@squidandtie.bsky.social
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Basically the entire country shifted a tiny bit more to the right from 2020 to 2024 and that made all the difference.
And it was mostly people's [wrong] perceptions on inflation that made the difference. Something Harris could never effectively counter as the incumbent VP defending the admin.
And it was mostly people's [wrong] perceptions on inflation that made the difference. Something Harris could never effectively counter as the incumbent VP defending the admin.
May 27, 2025 at 3:21 AM
Basically the entire country shifted a tiny bit more to the right from 2020 to 2024 and that made all the difference.
And it was mostly people's [wrong] perceptions on inflation that made the difference. Something Harris could never effectively counter as the incumbent VP defending the admin.
And it was mostly people's [wrong] perceptions on inflation that made the difference. Something Harris could never effectively counter as the incumbent VP defending the admin.
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i posted this to badsite on 2018-07-28: "I've been mulling for the last two years the idea that the GOP's Southern Strategy was like the Bene Gesserit's Kwisatz Haderach breeding program and Trump is Paul Atreides fucking it up for them and they don't know how to put the sandtrout back in the qanat"
there is a reason that Trump is striking out in front of his own district court judges and that the Heritage Foundation is imploding. it's because this isn't true. people have been saying this for years. they were right for Gettier case reasons.
December 24, 2025 at 3:48 AM
i posted this to badsite on 2018-07-28: "I've been mulling for the last two years the idea that the GOP's Southern Strategy was like the Bene Gesserit's Kwisatz Haderach breeding program and Trump is Paul Atreides fucking it up for them and they don't know how to put the sandtrout back in the qanat"
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Trump is in many ways the natural endpoint of Reaganism and Gingritchian partisanship, but it's in a logical extreme way, not an inevitable conclusion way
The left will absolutely eat you alive if you note either:
-Trump is a contingent, unpredictable twist no one could have seen coming, or
-Trump is not the natural progression of Bush Republicanism
-Trump is a contingent, unpredictable twist no one could have seen coming, or
-Trump is not the natural progression of Bush Republicanism
December 24, 2025 at 9:09 AM
Trump is in many ways the natural endpoint of Reaganism and Gingritchian partisanship, but it's in a logical extreme way, not an inevitable conclusion way
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but many of those same people treat neoliberals as human agents and reactionaries as a force of nature
December 24, 2025 at 9:25 AM
but many of those same people treat neoliberals as human agents and reactionaries as a force of nature
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people on the left like to talk about how Trumpism is a result of the failures of neoliberalism, and while that's not-not accurate, the case is far less tortured that it's a result of the failures of neoconservatism and the GFC/GWOT
Trump as populist is a product of the Bush administration's *failures*, not its successes bsky.app/profile/jsam...
Reagan and Bush were necessary but not sufficient to produce Trump.
December 24, 2025 at 9:23 AM
people on the left like to talk about how Trumpism is a result of the failures of neoliberalism, and while that's not-not accurate, the case is far less tortured that it's a result of the failures of neoconservatism and the GFC/GWOT
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“It’s the new Jeffrey Epstein jet.”
Kristi Noem “posting a fun video in front of caged, tatted men.”
Look how Bari Weiss’ The Free Press wrote about CECOT — the El Salvador megaprison Trump shipped people to — just months before she stopped the 60 Minutes segment on it:
zeteo.com/p/bari-weiss...
Kristi Noem “posting a fun video in front of caged, tatted men.”
Look how Bari Weiss’ The Free Press wrote about CECOT — the El Salvador megaprison Trump shipped people to — just months before she stopped the 60 Minutes segment on it:
zeteo.com/p/bari-weiss...
December 23, 2025 at 9:02 PM
“It’s the new Jeffrey Epstein jet.”
Kristi Noem “posting a fun video in front of caged, tatted men.”
Look how Bari Weiss’ The Free Press wrote about CECOT — the El Salvador megaprison Trump shipped people to — just months before she stopped the 60 Minutes segment on it:
zeteo.com/p/bari-weiss...
Kristi Noem “posting a fun video in front of caged, tatted men.”
Look how Bari Weiss’ The Free Press wrote about CECOT — the El Salvador megaprison Trump shipped people to — just months before she stopped the 60 Minutes segment on it:
zeteo.com/p/bari-weiss...
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Alito is extremely online, he’s definitely got an alt.
Alito's temper tantrum is so delicious, lol
Cynically and cravenly calling a bunch of clergy "Rioters" ain't reserving your spot in the Kingdom, bucko
Cynically and cravenly calling a bunch of clergy "Rioters" ain't reserving your spot in the Kingdom, bucko
December 23, 2025 at 11:10 PM
Alito is extremely online, he’s definitely got an alt.
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"Kavanaugh Stop" went from a skeet on here to Bluesky meme to crosspollinating over on X to Brett Kavanaugh's burner account seeing it there to a whiny defensive footnote about it in a decision by the Supreme Court of the United States.
Juice.
Juice.
Check out the Kavanaugh FN 4; I think it's pretty clear that the Kavanaugh Stop thing has gotten to him:
December 23, 2025 at 9:26 PM
"Kavanaugh Stop" went from a skeet on here to Bluesky meme to crosspollinating over on X to Brett Kavanaugh's burner account seeing it there to a whiny defensive footnote about it in a decision by the Supreme Court of the United States.
Juice.
Juice.
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Kavanaugh in a footnote in today's opinion says "the officers must not make interior immigration stops or arrests based on race or ethnicity."
December 23, 2025 at 9:10 PM
Kavanaugh in a footnote in today's opinion says "the officers must not make interior immigration stops or arrests based on race or ethnicity."
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The Biden DOJ had a perfectly legal avenue to release this to the public—a response to a FOIA request. They may have even been legally obligated to produce it in response to the FOIA request. And they decided not to, to protect Donald Trump’s reputation? What?
Found the Associated Press article where the existence of this letter was first disclosed two years ago, in response to a FOIA request
It's definitely real
apnews.com/article/jeff...
It's definitely real
apnews.com/article/jeff...
December 23, 2025 at 4:28 PM
The Biden DOJ had a perfectly legal avenue to release this to the public—a response to a FOIA request. They may have even been legally obligated to produce it in response to the FOIA request. And they decided not to, to protect Donald Trump’s reputation? What?
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DOJ briefly uploaded this letter from Jeff Epstein to serial child molester Larry Nassar:
"Our president shares our love of young, nubile girls. When a young beauty walked by he loved to 'grab snatch,' whereas we ended up snatching grub in the mess halls of the system."
"Our president shares our love of young, nubile girls. When a young beauty walked by he loved to 'grab snatch,' whereas we ended up snatching grub in the mess halls of the system."
December 23, 2025 at 6:03 AM
DOJ briefly uploaded this letter from Jeff Epstein to serial child molester Larry Nassar:
"Our president shares our love of young, nubile girls. When a young beauty walked by he loved to 'grab snatch,' whereas we ended up snatching grub in the mess halls of the system."
"Our president shares our love of young, nubile girls. When a young beauty walked by he loved to 'grab snatch,' whereas we ended up snatching grub in the mess halls of the system."
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The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
December 23, 2025 at 1:28 AM
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
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Found the actual men in women's bathrooms assaulting women.
ICE agents illegally break into a woman's bathroom in a NY nutrition bar manufacturing plant. "Pull up your pants," says a male agent. The agents only had a warrant to review employer documents. They didn't have a warrant to search for, detain, or arrest anyone there.
December 22, 2025 at 8:10 PM
Found the actual men in women's bathrooms assaulting women.
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I mean, if one actually was curious and looked at data there never was one? Global anti-incumbent backlash gave the man a narrow victory and the rest was effectively elites whipping themselves into a frenzy declaring a sea change completely unsupported by facts on the ground.
December 21, 2025 at 4:28 PM
I mean, if one actually was curious and looked at data there never was one? Global anti-incumbent backlash gave the man a narrow victory and the rest was effectively elites whipping themselves into a frenzy declaring a sea change completely unsupported by facts on the ground.
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Like, it's great that Mamdani's smile creates better vibes than a scowl, but maybe Ezra can talk about how huge swathes of the electorate were completely unaware what tariffs were or why people were so upset with "Bidenism" despite it producing massive material benefits?
December 21, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Like, it's great that Mamdani's smile creates better vibes than a scowl, but maybe Ezra can talk about how huge swathes of the electorate were completely unaware what tariffs were or why people were so upset with "Bidenism" despite it producing massive material benefits?
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To be fair to Ezra, he does specifically talk about this, but also seems completely uncurious about what instruments drove this "vibe shift" and how did the narrative get set so much that elite institutions bought it. The information environments here are critical and his institution got us here.
I mean, if one actually was curious and looked at data there never was one? Global anti-incumbent backlash gave the man a narrow victory and the rest was effectively elites whipping themselves into a frenzy declaring a sea change completely unsupported by facts on the ground.
December 21, 2025 at 4:45 PM
To be fair to Ezra, he does specifically talk about this, but also seems completely uncurious about what instruments drove this "vibe shift" and how did the narrative get set so much that elite institutions bought it. The information environments here are critical and his institution got us here.
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This is just gutter white nationalist agitprop from Stephen Miller. A good time to read our deep dive into Miller's ideological fanaticism (see below)
December 21, 2025 at 12:30 PM
This is just gutter white nationalist agitprop from Stephen Miller. A good time to read our deep dive into Miller's ideological fanaticism (see below)
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Maria has been accused over the years of fabricating her story that she had gone to the FBI. After finding the document in the trove, I called her. She broke down in tears.
“I’ve waited 30 years. I can’t believe it. They can’t call me a liar anymore.”
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/19/u...
“I’ve waited 30 years. I can’t believe it. They can’t call me a liar anymore.”
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/19/u...
December 20, 2025 at 12:07 AM
Maria has been accused over the years of fabricating her story that she had gone to the FBI. After finding the document in the trove, I called her. She broke down in tears.
“I’ve waited 30 years. I can’t believe it. They can’t call me a liar anymore.”
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/19/u...
“I’ve waited 30 years. I can’t believe it. They can’t call me a liar anymore.”
www.nytimes.com/2025/12/19/u...
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Or, in a handful of cases that make up the bulk of what few competent personnel they can get their hands on, you're a completely hollowed out apparatchik who is incapable of seeing any life for yourself outside of Republican politics, and will go along with whatever if need be.
Like Wiles or Rubio.
Like Wiles or Rubio.
December 20, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Or, in a handful of cases that make up the bulk of what few competent personnel they can get their hands on, you're a completely hollowed out apparatchik who is incapable of seeing any life for yourself outside of Republican politics, and will go along with whatever if need be.
Like Wiles or Rubio.
Like Wiles or Rubio.
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Joining *this* dumpster fire means you are either suicidally overconfident, a raging fanatic who will burn everything down for a tiny chance at imposing your lunatic ideology, a fuckup with no better prospects than leveraging the chaos from within, or just a vicious fuck who wants to burn the world.
December 20, 2025 at 12:34 AM
Joining *this* dumpster fire means you are either suicidally overconfident, a raging fanatic who will burn everything down for a tiny chance at imposing your lunatic ideology, a fuckup with no better prospects than leveraging the chaos from within, or just a vicious fuck who wants to burn the world.
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The ppl who'd be smart enough to realize that also were, and remain, smart enough not to get on board this shitshow.
Why, for example, are Young Republican clubs dominated by Nazis whose groupchats meme about rape and gassing the Jews? Because no one minimally sane and competent wants in on this.
Why, for example, are Young Republican clubs dominated by Nazis whose groupchats meme about rape and gassing the Jews? Because no one minimally sane and competent wants in on this.
Meanwhile Regime Candidates keep losing elections.
These morons are still dangerous in the way that a fool with a machine gun is more dangerous than a sane person with one.
But they are not consolidating durable control and they also do not seem, somehow, to know that.
These morons are still dangerous in the way that a fool with a machine gun is more dangerous than a sane person with one.
But they are not consolidating durable control and they also do not seem, somehow, to know that.
December 20, 2025 at 12:31 AM
The ppl who'd be smart enough to realize that also were, and remain, smart enough not to get on board this shitshow.
Why, for example, are Young Republican clubs dominated by Nazis whose groupchats meme about rape and gassing the Jews? Because no one minimally sane and competent wants in on this.
Why, for example, are Young Republican clubs dominated by Nazis whose groupchats meme about rape and gassing the Jews? Because no one minimally sane and competent wants in on this.
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matt & co’s theory of how public opinion on immigration would respond to new information was simply empirically wrong.
at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
December 18, 2025 at 3:56 PM
matt & co’s theory of how public opinion on immigration would respond to new information was simply empirically wrong.
at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
at this point the only reasonable conclusion is they refuse to update their priors w/ new data because the data is inconvenient for them
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-cost-o...
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guy on the left can barely stand upright at the start of the clip but is still thinking clearly enough to denounce "fucking holocaust shit"
cc: @democrats.senate.gov
cc: @democrats.senate.gov
December 19, 2025 at 5:24 AM
guy on the left can barely stand upright at the start of the clip but is still thinking clearly enough to denounce "fucking holocaust shit"
cc: @democrats.senate.gov
cc: @democrats.senate.gov
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I love my two blackout drunk Minnesota sons
December 18, 2025 at 2:17 PM
I love my two blackout drunk Minnesota sons
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Very cool!
December 19, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Very cool!