Joel Wertheimer
@wertwhile.bsky.social
Civil rights attorney. COYS.
Hassett becoming Fed chair right before the Dow falls 25 percent to 36000 would be a little on the nose.
November 25, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Hassett becoming Fed chair right before the Dow falls 25 percent to 36000 would be a little on the nose.
I've been convinced by @conorsen.bsky.social that our national conversation about rent and home prices is going to feel really weird very soon with NYC/SF based media on a different planet from Sun Belt, where falling home prices are going to be a bigger story than too expensive housing.
November 25, 2025 at 1:36 AM
I've been convinced by @conorsen.bsky.social that our national conversation about rent and home prices is going to feel really weird very soon with NYC/SF based media on a different planet from Sun Belt, where falling home prices are going to be a bigger story than too expensive housing.
The two Bens on here, very good. Biggest takeaway to me from presser was @annemariegray.bsky.social getting this spot right next to ZM. Good sign if you want more housing built in NYC.
November 24, 2025 at 8:27 PM
The two Bens on here, very good. Biggest takeaway to me from presser was @annemariegray.bsky.social getting this spot right next to ZM. Good sign if you want more housing built in NYC.
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
this dumb shit is what i mean when i say this is a purely aesthetic “politics.” yeah man, why can’t we have a fusion of cosmopolitan social democracy and revanchist hierarchies of wealth and privilege? tough question.
Matt Stoller: “..Trump & Mamdani defeated establishment in their own way, representing hunger of voters on the right & left who want something different. If those sides cd come together.. that would be a sea change in how we organize our political economy”.
www.thebignewsletter.com/p/monopoly-r...
www.thebignewsletter.com/p/monopoly-r...
Monopoly Round-Up: Why the Establishment Freaked Out Over a Mamdani-Trump Press Conference
Meta wins its antitrust case, there are now two fire truck antitrust claims, the stock market got wobbly, and Larry Summers was exiled from the establishment, at least for now.
www.thebignewsletter.com
November 24, 2025 at 7:04 PM
this dumb shit is what i mean when i say this is a purely aesthetic “politics.” yeah man, why can’t we have a fusion of cosmopolitan social democracy and revanchist hierarchies of wealth and privilege? tough question.
Court was clear in fn 21 that despite dismissing without prejudice, the Court thinks the indictment is dead. Otoh, dismissing w/o prejudice sort of undercuts this claim.
![1 Generally, “[t]he return of an indictment tolls the statute of limitations on the charges
contained in the indictment.” United States v. Ojedokun, 16 F.4th 1091, 1109 (4th Cir. 2021). “An
invalid indictment,” however, “cannot serve to block the door of limitations as it swings closed.”
United States v. Crysopt Corp., 781 F. Supp. 375, 378 (D. Md. 1991) (emphasis in original); see
also United States v. Gillespie, 666 F. Supp. 1137, 1141 (N.D. Ill. 1987) (“[A] valid indictment
insulates from statute-of-limitations problems any refiling of the same charges during the
pendency of that valid indictment (that is, the superseding of a valid indictment). But if the earlier
indictment is void, there is no legitimate peg on which to hang such a judicial limitations-tolling
result.” (emphasis in original))](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:m2knqwyhtm6csr7xkfam2ics/bafkreie3zkvxnmks5bsck6b23depkzct7ef5sdtvbjlmhijyipwhtfo7lm@jpeg)
November 24, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Court was clear in fn 21 that despite dismissing without prejudice, the Court thinks the indictment is dead. Otoh, dismissing w/o prejudice sort of undercuts this claim.
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
another paper that's just "turns out Platonism is empirically true about truth, beauty, and goodness"
At least once a month, Anthropic puts out an alignment paper d AI behavior where, if you saw it in a science fiction film, you‘d be screaming at the idiot scientists onscreen to stop development
www.anthropic.com/research/eme...
www.anthropic.com/research/eme...
From shortcuts to sabotage: natural emergent misalignment from reward hacking
Anthropic is an AI safety and research company that's working to build reliable, interpretable, and steerable AI systems.
www.anthropic.com
November 24, 2025 at 5:59 AM
another paper that's just "turns out Platonism is empirically true about truth, beauty, and goodness"
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
Just an absolutely gutting essay by Tatiana Schlossberg, a writer, mother of two young children, and cousin of RFK Jr who is dying of leukemia.
www.newyorker.com/culture/the-...
www.newyorker.com/culture/the-...
November 22, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Just an absolutely gutting essay by Tatiana Schlossberg, a writer, mother of two young children, and cousin of RFK Jr who is dying of leukemia.
www.newyorker.com/culture/the-...
www.newyorker.com/culture/the-...
I do love the text of these articles is “she was with all these bad and crazy men and definitely has a type except for me a totally normal guy”
November 22, 2025 at 1:49 PM
I do love the text of these articles is “she was with all these bad and crazy men and definitely has a type except for me a totally normal guy”
These people just want to take credit for everything. Profound idiots. The Trump Zohran thing had nothing to do with ideology or their brand of populism and the one place they expressed policy agreement was on YIMBYism which they’ve spent all year calling neoliberalism pejoratively.
November 21, 2025 at 11:21 PM
These people just want to take credit for everything. Profound idiots. The Trump Zohran thing had nothing to do with ideology or their brand of populism and the one place they expressed policy agreement was on YIMBYism which they’ve spent all year calling neoliberalism pejoratively.
Zohran is the outer borough boy who got the approval of all the boroughs which is all Trump ever wanted
November 21, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Zohran is the outer borough boy who got the approval of all the boroughs which is all Trump ever wanted
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
"Wettest from the standpoint of water" and the Frederick Douglass monologue erasure.
November 21, 2025 at 9:38 PM
"Wettest from the standpoint of water" and the Frederick Douglass monologue erasure.
We need polls on here because I have a question. Which is a funnier Trumpism now: "You can just say yes" or "at seven it's marginal"?
November 21, 2025 at 9:23 PM
We need polls on here because I have a question. Which is a funnier Trumpism now: "You can just say yes" or "at seven it's marginal"?
This is a really great post from Elliott and is why I subscribe to his blog despite disagreeing with him a lot on some of the fights about moderation etc. In part this is a great post because I think it helps elucidate something key about the disagreement and maybe I have a follow up post idea.
Good morning. I've got a banger new post out today that develops a new method for placing voters on the left-right ideological spectrum, and adds a new, "non-ideological"/affordability axis to usual way we chart & think about US voters (esp swing voters). www.gelliottmorris.com/p/not-just-l...
Not just left vs right: Most voters think about affordability and material wellbeing, not in ideological terms
Most voters want a party that emphasizes cost of living issues and makes the world a better place. Few Americans think in solidly ideologically terms. "Moderates" are mostly non-ideological.
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 21, 2025 at 2:55 PM
This is a really great post from Elliott and is why I subscribe to his blog despite disagreeing with him a lot on some of the fights about moderation etc. In part this is a great post because I think it helps elucidate something key about the disagreement and maybe I have a follow up post idea.
Supreme Court of New Jersey just ruled that shaken baby syndrome i.e. head trauma without evidence of physical impact, is an inadmissible and unreliable scientific evidence as there's no evidence whipping motions could create sufficient level of force.
www.njcourts.gov/system/files...
www.njcourts.gov/system/files...
www.njcourts.gov
November 20, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Supreme Court of New Jersey just ruled that shaken baby syndrome i.e. head trauma without evidence of physical impact, is an inadmissible and unreliable scientific evidence as there's no evidence whipping motions could create sufficient level of force.
www.njcourts.gov/system/files...
www.njcourts.gov/system/files...
I think Caley in this thread and the one I’ll link in next post does a good job of synthesizing some electoralist ideas with on the job performance.
in particular, I think there is a good mod-pragmatist critique of Starmer (total collapse of economic majoritarian policy and messaging)
but it's really important that the mod-pragmatists make that critique so we know that they understand it!
but it's really important that the mod-pragmatists make that critique so we know that they understand it!
Would love to see someone from the moderate, Majority Dem faction really address and wrestle with the political effects of what Labour has been up to.
November 19, 2025 at 12:24 AM
I think Caley in this thread and the one I’ll link in next post does a good job of synthesizing some electoralist ideas with on the job performance.
I’d believe this if he wasn’t jawboning for lower rates from the Fed. A Republican that comes in and does tariffs, doesn’t pass OBBBA, and says I’m going to clean up Joe Biden’s inflation mess with a more hawkish Fed, so start pricing in rate hikes was another totally plausible world.
The only real way for fiscal policy to dramatically reduce prices across the board is to induce a recession, which I sometimes wonder if Trump is trying to do.
November 19, 2025 at 12:10 AM
I’d believe this if he wasn’t jawboning for lower rates from the Fed. A Republican that comes in and does tariffs, doesn’t pass OBBBA, and says I’m going to clean up Joe Biden’s inflation mess with a more hawkish Fed, so start pricing in rate hikes was another totally plausible world.
This from the Ryan Lizza piece is very funny because the new girlfriend is like 25 or so and looks like she came from the Olivia Nuzzi clone factory.
November 18, 2025 at 9:09 PM
This from the Ryan Lizza piece is very funny because the new girlfriend is like 25 or so and looks like she came from the Olivia Nuzzi clone factory.
One thing that’s so obvious and I can’t get over is the timing of the communication with Epstein. Summers knew who he was and chose to talk to him about being a creep because he wanted permission and advice on how to creep.
Breaking news: Former Democratic treasury secretary Larry Summers is “deeply ashamed” of his years-long communication with Jeffrey Epstein and will be “stepping back from public commitments,” he said in a statement Monday night.
Larry Summers stepping back from ‘public commitments’ over Epstein emails
A longtime Democratic adviser, Summers has had significant influence over economic policymaking for decades.
wapo.st
November 18, 2025 at 3:12 AM
One thing that’s so obvious and I can’t get over is the timing of the communication with Epstein. Summers knew who he was and chose to talk to him about being a creep because he wanted permission and advice on how to creep.
This guy's name is Sam Green. I cannot find him on college basketball reference. How are you that tall and talking shit to Draymond and didn't play college ball?
Draymond Green has a nice conversation with a baseline fan about running his mouth and a nice conversation with the referee about that conversation. Fan gets a chat with security for the dreaded conduct card
November 17, 2025 at 3:36 AM
This guy's name is Sam Green. I cannot find him on college basketball reference. How are you that tall and talking shit to Draymond and didn't play college ball?
He did not write this
Trump: "House Republicans should vote to release the Epstein files, because we have nothing to hide."
November 17, 2025 at 3:05 AM
He did not write this
Huh I'm surprised here. I guess opponent just has a very strong chance of kicking a field goal to tie when you kick here
Model agreed with the decision to go for it!
November 16, 2025 at 5:28 PM
Huh I'm surprised here. I guess opponent just has a very strong chance of kicking a field goal to tie when you kick here
This whole debate is ridiculous. Tariffs are a supply shock. In aggregate they can raise prices if the Fed looks through the supply shock and cuts rates in response to it or can disinflate prices and cause labor weakness if the Fed keeps rate higher in response. The problem is the supply shock.
KARL: To state the obvious, tariffs do raise prices on Americans despite what the president has said over and over again
HASSETT: It depends
HASSETT: It depends
November 16, 2025 at 5:05 PM
This whole debate is ridiculous. Tariffs are a supply shock. In aggregate they can raise prices if the Fed looks through the supply shock and cuts rates in response to it or can disinflate prices and cause labor weakness if the Fed keeps rate higher in response. The problem is the supply shock.
This drives me crazy. Hillary Clinton won the popular vote! The electoral college smacks of gender but there's nothing inherent about it.
MICHELLE OBAMA, on whether a woman can get elected president:
“.. sadly, we ain’t ready. That’s why I’m like: don’t even look at me about running ‘cause you all are lying. You’re not ready for a woman. We got a lot of growing up to do ..”
@cnn.com
www.cnn.com/2025/11/15/p...
“.. sadly, we ain’t ready. That’s why I’m like: don’t even look at me about running ‘cause you all are lying. You’re not ready for a woman. We got a lot of growing up to do ..”
@cnn.com
www.cnn.com/2025/11/15/p...
November 16, 2025 at 4:57 PM
This drives me crazy. Hillary Clinton won the popular vote! The electoral college smacks of gender but there's nothing inherent about it.
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
Oh wow @reuters.com got the photo here:
November 14, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Oh wow @reuters.com got the photo here:
Reposted by Joel Wertheimer
For more on Rev. Woolf, who appears to have been arrested today: he published an editorial with @rns.org literally this week titled “Why clergy should risk assault to protest ICE” —> religionnews.com/2025/11/13/w...
November 14, 2025 at 5:25 PM
For more on Rev. Woolf, who appears to have been arrested today: he published an editorial with @rns.org literally this week titled “Why clergy should risk assault to protest ICE” —> religionnews.com/2025/11/13/w...