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Andrew R. Morral

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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
Specifically, homicides and car crash fatalities were trending down, but then reversed in 2015 and started rising. Between 2010 and 2014 opioid deaths increased by 0.6 (per 100k) per year, but jumped by 1.6 in 2015, and 3.5 in 2016. Depression has an earlier inflection by 2 years
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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
Am I squinting too hard, or is there more structure to these trends than explained by COVID? In three of these series something happens around 2015, as well as peaking in 2021. Do you work with other series that look like this? Any grand theories?
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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
CDC Wonder is down?
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

acyn.bsky.social
New Mexico AG Torrez: One of the biggest issues we face is gun violence. We haven’t seen any surge of federal law enforcement agencies dedicated to helping us reduce gun violence. What we’ve seen instead is a lot of the performative stuff — DHS going down to paint the wall to make it hotter.
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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
These are undoubtedly underestimates. Without mandatory reporting of lost/stolen guns (in most states) how many private citizens never report a loss, or even a theft?
andrewmorral.bsky.social
Andrew Morral @andrewmorral.bsky.social · Aug 29
Per a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen:
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping

More than 1M between 2019-2023
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by Daniel Webster — Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

daniel-webster.bsky.social
Gun owners, lock up your guns.
I can’t help but wonder about the thousands of guns lost and stolen from licensed gun dealers. How many were sold off the books? How many were stolen by employees who aren’t required to be vetted? It’s signals poor regulation and oversight.
andrewmorral.bsky.social
Andrew Morral @andrewmorral.bsky.social · Aug 29
Per a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen:
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping

More than 1M between 2019-2023
2 4

by Andrew R. Morral — Reposted by: Daniel Webster

andrewmorral.bsky.social
Per a recent ATF report, in 2023 there were 208,184 firearms lost/stolen:
- 188,560 from private citizens
- 9,479 lost by gun dealers
- 5,755 stolen from gun dealers
- 4,390 lost/stolen in shipping

More than 1M between 2019-2023
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

governorwalz.mn.gov
It’s time to take serious action at the State Capitol to address gun violence.
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

thetrace.org
The Trump administration is moving to slash the Centers for Disease and Control Prevention. Here’s what’s at stake. thetr.ac/MGM94
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by Justin Wolfers — Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Elizabeth Saunders, Mark A. Lemley , and 15 more

justinwolfers.bsky.social
Firing the BLS Commissioner — the wonk in charge of the statisticians who track economic reality — is an authoritarian four alarm fire.

It will also backfire: You can't bend economic reality, but you can break the trust of markets. And biased data yields worse policy.
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

joycefdn.bsky.social
We’re #hiring for the role of Gun Violence Prevention and Justice Reform Program Director. Learn more at the link below and please share with your networks.
joycefoundation.bamboohr.com/careers/30
Program Director, GVPJR
FOUNDATION OVERVIEW The Joyce Foundation is a private, nonpartisan philanthropy that invests in public policies and strategies to advance racial equity and economic mobility for the next generation in...
joycefoundation.bamboohr.com
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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
LAST CALL: Nominations for the $5,000 Greenwald Award for Excellence in Firearm Violence Prevention Research close in less than two weeks.
andrewmorral.bsky.social
Andrew Morral @andrewmorral.bsky.social · Jun 3
Reminder: The 2025 Greenwald Family $5000 Award for the best research paper on gun violence/injury prevention/gun policy is accepting nominations now through July 24, 2025. Qualitative and quantitative studies from all academic disciplines are eligible.
www.firearmresearchsociety.org/2025-greenwa...
www.firearmresearchsociety.org
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

saletan.bsky.social
Trump's move to investigate and prosecute James Comey, the former director who documented Trump's attempt to corrupt the FBI, is a grave step toward American authoritarianism.

This article, which I wrote in 2019, lays out the evidence. The president is trying to silence those who expose his crimes.
Mueller Proved Comey Told the Truth
And the president lied.
slate.com
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

jeffasher.bsky.social
San Francisco has reported 11 murders through June 2025 and 31 over the last 12 months. That's the fewest murders through June and fewest rolling over 12 months ever recorded (monthly reporting from the FBI starts in 1960).
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

jeffasher.bsky.social
It's not just the US murder rate that is likely at or near the lowest level ever recorded. The data from the first 4 months of 2025 points to the possibility of the lowest reported property crime rate ever & lowest violent crime rate in decades. This week's piece:
jasher.substack.com/p/its-not-ju...
It's Not Just Murder That's Likely At Historic Lows
The US is on track to record the lowest violent crime rate since 1968 and lowest property crime rate ever.
jasher.substack.com
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Dominic Sisti

cwebbonline.com
This is beyond cruel, especially for young folks who are going through it. Cutting off LGBTQ+ youth from specialized suicide prevention help is a death sentence disguised as bureaucracy.

Shame on every official who signed off on this. You’re not protecting children, you’re abandoning them.
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Suzana J. Camargo, Kelly R. Zamudio , and 3 more

jacquelyngill.bsky.social
Last February, I led a proposal submission that encompassed six months, hundreds of hours, four institutions, a massive team, and and 256 pages. NSF just informed us that the entire Biology Integration Institute program was archived and our proposal would not even be reviewed.

With a form email.
A screen shot of an email reading: Dear Dr. Gill, Jacquelyn, I am writing to let you know that given the current budgetary projections and recent adjustment of NSF’s over-arching priorities, NSF/BIO will not be making any new awards through the Biology Integration Institutes Program. Therefore, the solicitation has been archived, and NSF has returned your proposal without review so you can re-submit it, or portions of it, to appropriate BIO programs that currently are receiving new proposals, if you wish. Sincerely, Jim Deshler Division Director (Acting) Division of Biological Infrastructure
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Michael Barnett, Naomi Priest , and 2 more

britshmit.bsky.social
📢BREAKING: Just left the courthouse for our NIH grant termination case

Judge ruled terminations are “VOID & ILLEGAL”

As a plaintiff, I felt a wave of relief & hope; he acknowledged the discrimination & harm

Closed by asking, ‘Have we fallen so low? Have we no shame?’
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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
Fact check: it is correct that in the most recent year of vital statistics data AR has a homicide rate twice that of CA. It’s basically true looking back over the last three or five years as well. AR has a big homicide problem, almost all of which concerns firearms homicides.
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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
Many thanks to our sponsor, @arnoldventures.bsky.social , and to my colleagues @rosannasmart.bsky.social , Terry Schell, James Murphy and Nancy Nicosia.

by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
We are releasing these data simultaneously with the publication describing their development in the American Journal of Public Health: ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/full/10....
State-Level Estimates of Nonfatal Firearm Injury Hospitalizations, 2000–2021 | AJPH | Vol. 115 Issue 7
Objectives. To create a comprehensive, publicly available data set of state-level nonfatal firearm injury inpatient hospitalizations (NFIIHs) in the United States from 2000 to 2021. Methods. We used B...
ajph.aphapublications.org
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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
JUST RELEASED: Accurate data on firearm injuries in the United States are critical to understand the costs and prevention of gun violence. But comprehensive data on injuries isn't available. We have instead developed estimates covering 2000-2022 that can be downloaded:

www.rand.org/research/gun...
Firearm Injury Hospitalizations in America
To address a gap in the available data on firearm injuries, RAND researchers have developed a longitudinal database of state-level estimates of hospitalizations due to firearm injury. Use this visuali...
www.rand.org
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by Andrew R. Morral

andrewmorral.bsky.social
Much of the spending on murder investigation is local, so not counted in these figures. Nevertheless the law enforcement expenditure differences across these federal agencies does highlight a strange prioritization.
marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevo...
Deport Dishwashers or Solve All Murders? - Marginal REVOLUTION
I understand being concerned about illegal immigration. I definitely understand being concerned about murder, rape, and robbery. What I don’t understand is being more concerned about the former than t...
marginalrevolution.com
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by Kori Schake — Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Joseph Schafer, Lee Jones

kairyssdal.bsky.social
Hello. I live in Los Angeles. The president is lying.
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by Carl T. Bergstrom — Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Erin Baker, Enzo Rossi , and 4 more

carlbergstrom.com
Very smart, high ROI initiative from the Spencer Foundation.

Providing bridge funding for canceled NSF grants:

1) directs funds to projects already screened by a top-noch review process.
2) avoids imposing proposal prep costs on researchers.
3) ameliorates the disruption from GOP sabotage.
Rapid Response Bridge Funding Program
In the face of recent abrupt shifts in federal funding for education research, including large-scale terminations of National Science Foundation (NSF) research grant awards, we have developed a rap...
www.spencer.org
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

michellegoldberg.bsky.social
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...
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by Erik Brynjolfsson — Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Klaus F. Zimmermann, Klaus W. Zimmermann , and 20 more

aaronsojourner.org
EXTREMELY BAD NEWS for economic research, per former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social on LinkedIn.

BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS.
#EconSky
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Stacie B. Dusetzina, Magnus Johansson , and 2 more

noahgreifer.bsky.social
Starting to look like I might not be able to work at Harvard anymore due to recent funding cuts. If you know of any open statistical consulting positions that support remote work or are NYC-based, please reach out! 😅
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by Michael E. Mann — Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral, Marc Gopin, Thomas Hegghammer , and 1 more

propublica.org
NEW: Meet the 22-Year-Old Trump’s Team Picked to Lead Terrorism Prevention

One year out of college and with no apparent national security expertise, Thomas Fugate is the Department of Homeland Security official tasked with overseeing the government’s main hub for combating violent extremism.
“The Intern in Charge”: Meet the 22-Year-Old Trump’s Team Picked to Lead Terrorism Prevention
One year out of college and with no apparent national security expertise, Thomas Fugate is the Department of Homeland Security official tasked with overseeing the government’s main hub for combating v...
www.propublica.org
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Reposted by: Andrew R. Morral

carlquintanilla.bsky.social
The US dollar:

* worst performing G10 currency this year

* tracking for its worst year-to-date performance since 1975. 🇺🇸
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