Alan Wager
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dralanwager.bsky.social
Alan Wager
@dralanwager.bsky.social
5K followers 740 following 310 posts
Politics, public opinion and public policy at the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change. Email: [email protected]
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Reposted by Alan Wager
Digital ID

It will make your life easier. And it will be free.

Here is Josh Simons, Cabinet Office Parliamentary Secretary explaining just a few of potential uses.

I personally cannot wait for it. Most people will wonder what the fuss is all about when we get it.

www.instagram.com/p/DQb9v_igdEa/
Reposted by Alan Wager
Reposted by Alan Wager
Last Friday, new English Indices of Deprivation were released for the first time since 2019, measuring relative deprivation in 33,755 areas of England across multiple domains. How do these geographic disparities relate to voting patterns in the UK’s last General Election? A short thread 🧵
Reposted by Alan Wager
Delighted to announce we are advertising our first academic post in the Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM). The position is Associate Professor in Politics, Technology and Computational Social Science and is joint with Politics, the Oxford Internet Institute, and Reuben College 1/n
Job Details
my.corehr.com
Painful comparison for UK Labour.. Incumbency and centre left governing doesn’t *have* to be quite so painful with the right strategic choices.

HT @drjennings.bsky.social
#Newspoll federal poll. Here is the table graphic as it appears on page 4 of The Australian, 3 November, including voting, leader approval ratings, better Prime Minister, and some historical opposition leader approval ratings. #auspol
Reposted by Alan Wager
Oof. Look at those Coalition numbers (and One Nation)...
#Newspoll federal poll. Here is the table graphic as it appears on page 4 of The Australian, 3 November, including voting, leader approval ratings, better Prime Minister, and some historical opposition leader approval ratings. #auspol
Reposted by Alan Wager
Reposted by Alan Wager
Unrelated to this post, but: talking about 'class' is the single most effective, cost-free change Labour could make to improve their support.
'Alarm clock Britain' is remarkably hackneyed, cliched and - frankly - dull - phraseology from someone who is meant to be good at this stuff.
'Alarm clock Britain' is remarkably hackneyed, cliched and - frankly - dull - phraseology from someone who is meant to be good at this stuff.
Reposted by Alan Wager
All in favour of shared spaces that get people out and about and it you’re going to burn money on gambling then yeah, better to do so with a friendly person on hand. But still some incredible “men’s mental health” lobbying against a gambling tax in the Sunday Times. www.thetimes.com/article/f115...
Reposted by Alan Wager
The generation that experienced WW2 knew how bad things could get. The horrors that they had directly experienced in Coventry, on Omaha, at Belsen, Bastogne, Dresden, Nanjing & Tokyo meant that they understood how dangerous THIS was. This is where all that started.
Dutch anti-Muslim populist Geert Wilders goes full Trump, claiming on X after he lost the election that there are reports of vote fraud. Also claimed the election authority was not neutral. Tearing down the pillars of Dutch democracy. nos.nl/l/2588722
Gemeenten wijzen aantijgingen Wilders over stemgesjoemel van de hand
Wilders stelt op sociale media dat het "berichten regent" van verdwenen of ongeldig verklaarde stemmen. Experts noemen het trumpiaans.
nos.nl
Reposted by Alan Wager
Wrote about the dominance of "victims" in our political discourse, which included this fab chart @owenwntr.bsky.social www.economist.com/britain/2025...
Reposted by Alan Wager
"everyone I disagree with is a Hamas supporter". This is so fucking tedious
Danny Kruger on his political opponents: "What I worry about is they’re going to get together after the next election and have some sort of appalling Hamas-supporting, LGBT-supporting nationalist party against the United Kingdom, trying to get us back into the EU"
Reposted by Alan Wager
This is the case I've been regularly trying to make to both Labour people and wealth tax advocates over the last few months - a wealth tax as political cover for broader tax rises
Increasingly I think the point of a wealth tax is not to raise money but to create space for raising income tax. The lethal thing in politics is when the compliant middle class feels like they have been taken for mugs; if you want to get money out of them, someone else needs to pay more too.
Reposted by Alan Wager
Really enjoyed recording this discussion with David Runciman, covering threats to democracy, early 20thc theories of oligarchy, how algorithmic social media is changing politics, the problem with 19thc approaches to suffrage - and much, much more!
NEW EPISODE OUT NOW!

In today’s episode David & @dmk1793.bsky.social try to answer some of the hundreds of questions, comments and suggestions we have had about this series. How do we know if democracy is broken? Have we ever had a real democracy anyway?

Find us at...🎧 ppfideas.com
Reposted by Alan Wager
Coming back to this. The amount of attention Reform gave Caerphilly (and lack of expectation management) suggests their data showed them winning. Worth remembering when we hear similar stories about Reform's advanced data analysis in future!
I'm always quite sceptical of claims like this. The main barrier to data-led campaigns in Britain is the availability of data on registered voters, not the tech to analyse it
Reposted by Alan Wager
Truth-telling. It seems so easy when it’s done. You just have to do it.

Of course Trump might now threaten ABC with a lawsuit for claiming that Vance had not answered the question…
STEPHANOPOULOS: I didn't insinuate anything. I asked you whether Tom Homan accepted $50k as was heard on an audio tape recorded by the FBI in September 2024. You did not answer the question. Thank you for your time.

VANCE: No, George, I sai--

STEPHANOPOULOS: We'll be right back
Reposted by Alan Wager
Which party underperformed the most in the 2025 local elections?

Arguably Reform UK. A 🧵 on what the locals tell us about a key and neglected dimension in analysis of the current political situation.
Reposted by Alan Wager
There have likely been 10,000 or more university redundancies in the academic year 2024-25.

@gsoh31.bsky.social, Professor of Modern and Contemporary History at Oxford Brookes, argues that the Higher Education system as we know it is coming to an end.
Where now for Britain’s Universities?
UK higher education now faces a very bleak future, retreating in the face of little public sympathy and limited political interest.
politicalquarterly.org.uk
Reposted by Alan Wager
🆕 Anti-Woke Wake: It the Tory Party dead or just resting? ☠️

💥 Tory Conference debrief
💥 France latest political soap
💥 A deal on Gaza - but antisemitism on the rise

An amazing episode with special guest @samfr.bsky.social.

🍊 open.spotify.com/episode/5JQF...

🍏 podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/q...
Anti-Woke Wake: Is the Tory Party dead or just resting?
Podcast Episode · Quiet Riot · 09/10/2025 · 1h 13m
podcasts.apple.com