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Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel.bsky.social · 1h

Do people lie to benefit the in-group and harm the out-group?

In a new paper, we found that people lied 9% more to help in-group members than out-group members! This is evidence of coalitional dishonesty

Democrats & Republicans both lied anonymously to double in-group members earnings (N=5,230)

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Lindsey Cormack @dcinbox.bsky.social · 3h

Today is National Farmers Day and here's a state heatmap of who most mentions "farm" per members of congress in their state delegation in official congressional e-newsletters over the last 15 years:

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Sep 11

Ever struggle to explain why your research is relevant? Sometimes the data just does it for you! 👇

Has anyone seen a more dramatic poll discrepancy than this one from Spain nationwide polling? CIS has PSOE +9.0pp, while NCReport has PP +9.4pp *over the exact same fieldwork*! 🤯😅

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 3h

The Spanish centre-right is taking a tumble and the far-right is on the rise.

I was lucky enough to present some new causal work on Friday at LSE showing that the PP does better when it signals distinctiveness from VOX.

~1.5K tests, same result. Rejecting far-right benefits centre-right

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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 3h

I would be surprised if that pattern wouldn't hold outside the US. Nevertheless would love to see comparative work on this:

Lee Drutman @leedrutman.bsky.social · 4h

New study finds Democrats represent public opinion better than Republicans: "the quality of statehouse democracy, here meaning the dynamic relationship between opinion and policy, is substantially weakened by Republican Party control of state government."

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....

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Lee Drutman @leedrutman.bsky.social · 4h

New study finds Democrats represent public opinion better than Republicans: "the quality of statehouse democracy, here meaning the dynamic relationship between opinion and policy, is substantially weakened by Republican Party control of state government."

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....

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David Klemperer @dmk1793.bsky.social · 4h

This is such a good article btw - I really buy this as a theory of contemporary US politics

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7h

The results are clear across both countries: Europeans reject tariffs over other protectionist measures

It doesn’t matter if they’re framed as -
• protection for domestic producers
• funding for green policies 🌱
• retaliation against other nations 🇺🇸

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Mark McGeoghegan @markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social · 1d

Analysis in @thetimes.com by @leaskyd.bsky.social & Anna Dowell of the sharp decline in British identity uncovered by the Scottish Social Attitudes survey.

With comment from Sir John Curtice on the polarising of Scottish politics and from myself on the decoupling of Scottish and British identities:

Why Scots are losing their British identity

With only a quarter of respondents to the Scottish Social Attitudes survey identifying with Britishness, Scotland faces a generational political split

www.thetimes.com

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Klaudia Wegschaider @wegschaider.bsky.social · 3d

🚨 New Working Paper with R.Bauböck + @sumpierrez.bsky.social

We introduce the concept of incongruent suffrage.

This describes when there are voting rights but no candidacy rights for a group. Or vice versa.

The paper includes descriptive data & exploratory case studies.

doi.org/10.33774/aps...

Title: Incongruent Suffrage
Authors: Klaudia Wegschaider, Rainer Bauböck, Sebastián Umpierrez de Reguero
Abstract: Candidacy rights and voting rights are not always congruent. Although voting rights are extensively studied, historical and contemporary incongruencies in suffrage have been widely overlooked. We propose a typology of suffrage incongruency that we apply to the enfranchisement of non-citizen residents and non-resident citizens—two categories recently at the center of enfranchisement scholarship and reform efforts. Using an original dataset that covers 165 countries and 61 years (1960-2020), we identify past and present voting-only incongruencies and candidacy-only incongruencies. Existing theories of suffrage extension focus on the voteshare maximizing logic of incumbents. However, these explanations cannot account for why only one part of suffrage is extended. With two exploratory case studies of Switzerland and the United Kingdom, we inductively arrive at potential explanations for why voting-only and candidacy-only incongruencies arise and resolve in democracies. We conclude with a research agenda on the causes and consequences of suffrage incongruencies.

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British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 7h

NEW -

Inflation and Incumbent Support: Experimental Evidence from the 2024 US Presidential Election - https://cup.org/3JaiZYj

"priming Americans to think about inflation reduced support for the incumbent party"

- Selim Erdem Aytaç, @danielmcdowell.bsky.social & David A. Steinberg

#OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing the influence of high inflation on recent elections, voting behavior, and potential impacts on different political parties in the United States.

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Matti Vuorre @matti.vuorre.com · 3d

This is really nice.

But at the same time it is sad that a separate journal for replications is needed. Replications are not a different kind of thing but instead a foundational aspect of normal run of the mill science biz. We should not reinforce the idea that they should be treated differently.

Lukas Röseler @aufdroeseler.bsky.social · 3d

ReplicationResearch.org is now open for submissions!

Submit replications and reproductions from many different fields, as well as conceptual contributions. With diamond OA, open and citable peer review reports, and reproducibility checks, we push the boundaries of open and fair publishing.

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Who Targets Me @whotargets.me · 7h

A few notes on recent UK political ad spending:
- Tory spend is high post-conference (i.e. over the last week), but lower than through the late summer
- Reform spending has dropped off after a busy summer
- Labour has YouTube to itself
- Labour spends nearly 2x more than others

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7h

Tariffs might be the word of 2025.

Given the state of *looks around* we asked: is there demand for tariffs in Europe?

@grahn.bsky.social @katharinalawall.bsky.social @sophiemainz.bsky.social Maria Nordbrandt & I show the answer is a resolute no
@jeppjournal.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/1350...

A game of tariffs: is there demand for tariffs in Europe?

In April 2025, the United States introduced sweeping tariffs on imports from the European Union and the United Kingdom, raising transatlantic tensions and prompting debate over Europe’s response. T...

doi.org

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Elise Kalokerinos @elisekalo.bsky.social · 12h

In this behemoth effort led by @anhhtran.bsky.social, we reanalysed 11 experience-sampling datasets, and found limited evidence that context (intensity, controllability, and social features) meaningfully shaped everyday emotion regulation strategy use.

PsyArXivBot @psyarxivbot.bsky.social · 2d

Context Matters, Doesn't It? The Role of Context in Everyday Emotion Regulation Strategy Use: https://osf.io/axzk6

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Crip Dyke @cripdyke.bsky.social · 20h

To add to this, the US professoriate was overwhelmingly, relentlessly white and male before 1960, and it was overwhelmingly a well-paid white collar job.

1964 CRA prevents ed discrimination. It takes 5 years to complete a PhD. 1969 begins a trend towards adjuncts and lower pay.

Dan Hirschman @asociologist.bsky.social · 21h

"an occupation’s general prestige and perceived potency (but not its moral standing) declines when it becomes increasingly stereotyped as female" journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...

The Cultural Devaluation of Feminized Work: The Evolution of U.S. Occupational Prestige and Gender Typing in Linguistic Representations, 1900 to 2019 - Wenhao Jiang, 2025

Previous research on occupational devaluation typically evaluates the potential wage declines associated with a significant inflow of women into an occupation; ...

journals.sagepub.com

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Joe Phillips @polpsychjoe.bsky.social · 8h

Probably, but not necessarily. The answer options are about change relative to now. If someone wants a policy change, and it happens to their liking, their answer should change from 'more/less' to 'keep as is.' Of course, how these answers change is often untethered to reality, which is a problem.

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Steve Sawyer @stevesawyer12.bsky.social · 1d

This 🧵 is interesting, and TBH, quite disappointing. Toby’s criteria, if anything, represents a fairly low bar. But it reinforces my gut-level impression that we have VERY few politicians who are meeting the needs of this moment.

Toby Buckle @polphilpod.bsky.social · 2d

i made a model to assign scores for how robustly US politicians oppose fascism & graded 13 leading dems

criteria & method QTed, individual results in 🧵 below:

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Toby Buckle @polphilpod.bsky.social · 2d

i made a model to assign scores for how robustly US politicians oppose fascism & graded 13 leading dems

criteria & method QTed, individual results in 🧵 below:

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Briitta van Staalduinen @briittavs.bsky.social · 3d

1st article from my dissertation is out in Perspectives today!!

two takeaways: a) knowledge economy 'winners' may not be subject to status loss but they sure care about status preservation & b) this is consequential for their attitudes re: immigration & diversity.

Thnx 2 all along this journey!!

Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 3d

#OpenAccess from @poppublicsphere.bsky.social -

The Politics of Status Preservation: Immigration and the Knowledge Economy Class - https://cup.org/3VYHxGx

- @briittavs.bsky.social

#FirstView

Banner image featuring the title 'Perspectives on Politics' over a city skyline, with a prominent graffiti quote about free speech and journalism, hashtagged #OpenAccess.

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Eric Blair @protecttruth.bsky.social · 2d

Correct. That’s why it’s going to take bravery from Dem leaders.

They may not be able to stop it. They may get arrested. But they can and must draw attention to the attacks on our freedoms.

Silverman on Security @silvermansecurity.bsky.social · 2d

Also, they don’t want to be arrested at best or beaten & then arrested at worst. That was the point of beating up Padilla at Noem’s press conference. Use violence & threats of violence on elected officials to establish a competitive system of control.

Eric Blair @protecttruth.bsky.social · 2d

Members of Congress should be on the streets of DC—where many of them live! —putting their bodies between these law-abiding citizens and ICE. Congress should be demanding names, and promising ICE will be prosecuted when US democracy is re-established.

But they are not—b/c they think it polls badly.

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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 1d

'Irresponsible both-sidesism' can become motto for US politics coverage.

'All the news that's fit to print' elsewhere.

(Reminder: Stories themselves are usually clear-eyed. But most people see only the headline and subhead—'hed and dek' in the parlance—and hed and dek are too often like this.)

David Corn @davidcorn.bsky.social · 2d

A classic case of irresponsible both-sidesism from the NYT. The story is that Trump and MAGA propagandists are lying about Portland to incite a conflict, not that there are different views of the matter.

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Kevin M. Kruse @kevinmkruse.bsky.social · 2d

“We’ve arrested American citizens for being too close.”

Marisa Kabas @marisakabas.bsky.social · 2d

New — Video shared with me shows ICE officers in DC detaining a man on Friday.

Bystander filming asks man for his name. ICE agent lies and says he’s not allowed to speak to him “by law” and another says “We’ve arrested American citizens for being too close…If he gets any closer, put him in cuffs.”

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🎃 a frightful hoxgoblin 🎃 @kellenhoxworth.bsky.social · 3d

Higher Ed in 2025 is opening your mailbox to see that your institution has sent you:

1. A Center for Teaching and Learning call to integrate AI into your classroom; and

2. An Office of Academic Integrity email encouraging you to crack down on students who use AI to cheat.

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Greg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 2d

This MAGA propaganda is deeply sinister. Stephen Miller has been lying about Portland/Chicago relentlessly. It's core to his project: He's trying to establish quasi-absolute power for Trump to simply invent pretexts by fiat to justify whatever abuses he launches. 5/

newrepublic.com/article/2016...

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