier said than done: the European Parliament’s entrepreneurs in the treaty change discourse"

by @karolinaboronska.bsky.social & @krotky.bsky.social

🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Easier said than done: the European Parliament’s entrepreneurs in the treaty change discourse" by Karolina Borońska-Hryniewiecka and Jan Kotýnek Krotký. Published online first in West European Politics. Table 2, displaying the distribution of entrepreneurial positions in the sample. Figure 1, displaying the distribution of entrepreneur positions within political groups. Figure 2, displaying the distribution of entrepreneur positions by the level of country decentralisation.
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Davide Vampa

wepsocial.bsky.social
New article by @davidevampa.bsky.social

👉 Regional elections across Western Europe are becoming more unstable, often mirroring national turbulence. But the link weakens where regionalist parties are strong, institutions are powerful, or regions are more prosperous.

🔗 doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "From nations to regions: electoral volatility in European multi-level politics" by Davide Vampa. Published online first in West European Politics. 📊 Figure 1 Regional elections in Europe often mirror national instability – but only for national parties. ✅ RTV (national parties) volatility closely follows GE volatility ❌ RSV (regional parties) volatility depends on past regional dynamics, not national ones 👉 Multi-level de-institutionalisation is real, but region-specific politics follow their own path. 📊 Figure 3 – Regionalist parties and electoral volatility Across Europe, regional elections often reflect national volatility – but the association is weaker where regionalist parties are strong. 🔹 When regionalist parties are weak → national volatility is more clearly echoed regionally 🔹 When they are strong → the link is much less evident 👉 Regionalist strength is linked to weaker connections between national and regional electoral turbulence. 📊 Figure 7 – National volatility and regional disparities Instability in national elections is more strongly reflected in regional election outcomes in poorer regions. In more prosperous regions, the association weakens or disappears. (And as Figure 5 shows, strong regional institutions also reduce the connection with national turbulence.) 👉 Economic prosperity & institutional strength condition how national and regional volatility are linked.
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Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz

krotky.bsky.social
Curious about who in the #EuropeanParliament is driving (or blocking) the EU #Treatychange (reform)? Together with @karolinaboronska.bsky.social, we’ve just published a new open-access article in #WestEuropeanPolitics. tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
https://tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…
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by Davide Vampa — Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz

davidevampa.bsky.social
6/📌 Key takeaway: Electoral volatility is increasingly a multi-level phenomenon.

National instability is often reflected in regional arenas - but regional parties, institutional autonomy & economic prosperity can act as buffers

Full article (open-access) here ⬇️
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
From nations to regions: electoral volatility in European multi-level politics
European politics has experienced increasing turbulence, with much focus on the volatility of national elections. However, it remains unclear whether such instability extends to the sub-national le...
www.tandfonline.com
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by Davide Vampa — Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz, Davide Vampa

davidevampa.bsky.social
🚨 New article out in @wepsocial.bsky.social !
📄 From nations to regions: electoral volatility in European multi-level politics
Open access👉 doi.org/10.1080/01402382.2025.2557768

National politics in Europe is growing more electorally unstable - does this volatility also reach the regions? Thread 🧵
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Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz

vincenzoemanuele.bsky.social
🎯New publication out in @wepsocial.bsky.social
'Lipset and Rokkan meet data': a 🧵on our study (with Bruno Marino) on the electoral structuring of traditional cleavages (1870–1967) across 17 Western European countries 👇

Read the full article (open access):
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com
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Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz, Jochen Müller, Robert Huber , and 1 more

ankuepfer.bsky.social
👏Applause offers a revealing lens on party competition! In a recent article @wepsocial.bsky.social (w/@[email protected]), we study how applause reflects party and coalition unity, ideological agreement, political exclusion, issue ownership, and the electoral cycle! (1/6)
Cover page of the article: "The sound of party competition: how applausereflects unity, disagreement, and the electoralcycle in parliamentsAndreas Küpfera , Jochen Müllerb and Christian Steckeraatechnical university of Darmstadt, Darmstadt, Germany; buniversität Greifswald, Greifswald,GermanyABSTRACTThis article studies how applause reflects the dynamics of party competitionduring parliamentary debates. While legislative scholars often emphasise theselection of speakers and content of debates, spontaneous reactions from fel-low MPs remain understudied. Analysing 750,000 instances of applause in thedebates of the German Bundestag (1976–2020), it was found that applausepatterns, although largely spontaneous and immediate by nature, systemati-cally reflect incentives from party competition such as signalling party andcoalition unity, ideological (dis)agreement, and ostracising specific parties.Applause also indicates issue emphasis, especially near elections. The findingssuggest that applause can serve as a nuanced and abundant indicator in thestudy of party competition, complementing more static measures derived frommanifestos and expert judgements. By analysing applause patterns over fourdecades, this study opens new avenues to explore nonverbal reactions asmarkers of party competition in other parliaments."
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by Uwe Puetter — Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz

uwepuetter.bsky.social
Read about the intricate politics of moving decisions on EU climate policy between the European Council and the Council depending on political circumstances in our @wepsocial.bsky.social piece on the EU core executive and the Green Deal
@cterranova.bsky.social

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz, Jochen Müller, Marc Debus , and 3 more

wepsocial.bsky.social
💥Online first:

"The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments"

by @ankuepfer.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social & @pluggedchris.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the research article "The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments" by Andreas Küpfer, Jochen Müller and Christian Stecker. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying the occurences of different types of reactions in the German Bundestag between 1976 and 2020. Figure 3, displaying the heatmap of predicted applause per 1000 words based on a Poission regression model. Figure 5, displaying expected applause for interaction terms government and opposition.
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
💥OUT NOW! Volume 48, Issue 7 (2025)

Lots of superb research on:
👉different parties
👉social democracy
👉support for democracy
👉regional coalitions
👉populism & radical right parties
👉group appeals
👉elections: Belgium 2024

www.tandfonline.com/toc/fwep20/4...
West European Politics
Volume 48, Issue 7 of West European Politics
www.tandfonline.com
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Mikael Persson

wepsocial.bsky.social
🌟Online first:

"Ideological bias in policy implementation: public opinion and policy outcomes in 43 democracies"

Research Note by @professormpersson.bsky.social & Anders Sundell

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the research note "Ideological bias in policy implementation: public opinion and policy outcomes in 43 democracies" by Mikael Persson and Anders Sundell. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 2, displaying triangles of representation, showing congruence (y-axis) and under-/over-provision of policy (x-axis). Figure 3, displaying public support for and implementation of leftist and rightist proposals. Figure 4, displaying policy provision and congruence. Leftist and TAN proposals are the most under-provided relative to public support.
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
💫Online first:

"How we think about the political stances of others: evidence on projection from Canada, Germany, and the UK"

by @seonghuilee.bsky.social & @avkevins.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "How we think about the political stances of others: evidence on projection from Canada, Germany, and the UK" by Seonghui Lee and Anthony Kevins. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 2, displaying perceived ideological distances when a hypotheical individual does and does not share partisanship. Figure 3, displaying perceived ideological distances by the number of shared socio-demographic characteristics. Figure 4, displaying the substantive effect of socio-demographic characteristics on perceived ideological proximity.
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
📉 New study by Veronika Patkós & Bendegú Plesz: Political polarisation weakens democratic accountability across 28 European democracies.

Both ideological & partisan divides reduce citizens’ ability to hold leaders accountable.

🔗 Read more: doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Does political polarisation undermine democratic accountability? Evidence from 28 European democracies" by Veronika Patkós and Bendegúz Plesz. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying the relationship between partisan and ideological polarisation and accountability. Figure 2, displaying the relationship between partisan polarisation and accountability over time in six countries. Figure 3, displaying the predicted relationship between types of polarisation and accountability.
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
New expert survey on prime ministerial power in 21 parliamentary democracies by @alexmarland.bsky.social Eoin O'Malley & @galapalavicini.bsky.social

‼️Findings challenge assumptions about growing executive centralization and trends toward presidentialism ‼️

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the research note "The power of prime ministers: evidence from 21 parliamentary democracies" by Alex Marland, Eoin O'Malley and Gala Palavicini. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying the distribution of prime ministerial power over policy (2002-2023). Figure 2, displaying the distribution of prime ministerial power to hire and fire ministers (2002-2023). Figure 3, displaying the distribution of prime ministerial styles, collegial or controlling (2002-2023).
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
💥Online first:

"Communicating a common front: mainstream party rhetoric and affective polarisation towards the radical right"

by @markuskollberg.bsky.social & @ivobantel.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Communicating a common front: mainstream party rhetoric and affective polarisation towards the radical right" by Markus Kollberg and Ivo Bantel. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying the means of elite-level negative rhetoric for target and origin parties (re-scaled to 0-10) and affective polarisation scores in the public. Figure 4, displaying the means of skalometer outcome across treatment conditions. Figure 5, displaying the means of feeling thermometer outcome across treatment conditions.
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
Part of the Symposium "Competition & Cooperation at the Local Level", guest edited by @simonotjes.bsky.social @martingross.bsky.social @cerpintaxt.bsky.social & @christinajuen.bsky.social
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Klaus H. Goetz, Robert Huber, Robert Klemmensen

wepsocial.bsky.social
Online first: "How local is decentral politics? Variations in the supply of municipal policies" by Christoffer Florczak, Thor Bech Schrøder, Ulrik Kjaer & @robertklemmensen.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "How local is decentral politics? Variations in the supply of municipal policies" by Christoffer Florczak, Thor Bech Schrøder, Ulrik Kjaer and Robert Klemmensen. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying within party variation in positions across geographical units in 2013 election. Figure 2, displaying within party variation in positions across geographical units in 2017 election. Figure 3, displaying variation in party space within municipalities.
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
Part of the forthcoming Special Issue "Cleavage Politics in Western Democracies", guest edited by @dpzollinger.bsky.social & @davidattewell6.bsky.social
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by Klaus H. Goetz — Reposted by: Swen Hutter

wepsocial.bsky.social
💥 Online first in West European Politics:

"Cleavage theory meets civil society: a framework and research agenda"

by @mierkezat.bsky.social @eborbath.bsky.social & @swenhutter.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Cleavage theory meets civil society: a framework and research agenda" by Alex Mierke-Zatwarnicki, Endre Borbáth and Swen Hutter. Published online first in West European Politics. Table 1, displaying the role of civil society across stages of cleavage development. Figure 2, displaying the members of civil society organisations among the electorate of political parties in Austria, France, Germany, The Netherlands, and Switzerland.
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
Online first:

"Stuck on the stairway of change: the EU’s enlargement and security and defence policies post 2022"

by @antoanetadl.bsky.social Seda Gürkan & Joachm Koops

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Stuck on the stairway of change: the EU’s enlargement and security and defence policies post 2022" by Antoaneta L. Dimitrova, Seda Gürkan and Joachim Koops. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 1, displaying the "stairway of change".
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by Klaus H. Goetz

wepsocial.bsky.social
Online first:

"Pathways to politics: a sequence analysis of political apathy and involvement"

by @sjungkunz.bsky.social l & Paul Marx

doi.org/10.1080/0140...
Abstract of the article "Pathways to politics: a sequence analysis of political apathy and involvement" by Sebastian Jungkunz and Paul Marx. Published online first in West European Politics. Figure 4, displaying predicted probabilities of cluster membership by parental covariates (Germany). Figure 5, displaying estimated probabilities of late involvement and independents by individual level covariates (Germany). Figure 6, displaying the sequence distribution and sequence frequency by cluster (UK, age 11–15).
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