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Anton Strezhnev

@astrezh.bsky.social

4.1K followers 3.2K following 1.1K posts

Assistant Professor, UW-Madison Political Science. http://www.antonstrezhnev.com

www.antonstrezhnev.com

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · Nov 25

Put together a quick starter pack for political methodologists (broadly defined) who have made their way over to BlueSky. If I've missed folks, please let me know!
go.bsky.app/JBavA7x

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 6h

AKA - what having a Plex server is for.

Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 7h

Qui-gon from the prequels saying “There’s always a bigger stove”

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Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 1d

should I start a bsky book club? one book a month, say, and then we do a big megathread to discuss it.

rainmanbun (Anocracy Zone) @rainmanbun.bsky.social · 1d

the more people talk about it, the less confident i feel that i know how to read. where do i learn to read? ugh lol

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 1d

There’s a reason NYU:CDS always got social scientists to teach causal :)

Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 1d

DiD’s an identification strategy, not a model spec (lots of different “model specs” consistent with a DiD strategy - as “new DiD” shows).

Where is the relevant treatment variation coming from? Places or people?

Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

Scott Imberman @imbernomics.bsky.social · 1d

If he gets a Nobel then I’m going to start pointing out that the Econ prize is not a real Nobel.

Dan Diamond @ddiamond.bsky.social · 1d

Trump’s desire for a Nobel Peace Prize has shaken up global diplomacy, as allies try to curry favor.

It may have even helped spur this week’s Hamas-Israel deal, one former Israeli negotiator said — a bid to help Trump cinch the Nobel before tomorrow’s announcement.

From @mbirnbaum.bsky.social + me

Trump wants a Nobel Prize. He’ll learn Friday if his campaign paid off.

President Donald Trump’s long quest for a Nobel Peace Prize has sparked an unusual global scramble.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 2d

We’re gonna submerge the state like it’s the Red October

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Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

Reconstructionist @unavaleable.bsky.social · 2d

YOURE FUCKING KIDDING ME

Stephen Totilo @stephentotilo.bsky.social · 2d

SCOOP: Last year, Ubisoft cancelled an Assassin's Creed game set during Reconstruction. Was to feature a Black Assassin who, among other things, fought the rise of the Klan

Sources: Leadership nixed it over concerns re: U.S. political climate, backlash to Yasuke

www.gamefile.news/p/scoop-ubis...

Scoop: Ubisoft cancelled a post-Civil War Assassin’s Creed last year

Company leadership deemed the project too controversial for the moment, sources tell Game File

www.gamefile.news

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Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 3d

Why most polls overstate support for political violence
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/most-polls...

Why most polls overstate support for political violence

Misperceptions about the popularity of violence increase public support for it — but you can help change that.

www.gelliottmorris.com

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Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

thebes @vgel.me · 4d

i wrote a custom llm sampler for llama-3.1-8b so it could only say words that are in the bible

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Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

Shiv Ramdas Mens Rice Activist @nameshiv.bsky.social · 6d

The Ig Nobel is incredible , one year an Indian guy won it for calculating the average surface area of an elephant and during his acceptance they had an elephant hold up a sign with the surface area of the scientist on it, they do showbiz better than the Oscars

Jeffrey J. Hall @mrjeffu.bsky.social · 21d

Video: a Japanese scientist was attacked by flies while giving the acceptance speech for his Ig Nobel Prize-winning research paper that proved painting Zebra-like stripes on cows led to a decrease in biting fly attacks.

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 7d

Yeah - turns out the unrealistic part of that book was the whole “international cooperation” thing.

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 7d

This feels like mean-reversion a bit? Lab-based fields usually have more consistent output v burstiness in other fields - that plus incentive to get the big stuff out right before tenure

Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

John David Pressman @jdp.extropian.net · 8d

I've written an essay reflecting on how I use the word slop and some theory of what distinguishes slop from spam and kitsch.

minihf.com/posts/2025-1...

On Slop

minihf.com

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 9d

The pandemic response was weirdly the biggest gift to the Trump 1 ag bailout strategy b/c otherwise they were running out of discretionary funds in 2020.

Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

Strahan Cadell 🇨🇦🇻🇦🇺🇦🇬🇱 @quincunctial.bsky.social · 9d

It will be an annual bailout, because the buyers are not going back to unreliable sellers, and other countries now have windfall revenues they can use to ramp up even more production for the next cycle.

Justin Baragona @justinbaragona.bsky.social · 9d

This is a bailout, no matter what he calls it.

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Nathan Goldwag @goldwagnathan.bsky.social · 10d

The language is stunning, but it's also one of the most clear-eyed and comprehensive statements I've seen from ANYBODY involved in government thus far as to the nature of the constitutional revolution that we are currently undergoing.

Kyle Cheney @kyledcheney.bsky.social · 10d

The ruling itself is remarkable, but it closes with something I've never seen: a 12-page assessment of Trump himself as an ignorant bully, braggart and threat to free speech and the republic writ-large. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

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Ned Resnikoff @resnikoff.bsky.social · 10d

I continue to think that one of the reasons this country is falling apart is the wholesale abandonment of public virtue as a broadly shared aspiration. Or even something people should be embarrassed about if they don’t have it.

Charles PM @charlespulliam.bsky.social · 10d

Fuckin yikes, man

Some comics were transparent about their willingness to ignore their moral convictions in order to play at the festival. “So what, they have slaves?” asked Tim Dillon in a podcast segment that led to his firing from the festival. “They’re paying me enough money to look the other way.” Pete Davidson offered a similar take, acknowledging in a chat with Von that people have asked him why, given his father’s death on 9/11, he would take a paycheck from the Saudi government. He did not address the criticism directly, but he did suggest he was happy to forget 9/11 for the right price: “I just know I get the routing, and then I see the number, and I go, ‘I’ll go.’”

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 11d

“therefore I hold this principle” optional tbh

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 11d

I need someone to tell me when there’s a good survival mod like Horizon in FO4.

Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 11d

This is true, & backed by the best peer-reviewed research.

@kevinshih.bsky.social of @ucrchass.bsky.social uses large shocks to international student supply in the past to test the hypothesis that they crowd out natives. They crowd *in* natives, via tuition revenue—>

doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...

Dave Vanness @djvanness.bsky.social · 11d

A lot of people think that every international student admitted means one fewer spot for domestic students, when the opposite is more likely true - the tuition revenue international students bring allows public universities to provide substantial discounts to domestic students, improving access.

Nick Fleisher @nickfleisher.bsky.social · 11d

30% drop year over year!

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☀️ Starshine @starshine.bsky.social · 11d

Ai 2002 rtvrn video and its just an excel sheet for the box offices of every medium sized film from 1995-2004

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Reposted by Anton Strezhnev

Rafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 12d

Hades 2 is like *instantly* better than Hades 1. Right out of the gate it's better. How is it possible. They did it. Those crazy bastards actually did it.

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Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 12d

Yeah - there’s too much alternate model spec stuff and not enough falsification/placebo tests in papers. Hopefully changes over time.

Anton Strezhnev @astrezh.bsky.social · 12d

This is a corollary of why I dislike the battery of “robustness checks” approach in a lot of papers - just do it right the first time!

Demetri @phdemetri.bsky.social · 13d

OK what the fuck -- STROBE, co-authored by motherfucking Doug Altman, suggests you should report unadjusted estimates?

WHAT THE FUCK?

stats.stackexchange.com/questions/67...

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