Jesse “ElectionSky When?” Bacon
@treyf.bsky.social
Sr Digital Organizing Manager at Indivisible these several years, IndivisiUnion forever. Still @Trayf on the x place. “They are a slow swimmer, but he always knows when to breathe.” I can opt you out.
He is the first presidential candidate I can remember from his 1984 run. We share a first and a middle name which meant i supported him as a 7 year old but my child self was totally correct. I was part of a small group of high school teachers he spoke to at his Alma mater in our library
Thinking of Jesse Jackson and those who love him rn. I wasn't old enough to vote in 1988 but I went to see him when he campaigned in Omaha and he set the bar high for what to expect from a candidate. I still have the campaign button I got that day. 🕯️
www.cnn.com/2025/11/16/u...
www.cnn.com/2025/11/16/u...
Rev. Jesse Jackson receiving a form of life support after being hospitalized last week, a family source says | CNN
Civil rights leader Rev. Jesse Jackson remains hospitalized and is now receiving a form of life support to stabilize his blood pressure, a source close to Jackson’s family told CNN on Sunday.
www.cnn.com
November 17, 2025 at 4:50 AM
He is the first presidential candidate I can remember from his 1984 run. We share a first and a middle name which meant i supported him as a 7 year old but my child self was totally correct. I was part of a small group of high school teachers he spoke to at his Alma mater in our library
Since the real Hercules Mulligan was a slaveholder, he'd probably take this job. Also this doesn't scream confidence to me in them being able to defend their gerrymander at the ballot box
WTF, the Kansas City Star is reporting that a mysterious group hired a fake 'campaign canvasser' who'd join the effort to collect signatures to halt the GOP's gerrymander... but who'd be a spy on the inside.
www.kansascity.com/news/politic...
www.kansascity.com/news/politic...
Inside mysterious push to block signature-gathering against Missouri redistricting
The source of the contract remains a mystery. But its existence has raised alarm as Missouri gears up for a potential statewide vote.
www.kansascity.com
November 12, 2025 at 9:16 PM
Since the real Hercules Mulligan was a slaveholder, he'd probably take this job. Also this doesn't scream confidence to me in them being able to defend their gerrymander at the ballot box
Always read Dave Karpf on movement org structures!
There was an NYT piece last week about the Sierra Club, and (by extension) the current state of the climate movement.
I think they got three big things wrong.
davekarpf.substack.com/p/every-gene...
I think they got three big things wrong.
davekarpf.substack.com/p/every-gene...
Every generation gets to recreate the environmental movement to suit its own purposes
Some big-picture reactions to a recent NYT piece
davekarpf.substack.com
November 12, 2025 at 8:11 PM
Always read Dave Karpf on movement org structures!
This is so awful that i hope the specter of it encourages them NOT to do a full teardown
Derek Falvey wants to build on what the #MNTwins already have in place. But if the Twins continue to tear it down, Byron Buxton might be open to waiving his no-trade clause.
www.nytimes.com/athletic/680...
www.nytimes.com/athletic/680...
Byron Buxton could reconsider Twins future if roster teardown continues
After professing his desire to remain with in Minnesota for the remainder of his career, Buxton could now be having second thoughts.
www.nytimes.com
November 12, 2025 at 6:37 PM
This is so awful that i hope the specter of it encourages them NOT to do a full teardown
All my favorites in one place, this is @jlray.bsky.social ‘s music/work
Fascinating poll from @the-downballot.com!
And I've gotta say, The Downballot has a best-in-class #Substack. Definitely worth a subscription, or at least a #BlueSky follow!
They cover all elections, from Chuck Schumer primary challenges to Katie Wilson for Seattle mayor. They'll keep you informed!
And I've gotta say, The Downballot has a best-in-class #Substack. Definitely worth a subscription, or at least a #BlueSky follow!
They cover all elections, from Chuck Schumer primary challenges to Katie Wilson for Seattle mayor. They'll keep you informed!
After racking up decisive wins across the country last week, how can Democrats keep up the momentum at the ballot box next year, when Congress will be on the line?
An exclusive poll for The Downballot offers an answer.
An exclusive poll for The Downballot offers an answer.
November 11, 2025 at 6:13 PM
All my favorites in one place, this is @jlray.bsky.social ‘s music/work
I was lucky to be at college and just was against whatever people seemed to like. This worked out much better than me avoiding ultimate frisbee
I was in sixth grade and it was the first movie I ever watched where I was "this is definitely not good" and I was at the age where I presumed a movie in a theater = good
Of course everyone is allowed to like what they like, but this widespread prequel rehabilitation blows my mind. I was 9 when the phantom menace came out, and didn’t like it then. Do you know how bad a space movie had to be for me to not like it at age 9?
November 11, 2025 at 12:03 AM
I was lucky to be at college and just was against whatever people seemed to like. This worked out much better than me avoiding ultimate frisbee
Another left wing win in the offing?
JUST IN: Katie Wilson is now ahead of Mayor Bruce Harrell in the Seattle mayoral race.
Stay tuned for details on today's count.
Stay tuned for details on today's count.
November 10, 2025 at 11:56 PM
Another left wing win in the offing?
Lets just beat them every month. And as Aftyn’s former colleague I can tell you she will not be kind to cavers.
To everyone mad at Chuck Schumer's leadership and the government shutdown ending w/o protections for healthcare:
The best way to get the GOP to reinstate ACA subsidies?
Win elections. Make them scared.
#TN07 election is in 24 days.
A Dem upset is possible.
Donate. Volunteer. SUPPORT AFTYN BEHN!
The best way to get the GOP to reinstate ACA subsidies?
Win elections. Make them scared.
#TN07 election is in 24 days.
A Dem upset is possible.
Donate. Volunteer. SUPPORT AFTYN BEHN!
24 DAYS UNTIL WE MAKE HISTORY.
Now is our time. Thank you to the @DNC chair, Ken Martin, for coming to Nashville, and to all of those who canvassed yesterday.
Remember, talking to voters is the only way we’re going to win— sign up today
🔗 Link in bio
Now is our time. Thank you to the @DNC chair, Ken Martin, for coming to Nashville, and to all of those who canvassed yesterday.
Remember, talking to voters is the only way we’re going to win— sign up today
🔗 Link in bio
November 10, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Lets just beat them every month. And as Aftyn’s former colleague I can tell you she will not be kind to cavers.
Wait is Kirsten Dunst performing the musical from Muppets Take Manhattan in Spider Man 3?!
November 10, 2025 at 2:16 AM
Wait is Kirsten Dunst performing the musical from Muppets Take Manhattan in Spider Man 3?!
You might have! And you might still have the electoral map in your head
Might you have missed some of the depth of Tuesday's results, beyond the big headline races?
I'd been watching roughly 200 races heading into Election Day, so here's a thread of some of what you don't want to skip over!
🧵
I'd been watching roughly 200 races heading into Election Day, so here's a thread of some of what you don't want to skip over!
🧵
November 9, 2025 at 9:39 PM
You might have! And you might still have the electoral map in your head
It still wasn’t just blue cities having local elections: the sequel
Georgia Dems also win several state legislative seats in both chambers that Trump had won by more than 20 points (the darkest red on the maps on the left in this thread).
They even won a few House seats that Trump had won by more than 30 points
They even won a few House seats that Trump had won by more than 30 points
Dems won Georgia’s Public Service Commission elections by 25-point landslides—their largest for any office since 1998—and improved over 2024 everywhere.
These maps compare results by state House district for:
2024 president (left) - 96-84 Trump majority
2025 PSC seat 3 (right) - 115-65 Dem majority
These maps compare results by state House district for:
2024 president (left) - 96-84 Trump majority
2025 PSC seat 3 (right) - 115-65 Dem majority
November 9, 2025 at 5:13 PM
It still wasn’t just blue cities having local elections: the sequel
It wasn’t just blue cities having local elections
In Georgia’s statewide races on Tuesday, the two Democratic candidates won 8 counties where, in 2024, Kamala Harris had received UNDER 40%.
via: almanacofamericanpolitics.substack.com/p/democrats-...
via: almanacofamericanpolitics.substack.com/p/democrats-...
November 9, 2025 at 5:12 PM
It wasn’t just blue cities having local elections
November 9, 2025 at 5:12 PM
Reposted by Jesse “ElectionSky When?” Bacon
Sigh. I apologize on our behalf.
Meet gen X: middle-aged, enraged and radicalised by internet bile | Gaby Hinsliff
Who is driving the populist insurgency? It’s not grumpy pensioners or vulnerable teenagers – it’s my generation, says Guardian columnist Gaby Hinsliff
www.theguardian.com
November 9, 2025 at 4:46 PM
Sigh. I apologize on our behalf.
Going to make some and send to the ADL tip line
The Mamdani political sign generator is kinda fun https://homes.luddy.indiana.edu/ccshan/for/for.html
November 9, 2025 at 1:50 PM
Going to make some and send to the ADL tip line
Reposted by Jesse “ElectionSky When?” Bacon
I knew it would take less than a day for a tiktok dj to make something.
November 5, 2025 at 12:13 PM
I knew it would take less than a day for a tiktok dj to make something.
I initially read his remarks as saying they would pass more Big Beautiful Bills, but of course it's just more voter suppression. That's going to be pretty hard to pass through federal legislation?
Trump's new response to epic GOP losses? Pushing Rs to end early and mail voting entirely. Rather than course correct, the answer is: Gerrymander GOP states, make voting much harder, rig midterms.
On the pod, Dem operative Jessica Post is so good on all this:
newrepublic.com/article/2028...
On the pod, Dem operative Jessica Post is so good on all this:
newrepublic.com/article/2028...
Unraveling Trump Accidentally Blurts Out Secret Plan to Rig 2026
As Trump’s excuses for GOP losses worsen and he calls for rigging the midterms in response, a Democratic operative explains why his schemes could still be a problem—and how Democrats should respond.
newrepublic.com
November 7, 2025 at 2:06 PM
I initially read his remarks as saying they would pass more Big Beautiful Bills, but of course it's just more voter suppression. That's going to be pretty hard to pass through federal legislation?
Ha well the gerrymandering one is already not going well
Trump's new response to epic GOP losses? Pushing Rs to end early and mail voting entirely. Rather than course correct, the answer is: Gerrymander GOP states, make voting much harder, rig midterms.
On the pod, Dem operative Jessica Post is so good on all this:
newrepublic.com/article/2028...
On the pod, Dem operative Jessica Post is so good on all this:
newrepublic.com/article/2028...
Unraveling Trump Accidentally Blurts Out Secret Plan to Rig 2026
As Trump’s excuses for GOP losses worsen and he calls for rigging the midterms in response, a Democratic operative explains why his schemes could still be a problem—and how Democrats should respond.
newrepublic.com
November 7, 2025 at 1:58 PM
Ha well the gerrymandering one is already not going well
It’s not just that Trump has to stop digging, at this point he has to find some way to turn things around , like what would his version of a Dobbs decision look like?
Also: This was all utterly predictable. The change in subgroup results from 2024 to 25 is highly correlated with change in Trump's approval ratings among key demographic groups from Jan to Nov.
If you had a subscription to Strength In Numbers, you saw this coming: www.gelliottmorris.com/subscribe
If you had a subscription to Strength In Numbers, you saw this coming: www.gelliottmorris.com/subscribe
November 7, 2025 at 1:08 PM
It’s not just that Trump has to stop digging, at this point he has to find some way to turn things around , like what would his version of a Dobbs decision look like?
A re-realignment!
Dem gains in this week's elections erased the inroads Trump made with non-white, young, and low-income voters in 2024. In fact, the R-to-D shift from 24 to 25 is double Trump's gains from 20-24. Claims of a GOP political realignment have been highly exaggerated
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-win...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-win...
Trump's winning 2024 coalition has evaporated
Claims of a conservative realignment of non-whites, the working class, and young voters have been highly exaggerated
www.gelliottmorris.com
November 7, 2025 at 1:07 PM
A re-realignment!
Didn't help that the CA GOP gave up and spent like $27 on it, guess they could the polls better than that pundit
In short, Prop 50 was pretty much the only notable race on the ballot in California, so just about everyone showing up to vote was gonna be motivated by that ballot measure. And it was an extremely partisan issue that broke down along partisan lines. In CA, that's never gonna be good for the GOP.
November 6, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Didn't help that the CA GOP gave up and spent like $27 on it, guess they could the polls better than that pundit
"This is in keeping with my advice to the Democrats! Which was ... that they didn’t need to get their act together or emphasize the perfect set of issues or pick the correct campaign themes, because the overwhelming driver of these elections will be the popularity or lack thereof of the president."
My election wrap, mostly forward looking, covering lots of ground briefly - including my irresponsible speculation about one reason the conventional wisdom was so certain that the party didn't have its act together. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/after-the-...
After the Elections
A mostly forward-looking wrap.
goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com
November 6, 2025 at 5:56 PM
"This is in keeping with my advice to the Democrats! Which was ... that they didn’t need to get their act together or emphasize the perfect set of issues or pick the correct campaign themes, because the overwhelming driver of these elections will be the popularity or lack thereof of the president."
I almost forgot about the "polling only 51%" tweet! Never Forget.
Since it seems to be victory lap day, we're gonna take one, too. One prominent reporter said in mid-Sept. that a poll showing Prop 50 up 17 points had Dems "quite spooked"—because of conventional wisdom about ballot measure polls.
We explained why that CW might be wrong. Prop 50 beat the polls.
We explained why that CW might be wrong. Prop 50 beat the polls.
Morning Digest: New independent poll shows voters approving California remap
And why the received wisdom about ballot measure polling might be wrong
www.the-downballot.com
November 6, 2025 at 5:49 PM
I almost forgot about the "polling only 51%" tweet! Never Forget.
If you haven’t listened to the Downballot recap yet did the election even happen ?
New podcast episode! We dive *deep* into every important theme and takeaway we could think of for Tuesday's extraordinary elections—including how Latino voters moved back to Dems, why normies are showing far more spine than elites, and what it all means for 2026.
It's a great listen—check it out!
It's a great listen—check it out!
Holy crap, what an election!
Listen now | What the heck just happened, and what does it all mean? We've gotchu!
www.the-downballot.com
November 6, 2025 at 4:00 PM
If you haven’t listened to the Downballot recap yet did the election even happen ?
🔮😢
November 6, 2025 at 3:45 PM
🔮😢