Ziya Meral
ziyameral.bsky.social
Ziya Meral
@ziyameral.bsky.social
1.8K followers 990 following 350 posts
Lecturer @SOAS, Senior Associate Fellow @RUSI & the European Leadership Network.. Middle East/Turkey, international security, defence, diplomacy, climate security.. Belfast resident.. Posts likely to include poetry, baking and pics of Rathlin Island.
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A few reached out asking about my silence on social media.. I have decided to take a step back in life to reflect and use my free time and few years ahead to restore this old walled garden on Rathlin island and re-open it as a vibrant haven.. On left garden now, on right an inspiration from Scotland
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Turkey-Syria defense cooperation in effect: “One source said around 300 Syrians, mostly soldiers, but also some police officers, are currently being trained at two bases in central and eastern Turkey.” www.middleeasteye.net/news/turkey-...
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In other words, the coalition of the willing is unwilling to help until Ukraine doesn't need its help. Surely at some point someone has to realise that this approach just incentivises Putin to keep the war going?
On troop deployment:

Macron *very* clear twice: only the day *after* the ceasefire, and any deployment must be part of a "ceasefire, a truce, or a peace agreement". In other words: no European boots on the ground before an agreement.
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Outstanding news that should be shared.
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📣 I'm actively looking for new journalism assignments, writing or editing gigs, or other work that uses my communications skills, ideally to make positive social, cultural, or environmental impact. Check out what I do and hit me up if you have projects that might be a match! www.jenniferhattam.com
Jennifer Hattam
Freelance journalist in Istanbul covering culture, environment, social issues, and urban spaces
www.jenniferhattam.com
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Wow!

I have found that Musk's support of Advance UK and Operation Raise the Colours (the flags campaign) has skewed the X algorithm so that Tommy Robinson posts now have greater reach than those of Nigel Farage.

Statistics in this thread.
"Musk acts as Kingmaker"

Musk switching allegiance from Reform UK to Advance UK impacts their reach on X and has real-world consequences.

So says Musk's AI bot Grok (which I ask, so Musk can't dismiss the analysis so easily).

Follow me here and on ko-fi (link in bio) for my full analysis.

1/5
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Elon Musk, one of the world’s most powerful and richest men is posting far right ideology. Remigration is commonly seen as a far right concept of ethnic cleansing. To deport migrants and their descendants to their place of racial ancestry. That would include me. Why are we not talking about this?
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The EU is weighing legal ways to bypass unanimity in foreign policy, Bloomberg reports. A group of 12 countries backs shifting to qualified majority voting to speed up decisions on Ukraine and Russia, often blocked by Hungary.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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The first ever successful & impactful cyber-physical attack on European critical infrastructure outside of Ukraine? “Russian hackers took control of a Norwegian dam this year, opening a floodgate and allowing water to flow unnoticed for four hours, Norway’s intelligence service has said.”
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“Europe is risking its political soul. It has put itself in a situation in which leaders cannot say publicly what they are actually trying to do. That is a recipe for distrust and a poison for democracy”

on.ft.com/3HH41Ze
Europe is selling its soul to Trump
What masquerades as pragmatism is self-harming opportunism
on.ft.com
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Conversation with Paul Krugman appeared just a little while ago. We discuss the war in Ukraine, and the appalling state of military analysis, the power of groupthink, etc. We also delve into my new book, War and Power. Enjoy.

open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
Talking With Phillips O'Brien
As the war goes on ...
open.substack.com
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With the recent flurry of diplomatic activity this past week, there has been renewed interest in the proposed 'Multinational Force Ukraine'.

I write here on the proposed structure of this Reassurance Force, its pros, cons, and the question over its strategic utility.
Reassurance Force Redux: Ukraine and the Allies
On deploying western forces to Ukraine
crackingdefence.substack.com
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Trump unpromptedly shows reporters a photo of Putin and himself, who he says may be a guest at next year's World Cup in the US:

"I'm going to sign this for him... I thought it was a nice picture of him."

Putin bombed an American non-military factory in Ukraine yesterday.
Agree
eciu.net ECIU @eciu.net · Aug 22
Block Elon Musk’s bid to supply UK home energy, Ed Davey urges

Lib Dem leader says giving Tesla a foothold in Britain’s energy market could be national security risk.
Block Elon Musk’s bid to supply UK home energy, Ed Davey urges
Exclusive: Lib Dem leader says giving Tesla a foothold in Britain’s energy market could be national security risk
buff.ly
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BREAKING: A Ukrainian citizen suspected of participating in the undersea explosions in 2022 that damaged the Nord Stream gas pipelines between Russia and Germany has been arrested, German prosecutors said.
Ukrainian suspected in the Nord Stream pipeline blasts arrested in Italy, German prosecutors say
German prosecutors have announced the arrest of a Ukrainian citizen suspected of involvement in the 2022 Nord Stream gas pipeline explosions.
bit.ly
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I have not heard anything at all from government ministers nor the opposition nor many media outlets about the dangers of this epidemic of sweeping casual racism. It is sometimes seen as comical - as with Rupert Lowe and the rowers - but it is dangerous and dehumanising
Lol
Putin is not willing to meet with Zelensky now or in the future, — CNN