Mr. Nick Beaudrot
@nbeaudrot.bsky.social
750 followers 120 following 7.4K posts
Math Dad. Aspiring-to-comeback Triathlete. Fall Out Boy apologist.
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nbeaudrot.bsky.social
"Inflation is very unpopular and the median voter's views on crime and immigration are closer to Trump's than Harris's" is like 90% more accurate than every narrative take out there that focuses on Rogan, trans rights, "the information environment", etc
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
Yes, and of those with an opinion it's more like 45.5 (he got 46.8% in 2020)
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
I bet if you got more creative mixing in the Huntr/x vocal track you could make it work.
sircreate.com
When I woke up, I had a very stupid question: Can "Golden" from K-Pop Demon Hunters be mixed with "(I've Got a) Golden Ticket" from Willy Wonka & the Chocolate Factory.

After many hours of working on this, I've found that the answer is no. It cannot.

"(I've Got a) Golden Honmoon"
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
sircreate.com
When I woke up, I had a very stupid question: Can "Golden" from K-Pop Demon Hunters be mixed with "(I've Got a) Golden Ticket" from Willy Wonka & the Chocolate Factory.

After many hours of working on this, I've found that the answer is no. It cannot.

"(I've Got a) Golden Honmoon"
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
Compromise: Brewers in 5 and we build HSR from Chicago to Milwaukee.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
In general approve seems more stable than disapprove? We'll see.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
But I think even more than this it's taught us that non-college non-white voters at least partially disagree with the Biden agenda (whether that's guns, climate, immigration, crime, or some combination is less clear)
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
I do think the long arc of 2012-2024 is teaching us that the statewide Dem coalition does depend on a number of smalltown and truly rural voters, who are more likely to agree with Ds on health care but with Trump on trade/immigration/crime.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
I will say that @stephenjacobsmith.com 's other urbanist-political point -- cities need to find ways to be more attractive to broader working and middle class, not just college educated professionals -- is 100% correct. Can't have domestic in-migration without fixing barbell growth.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
I do think the long arc of 2012-2024 is teaching us that the statewide Dem coalition does depend on a number of smalltown and truly rural voters, who are more likely to agree with Ds on health care but with Trump on trade/immigration/crime.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
It is very weird to hear this having lived through the 1990s. Suburban Philly, Atlanta, Detroit, etc. are now much more Dem voting and I think Clinton presiding over the end of the crime wave was a big factor!
stephenjacobsmith.com
Neera Tanden told Ezra Klein that while she doesn’t want to see the military occupy American cities, it’s not a winning issue for Democrats the way healthcare is. And she’s right! Americans don’t care what happens to cities, and it’s partly cities’ faults. www.nytimes.com/2025/10/08/o...
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
Why did china tariffs cause a crypto liquidation? Can someone explain this to me like I'm 5? or maybe 85?
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
bobbyfijan.bsky.social
A lot of the credit goes to Santi Ruiz for being really well prepared and asking great questions … but this is probably the best market wide and historical conversation I’ve had on apartments. And how it affects “apartments for families”

open.spotify.com/episode/63C6...
Why We Don't Build Apartments for Families
open.spotify.com
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
In another direction while it might give these schools a (short-term) boost over Harvard/Yale/etc. it doesn't

Anyway "fight Trump" is not a huge overwhelming force on college campuses. School's gotten much more preprofessional after all.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
This is another example of "Team Trump won't declare victory and depart the battlefield" -- a lot of schools might have taken "The Brown Deal" but they kept trying to get $1 billion out of Harvard or whatever.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
Ah, it's not everybody ... well Brown should definitely go _last_ out of this list. apnews.com/article/mit-...
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
josephpolitano.bsky.social
This book genuinely reshaped how I think about immigration politics, my main gripes are with the parts of modern immigration politics that go unaddressed
All of this is an informative and novel framing of an incredibly important issue—Alexander genuinely reshaped how I think about immigration politics. My main gripes with the book come from what it doesn't talk about. Alexander waxes poetic about the superiority of the Canadian immigration system, which maintains some of the highest immigration rates in the world by selecting aggressively based on skill, education, and occupation. He contrasts this with the Swedish system, one much more focused on humanitarian asylum and refugee flows, and attributes the recent anti-immigration backlash in Sweden to a failure to make immigration demonstrably beneficial. Yet Canada has also gone through its own anti-immigrant backlash recently, albeit to a lower extent, and countries like the UK who stole Canada's homework for their modern immigration system have also not been able to avoid backlash. This goes basically unanalyzed.

I also take seriously the idea that immigration's political support can be built by aggressively selecting high-skilled immigrants. But I feel it's no coincidence the countries most able to make use of these policies are geographically isolated ones. Unlike Canada, America has massive land and sea borders with much poorer countries, and so decisions on Venezuelan refugee policy or asylum processing rules thus carry much more importance and cannot simply be sidestepped in favor of solely expanding the H1B system. On these issues, the book has little to say, and so it sometimes feels like wishcasting a world in which US Congress could pass comprehensive immigration reform rather than the reality where US immigration policy is fundamentally shaped only by executive decisions on humanitarian visas and border enforcement. As a guide for Americans wanting to escape our current xenophobic political moment, it falls a bit flat.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
Nice that I've cleared the decks on a bunch of stressors just in time for Game 5 of Tigers-Mariners.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
josephpolitano.bsky.social
SB79 is Union Victory at Gettsyburg for people who posted on NUMTOTS in high school
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
josephpolitano.bsky.social
never doubt that a small group of dedicated posters can change the California built environment. Indeed, it may be the only thing that ever has
maxdubler.com
Big day for the posting to policy pipeline.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
Got to be a weird time addressing fancy university undergrads about working in Foreign Service/State Department (one of the more elite-concentrated parts of the USG)
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
This is good advice for things beyond finance! Parenting, electoral outcomes, etc. etc.
conorsen.bsky.social
The goal of getting through an economic bust is partially financial/risk management, but it's mostly about not turning into a bitter/angry/conspiratorial who can't function going forward. You don't want to turn into Michael Burry, as well as he did in 2008.
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
Let's check in to see how durably Trump's net approval has fallen during the month of weirdness ... almost at "ah. Well, nevertheless..." territory. www.natesilver.net/p/trump-appr...
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
If you want "Trump is bad on economics" with slightly more of a reality-based tinge, I think you want @crampell.bsky.social
nbeaudrot.bsky.social
I am going to have to mute that CNBC guy, who is rapidly becoming the Nutritionist Eric of economic news.