Policy in the Future
@policyfuture.bsky.social
16 followers 21 following 200 posts
Just thinking about what comes next
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
policyfuture.bsky.social
Plus, it'll inoculate you from panic/misinformation, as you realize that... Just people come in, are on the list, vote, then those votes are counted, called in, and that there's no real space to hide a conspiracy the way we do it
policyfuture.bsky.social
Noting a *massive* need for people to take the day off and work elections where they live. Average ages off the charts, and having friendly/young/professional/evenhanded folks be there to help voters is so important for the survival of everything we care about.
policyfuture.bsky.social
Folks who haven't been in election admin are wrong about so much on these points, just so much incorrect folk wisdom in this area that creates weird herding and memeing, high danger of falling into conspiracies, and oftentimes, yeah, it's an op
policyfuture.bsky.social
Machines are under control of state/local authorities, manufacturers have been owned by Rs before (and since manufacturers of *anything* are often R...). Don't listen to pundits/columnists, listen to BoE folks (usually from both parties), neutral experts. It's nothing to panic about at this point.
policyfuture.bsky.social
This particular line of complaint doesn't have to get all the way to choosing sides to be consequential, it only has to get to "tax strikes"
policyfuture.bsky.social
"we're a small team"???? Bro, 10% of the world's on-paper wealth relies on you making a product that people would pay for
policyfuture.bsky.social
My worry is that companies feel like they need to tighten up/restrict the greyzone that fan works operate under as a side effect of their defense against the AI tools.

Would be a nasty surprise for a younger generation of fan artists who have benefitted from the uneasy truce in recent years.
Reposted by Policy in the Future
robfahey.net
Unless Takaichi as LDP leader can show a side of herself that's never been apparent in her career to date, this is going to be a disaster. Lots of very glum faces among the senior LDP faces up on stage right now; they no doubt suspect that the turkeys just voted for Christmas.
policyfuture.bsky.social
Another first female national leader from a far-right faction that doesn't get a lot of votes from women! Historians will have a lot to say about this period and the period before when pro-feminist left factions failed to promote women to top spots...
myhlee.bsky.social
BREAKING: Sanae Takaichi has been elected leader of the LDP, and is set to become Japan’s first female prime minister.
policyfuture.bsky.social
Feels like the Used Car Dealership Feudalism types who love this aesthetic also won't sign their kids up to participate...
policyfuture.bsky.social
This morning's little speeches are going to be a, uh, challenge for recruiters?
policyfuture.bsky.social
Good luck to all of the military recruiters heading out to college campuses this morning looking to meet their quotas.
policyfuture.bsky.social
Remembering that mostly military folks aren't lifers, but return to our communities. Hegseths' vision is to send our families and workplaces a cadre who are traumatized, abusive, lethal, insular, and steeped in impunity.
policyfuture.bsky.social
Good resource for any gamers who may decide to never send money to a Saudi/Kushner owned company, here's a list of EA franchises. Remember, the faster EA goes bust, the quicker these properties get sold off to other studios!

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Categor...
Reposted by Policy in the Future
eschatonblog.com
experiences differ, but for some of us this was more what 2002 was like
www.mnftiu.cc/category/gyw...
policyfuture.bsky.social
Let me be the first to say it. GATE: A Rich Text
policyfuture.bsky.social
Also, an anime that shows a sort of military fetishism that's so alien to compare to the weird version we have in the US. Probably something to keep in the back pocket conceptually depending on how American History proceeds actually...
policyfuture.bsky.social
Of the many baffling aspects of GATE, the core issue was how odd it was as JSDF propaganda: They showed the appeal of a certain jockey hyper-competence, but paired it with an intensely COIN-era critique of the sort of conflicts that a militarized Japan would actually end up in!
policyfuture.bsky.social
A. I appreciate every city getting it's "visible but dumb if you've ever been to the city" National Mall moment.

B. Gonna get cold and windy downtown in a couple weeks, gonna be some miserable folks standing around
aaroninchicago.bsky.social
ICE boats trawling the Chicago River. This is the DUMBEST thing I've seen in my entire life. No exaggeration. What's next? Humvees loaded with armed, masked agents patrolling Disney's Main Street U.S.A.?

#Chicago
policyfuture.bsky.social
Normies still broadly trust the Supreme Court, and generally think it's out here as a fair institution. Adjusting that perspective to reflect reality is every day becoming a higher and higher priority, but is going to be a challenge!!
ndhapple.bsky.social
Congress has the power of the purse; but no one has standing to challenge the administration’s refusal to spend the money appropriated by Congress as Congress intended … is quite the position!
kyledcheney.bsky.social
BREAKING: The Supreme Court rules 6-3 to allow Trump’s “pocket rescission” of $4 billion in foreign aid funding, ruling that it’s unlikely the groups suing have standing to pursue the claim and that Trump’s foreign policy power outweighs their purported harms.
policyfuture.bsky.social
Yeah, this is bad enough as an attack on Congress without casually adding a whole new Article II power/interest out of thin air which could be applied to a bunch of other areas? And of course, only for Republican Presidents, goes without saying.
policyfuture.bsky.social
Also: Impoundment is the entire ballgame, because it creates a slush fund for the executive branch to use without any oversight or democratic assent. It *is* the end of constitutional legitimacy in the broad sense. Tax strikes are the natural next step when this occurs.
Reposted by Policy in the Future
beijingpalmer.bsky.social
until there's a Republican congress and a Democratic president, in which case it will suddenly be very important.

the country cannot function as a real democracy with corrupt, partisan serial liars controlling the Supreme Court; it has to be the first priority of a new administration.
jessemackinnon.com
so article i is just dead dead
kelseyreichmann.bsky.social
BREAKING: Supreme Court lets Trump unilaterally freeze billions in congressionally appropriated foreign aid money

apparent 6-3 vote with liberals in dissent @courthousenews.bsky.social
policyfuture.bsky.social
Reminder that the word "foreign" does not appear in Article II of the Constitution, and this concept in this shadow docket decision that the international policy preferences of the President should supercede laws that Congress passes has zero textual support.
kelseyreichmann.bsky.social
BREAKING: Supreme Court lets Trump unilaterally freeze billions in congressionally appropriated foreign aid money

apparent 6-3 vote with liberals in dissent @courthousenews.bsky.social
policyfuture.bsky.social
~$100 in revenue from everyone in the US within 5 years seems... optimistic when 50% of the population will never touch AI, and the only product people seem to want badly enough to pay for are "chatbots that eat souls"

Bubble!
mims.bsky.social
*The AI boom = one of the costliest building sprees in world history

* Past 3 years' commitments are greater than the cost of building the U.S. interstate highway system

* Consumers must spend $800 billion on AI within a few years, to justify investment from 2023-24

www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ai-b...
This week, consultants at Bain & Co. estimated the wave of AI infrastructure spending will require $2 trillion in annual AI revenue by 2030. By comparison, that is more than the combined 2024 revenue of Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta and Nvidia, and more than five times the size of the entire global subscription software market.

Morgan Stanley estimates that last year there was around $45 billion of revenue for AI products. The sector makes money from a combination of subscription fees for chatbots such as ChatGPT and money paid to use these companies’ data centers.

How the tech sector will cover the gap is “the trillion dollar question,” said Mark Moerdler, an analyst at Bernstein.