Clair Barnes
@clairbarnes.bsky.social
Stats/data nerd and researcher at www.worldweatherattribution.org. Mostly handmade. She/her.
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Oh! “A federal judge on Friday ruled the Energy Department violated the law when Secretary Chris Wright handpicked five researchers who reject the scientific consensus on climate change to work in secret on a sweeping government report on global warming.”
A Secret Panel to Question Climate Science Was Unlawful, Judge Rules
www.nytimes.com
January 30, 2026 at 11:07 PM
Oh! “A federal judge on Friday ruled the Energy Department violated the law when Secretary Chris Wright handpicked five researchers who reject the scientific consensus on climate change to work in secret on a sweeping government report on global warming.”
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Let's all take a moment to stop and drink a toast to the wonderfulness and luminosity of Catherine O'Hara. Here's to her.
January 30, 2026 at 9:31 PM
Let's all take a moment to stop and drink a toast to the wonderfulness and luminosity of Catherine O'Hara. Here's to her.
Reposted by Clair Barnes
A real coming of age for the project. Kudos to @clairebergin.bsky.social @lionel-swan.bsky.social and met Éireann colleagues. And as ever would not be possible without help of @wwattribution.bsky.social colleagues
Our new study "Climate change increases flood risk associated with winter rainfall on east coast of Ireland" is available now
wasitus.ie/events/clima...
wasitus.ie/events/clima...
Climate change increases flood risk associated with winter rainfall on east coast of Ireland - WASITUS.ie
Claire Bergin, ICARUS Climate Research Centre, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Ireland Lionel Swan, ICARUS Climate Research Centre, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Ireland Ciarán Kelly, Met Éireann, Glasnevin, Dublin 9, Ireland Paul Moore, Met Éireann, Glasnevin, Dublin 9, Ireland
wasitus.ie
January 29, 2026 at 8:11 PM
A real coming of age for the project. Kudos to @clairebergin.bsky.social @lionel-swan.bsky.social and met Éireann colleagues. And as ever would not be possible without help of @wwattribution.bsky.social colleagues
Reposted by Clair Barnes
🚨 NEW STUDY: As Australia prepares for another heatwave, our latest study found the early January heatwave which hit SE Australia was made 5x more likely due to climate change. What was once a relatively rare 1-in-25-year event is now expected about every 5 years. 🧵 1/6
January 22, 2026 at 1:03 PM
🚨 NEW STUDY: As Australia prepares for another heatwave, our latest study found the early January heatwave which hit SE Australia was made 5x more likely due to climate change. What was once a relatively rare 1-in-25-year event is now expected about every 5 years. 🧵 1/6
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Half of world’s CO2 emissions come from just 32 fossil fuel firms, study shows
- Critics accuse leading firms of sabotaging climate action but say data increasingly being used to hold them to account
@influencemap.bsky.social
#climatecrisis
Story by me
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
- Critics accuse leading firms of sabotaging climate action but say data increasingly being used to hold them to account
@influencemap.bsky.social
#climatecrisis
Story by me
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Half of world’s CO2 emissions come from just 32 fossil fuel firms, study shows
Critics accuse leading firms of sabotaging climate action but say data increasingly being used to hold them to account
www.theguardian.com
January 21, 2026 at 9:42 AM
Half of world’s CO2 emissions come from just 32 fossil fuel firms, study shows
- Critics accuse leading firms of sabotaging climate action but say data increasingly being used to hold them to account
@influencemap.bsky.social
#climatecrisis
Story by me
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
- Critics accuse leading firms of sabotaging climate action but say data increasingly being used to hold them to account
@influencemap.bsky.social
#climatecrisis
Story by me
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Highly, highly recommended for persons interested in Bayesian methods and for persons not interested in Bayesian methods who should be.
And we're live, Lecture A1 is online. Introduction to Bayesian workflow, generative models, estimands, estimators, estimates, error checking, beginnings of probability theory and Bayesian updating. www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztbY...
January 6, 2026 at 12:21 PM
Highly, highly recommended for persons interested in Bayesian methods and for persons not interested in Bayesian methods who should be.
Reposted by Clair Barnes
For some reason that I cannot compute, "every tenth of a degree matters" has become a catch-cry for ending climate targets, dismissing the Paris Agreement as outdated and moving climate discourse centre-right.
This is so wild to me. We set targets *SPECIFICALLY BECAUSE THE INCREMENTS MATTER*
This is so wild to me. We set targets *SPECIFICALLY BECAUSE THE INCREMENTS MATTER*
January 17, 2026 at 4:30 PM
For some reason that I cannot compute, "every tenth of a degree matters" has become a catch-cry for ending climate targets, dismissing the Paris Agreement as outdated and moving climate discourse centre-right.
This is so wild to me. We set targets *SPECIFICALLY BECAUSE THE INCREMENTS MATTER*
This is so wild to me. We set targets *SPECIFICALLY BECAUSE THE INCREMENTS MATTER*
Reposted by Clair Barnes
The Cardiff Lions do an annual Drag Rugby charity match for children’s charities and it’s as beautiful as you imagined
January 10, 2026 at 7:45 PM
The Cardiff Lions do an annual Drag Rugby charity match for children’s charities and it’s as beautiful as you imagined
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Some important new government policy that Native Americans might be interested in:
Trump talks about Denmark and Greenland just now: "The fact that they landed a boat there 500 years ago doesn't mean that they own the land."
January 9, 2026 at 10:02 PM
Some important new government policy that Native Americans might be interested in:
Reposted by Clair Barnes
This is what we call "Facebook weather" because it's too scared to go to London, for zero logical reason.
January 8, 2026 at 5:52 PM
This is what we call "Facebook weather" because it's too scared to go to London, for zero logical reason.
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Martin Peterson's creative response to being banned from teaching Plato (shared with his permission).
January 8, 2026 at 5:38 PM
Martin Peterson's creative response to being banned from teaching Plato (shared with his permission).
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Nature, or rather, climate experts, always find a way. The billion dollar disasters report that the Trump admin tried to squash is now out via Climate Central. www.cnn.com/2026/01/08/c...
Private sector revives the climate disaster database Trump tried to squash | CNN
In the US last year there were 23 separate billion-dollar weather and climate disasters, adding up to a total of $115 billion in damages. The database that tracks these costs used to be maintained by ...
www.cnn.com
January 8, 2026 at 7:13 PM
Nature, or rather, climate experts, always find a way. The billion dollar disasters report that the Trump admin tried to squash is now out via Climate Central. www.cnn.com/2026/01/08/c...
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Just had a discussion with my aunt about her orange cat:
AUNT: Well, you know, he was born with a condition.
ME: Orange?
AUNT: He was born with two conditions—
AUNT: Well, you know, he was born with a condition.
ME: Orange?
AUNT: He was born with two conditions—
December 24, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Just had a discussion with my aunt about her orange cat:
AUNT: Well, you know, he was born with a condition.
ME: Orange?
AUNT: He was born with two conditions—
AUNT: Well, you know, he was born with a condition.
ME: Orange?
AUNT: He was born with two conditions—
Reposted by Clair Barnes
This isn't a debate about policy design or differing paths to the same goal
One is a plan to allow more emissions (and therefore, more harm / death), and one is a plan to *at least try* to reduce that harm.
The 'debate' is about whether we should let fossil fuels kill people, or try to stop that
One is a plan to allow more emissions (and therefore, more harm / death), and one is a plan to *at least try* to reduce that harm.
The 'debate' is about whether we should let fossil fuels kill people, or try to stop that
December 21, 2025 at 7:34 PM
This isn't a debate about policy design or differing paths to the same goal
One is a plan to allow more emissions (and therefore, more harm / death), and one is a plan to *at least try* to reduce that harm.
The 'debate' is about whether we should let fossil fuels kill people, or try to stop that
One is a plan to allow more emissions (and therefore, more harm / death), and one is a plan to *at least try* to reduce that harm.
The 'debate' is about whether we should let fossil fuels kill people, or try to stop that
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Rare footage of St Paul’s Cathedral testing its giant flamethrower
December 21, 2025 at 8:37 AM
Rare footage of St Paul’s Cathedral testing its giant flamethrower
Reposted by Clair Barnes
It's time for this year's installment of the Gingerbread Pubs of St Albans! This is the fourth year I've been recreating the iconic, historic pubs of St Albans, England in gingerbread, and giving them as a gift to the pubs. Read on for lots of pictures and details! 🧵 #stalbans #gingerbread
December 21, 2025 at 8:57 AM
It's time for this year's installment of the Gingerbread Pubs of St Albans! This is the fourth year I've been recreating the iconic, historic pubs of St Albans, England in gingerbread, and giving them as a gift to the pubs. Read on for lots of pictures and details! 🧵 #stalbans #gingerbread
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Generations from now, when historians study this period where we have perfect understanding of the problem, and brilliant, readily available solutions with all the resources necessary to implement them, they'll study cases like this to try to figure out why we kept drilling holes in our lifeboat.
November 28, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Generations from now, when historians study this period where we have perfect understanding of the problem, and brilliant, readily available solutions with all the resources necessary to implement them, they'll study cases like this to try to figure out why we kept drilling holes in our lifeboat.
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Well now that's upsetting.
We are now further away from the theatrical release of Raiders of the Lost Ark (June 12, 1981) than it was from the year it takes place in (1936). We have reached the Indiana Jones event horizon.
November 27, 2025 at 5:54 AM
Well now that's upsetting.
Reposted by Clair Barnes
“Climate change isn’t everything“ is becoming a go-to justification for delaying action.
This is - deliberately or inadvertently - a misframing of the issue. The point isn’t CC is everything, it’s that it’s essential to deal with.
1/
This is - deliberately or inadvertently - a misframing of the issue. The point isn’t CC is everything, it’s that it’s essential to deal with.
1/
November 24, 2025 at 6:07 AM
“Climate change isn’t everything“ is becoming a go-to justification for delaying action.
This is - deliberately or inadvertently - a misframing of the issue. The point isn’t CC is everything, it’s that it’s essential to deal with.
1/
This is - deliberately or inadvertently - a misframing of the issue. The point isn’t CC is everything, it’s that it’s essential to deal with.
1/
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Watch, @fisherdanar.bsky.social , @davidho.bsky.social and me talk about corporate capture, cat capture and where we think things climate could be in 5 years. cece.american.edu/copout-episo...
November 21, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Watch, @fisherdanar.bsky.social , @davidho.bsky.social and me talk about corporate capture, cat capture and where we think things climate could be in 5 years. cece.american.edu/copout-episo...
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Researching this week's column, I stumbled across something that amazed me:
the near-absence of reliable data about climate impacts over most of the
world. Due to the rich world's failure to fund research. We don't know
because our governments don't care. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
the near-absence of reliable data about climate impacts over most of the
world. Due to the rich world's failure to fund research. We don't know
because our governments don't care. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
There’s a catastrophic black hole in our climate data – and it’s a gift to deniers | George Monbiot
Climate sceptics tell us that more people die of extreme cold than extreme heat. What’s the truth? asks Guardian columnist George Monbiot
www.theguardian.com
November 21, 2025 at 8:07 AM
Researching this week's column, I stumbled across something that amazed me:
the near-absence of reliable data about climate impacts over most of the
world. Due to the rich world's failure to fund research. We don't know
because our governments don't care. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
the near-absence of reliable data about climate impacts over most of the
world. Due to the rich world's failure to fund research. We don't know
because our governments don't care. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Stories on BBC News - a street brawl which helpfully tells us those involved were “of Turkish origin” and another about a sex offender “Sudanese” but an extremely prolific sex offender responsible for 343 offences is not described as “white British” why is that
November 12, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Stories on BBC News - a street brawl which helpfully tells us those involved were “of Turkish origin” and another about a sex offender “Sudanese” but an extremely prolific sex offender responsible for 343 offences is not described as “white British” why is that
Reposted by Clair Barnes
Do climate conferences actually achieve anything? A lot of people have strong opinions, but we wanted measurements, so we look at how the stock market moves during yearly international meetings called COPs – explanation below, or read the paper here:
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
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iopscience.iop.org
November 6, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Do climate conferences actually achieve anything? A lot of people have strong opinions, but we wanted measurements, so we look at how the stock market moves during yearly international meetings called COPs – explanation below, or read the paper here:
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Reposted by Clair Barnes
