Greg White
@gpwhite.bsky.social
Husband, dad, brother, uncle. Rower. Former compliance technology PM/BA, mutual fund operations manager.
Reposted by Greg White
A whale went on Polymarket a few days ago & earned $400,000 correctly predicting Maduro's capture.
@emmarjanssen.bsky.social had already been studying how easy it would be for White House officials to use prediction markets to self-enrich based on their own policy decisions.
This is a great report.
@emmarjanssen.bsky.social had already been studying how easy it would be for White House officials to use prediction markets to self-enrich based on their own policy decisions.
This is a great report.
Monetizing Regime Change - The American Prospect
It is trivially easy for administration officials to use prediction markets to bet on the policies they authorize. We may have just seen it in Venezuela.
prospect.org
January 5, 2026 at 2:31 PM
A whale went on Polymarket a few days ago & earned $400,000 correctly predicting Maduro's capture.
@emmarjanssen.bsky.social had already been studying how easy it would be for White House officials to use prediction markets to self-enrich based on their own policy decisions.
This is a great report.
@emmarjanssen.bsky.social had already been studying how easy it would be for White House officials to use prediction markets to self-enrich based on their own policy decisions.
This is a great report.
Reposted by Greg White
Stephen Miller is employing state terror in service of the open goal of shifting the ethnic mix of the country. In numerous ways he's doing this at the expense of public safety.
We spent weeks reporting on Miller's real aims. Here's the result. We hope you'll read:
newrepublic.com/article/2041...
We spent weeks reporting on Miller's real aims. Here's the result. We hope you'll read:
newrepublic.com/article/2041...
Inside Stephen Miller’s Dark Plot to Build a MAGA Terror State
He is descended from Russian Jews—you know, the kind of people who were once denounced as alien and unassimilable. Today, his project is to unleash government persecution of those he deems alien and u...
newrepublic.com
December 15, 2025 at 12:31 PM
Stephen Miller is employing state terror in service of the open goal of shifting the ethnic mix of the country. In numerous ways he's doing this at the expense of public safety.
We spent weeks reporting on Miller's real aims. Here's the result. We hope you'll read:
newrepublic.com/article/2041...
We spent weeks reporting on Miller's real aims. Here's the result. We hope you'll read:
newrepublic.com/article/2041...
Reposted by Greg White
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/10/o... I'm unreasonably pleased that the end of this fantastic piece provides a NYT shortlist of opinion pieces on "reclaiming the constitution" that includes my own. There's something in the air that both pick up on.
Opinion | The Constitution Doesn’t Belong to Trump or the Supreme Court
www.nytimes.com
October 11, 2025 at 6:42 PM
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/10/o... I'm unreasonably pleased that the end of this fantastic piece provides a NYT shortlist of opinion pieces on "reclaiming the constitution" that includes my own. There's something in the air that both pick up on.
Reposted by Greg White
"The lack of responsiveness happened because the agency had fired hundreds of contractors at call centers, according to a person briefed on the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity in order to discuss internal matters."
FEMA Didn’t Answer Thousands of Calls From Flood Survivors, Documents Show
www.nytimes.com
July 11, 2025 at 11:46 PM
"The lack of responsiveness happened because the agency had fired hundreds of contractors at call centers, according to a person briefed on the matter who spoke on the condition of anonymity in order to discuss internal matters."
Reposted by Greg White
Reposted by Greg White
I'm really struck by the number of people who are taking Trump's "I was playing 4D chess in the Middle East all along" bullshit seriously. Struck...and, candidly, kind of embarrassed for those people. www.thedailybeast.com/how-iran-str...
How Iran Strikes Put Trump’s Impotence on Full Embarrassing Display
All the reasons Trump is the opposite of a 4-D chess player are on brutal display in the Tehran rubble.
www.thedailybeast.com
June 13, 2025 at 2:33 PM
I'm really struck by the number of people who are taking Trump's "I was playing 4D chess in the Middle East all along" bullshit seriously. Struck...and, candidly, kind of embarrassed for those people. www.thedailybeast.com/how-iran-str...
Reposted by Greg White
My piece in @bylinetimes.bsky.social on the clashing but equally delusional worldviews shaping Trump administration foreign policy. www.bylinesupplement.com/p/a-multipol...
A Multipolar Superpower: How Trump's Foreign Policy is a Confused, Outdated Mess
Trump's America is guided by two conflicting – but equally flawed – views of the world and its place within it, argues Dr Ruth Deyermond
www.bylinesupplement.com
April 24, 2025 at 3:02 PM
My piece in @bylinetimes.bsky.social on the clashing but equally delusional worldviews shaping Trump administration foreign policy. www.bylinesupplement.com/p/a-multipol...
Reposted by Greg White
Term 2 Trump foreign policy - from tariffs to NATO to soft power to China and Russia - is an epic mess. One reason seems to be that the administration is operating with two conflicting, equally flawed, views of the world and the US's place in it. 🧵
April 8, 2025 at 6:37 PM
Term 2 Trump foreign policy - from tariffs to NATO to soft power to China and Russia - is an epic mess. One reason seems to be that the administration is operating with two conflicting, equally flawed, views of the world and the US's place in it. 🧵
Reposted by Greg White
Translation: it's easier to force women to have more babies if we make it harder for them to go to college.
Heritage: "reducing federal higher education subsidies and loan cancellation that place the federal thumb on the scale in favor of spending years in postsecondary work of questionable value will help young Americans to start and expand their families." www.heritage.org/education/re...
Education Policy Reforms Are Key Strategies for Increasing the Married Birth Rate
The fertility rate in the United States has dropped to 1.6,
www.heritage.org
March 13, 2025 at 7:29 PM
Translation: it's easier to force women to have more babies if we make it harder for them to go to college.
Reposted by Greg White
„Members of the so-called Five Eyes spy alliance, as well as Israeli and Saudi officials, fear the identities of foreign assets could inadvertently be shared with Moscow.“
March 6, 2025 at 11:13 AM
„Members of the so-called Five Eyes spy alliance, as well as Israeli and Saudi officials, fear the identities of foreign assets could inadvertently be shared with Moscow.“
Reposted by Greg White
In the past few days (in the wake of last week's town halls), there's been more reporting on how Trump is managing discomfort among weak members of Article I. Nothing surprising, but worth noting.
www.emptywheel.net/2025/03/06/t...
www.emptywheel.net/2025/03/06/t...
Trump's Article I Management - emptywheel
Thus far, Trump is making a sustained attack on the United States and Republican Members of Congress are still easily bought off with tailored exemptions rather than policies that serve the common goo...
www.emptywheel.net
March 6, 2025 at 10:58 AM
In the past few days (in the wake of last week's town halls), there's been more reporting on how Trump is managing discomfort among weak members of Article I. Nothing surprising, but worth noting.
www.emptywheel.net/2025/03/06/t...
www.emptywheel.net/2025/03/06/t...
Reposted by Greg White
Does 538 have archives that Nate Silver couldn't take with him when he left ABC? Will they let him have those archives now? I'm talking about data, under-the-hood stuff that readers don't see.
March 5, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Does 538 have archives that Nate Silver couldn't take with him when he left ABC? Will they let him have those archives now? I'm talking about data, under-the-hood stuff that readers don't see.
Reposted by Greg White
Campaign finance has profoundly changed since Citizens United. The overall story is one of growing inequality. But the patterns differ by party—and do so in ways that help explain the GOP's oligarchical tendencies.
These charts break down the evolving landscape and provide some context. 🧵
These charts break down the evolving landscape and provide some context. 🧵
February 7, 2025 at 11:46 PM
Campaign finance has profoundly changed since Citizens United. The overall story is one of growing inequality. But the patterns differ by party—and do so in ways that help explain the GOP's oligarchical tendencies.
These charts break down the evolving landscape and provide some context. 🧵
These charts break down the evolving landscape and provide some context. 🧵
Reposted by Greg White
The DOGE firings have nothing to do with “efficiency” or “cutting waste.” They’re a direct push to weaken federal agencies perceived as liberal. This was evident from the start, and now the data confirms it: targeted agencies overwhelmingly those seen as more left-leaning. 🧵⬇️
February 20, 2025 at 2:18 AM
The DOGE firings have nothing to do with “efficiency” or “cutting waste.” They’re a direct push to weaken federal agencies perceived as liberal. This was evident from the start, and now the data confirms it: targeted agencies overwhelmingly those seen as more left-leaning. 🧵⬇️
Reposted by Greg White
How many federal workers would DOGE need to fire to make up for Musk not paying his fair share of taxes?
Answer: 677,000. That's 44% of the entire non-DoD federal workforce.
Again, this power grab is not about the budget. It’s about politics.
Answer: 677,000. That's 44% of the entire non-DoD federal workforce.
Again, this power grab is not about the budget. It’s about politics.
February 21, 2025 at 1:12 AM
How many federal workers would DOGE need to fire to make up for Musk not paying his fair share of taxes?
Answer: 677,000. That's 44% of the entire non-DoD federal workforce.
Again, this power grab is not about the budget. It’s about politics.
Answer: 677,000. That's 44% of the entire non-DoD federal workforce.
Again, this power grab is not about the budget. It’s about politics.
Reposted by Greg White
My open letter to Elon Musk.👇
Mr. Musk,
You recently criticized me and another prominent lawyer fighting for the rule of law and democracy in the United States. I am used to being attacked for my work, particularly on the platform you own and dominate. www.democracydocket.com/opinion/my-o...
Mr. Musk,
You recently criticized me and another prominent lawyer fighting for the rule of law and democracy in the United States. I am used to being attacked for my work, particularly on the platform you own and dominate. www.democracydocket.com/opinion/my-o...
My Open Letter to Elon Musk
From Marc | Elon Musk recently posted on his site that another lawyer and I are “undermining civilization.” This is my response.
www.democracydocket.com
February 22, 2025 at 8:25 PM
My open letter to Elon Musk.👇
Mr. Musk,
You recently criticized me and another prominent lawyer fighting for the rule of law and democracy in the United States. I am used to being attacked for my work, particularly on the platform you own and dominate. www.democracydocket.com/opinion/my-o...
Mr. Musk,
You recently criticized me and another prominent lawyer fighting for the rule of law and democracy in the United States. I am used to being attacked for my work, particularly on the platform you own and dominate. www.democracydocket.com/opinion/my-o...
Reposted by Greg White
Here's what's so alarming: Even after Trump has trampled the Constitution and coddled Putin, he is MORE popular than last November. To many voters, Democrats aren't a credible alternative. To constrain Trump, liberals must understand voters better, hence: www.nytimes.com/2025/02/22/o...
Opinion | A Book Club for Bewildered Democrats (Gift Article)
Democrats will have no shot at containing Trump if they don’t first understand why voters turn to him.
www.nytimes.com
February 22, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Here's what's so alarming: Even after Trump has trampled the Constitution and coddled Putin, he is MORE popular than last November. To many voters, Democrats aren't a credible alternative. To constrain Trump, liberals must understand voters better, hence: www.nytimes.com/2025/02/22/o...
Reposted by Greg White
2nd #Trump Admin draft on handover of #Ukraine rare earth minerals was virtually unchanged from 1st
#Zelensky again rejects proposal
#UkraineWar #TrumpRussia
#Zelensky again rejects proposal
#UkraineWar #TrumpRussia
#UkraineWar, Day 1,095: #Trump Administration Threatens to Cut #Starlink for #Kyiv
#Ukraine #TrumpRussia
eaworldview.com/2025/02/ukra...
#Ukraine #TrumpRussia
eaworldview.com/2025/02/ukra...
Ukraine War, Day 1,095: Trump Administration Threatens to Cut Starlink for Kyiv - EA WorldView
Trump Administration threatens to cut Ukraine access to Starlink satellite internet terminals if Kyiv does not hand over rare earth minerals.
eaworldview.com
February 22, 2025 at 2:00 PM
2nd #Trump Admin draft on handover of #Ukraine rare earth minerals was virtually unchanged from 1st
#Zelensky again rejects proposal
#UkraineWar #TrumpRussia
#Zelensky again rejects proposal
#UkraineWar #TrumpRussia
Reposted by Greg White
So they removed the black chairman of the Joint Chiefs in the middle of his 4-year tour, without cause, and they're seeking to replace him with a white **retired** Air Force three-star general who lacks the requisite experience as a service chief or combatant commander? Huh, how about that
February 22, 2025 at 1:34 AM
So they removed the black chairman of the Joint Chiefs in the middle of his 4-year tour, without cause, and they're seeking to replace him with a white **retired** Air Force three-star general who lacks the requisite experience as a service chief or combatant commander? Huh, how about that
Reposted by Greg White
US threatens to shut off Starlink if Ukraine doesn’t sign minerals deal. Starlink is essential for Ukraine’s battlefield comms.
This is the equivalent of FDR threatening to arm the Nazis if Europe didn’t sign over half its resources.
Extortion. And utterly unforgivable. Hell awaits.
This is the equivalent of FDR threatening to arm the Nazis if Europe didn’t sign over half its resources.
Extortion. And utterly unforgivable. Hell awaits.
US threatens to shut off Starlink if Ukraine won't sign minerals deal, sources tell Reuters
The U.S. first raised the prospect of shutting off Starlink service after Zelensky rejected the deal presented on Feb. 12. Starlink terminals are critical in securing Ukraine's battlefield communicati...
kyivindependent.com
February 22, 2025 at 11:54 AM
US threatens to shut off Starlink if Ukraine doesn’t sign minerals deal. Starlink is essential for Ukraine’s battlefield comms.
This is the equivalent of FDR threatening to arm the Nazis if Europe didn’t sign over half its resources.
Extortion. And utterly unforgivable. Hell awaits.
This is the equivalent of FDR threatening to arm the Nazis if Europe didn’t sign over half its resources.
Extortion. And utterly unforgivable. Hell awaits.
Reposted by Greg White
1/2 If there were doubt that Trump aspires to dictatorship, this EO shld remove it. Not only purports to abolish indepndnt agencies, but bars any exec branch employee from advancing interpretation of law contrary to that of President.
This is the Führerprinzip.
www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
This is the Führerprinzip.
www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
Ensuring Accountability for All Agencies
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered:
www.whitehouse.gov
February 19, 2025 at 5:23 AM
1/2 If there were doubt that Trump aspires to dictatorship, this EO shld remove it. Not only purports to abolish indepndnt agencies, but bars any exec branch employee from advancing interpretation of law contrary to that of President.
This is the Führerprinzip.
www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
This is the Führerprinzip.
www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
Reposted by Greg White
It's not just that Francis proves JD Vance wrong, it's that in the process he gives us a way to keep our heads screwed on straight despite the Trump administration's dishonesty and crazy-making: dandadad.com/the-goniff-t...
The Goniff, the Pontiff, and the Ordo Amoris
Important lessons emerge from Francis' rebuke of JD Vance, some of them immediate and political, some with the unmistakable stench of the ultimate.
dandadad.com
February 20, 2025 at 1:13 PM
It's not just that Francis proves JD Vance wrong, it's that in the process he gives us a way to keep our heads screwed on straight despite the Trump administration's dishonesty and crazy-making: dandadad.com/the-goniff-t...
Reposted by Greg White
