“Critics fear this could reproduce yet another hybrid regime—an electoral authoritarian order with a different geopolitical alignment (closer to the U.S. and Israel rather than Russia and China) and a more explicit ethnonationalist discourse rather than Islamist ideology.”
Good discussion by someone tracking social movements in Iran for years, Kadivar. “once a contentious episode begins, diffusion dynamics can accelerate participation beyond what structural conditions alone would predict—through inspiration, shared emotions, & the rapid spread of information.”
Two Weeks into Iran’s Protest Wave: A New Phase
Anti-regime protests in Iran have now lasted for two weeks, and in recent days they appear to have entered a new phase.
alikadivar.substack.com
January 10, 2026 at 3:11 PM
“Critics fear this could reproduce yet another hybrid regime—an electoral authoritarian order with a different geopolitical alignment (closer to the U.S. and Israel rather than Russia and China) and a more explicit ethnonationalist discourse rather than Islamist ideology.”
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Blowing up a Russian sub in its own port while simultaneously hacking into Russian surveillance cameras to watch it is quite the flex!
First Combat Use of Underwater Kamikaze Drones: Russian Kilo class Submarine Disabled in Novorossiysk
The Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) has carried out a special operation in the port of Novorossiysk, marking the first-ever combat use of underwater kamikaze drones.
The Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) has carried out a special operation in the port of Novorossiysk, marking the first-ever combat use of underwater kamikaze drones.
December 15, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Blowing up a Russian sub in its own port while simultaneously hacking into Russian surveillance cameras to watch it is quite the flex!
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Over the past few years, Beijing has been mirroring the U.S. economic-security toolkit. China is developing its own architecture to manage risk, preserve chokepoints, and respond in kind. It's also learning from the United States.
October 12, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Over the past few years, Beijing has been mirroring the U.S. economic-security toolkit. China is developing its own architecture to manage risk, preserve chokepoints, and respond in kind. It's also learning from the United States.
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
A quiet bombshell in Europe’s tech world
The Dutch government seems to have effectively frozen operations of Nexperia, the Chinese-owned chipmaker, citing national security, according to corporate filing today - via @zichenwanghere
The Dutch government seems to have effectively frozen operations of Nexperia, the Chinese-owned chipmaker, citing national security, according to corporate filing today - via @zichenwanghere
Dutch govt accused of freezing operations of Chinese semiconductor giant's chipmaker Nexperia
Wingtech, the Shanghai-listed parent, denounces what it essentially calls a boardroom coup involving the Dutch government and local executives
open.substack.com
October 12, 2025 at 3:22 PM
A quiet bombshell in Europe’s tech world
The Dutch government seems to have effectively frozen operations of Nexperia, the Chinese-owned chipmaker, citing national security, according to corporate filing today - via @zichenwanghere
The Dutch government seems to have effectively frozen operations of Nexperia, the Chinese-owned chipmaker, citing national security, according to corporate filing today - via @zichenwanghere
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
“52% of all autocratization episodes become U-Turns, which increases to 73% when focusing on the last 30 years. The vast majority of U-Turns (90%) lead to restored or even improved levels of democracy”
V-Dem data
V-Dem data
When autocratization is reversed: episodes of U-Turns since 1900
The world is in a “wave of autocratization.” Yet, recent events in Brazil, the Maldives, and Zambia demonstrate that autocratization can be halted and reversed. This article introduces “U-Turn” as ...
www.tandfonline.com
September 20, 2025 at 4:05 PM
“52% of all autocratization episodes become U-Turns, which increases to 73% when focusing on the last 30 years. The vast majority of U-Turns (90%) lead to restored or even improved levels of democracy”
V-Dem data
V-Dem data
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
My mom called me last night about the Kimmel firing, saying "This is how Hitler got started!" I quickly responded, "By firing the late night tv hosts?"
Turns out, mom was right.
Turns out, mom was right.
September 18, 2025 at 8:27 PM
My mom called me last night about the Kimmel firing, saying "This is how Hitler got started!" I quickly responded, "By firing the late night tv hosts?"
Turns out, mom was right.
Turns out, mom was right.
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
I add new research, new conclusions, and venture into new territory including existence pain and the role of the artist.
terikanefield.com/heres-why/
Special thanks to @karenstenner.bsky.social and @leorzmigrod.bsky.social who helped me understand how to pull this all together.
2/
terikanefield.com/heres-why/
Special thanks to @karenstenner.bsky.social and @leorzmigrod.bsky.social who helped me understand how to pull this all together.
2/
- Teri Kanefield
Part I: Why Intolerance and Extremism Happen Introduction In September 2024, I visited Chile for the national independence festivities and a reunion for my husband and his siblings. I learned that an ...
terikanefield.com
August 30, 2025 at 7:16 PM
I add new research, new conclusions, and venture into new territory including existence pain and the role of the artist.
terikanefield.com/heres-why/
Special thanks to @karenstenner.bsky.social and @leorzmigrod.bsky.social who helped me understand how to pull this all together.
2/
terikanefield.com/heres-why/
Special thanks to @karenstenner.bsky.social and @leorzmigrod.bsky.social who helped me understand how to pull this all together.
2/
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Is your global security architecture crumbling? Have you considered listening to synthpop?
June 19, 2025 at 3:48 AM
Is your global security architecture crumbling? Have you considered listening to synthpop?
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Terrified by the russian shelling, the dog jumped into the river in Kharkiv and couldn’t get out on his own. First responders arrived by boat to rescue him. For us in Ukraine, every life matters.
May 14, 2025 at 12:48 PM
Terrified by the russian shelling, the dog jumped into the river in Kharkiv and couldn’t get out on his own. First responders arrived by boat to rescue him. For us in Ukraine, every life matters.
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
A Pope from Villanova?! Knicks in Four.
May 8, 2025 at 5:17 PM
A Pope from Villanova?! Knicks in Four.
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Hegel is right on this one: cynicism is indistinguishable from conservatism in practice.
Nothing can change and nothing should change are the same position.
Nothing can change and nothing should change are the same position.
We must expect and demand that the executive branch follow the law.
We must expect and demand that the executive branch comply with court orders.
To expect and demand anything less is a form of obeying in advance.
Defeatism is a form of surrender.
We must expect and demand that the executive branch comply with court orders.
To expect and demand anything less is a form of obeying in advance.
Defeatism is a form of surrender.
April 17, 2025 at 5:08 PM
Hegel is right on this one: cynicism is indistinguishable from conservatism in practice.
Nothing can change and nothing should change are the same position.
Nothing can change and nothing should change are the same position.
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
China is more overtly pursuing a security role in Southeast Asia, using military exchanges and policing. It’s a challenge the US’s traditional sway in that realm, but it also threaten the region’s ability to balance between the superpowers. New story from me: open.substack.com/pub/thedatel...
China’s muscle follows its money into Southeast Asia
China is Southeast Asia's leading trade partner, and it's being "very, very bold" about expanding its security presence there.
open.substack.com
April 4, 2025 at 5:02 AM
China is more overtly pursuing a security role in Southeast Asia, using military exchanges and policing. It’s a challenge the US’s traditional sway in that realm, but it also threaten the region’s ability to balance between the superpowers. New story from me: open.substack.com/pub/thedatel...
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Nice people made the best Nazis. My mother spent her childhood in Nazi Germany surrounded by nice people who refused to make waves, chose not to focus on politics... They were lovely, kind people who turned their heads as their neighbors were dragged away.
Naomi Shulman
www.wbur.org/cognoscenti/...
Naomi Shulman
www.wbur.org/cognoscenti/...
No Time To Be Nice: Now Is Not The Moment To Remain Silent
Naomi Shulman makes the post-election case for speaking out.
www.wbur.org
April 1, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Nice people made the best Nazis. My mother spent her childhood in Nazi Germany surrounded by nice people who refused to make waves, chose not to focus on politics... They were lovely, kind people who turned their heads as their neighbors were dragged away.
Naomi Shulman
www.wbur.org/cognoscenti/...
Naomi Shulman
www.wbur.org/cognoscenti/...
This is the way
March 24, 2025 at 3:50 PM
This is the way
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
People like this fiery veteran are why MAGA Republicans have stopped having town halls.
Last night, he continued to shred Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-NC) as police officers were dragging him out.
The MAGAs are not so fond of free speech now.
Never stop speaking up, America; this is our right!
Last night, he continued to shred Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-NC) as police officers were dragging him out.
The MAGAs are not so fond of free speech now.
Never stop speaking up, America; this is our right!
March 16, 2025 at 1:56 PM
People like this fiery veteran are why MAGA Republicans have stopped having town halls.
Last night, he continued to shred Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-NC) as police officers were dragging him out.
The MAGAs are not so fond of free speech now.
Never stop speaking up, America; this is our right!
Last night, he continued to shred Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-NC) as police officers were dragging him out.
The MAGAs are not so fond of free speech now.
Never stop speaking up, America; this is our right!
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Keep sending em to [email protected] 👂
March 11, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Keep sending em to [email protected] 👂
As @timothysnyder.bsky.social said, “The fact that someone wants to ban protests does not mean that they oppose antisemitism. History would suggest rather the contrary.”
“we will work with the nazis to combat antisemitism” ok
This is FUCKED
March 8, 2025 at 12:55 PM
As @timothysnyder.bsky.social said, “The fact that someone wants to ban protests does not mean that they oppose antisemitism. History would suggest rather the contrary.”
When will the Dems figure this out? “Appeals to legalism and procedure are a waste of time; once the other side has demonstrated that they can break the rules and get away with it, invoking the rules is no longer useful.” www.damemagazine.com/2025/03/06/a...
March 8, 2025 at 12:34 PM
When will the Dems figure this out? “Appeals to legalism and procedure are a waste of time; once the other side has demonstrated that they can break the rules and get away with it, invoking the rules is no longer useful.” www.damemagazine.com/2025/03/06/a...
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Some of the antisemitic conspiracy theories and associations the Pentagon’s new deputy press secretary, Kingsley Wilson, has amplified online:
🔎 Long-debunked lies about Leo Frank
🔎 Great Replacement theory
🔎 Celebrating Christian nationalism
🔎 Praising Germany's far-right AfD party
🔎 Long-debunked lies about Leo Frank
🔎 Great Replacement theory
🔎 Celebrating Christian nationalism
🔎 Praising Germany's far-right AfD party
Pentagon deputy press secretary Kingsley Wilson is a prolific purveyor of antisemitic conspiracy theories
The Trump appointee compared the slaughter of Israeli babies by Hamas to abortion shortly after the Oct. 7, 2023 attacks
jewishinsider.com
March 6, 2025 at 1:21 AM
Some of the antisemitic conspiracy theories and associations the Pentagon’s new deputy press secretary, Kingsley Wilson, has amplified online:
🔎 Long-debunked lies about Leo Frank
🔎 Great Replacement theory
🔎 Celebrating Christian nationalism
🔎 Praising Germany's far-right AfD party
🔎 Long-debunked lies about Leo Frank
🔎 Great Replacement theory
🔎 Celebrating Christian nationalism
🔎 Praising Germany's far-right AfD party
Some useful insight re: practical effects of Treasury’s Outbound Invest Security Program (not actually a reverse CFIUS):
March 4, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Some useful insight re: practical effects of Treasury’s Outbound Invest Security Program (not actually a reverse CFIUS):
You could shuffle all those descriptors into every different permutation and it would still be correct
The illegality sometimes gets lost amidst all the idiocy, malevolence, and mendacity
This is blatantly unconstitutional (besides all the other things it also is)
March 4, 2025 at 5:13 PM
You could shuffle all those descriptors into every different permutation and it would still be correct
If the US proceeds, it will be another major transatlantic issue, with the EU/UK likely to maintain sanctions, causing massive compliance headaches from everyone caught in between.
"It was not immediately clear what Washington could specifically seek in return for any sanctions relief."
Nor has it been clear what anyone but Russia has gained from one unilateral concession to the aggressor after another.
www.reuters.com/world/white-...
Nor has it been clear what anyone but Russia has gained from one unilateral concession to the aggressor after another.
www.reuters.com/world/white-...
White House seeks plan for possible Russia sanctions relief, sources say
The United States is drawing up a plan to potentially give Russia sanctions relief as President Donald Trump seeks to restore ties with Moscow and stop the war in Ukraine, a U.S. official and another person familiar with the matter told Reuters.
www.reuters.com
March 3, 2025 at 10:44 PM
If the US proceeds, it will be another major transatlantic issue, with the EU/UK likely to maintain sanctions, causing massive compliance headaches from everyone caught in between.
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
As Trump and Putin consider meeting, it's useful to ponder why Moscow now appears inclined to end the war in Ukraine - for @politico.eu I outline why Russia could soon struggle to finance the war, meaning fiscal breathing room could be what Putin is really looking for
www.politico.eu/article/vlad...
www.politico.eu/article/vlad...
Why Putin is finally negotiating
Moscow could soon struggle to finance the war, and fiscal breathing room may well be what the Russian leader’s looking for.
www.politico.eu
February 26, 2025 at 10:07 AM
As Trump and Putin consider meeting, it's useful to ponder why Moscow now appears inclined to end the war in Ukraine - for @politico.eu I outline why Russia could soon struggle to finance the war, meaning fiscal breathing room could be what Putin is really looking for
www.politico.eu/article/vlad...
www.politico.eu/article/vlad...
Reposted by ابن يعقوبي
Mini NATO about to drop
February 24, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Mini NATO about to drop