Dominik Schraff
@dschraff.bsky.social
Associate Professor of Political Science, Aalborg University 🇩🇰
EU | Comparative Political Behavior | Inequality | Democratic Trust & Legitimacy
EU-NED
www.dominikschraff.com
EU | Comparative Political Behavior | Inequality | Democratic Trust & Legitimacy
EU-NED
www.dominikschraff.com
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
📊 Chart of the week: EU allowance allocation and verified emissions by sector, 2005-2024
⚓ The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness
🖋️ Thomas Mramor and @tagliapietra.bsky.social
🔗 buff.ly/43w2vgH
#EconSky
⚓ The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness
🖋️ Thomas Mramor and @tagliapietra.bsky.social
🔗 buff.ly/43w2vgH
#EconSky
January 25, 2026 at 12:01 PM
📊 Chart of the week: EU allowance allocation and verified emissions by sector, 2005-2024
⚓ The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness
🖋️ Thomas Mramor and @tagliapietra.bsky.social
🔗 buff.ly/43w2vgH
#EconSky
⚓ The 2026 review of the EU ETS must be anchored in facts and focus on the potential benefits of the system to EU competitiveness
🖋️ Thomas Mramor and @tagliapietra.bsky.social
🔗 buff.ly/43w2vgH
#EconSky
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Friendly reminder: "If one side says it's raining and the other says it is dry, it is NOT your job to quote them both. Your job is to look out of the window and see which is the truth." – 101 Journalism
See through the lies. You're the watchdog. Bark. Bark as loud as you can.
See through the lies. You're the watchdog. Bark. Bark as loud as you can.
January 25, 2026 at 8:24 AM
Friendly reminder: "If one side says it's raining and the other says it is dry, it is NOT your job to quote them both. Your job is to look out of the window and see which is the truth." – 101 Journalism
See through the lies. You're the watchdog. Bark. Bark as loud as you can.
See through the lies. You're the watchdog. Bark. Bark as loud as you can.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Today, the European Parliament voted to put the Mercosur trade agreement to the European Court of Justice for review.
It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
This just in: The #EP requests judicial review by the ECJ on the Mercosur Trade Deal with an ultra-thin majority of 10 votes.
More in-depth analysis will follow, but the majority was formed in probably the wildest way yet - relevant shares of votes from all groups.
howtheyvote.eu/votes/183884
More in-depth analysis will follow, but the majority was formed in probably the wildest way yet - relevant shares of votes from all groups.
howtheyvote.eu/votes/183884
Vote results: Request for opinion from the Court of Justice on the compatibility with the Treaties of the proposed EU-Mercosur Partnership Agreement (EMPA) and Interim Trade Agreement (ITA)
Find out how the Members of the European Parliament voted.
howtheyvote.eu
January 21, 2026 at 3:09 PM
Today, the European Parliament voted to put the Mercosur trade agreement to the European Court of Justice for review.
It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
It was a politically momentous decision, very tight and carried by an unusual majority, so it is worth looking a bit deeper into it.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
We hear it all the time:
Since the turn of the 2010s, thanks to the rise of tech, the US has pulled ahead economically.
This idea is everywhere from Washington to Davos—and it's paralyzing Europe
But it's simply not true!
Let's look at what's really happening, with charts🧵
Since the turn of the 2010s, thanks to the rise of tech, the US has pulled ahead economically.
This idea is everywhere from Washington to Davos—and it's paralyzing Europe
But it's simply not true!
Let's look at what's really happening, with charts🧵
January 20, 2026 at 8:59 PM
We hear it all the time:
Since the turn of the 2010s, thanks to the rise of tech, the US has pulled ahead economically.
This idea is everywhere from Washington to Davos—and it's paralyzing Europe
But it's simply not true!
Let's look at what's really happening, with charts🧵
Since the turn of the 2010s, thanks to the rise of tech, the US has pulled ahead economically.
This idea is everywhere from Washington to Davos—and it's paralyzing Europe
But it's simply not true!
Let's look at what's really happening, with charts🧵
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
👉Our findings suggest that the perception of scientific integrity is severely threatened during crisis – right when expertise and guidance may be needed the most.👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com
January 21, 2026 at 6:17 AM
👉Our findings suggest that the perception of scientific integrity is severely threatened during crisis – right when expertise and guidance may be needed the most.👇
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
BREAKING: Germany now on board with readying the anti-coercion instrument against 🇺🇸
“There is a legally established European toolbox for responding to economic blackmail...we should now consider using these measures,” 🇩🇪finance minister and vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil just said in Berlin.
“There is a legally established European toolbox for responding to economic blackmail...we should now consider using these measures,” 🇩🇪finance minister and vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil just said in Berlin.
January 19, 2026 at 9:11 AM
BREAKING: Germany now on board with readying the anti-coercion instrument against 🇺🇸
“There is a legally established European toolbox for responding to economic blackmail...we should now consider using these measures,” 🇩🇪finance minister and vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil just said in Berlin.
“There is a legally established European toolbox for responding to economic blackmail...we should now consider using these measures,” 🇩🇪finance minister and vice chancellor Lars Klingbeil just said in Berlin.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Good timing for this @kiel.institute study on who is actually paying for Trump's tariffs (short answer: not the exporters):
January 19, 2026 at 9:53 AM
Good timing for this @kiel.institute study on who is actually paying for Trump's tariffs (short answer: not the exporters):
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
While some in Europe still wonder whether Trump's US would honour Art. 5 of the NATO treaty, he is arguably breaking Art. 2 with little regard by employing conflict in international economic policy to blackmail allies:
January 18, 2026 at 8:25 AM
While some in Europe still wonder whether Trump's US would honour Art. 5 of the NATO treaty, he is arguably breaking Art. 2 with little regard by employing conflict in international economic policy to blackmail allies:
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Feels like something cracked today in the transatlantic alliance. Europeans have been swallowing their pride, bitting their tongues, and bending the knee. That strategy may have bought them time but it has now clearly failed. It also had a major cost - it has made the WH think Europe will cave. 1/
January 18, 2026 at 3:04 AM
Feels like something cracked today in the transatlantic alliance. Europeans have been swallowing their pride, bitting their tongues, and bending the knee. That strategy may have bought them time but it has now clearly failed. It also had a major cost - it has made the WH think Europe will cave. 1/
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
What European leaders have been most nervous about is the US pulling back on NATO or Ukraine… but how can Europe trust the US will come to its defense if its trying to seize territory from a NATO country. They can’t. So why cave to keep a security commitment that is not real. 6/
January 18, 2026 at 3:04 AM
What European leaders have been most nervous about is the US pulling back on NATO or Ukraine… but how can Europe trust the US will come to its defense if its trying to seize territory from a NATO country. They can’t. So why cave to keep a security commitment that is not real. 6/
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
This is on the money from @pkrugman.bsky.social IMHO.
“European deterrence has worked. This is basically a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”
“European deterrence has worked. This is basically a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”
January 17, 2026 at 8:09 PM
This is on the money from @pkrugman.bsky.social IMHO.
“European deterrence has worked. This is basically a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”
“European deterrence has worked. This is basically a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
The 10% tariff will presumably come on top of the 15% rate introduced by the EU-US trade deal. But the text of the agreement says the 15% rate is “all inclusive”, which means no additional tariffs can be stacked.
If Trump goes ahead with the 10%, the entire deal will inevitably fall apart.
If Trump goes ahead with the 10%, the entire deal will inevitably fall apart.
🚨 Donald Trump says he will impose a 10% tariff on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Finland in retaliation for deploying soldiers to protect Greenland.
Effective 1st of February, he says.
Effective 1st of February, he says.
January 17, 2026 at 5:57 PM
The 10% tariff will presumably come on top of the 15% rate introduced by the EU-US trade deal. But the text of the agreement says the 15% rate is “all inclusive”, which means no additional tariffs can be stacked.
If Trump goes ahead with the 10%, the entire deal will inevitably fall apart.
If Trump goes ahead with the 10%, the entire deal will inevitably fall apart.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Who’s going to defend Greenland (assuming it wants to be defended)?
Does the mutual solidarity clause apply to Greenland (and who decides about it)?
verfassungsblog.de/greenland-an...
Does the mutual solidarity clause apply to Greenland (and who decides about it)?
verfassungsblog.de/greenland-an...
Greenland and US Annexation Threats
verfassungsblog.de
January 16, 2026 at 2:04 PM
Who’s going to defend Greenland (assuming it wants to be defended)?
Does the mutual solidarity clause apply to Greenland (and who decides about it)?
verfassungsblog.de/greenland-an...
Does the mutual solidarity clause apply to Greenland (and who decides about it)?
verfassungsblog.de/greenland-an...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
We’re organizing a workshop at Aarhus University. Please share and consider submitting!
🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized
🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)
🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized
🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)
January 15, 2026 at 1:52 PM
We’re organizing a workshop at Aarhus University. Please share and consider submitting!
🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized
🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)
🗓️ 13–14 April 2026 | 📝 Deadline: Mon, 16 Feb 2026 (extended abstract) — junior scholars prioritized
🎤 Keynotes: @stefwalter.bsky.social (Univ. of Zurich) & @hhuang.bsky.social (Ohio State)
Our Department at Aalborg University is hiring an Associate Professor in Sociology with a focus on quantitative methods: www.stillinger.aau.dk/videnskabeli...
Associate Professor in sociology with focus on quantitative methods
At The Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Department of Society and Politics, a position as Associate Professor in Sociology with focus on quantitati...
www.stillinger.aau.dk
January 15, 2026 at 10:25 AM
Our Department at Aalborg University is hiring an Associate Professor in Sociology with a focus on quantitative methods: www.stillinger.aau.dk/videnskabeli...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Official confirmation of German participation in European troop deployment to Greenland. First Bundeswehr soldiers to arrive tomorrow. 🇪🇺 / NATO solidarity in action.
January 14, 2026 at 7:57 PM
Official confirmation of German participation in European troop deployment to Greenland. First Bundeswehr soldiers to arrive tomorrow. 🇪🇺 / NATO solidarity in action.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
What do people in England think about their local area? In this short report I take a look at surveys we conducted with @yougov.co.uk in 2022, 2024 and 2025 to gain some insights...
Some key findings...
Some key findings...
Perspectives on Place: what the English think about their local area
www.southampton.ac.uk
January 13, 2026 at 9:21 AM
What do people in England think about their local area? In this short report I take a look at surveys we conducted with @yougov.co.uk in 2022, 2024 and 2025 to gain some insights...
Some key findings...
Some key findings...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
This is something I wondered about before. There is never a really big moment to celebrate a big EU decision. Like in this case, the vote in the European Parliament is still needed, but by the time that comes around it will be seen as just a confirmation. Still, as Martin says, big decision.
The EU really knows how to hide its light under a bushel. It has just passed the world's biggest trade deal (with Mercosur) - using a written procedure among ambassadors, making the public barely notices a huge strategic step forward for Europe. Contrast with Trump's made-for-TV signing ceremonies.
January 9, 2026 at 1:07 PM
This is something I wondered about before. There is never a really big moment to celebrate a big EU decision. Like in this case, the vote in the European Parliament is still needed, but by the time that comes around it will be seen as just a confirmation. Still, as Martin says, big decision.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Emmanuel Macron has just confirmed that France will vote against the EU-Mercosur trade deal.
The vote is scheduled to take place tomorrow. If Italy votes yes, as it has telegraphed it will, there will be a qualified majority in favour and Ursula von der Leyen will be able to sign it in Paraguay.
The vote is scheduled to take place tomorrow. If Italy votes yes, as it has telegraphed it will, there will be a qualified majority in favour and Ursula von der Leyen will be able to sign it in Paraguay.
January 8, 2026 at 6:21 PM
Emmanuel Macron has just confirmed that France will vote against the EU-Mercosur trade deal.
The vote is scheduled to take place tomorrow. If Italy votes yes, as it has telegraphed it will, there will be a qualified majority in favour and Ursula von der Leyen will be able to sign it in Paraguay.
The vote is scheduled to take place tomorrow. If Italy votes yes, as it has telegraphed it will, there will be a qualified majority in favour and Ursula von der Leyen will be able to sign it in Paraguay.
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
Who is really “running” the European Parliament right now?
On the margins of the geopolitical changes, the shifts in the EU are also accelerating. In my newest EU-Analytics, I dug into all final votes from December 2025 – and the shift of power to the centre-right & far right is accelerating:
On the margins of the geopolitical changes, the shifts in the EU are also accelerating. In my newest EU-Analytics, I dug into all final votes from December 2025 – and the shift of power to the centre-right & far right is accelerating:
EU Analytics December 2025 review
The change of guards at the European Parliament is picking up speed
open.substack.com
January 7, 2026 at 11:16 AM
Who is really “running” the European Parliament right now?
On the margins of the geopolitical changes, the shifts in the EU are also accelerating. In my newest EU-Analytics, I dug into all final votes from December 2025 – and the shift of power to the centre-right & far right is accelerating:
On the margins of the geopolitical changes, the shifts in the EU are also accelerating. In my newest EU-Analytics, I dug into all final votes from December 2025 – and the shift of power to the centre-right & far right is accelerating:
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
New mix: inflation at about 2%, growth at about 1%.
Not great, but not catastrophic either. www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Not great, but not catastrophic either. www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Euro zone inflation dips, growth holds up, backing ECB's sanguine narrative
Inflation slowed more than expected in some of the euro zone's biggest economies last month while economic growth held up, confirming views that price pressures have largely dissipated and the bloc co...
www.reuters.com
January 6, 2026 at 2:51 PM
New mix: inflation at about 2%, growth at about 1%.
Not great, but not catastrophic either. www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Not great, but not catastrophic either. www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
This is exactly right. No Europe, less U.S. global influence. 👇
„But Europe’s greatest value to its transatlantic ally is as a legitimacy engine. (…) With Europe in tow, American preferences were transmuted into those of “the West”, or indeed into global norms.
economist.com/europe/2025/...
„But Europe’s greatest value to its transatlantic ally is as a legitimacy engine. (…) With Europe in tow, American preferences were transmuted into those of “the West”, or indeed into global norms.
economist.com/europe/2025/...
Why America still needs Europe
Without European “followership”, America ceases to be a leader
economist.com
January 3, 2026 at 9:19 AM
This is exactly right. No Europe, less U.S. global influence. 👇
„But Europe’s greatest value to its transatlantic ally is as a legitimacy engine. (…) With Europe in tow, American preferences were transmuted into those of “the West”, or indeed into global norms.
economist.com/europe/2025/...
„But Europe’s greatest value to its transatlantic ally is as a legitimacy engine. (…) With Europe in tow, American preferences were transmuted into those of “the West”, or indeed into global norms.
economist.com/europe/2025/...
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
New in @bjpols.bsky.social!
Dave Hope, @lhaffert.bsky.social and I show that low taxes on the rich have a hidden cost: They undermine public support for broad-based taxation. 🖋️ cup.org/45lgPwN
Dave Hope, @lhaffert.bsky.social and I show that low taxes on the rich have a hidden cost: They undermine public support for broad-based taxation. 🖋️ cup.org/45lgPwN
December 29, 2025 at 1:37 PM
New in @bjpols.bsky.social!
Dave Hope, @lhaffert.bsky.social and I show that low taxes on the rich have a hidden cost: They undermine public support for broad-based taxation. 🖋️ cup.org/45lgPwN
Dave Hope, @lhaffert.bsky.social and I show that low taxes on the rich have a hidden cost: They undermine public support for broad-based taxation. 🖋️ cup.org/45lgPwN
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social -
Monitoring coalition partners in the EU: strategic committee appointments in the European Parliament - https://cup.org/3NjynDg
- @pitrieger.bsky.social
#FirstView
Monitoring coalition partners in the EU: strategic committee appointments in the European Parliament - https://cup.org/3NjynDg
- @pitrieger.bsky.social
#FirstView
December 29, 2025 at 1:20 PM
#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social -
Monitoring coalition partners in the EU: strategic committee appointments in the European Parliament - https://cup.org/3NjynDg
- @pitrieger.bsky.social
#FirstView
Monitoring coalition partners in the EU: strategic committee appointments in the European Parliament - https://cup.org/3NjynDg
- @pitrieger.bsky.social
#FirstView
Reposted by Dominik Schraff
A transatlantic showdown over tech policy (as opposed to, say, net zero) could actually have a unifying & galvanising political effect within the EU. The union’s digital regulations are broadly popular and many voters actually want more, not fewer, controls on Big Tech.
yougov.co.uk/technology/a...
yougov.co.uk/technology/a...
December 24, 2025 at 2:07 PM
A transatlantic showdown over tech policy (as opposed to, say, net zero) could actually have a unifying & galvanising political effect within the EU. The union’s digital regulations are broadly popular and many voters actually want more, not fewer, controls on Big Tech.
yougov.co.uk/technology/a...
yougov.co.uk/technology/a...