Mr. Nick Beaudrot
@nbeaudrot.bsky.social
Math Dad.
Aspiring-to-comeback Triathlete.
Fall Out Boy apologist.
Aspiring-to-comeback Triathlete.
Fall Out Boy apologist.
Pinned
Mr. Nick Beaudrot
@nbeaudrot.bsky.social
· Nov 15
"Inflation is very unpopular and the median voter's views on crime and immigration are closer to Trump's than Harris's" is like 90% more accurate than every narrative take out there that focuses on Rogan, trans rights, "the information environment", etc
Begging everyone not to read too much into an individual state senate special election held on a Saturday.
Up is better than down but just throw it in the average.
Up is better than down but just throw it in the average.
February 1, 2026 at 6:40 AM
Begging everyone not to read too much into an individual state senate special election held on a Saturday.
Up is better than down but just throw it in the average.
Up is better than down but just throw it in the average.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Another one for the “As long as someone from my social circle gets picked it’s fine” file:
January 31, 2026 at 4:13 PM
Another one for the “As long as someone from my social circle gets picked it’s fine” file:
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Who Framed Roger Rabbit rules. 5/5, lightning in a bottle, somehow still looks good today
Watching Who Framed Roger Rabbit? with the fam.
My kid is not very attentive but this movie is an 80s masterpiece.
My kid is not very attentive but this movie is an 80s masterpiece.
February 1, 2026 at 3:43 AM
Who Framed Roger Rabbit rules. 5/5, lightning in a bottle, somehow still looks good today
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Direct hit, losing altitude, everyone get your parachutes
NGL this description of Bsky in Vulture cracked me up
February 1, 2026 at 3:45 AM
Direct hit, losing altitude, everyone get your parachutes
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Chat is it good for your chances in court when the judge is writing 18th century broadsides about "the perfidious lust for unbridled power" as their opinion
SAN ANTONIO (AP) — Judge orders US to release father and 5-year-old taken into custody during Minnesota immigration crackdown.
January 31, 2026 at 8:45 PM
Chat is it good for your chances in court when the judge is writing 18th century broadsides about "the perfidious lust for unbridled power" as their opinion
Freedom of speech dot jpeg
It's not necessary for each musketeer to get their own movie.
It's not necessary for each musketeer to get their own movie.
February 1, 2026 at 4:10 AM
Freedom of speech dot jpeg
It's not necessary for each musketeer to get their own movie.
It's not necessary for each musketeer to get their own movie.
It turns out large portions of modern politics can be explained by '00s Chris Rock bits.
New:Gregory Bovino, the Border Patrol field leader, made disparaging remarks in reference to the U.S. attorney in Minnesota, an Orthodox Jew, people with knowledge of the phone call said.
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/u...
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/31/u...
Bovino Is Said to Have Mocked Prosecutor’s Jewish Faith on Call With Lawyers
www.nytimes.com
January 31, 2026 at 5:46 PM
It turns out large portions of modern politics can be explained by '00s Chris Rock bits.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
for people to want to bear such risks, you have to first show it matters *to you* and the community of interest seems to be overwhelmingly saying that it doesn't
January 31, 2026 at 2:58 PM
for people to want to bear such risks, you have to first show it matters *to you* and the community of interest seems to be overwhelmingly saying that it doesn't
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
if it was all just a scam, then going forward it is just going to be really hard for me to take seriously the notion of china hawk stuff being in good faith
January 31, 2026 at 6:24 AM
if it was all just a scam, then going forward it is just going to be really hard for me to take seriously the notion of china hawk stuff being in good faith
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
tiktok deal and subsequent rebirth, coupled with generalized revelations that most china hawks don’t care at all about trump undermining their supposedly all important great power competition…..is tremendously blackpilling for me.
January 31, 2026 at 6:21 AM
tiktok deal and subsequent rebirth, coupled with generalized revelations that most china hawks don’t care at all about trump undermining their supposedly all important great power competition…..is tremendously blackpilling for me.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Neil Dutta and Skanda being so anti-Warsh (my perspective as well) while people like Jason Furman and El-Erian praised him say a lot about how different types of people judge qualifications and character when it comes to Fed governors.
January 31, 2026 at 12:25 PM
Neil Dutta and Skanda being so anti-Warsh (my perspective as well) while people like Jason Furman and El-Erian praised him say a lot about how different types of people judge qualifications and character when it comes to Fed governors.
We must RETVRN to banger press conferences and SportsCenter as a.source of meme humor.
HIGHLY recommend this Izzo presser it’s hilarious
January 31, 2026 at 4:58 AM
We must RETVRN to banger press conferences and SportsCenter as a.source of meme humor.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
We're proud to present A Better Billion: how New York should be spending an extra $1b a year on subway expansion, in lieu of Zohran Mamdani's free bus proposal. transitcosts.com/a-better-bil...
See gift article for a New York Times writeup here:
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/n...
See gift article for a New York Times writeup here:
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/n...
Free Buses? How About Expanding the Subway by 41 Miles Instead?
www.nytimes.com
January 30, 2026 at 12:17 PM
We're proud to present A Better Billion: how New York should be spending an extra $1b a year on subway expansion, in lieu of Zohran Mamdani's free bus proposal. transitcosts.com/a-better-bil...
See gift article for a New York Times writeup here:
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/n...
See gift article for a New York Times writeup here:
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/n...
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
This legislation will create 30 new neighborhood centers and update urban center and transit corridors. It's a meaningful step toward meeting citywide housing needs and improving choice and affordability across every neighborhood. And we're just getting started. #thisisyourcity
January 30, 2026 at 11:33 PM
This legislation will create 30 new neighborhood centers and update urban center and transit corridors. It's a meaningful step toward meeting citywide housing needs and improving choice and affordability across every neighborhood. And we're just getting started. #thisisyourcity
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
oh yeah that's good youtube
January 31, 2026 at 1:33 AM
oh yeah that's good youtube
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
imo the best thing to read about Epstein that isn’t directly about him is Ashely Mear’s Very Important People, because it casts a ton of light light on the Type of Guy that he was, he just was upmarket (billionaires not millionaires) and egregious (underage rather than young adult) than most of them
January 31, 2026 at 1:48 AM
imo the best thing to read about Epstein that isn’t directly about him is Ashely Mear’s Very Important People, because it casts a ton of light light on the Type of Guy that he was, he just was upmarket (billionaires not millionaires) and egregious (underage rather than young adult) than most of them
Yeah this is my thing ... buying a bunch of expensive computers is "capex" but the useful lifetime is 5 years at best, this isn't like Delta buying an airplane or GM building a car manufacturing plant that's going to last 30 years.
This chart is mega-bullish GOOG fwiw
January 30, 2026 at 9:14 PM
Yeah this is my thing ... buying a bunch of expensive computers is "capex" but the useful lifetime is 5 years at best, this isn't like Delta buying an airplane or GM building a car manufacturing plant that's going to last 30 years.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
you do not want to (for instance) eat one with your hands and then go take a leak without an intervening hand wash.
you will regret that sequence of events immediately.
you will regret that sequence of events immediately.
January 30, 2026 at 8:53 PM
you do not want to (for instance) eat one with your hands and then go take a leak without an intervening hand wash.
you will regret that sequence of events immediately.
you will regret that sequence of events immediately.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Characteristically thoughtful discussion of a known snag of survey research -- people who care a lot about politics are more likely to take political polls -- and what we might be able to do to address that
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
Hello super friends.
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
There is a new @crosstabspodcast.com
It features a cool experiment in talking to non-political voters by @kabirkhanna.bsky.social at @cbsnews.com
He's super smart. You should listen to him.
Hey, did you know it's an election year?? Again??!
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c...
Talking Politics With People Who Don't Want to, with Kabir Khanna of CBS News
Podcast Episode · Cross Tabs · 01/29/2026 · 53m
podcasts.apple.com
January 30, 2026 at 8:15 PM
Characteristically thoughtful discussion of a known snag of survey research -- people who care a lot about politics are more likely to take political polls -- and what we might be able to do to address that
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
(As noted, I think this is such a fun experiment)
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
“I am sorry,” said Frog.
January 30, 2026 at 8:37 PM
“I am sorry,” said Frog.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
it is kind of funny how many people are reading fandom stories into "man seeks to diversify ten-figure net worth out of single entity he doesn't control" bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-30/levy-is-said-in-talks-to-sell-stake-in-tottenham-hotspur
Levy Is Said in Talks to Sell Stake in Tottenham Hotspur
Businessman Daniel Levy is in talks to sell his nearly 30% stake in the group that owns Tottenham Hotspur to a consortium that includes Hong Kong businessman Ng Wing Fai, according to people familiar ...
bloomberg.com
January 30, 2026 at 7:54 PM
it is kind of funny how many people are reading fandom stories into "man seeks to diversify ten-figure net worth out of single entity he doesn't control" bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-01-30/levy-is-said-in-talks-to-sell-stake-in-tottenham-hotspur
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Wow -- incredible!!!
January 30, 2026 at 6:11 PM
Wow -- incredible!!!
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
if you sold silver at the highs this week and are buying it back here that's a warsh sale right @ivanthek.bsky.social
January 30, 2026 at 5:57 PM
if you sold silver at the highs this week and are buying it back here that's a warsh sale right @ivanthek.bsky.social
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Kevin Warsh is not a hawk. One letter off.
Markets price 50 basis points in Fed cuts through end-2027. A hawk like Kevin Warsh makes it easier to build consensus on the FOMC around a high productivity, low inflation narrative, so we're almost sure to get more cuts. That's why the Dollar is heavy...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/five-chart...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/five-chart...
January 30, 2026 at 1:41 PM
Kevin Warsh is not a hawk. One letter off.
Reposted by Mr. Nick Beaudrot
Keebler P.B. Fudgebutters (1993-1997): Buttery thumbprint-style shortbread cookies filled with real peanut butter, then covered in chocolate and a peanut butter swirl
January 30, 2026 at 5:27 PM
Keebler P.B. Fudgebutters (1993-1997): Buttery thumbprint-style shortbread cookies filled with real peanut butter, then covered in chocolate and a peanut butter swirl