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Tiago Ventura @tiagoventura.bsky.social · 2d

How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?

Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):

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Jacob Edenhofer @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social · 4d

Let me add this forthcoming paper by Besley et al (in the @qjeharvard.bsky.social), which, I think, provides a nice micro-foundation for between-cohort variation in zero-sum attitudes. They define “growth experience” as the average GDP growth an individual has lived through since birth, weighted by

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Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 6d

Very pleased to say my new article is out @polstudies.bsky.social ! In it I compare single individuals to those with partners with different past vote choices/party identifications and demonstrate that this is associated with an individual's own vote choice. doi.org/10.1177/0032...

Partner Effects and Gender Gaps in Vote Choice in the United Kingdom: Brexit and Subsequent Elections - Ceri Fowler, 2025

This article explores differences in voting behaviour between those that were single and those that had a Eurosceptic or Europhile partner at the United Kingdom...

doi.org

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Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 21d

🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)?

➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

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Will Jennings 🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · Sep 3

Oh look, Labour has spent months targeting the wrong voters.

The British Election Study @britishelectionstudy.com · Sep 3

Labour's next biggest losses are to left-liberal parties (Liberal Democrats and Greens).

Reform's growth in support has mostly come from the Conservatives and non-voting (much less from Labour).

These reflect patterns of party-bloc voting that we saw in the 2024 UK GE: tinyurl.com/y5pv7thw

Alluvial plot showing the flow of support from vote in the 2024 UK General Election to vote intention in 2025 Wave 30 of the British Election Study Internet Panel.

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John Sides @johnsides.bsky.social · Sep 3

Imagine asking people two questions -- whether each of these is a good or bad way to run a govt:

1) having a democratic political system

2) having a strong leader who does not have to bother with parliament and elections

What percent says *both* are good?

44%!

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Francesco Raffaelli @fraraffaelli.bsky.social · Aug 21

✨Very happy to see my paper "Attitudinal ambivalence toward multiculturalism" out on @jeppjournal.bsky.social !

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

1/8 🧵

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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · Jun 3

I'm recruiting 2 PhD researchers to work with me on a project studying how social groups influence vote choices!

Info on the position and how to apply 👉 www.kuleuven.be/personeel/jo...

Please share with interested students who would like to move to beautiful Leuven!

2 PhD positions in Electoral behavior

2 PhD positions to research how social group memberships become connected to vote choices

www.kuleuven.be

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · May 28

New preprint w/ @grahn.bsky.social & @joenoonan.se

What happens when the world's most powerful democracy rolls back core liberal values? 🇺🇸

In this paper, we show how US liberal retrenchment, especially on women’s rights & LGBTQ+ equality, damages US global standing.

📄 doi.org/10.31219/osf...

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · May 26

This is a very interesting observational paper for those working on gendered dynamics of far-right, descriptive rep & femonationalism

Does women's descriptive rep. lower anti-gender discourse among far-right? No, it *increases* it (according to parl speech data 2009-2023)

doi.org/10.1177/1465...

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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · May 16

🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar.

We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads.

What we find is disturbing:

osf.io/preprints/os...

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Maria Sobolewska @profsob.bsky.social · May 13

What an extremely relevant graph for what happened yesterday

James David Griffiths @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social · May 12

BONUS GRAPH
In 2024, Reform voters strongly disliked Labour – and vice versa.

Supporters of other left-liberal parties also disliked Reform.

It seems hard for Labour to make Reform voters like them (if they even could) without alienating their current or potential base…

Like ratings for the major political parties by pre-referendum/pre-election vote intention in 2016, 2019, and 2024, excluding the party that someone said they'd vote for

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Ed Kelly @edmundkelly.bsky.social · May 6

Does political trust cause political participation?

In this paper, James Tilley, Sven Oskarsson and I use twin data to argue that the correlation is largely explained by confounding with family background.

Just accepted @thejop.bsky.social:

www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

Revisiting the link between political trust and political participation | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja

www.journals.uchicago.edu

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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · Mar 11

Moving right on immigration: no evidence that it weakens the far right
Cutting social and public spending: solid evidence that it strengthens the far right
So what does the Labour party - obsessing over the threat by Reform - do? Moves right on immigration and cuts social spending

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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · Jan 22

New research alert! Our study investigates the effectiveness of human-only, AI-assisted, and AI-led teams in assessing the reproducibility of quantitative social science research. We've got some surprising findings!

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Ed Kelly @edmundkelly.bsky.social · Feb 7

Happy to share that my paper (w/ James Tilley) is now out in @bjpols.bsky.social

We show that expenses misconduct by British MPs was not associated with political distrust among their constituents.

Open access here: doi.org/10.1017/S000...

British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · Jan 31

#OpenAccess from our latest issue -

Misconduct by Voters' Own Representatives Does Not Affect Voters' Generalized Political Trust - cup.org/40ZhYsp

- Edmund Kelly & James Tilley

BJPolS abstract of a study discussing how financial scandals involving politicians might not significantly reduce voter trust or support in the United Kingdom, based on survey and statistical analysis.

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Kenn Rushworth @kennrushworth.bsky.social · Jan 27

I'm assisting @robfordmancs.bsky.social in organising this ECR event for UK in a Changing Europe.

Get your papers in, come to Manchester, enjoy the rain, have a drink, go home, tell your mates how good it was.

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Institute for Replication @i4replication.bsky.social · Mar 4

We are hiring a Postdoctoral student for our AI program.

15-month position to start Spring 2024 – 75 000 USD per year. The work can be done remotely or in Ottawa, Canada. Travel funding will also be provided.

Applications to be submitted to Abel Brodeur [email protected]

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · Dec 16

What else can you call this but fascism? What would you say if you saw it in another country? www.cnn.com/2023/12/16/p...

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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · Dec 6

An interesting paper on support for long-term policy making (journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....), with evidence that political trust matters for boosting support.

Alternative evidence to a recent paper of mine (osf.io/7hazf) that finds a null effect. 🌐

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Ed Kelly @edmundkelly.bsky.social · Dec 5

Very pleased to see our work on social values published as part of UK in a Changing Europe's new public opinion report (ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/u...).

Here's a thread from @leonardocarella.bsky.social summarizing our main findings:

Leonardo Carella @leonardocarella.bsky.social · Dec 5

Glad to see my work with @edmundkelly.bsky.social on social values out as part of UK in a Changing Europe's report on the State of Public Opinion. ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/u...

ukandeu.ac.uk

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Katharina Lawall @katharinalawall.bsky.social · Dec 1

🚨Do echo chambers polarize? Yes! 🚨Very excited that our paper “The Polarizing Effect of Partisan Echo Chambers” w @sarahobolt.bsky.social and James Tilley has been published FirstView at APSR! Link: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... Thread 👇1/n

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Gaia Ghirardi @gaiaghirardi.bsky.social · Nov 30

New sociogenomics WP!

Does family SES moderate the impact of children’s genetic predisposition for (non)cognitive skills on educational outcomes?

2nd WP of my thesis by a strong interdisciplinary team: Gil-Hernández, @fabriberna.bsky.social, van Bergen @perlinedemange.bsky.social! ✨

Interaction of family SES with children’s genetic propensity for cognitive and noncognitive skills...

This study examines the role of genes and environments in predicting educational outcomes. We test the Scarr-Rowe hypothesis, suggesting that enriched environments enable genetic potential to unfold, ...

publications.jrc.ec.europa.eu

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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · Nov 25

Interested in climate policy and/or political trust? Especially in Germany? Then I've a paper for you, accepted at Journal of Public Policy. 🌐

⁉️We ask why people support particular climate policies.

The literature on (political) trust shows that trust increases support for costly policy.

Nope.

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Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · Nov 23

Last time I'll bother people with this, but you've a few hours to submit a paper for this joint sessions on all things trust, democracy, and trustworthiness. The lineup is looking like you'd get great feedback👇🌐

Daniel Devine @danjdevine.bsky.social · Oct 23

Very happy that our workshop for the
ECPR joint sessions was accepted: on democracy, trust, and trustworthiness. 🌐

Details below and here ecpr.eu/Events/Event...

You can propose papers from tomorrow until 23rd November - a month today!

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