UPS +15% pre-market. Pretty impossible for this stock to be beating estimates if the economy was decelerating rapidly.
www.businesswire.com/news/home/20...
www.businesswire.com/news/home/20...
October 28, 2025 at 10:14 AM
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I still have a few personal Adonises to deliver, but based on the last count, my estimate is that we raised around $10,000 for food banks and other worthy causes worldwide. Ten thousand dollars!!
October 27, 2025 at 1:49 PM
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hey @larrylevitt.bsky.social @cynthiaccox.bsky.social, were you aware that you've "retracted" your 115% (actually 114%) avg NET increase estimate?
Q: Unless ACA subsidies are extended, the average plan will increase by somewhere around 115%
DR OZ: Where'd you get that number?
Q: Kaiser Family Foundation
OZ: They retracted that. Here's the truth. The average American who's on ACA is gonna pay $13 more than this year. That's not a big issue
DR OZ: Where'd you get that number?
Q: Kaiser Family Foundation
OZ: They retracted that. Here's the truth. The average American who's on ACA is gonna pay $13 more than this year. That's not a big issue
October 29, 2025 at 6:06 PM
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Oregon senators demand cost estimate for Trump’s National Guard deployments
https://www.oregonlive.com/portland/2025/10/oregon-senators-demand-cost-estimate-for-trumps-national-guard-deployments.html
https://www.oregonlive.com/portland/2025/10/oregon-senators-demand-cost-estimate-for-trumps-national-guard-deployments.html
Oregon senators demand cost estimate for Trump’s National Guard deployments
Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker join Oregon senators in questioning military deployments that lack state requests or declared emergencies.
www.oregonlive.com
October 27, 2025 at 8:45 PM
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October 29, 2025 at 4:22 PM
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My prediction: the American drone data collection and services sector will pretty swiftly contract by something like 95% if Chinese drones are banned in the US (which they probably will be). This will be immediate if there’s a retroactive ban.
Honestly 95% may be a low estimate.
Honestly 95% may be a low estimate.
I’ve been surprised by how few of the big companies and orgs that make massive use of affordable DJI drones to collect aerial data have publicly pushed back on the now-inevitable-seeming Chinese drone ban.
But I also suspect many just haven’t been paying attention. They’re in for a nasty surprise.
But I also suspect many just haven’t been paying attention. They’re in for a nasty surprise.
The FCC just gave itself the power to make a DJI drone ban stick
Retroactive bans are coming for Chinese companies.
www.theverge.com
October 28, 2025 at 8:34 PM
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North Korea and Russia are rapidly building their first road bridge to enhance logistics and expand military and economic ties. Frontelligence Insight has analyzed satellite imagery and project documents to estimate its completion and potential impact. 🧵Thread:
October 30, 2025 at 5:48 AM
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OpenAI put out a press release today addressing mental health concerns. I have many issues with it, but something super troubling:
They estimate a WEEKLY prevalence of 560,000 users displaying signs of psychosis or mania and 1.2 MILLION users indicating suicidal plan/intent.
They estimate a WEEKLY prevalence of 560,000 users displaying signs of psychosis or mania and 1.2 MILLION users indicating suicidal plan/intent.
Strengthening ChatGPT’s responses in sensitive conversations
We worked with more than 170 mental health experts to help ChatGPT more reliably recognize signs of distress, respond with care, and guide people toward real-world support–reducing responses that fall...
openai.com
October 27, 2025 at 8:45 PM
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Net migration to the UK is falling rapidly. But how far will it fall? A new, detailed estimate by @jamesbowes01.bsky.social projects net migration in 2026 will be 70K to 170K.
This will have significant consequences, both economic and political.
ukandeu.ac.uk/the-coming-c...
This will have significant consequences, both economic and political.
ukandeu.ac.uk/the-coming-c...
October 29, 2025 at 1:29 PM
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For all of my adult life, the Mayor of NYC has been heralded as the next big political thing. Giuliani, Bloomberg, etc. And their political career has always peaked in NYC. Maybe Mamdani will be different. But we always over-estimate the national relevance of NYC mayors.
October 29, 2025 at 5:34 PM
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How many of you know someone who can afford to pay over $52,000 a year for health insurance?
With the 10% copays for scripts and costs of inpatient care, @politicsgirl.bsky.social is looking at $75,000 a year (very low estimate) JUST to maintain her life.
This is murder.
With the 10% copays for scripts and costs of inpatient care, @politicsgirl.bsky.social is looking at $75,000 a year (very low estimate) JUST to maintain her life.
This is murder.
October 28, 2025 at 3:16 PM
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For years, an erroneous (see: www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...) satellite-based estimate of atmospheric temperatures by climate contrarians Roy Spencer & John Christy was used by climate-denying politicians to dispute human-caused warming. 🧵
How not to science | RealClimate
A trip down memory lane and a lesson on scientific integrity.
www.realclimate.org
October 27, 2025 at 11:41 PM
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Don't see a satellite intensity estimate of 170kt in the Atlantic everyday. Or well, ever.
October 27, 2025 at 5:44 AM
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still no power and no estimate for return
October 26, 2025 at 5:08 PM
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I think we under-estimate how many people are miserable because they have no enthusiasms, no hobbies, because they gave up reading and quit learning when school ended. It's shocking how much studying a beloved subject elevates your mood. It will transform your life.
October 26, 2025 at 7:14 PM
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by their OWN estimate
NEW: "The company’s estimates therefore suggest that every seven days, around 560,000 people may be exchanging messages with ChatGPT that indicate they are experiencing mania or psychosis." @lmatsakis.bsky.social reports: www.wired.com/story/chatgp...
OpenAI Says Hundreds of Thousands of ChatGPT Users May Show Signs of Manic or Psychotic Crisis Every Week
OpenAI Says Hundreds of Thousands of ChatGPT Users May Show Signs of Manic or Psychotic Crisis Every Week
www.wired.com
October 27, 2025 at 5:50 PM
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The Trump Organization earned $802 million from crypto during the first half of 2025, according to a Reuters estimate.
Here’s How Much Donald Trump Is Earning from Crypto During Presidency
www.newsweek.com
October 29, 2025 at 11:00 PM
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IMO his floor is ~35% (rough estimate) because of the media ecosystem, enough voters live in a completely alternate reality that I doubt he goes below that unless they abandon him
where the bottom fell out for George W Bush was when Fox threw him overboard in an effort to salvage the party
where the bottom fell out for George W Bush was when Fox threw him overboard in an effort to salvage the party
They call me Mr. Cope, but I'm curious how much of a floor he'll end up even having. He did have a floor of about 37-38% approval but always with a rocket-ship economy.
If shit starts to really hit economically and he's pissing on the carpet in front of the Laotian Prime Minister... we'll see...
If shit starts to really hit economically and he's pissing on the carpet in front of the Laotian Prime Minister... we'll see...
October 28, 2025 at 7:16 PM
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i’m at the library for the league of women voters forum for the board of estimate and taxation with eric harris bernstein, steve brandt, and bob fine
October 27, 2025 at 11:00 PM
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FINALLY -- DC area should get some soaking rain late Wednesday into the first half of Thursday. Initial best estimate from 1 to 1.5 inches.
We need it.
More details and model forecasts at cwg.live
We need it.
More details and model forecasts at cwg.live
October 27, 2025 at 4:23 PM
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Forget about politics & policy, Americans have lots of trouble understanding basic demographic information about their own country. YouGov did a survey in 2022 asking Americans basic demographic questions like what % of the country is white, Hispanic, are transgender, etc. and the results are WILD.
October 29, 2025 at 7:25 PM
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8.3!!
And an *average* cloud temp of -80C!
This is an astronomical satellite intensity estimate.
And an *average* cloud temp of -80C!
This is an astronomical satellite intensity estimate.
October 27, 2025 at 4:11 AM
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That's officially the highest final ADT estimate ever in the Atlantic and I believe it is now the second highest of all time behind Patricia in 2015.
October 28, 2025 at 2:17 AM
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Ravens estimate Lamar Jackson as a full participant Monday.
www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootb...
www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootb...
Ravens estimate Lamar Jackson as a full participant Monday
Ravens coach John Harbaugh said he is "very confident" his starting quarterback will return Thursday night.
www.nbcsports.com
October 28, 2025 at 1:09 AM
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The Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) satellite-derived intensity estimate peaked at 185 knots for #Melissa -- which, according to the developer at CIMSS, is the highest value to date for any tropical cyclone.
October 28, 2025 at 10:41 PM
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