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Michael D. McDonald

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Michael P. McDonald is an American political scientist. He is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Florida… more

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Political science 57%
Economics 20%
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald, Joanna Bryson, Brendan Nyhan

vt-vagabond.bsky.social
There’s a lot in here that deserves a pull quote, but this is the most egregious. I need people to recognize the gravity of the situation here in Chicago;
SOUTH SIDE WEEKLY Donate "The ones that are getting out are coming home to no home," Watson said. According to her, after the raid occurred, building management stole or threw out residents belongings, including visas and important documents. ICIRR is still trying to determine the identities of all the people detained in the raid. Castro said that the organization usually can do that by following up with family members or loved ones. "In this instance, there was nobody left to work with," she said. The only detainee name they're sure of is that of a person who passed their Venezuelan passport to a neighbor as they were being taken away.
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald, Norbert Schwarz, Peter Thorne , and 15 more

johnpfaff.bsky.social
Um, ICE just coldly shot an unarmed PRIEST in the head w a pepper ball when he (and everyone around him) clearly posed no threat.

For the crime of … complaining about government policy.

Core 1A speech.

With cameras rolling, they’re sniping priests for sport.
flglchicago.bsky.social
Kurt @flglchicago.bsky.social · 8h
Here’s video of the incident
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Pressing the advantage to regain lost territory elsewhere would be nice
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Picking to fight your battles on the most friendly terrain for your side is good strategy
fritschner.bsky.social
Aaron Fritschner @fritschner.bsky.social · 7h
“It’s true, all of it… it’s all true.”
Politico: Republicans in disarray MSNBC: Republicans are cucks NYT: health care is awesome Daily Beast: lol Republicans’ polls suck
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald

ufelectionlab.bsky.social
With thanks to support from @davesredist.bsky.social we've made the VEST Florida 2022 and 2024 precinct shapefiles available to the public election.lab.ufl.edu/data-archive...
» Florida UF Election Lab
election.lab.ufl.edu
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald, Leah Stokes

fritschner.bsky.social
“It’s true, all of it… it’s all true.”
Politico: Republicans in disarray MSNBC: Republicans are cucks NYT: health care is awesome Daily Beast: lol Republicans’ polls suck
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Crummy time to be traveling by air. My condolences to those stuck at airports www.cnn.com/2025/10/07/u...
Delays spread to major airports across the country, as the seventh day of government shutdown impacts travelers | CNN
There are not going to be enough air traffic controllers in the tower at Chicago’s O’Hare International Airport Tuesday night, the Federal Aviation Administratoin is warning. In Nashville, so many are...
www.cnn.com
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald, Cas Mudde, Jan W. Mueller , and 22 more

flglchicago.bsky.social
Here’s video of the incident
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald, Joanna Bryson, Jan W. Mueller , and 12 more

jackjenkins.me
Gonna be thinking about this lede for a minute.
(RNS) — Last month, the Rev. David Black stood in front of a Chicago-area U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement facility and spread his arms wide. Adorned in all black and wearing a clerical collar, the pastor looked up at a group of masked, heavily armed ICE agents on the roof and began to pray. “I invited them to repentance,” Black, a minister in the Presbyterian Church (USA), said in an interview. “I basically offered an altar call. I invited them to come and receive that salvation, and be part of the kingdom that is coming.” But when Black began to lower his arms a few seconds later, the agents responded to his spiritual plea by firing pepper balls, or chemical agents that cause eye irritation and respiratory distress, video footage shows. One struck Black in the head, exploding into a puff of white pepper smoke and forcing him to his knees. Fellow demonstrators rushed to his aid, and as the pastor rubbed his face in pain, the agents continued to fire. “We could hear them laughing,” Black said.
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald, Victor Galaz, Brian Keegan , and 2 more

carlquintanilla.bsky.social
NVIDIA and OpenAi:

Concerns that their “increasingly complex and interconnected web of business transactions is artificially propping up the trillion-dollar AI boom.“

@bloomberg.com $NVDA 👀
www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Trump: we don’t need to pay furloughed federal workers

Federal workers: we don’t have to work for no pay
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 10h
“.. flights are being delayed this evening at Nashville International Airport due to “staffing,” with average arrival delays of 126 minutes as of 5:30 p.m.”

@politico.com #shutdown
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald

carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“.. flights are being delayed this evening at Nashville International Airport due to “staffing,” with average arrival delays of 126 minutes as of 5:30 p.m.”

@politico.com #shutdown
www.politico.com/news/2025/10...
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
A reminder that if your daughter has three dolls ICE is coming to detain one of them so she will have no more than two
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 10h
“.. The strong growth usually seen due to shipments of holiday merchandise, “we are not seeing that,” said Dale Rogers ..

@cnbc.com #FreightRecession
www.cnbc.com/2025/10/07/s...
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald

democracydocket.com
BREAKING: The GOP operative who drew Texas’ gerrymandered map testified that, at a White House meeting, he saw a draft of a letter written by DOJ officials urging the state to redistrict.
RNC-Hired Mapmaker Denies Using Racial Data in Texas Gerrymander, Sparks Debate
Read more here.
www.democracydocket.com
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald

carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“.. The strong growth usually seen due to shipments of holiday merchandise, “we are not seeing that,” said Dale Rogers ..

@cnbc.com #FreightRecession
www.cnbc.com/2025/10/07/s...
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Folks...you elected Republicans to break government and they broke it
kaine.senate.gov
Senator Tim Kaine @kaine.senate.gov · 10h
It’s day seven of the government shutdown. For an entire week now, Republicans have refused to reach a bipartisan agreement to fund our government and protect health care for American citizens. They’re failing their own constituents.
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald

kaine.senate.gov
It’s day seven of the government shutdown. For an entire week now, Republicans have refused to reach a bipartisan agreement to fund our government and protect health care for American citizens. They’re failing their own constituents.
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Differential privacy. Look it up online for more depth. Basically adding noise to the data to protect individuals’ responses to the census.
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Sometimes that data is censored for at-risk people like judges, law enforcement, and victims of domestic abuse. Depends on the state

by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Getting him to scale back the added noise was a victory, of sorts
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
I convinced the Census Bureau not to apply the privacy formal to the state level counts for apportionment because I convinced them that would be a constitutional violation. So no states were inappropriately awarded congressional districts because of the privacy formula
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
I served on the National Academy of Sciences advisory committee to the Census Bureau on the privacy formula and the biggest concern was it resulted in undercounting communities of color — and it was the Biden administration that implemented it for the 2021 data release
noupside.bsky.social
Renee DiResta @noupside.bsky.social · 14h
“Who was president in 2020?” is the question of our time
Senator Jim Banks V @SenatorBanks Follow g.. The 2020 Census was a fraud. The Biden admin used a shady "privacy" formula that scrambled the data and miscounted 14 states. It included illegal immigrants and handed Democrats extra seats. Americans deserve a fair count and l'm fighting to fix it. Zinited Statcs SScnate MASHNORON DEYNN October 6, 2025 an. Thow arewutn Socretary U.S. Department of Commerce Washington, DXC 20230 Dear Secretary Lutaick: I urge you to investigate and correct erroes from the 2020 Census that handed disproportionntd political power to Democrats and illogal alicns. The Census Burcau adoptod a now and opaque voting districts. As preparod by the Biden administration, the 2020 Censas roports miscountod the population of fourteen states, ' wrongly allocating six congressional scats aod Electoral xx conwuu tmora uy, toc taroro tu mot đoo tnn Cunu lc pung t imber of votine districts. And the reoorts de aniovety inchaded ilecnl nhens widhout track those aliens' citiz enship status, If left uncorrected, these erroes will coetinue diluting the political power of American citizens. Consus data plays a crucial role in allocating political roprescntation and goverment funding Under the Constitution, cach state gets Congressional represcotutives and Electoeal College votes- based on "the whole number of persons" within the state." The number of persoes is in tum clabaabod by a consttubocalty-mandalcd dcccacaal ccavas. Pcual agcco nely on census data to allocate billions of dollars in federal funding, much of which hinges ee opulation. And states use consus data to deaw congrossicnal and voting districts, »hich the The it eiy of tie soaren alie n tor dur at ce hor inc ae oam toy ee n nght wilbout statsica ly signilicant ciroo. Diffcrcntial privacy is opaque and liable to mistakcn count totals. Sure cnough, the 2020 Ccnsus ovarocunted the noculation in cicht states and undercounted it in six." Tihe most extrcmi andercount was Arkansas, at 5.04%, and the larg…
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
Put the Democratic candidate on the blockchain
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
I’m sorry. Only the Trump administration is allowed to dox judges and Democrats
atrupar.com
Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 17h
Bondi claims that the ICEBlock app was "criminal in that people were posting where ICE officers lived"
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald

prospect.org
Trump’s Treasury secretary announced he would not penalize entities who fail to report beneficial owners of shell corporations, allowing oligarchs to continue to hide about a trillion dollars in uncollected taxes each year. Robert Kuttner reports:
trib.al/y5hKLzJ
How Scott Bessent Enables Oligarchy
The Treasury secretary has gutted the most important anti-corruption reform legislation in a generation—the 2020 Corporate Transparency Act.
trib.al
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald, Kevin Carey, David R. Miller , and 3 more

noupside.bsky.social
“Who was president in 2020?” is the question of our time
Senator Jim Banks V @SenatorBanks Follow g.. The 2020 Census was a fraud. The Biden admin used a shady "privacy" formula that scrambled the data and miscounted 14 states. It included illegal immigrants and handed Democrats extra seats. Americans deserve a fair count and l'm fighting to fix it. Zinited Statcs SScnate MASHNORON DEYNN October 6, 2025 an. Thow arewutn Socretary U.S. Department of Commerce Washington, DXC 20230 Dear Secretary Lutaick: I urge you to investigate and correct erroes from the 2020 Census that handed disproportionntd political power to Democrats and illogal alicns. The Census Burcau adoptod a now and opaque voting districts. As preparod by the Biden administration, the 2020 Censas roports miscountod the population of fourteen states, ' wrongly allocating six congressional scats aod Electoral xx conwuu tmora uy, toc taroro tu mot đoo tnn Cunu lc pung t imber of votine districts. And the reoorts de aniovety inchaded ilecnl nhens widhout track those aliens' citiz enship status, If left uncorrected, these erroes will coetinue diluting the political power of American citizens. Consus data plays a crucial role in allocating political roprescntation and goverment funding Under the Constitution, cach state gets Congressional represcotutives and Electoeal College votes- based on "the whole number of persons" within the state." The number of persoes is in tum clabaabod by a consttubocalty-mandalcd dcccacaal ccavas. Pcual agcco nely on census data to allocate billions of dollars in federal funding, much of which hinges ee opulation. And states use consus data to deaw congrossicnal and voting districts, »hich the The it eiy of tie soaren alie n tor dur at ce hor inc ae oam toy ee n nght wilbout statsica ly signilicant ciroo. Diffcrcntial privacy is opaque and liable to mistakcn count totals. Sure cnough, the 2020 Ccnsus ovarocunted the noculation in cicht states and undercounted it in six." Tihe most extrcmi andercount was Arkansas, at 5.04%, and the larg…
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
This makes me a little hopeful (and I do mean a little, like, not much) that what DHS is doing with voter files isn't the same quality of DOGE's claims of 150 year-old people receiving social security
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
I asked Commission Palmer if DHS and ICE had reached out to the EAC to assist with the analysis of voter files they've been collecting. He said they had not, but it was his understanding that they had reached out to the National Association of Secretaries of State for assistance
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by Michael D. McDonald

electproject.bsky.social
EAC Commissioner Donald Palmer (a Republican) gave an informative presentation to my election law class today. I and my students really appreciated it!

Now for a little news...
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Reposted by: Michael D. McDonald, Kimberly A. Prather, Rosemary A. Joyce , and 1 more

ericmgarcia.bsky.social
Ruben Gallego on whether Trump is talking to Democrats:

“Look, the President clearly has some kind of dementia, so I think there's a he's probably talking to himself, or think he's talking to a Democrat, but I sincerely doubt that that's actually he's actually physically talking to a Democrat.“
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