aust.in.determinate
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abw56.bsky.social
aust.in.determinate
@abw56.bsky.social
Used to wrangle students, now I wrangle data. Snake River, Smoky Mountains, and forever a proud wife guy. Anti Know-Nothing.
Pinned
all i'm saying is that today could have been a beautiful day
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There is no plausible way to weasel out of this in 2026. Using ICE to intimidate a couple polling places or whatever ain’t gunna cut it.
D+13.3 shift from 2024, meaning about a D+12 implied national environment. Even half of that is gigantic for Dems
December 10, 2025 at 2:19 AM
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everything is actually just closer to the camera in texas
December 10, 2025 at 2:27 AM
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December 10, 2025 at 2:32 AM
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I would love to repost this just like every election night
Less than six points with 92% of the vote counted. Wow.
December 10, 2025 at 2:36 AM
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folks we are into “breaking gerrymanders” territory here

we are going to win
This Georgia flip is in a district that the GOP drew to drown Democratic voters in Athens into a neighboring red county, Oconee.

But tonight, Dems in Athens were out in FULL FORCE to swamp that gerrymander.
December 10, 2025 at 2:41 AM
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i read stuff like this and can genuinely angry at guys like jd vance who insist that this country belongs to some narrow vision of the "native born"
December 9, 2025 at 11:58 PM
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New level of local politics sicko unlocked: attend the campaign kickoff for a local judge race.

I’ve known Habekah since 2020 when she spent damn near the whole year helping get protestors out of jail. She’ll be an amazing jurist.

Please join me in donating!

secure.actblue.com/donate/habek...
December 9, 2025 at 11:34 PM
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If every Muslim voter in Dearborn voted for Harris, she still would have lost Michigan.

If she had won Michigan, she STILL WOULD HAVE LOST THE ELECTION.

If you want to blame voters for current conditions, feel free to blame the actual demographic responsible for Trump and that is WHITE PEOPLE.
December 9, 2025 at 4:20 PM
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This is exactly what the bosses who put Trump into office were trying to achieve. Crushing the tight labor market from the early Biden years that gave workers - for the first time in my adult lifetime - leverage over their bosses.
NEW

US labor market flows remained sluggish in October data released this morning, as hiring slowed to nearly the lowest level since early COVID

The hiring rate fell to 3.2%, layoffs rose to 1.2%, quits fell to 1.8%, and job openings rose to 4.6%
December 9, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Currently on a hiring committee for a highly technical position at my organization, and I have to say...watching senior leaders let themselves be bamboozled by candidates who only speak in buzzwords vs candidates who actually know the tools is a deeply dispiriting and radicalizing experience.
December 9, 2025 at 1:55 PM
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“On any given day, Florida’s education department did not know where 30,000 students were going to school and could not account for the $270 million in taxpayer funds it took to support them” www.washingtonpost.com/education/20...
How Florida lost track of 30,000 students, a ‘cautionary tale’ for vouchers
The state’s auditor general found “a myriad of accountability problems” in the nation’s largest voucher program.
www.washingtonpost.com
December 9, 2025 at 12:15 PM
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Während die EU wie eine Kartenhaus vor Trumps Zoll-Gegenwind zusammenfiel, hat China sich auf die Spielchen gar nicht erst eingelassen.

Wie erwartet, mit großem Erfolg.

Und jetzt warten wir mal gespannt ab, wie man hier bei der nun offensichtlich veränderten Sicherheitslage zusammenklappen wird.🙈🍿
December 9, 2025 at 11:54 AM
Every day, another headline demarcating the self-imposed end of the American century.

What I'm struck by most, however, is how the people who could step in to stop this are instead using it as an investment opportunity.
December 9, 2025 at 12:28 PM
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i do not regret to inform you that we are going to win
♥️ “ICE looked at that school, saw a community standing up for families, and decided it wasn’t worth it.”
December 9, 2025 at 2:50 AM
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I love these snapshots of old training dates, it's about as close as you can get to proving objectively that something is very very wrong with the country.

The machine built by feeding it decades of data and news stories is like "shut the fuck up, that shit can't be true."

Immune to frog boiling.
i asked chat gpt to fact check an article for me
December 8, 2025 at 9:37 PM
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The thing I try to explain the most to those who don’t live here is that the Nuzzis of the world live in Washington (the place that deserves your ire) and the rest of us live in D.C., a collection of diverse, mostly quiet, walkable residential neighborhoods with no federal representation
I live in DC. You think “official Washington” didn’t care what Trump administration 2 was likely to do?

Talk to someone who works at NIH. Or State. Or CFPB. Or DOJ. They all knew what was at stake. They were all scared + furious.

And reporters like Nuzzi saw none of it because they didn’t care.
December 8, 2025 at 9:31 PM
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They're using the confinement box, one of the most horrific methods of CIA torture in the post-9/11 black sites, against migrants now. This is the direct result of the lack of consequences for the architects of the torture program. Either there will be criminal penalties for this or it will expand.
Torture Techniques from CIA Black Sites Were Used at Alligator Alcatraz
Amnesty International, interviewing migrant detainees, identifies use of the confinement box. There can be no denying it is a torture prison
www.forever-wars.com
December 8, 2025 at 9:40 PM
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honestly i think you could probably describe the vast majority of American media, political, and corporate elites as decadent

nobody knows how bad things can get
you'd think that the fact that the president is currently trying to get the Feds to arrest Senators would be what the NYT editorial board would focus on but...
I see the gizmo cult has made its way into the NYT
December 8, 2025 at 5:07 PM
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The President of the United States unilaterally levied a tax on all of us and is redistributing our taxes to a core segment of his supporters.
Trump: "I'm delighted to announce this afternoon that the US will be taking a small portion of the hundreds of billions of dollars we receive in tariffs ... and we're going to be giving and providing it to the farmers in economic assistance. We love our farmers. The farmers like me ... $12 billion"
December 8, 2025 at 7:48 PM
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washington post reporter code-switching on twitter and bluesky like a key & peele sketch
December 8, 2025 at 3:41 PM
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Some people asked why farmers supported Trump in 2024 after he fucked them over so badly with tariffs in 2017-20.

Answer: he didn't fuck them over! He mailed them all checks!
1) Impose massive tariffs on China
2) China retaliates by ending its soybean imports
3) Cut deal w/ China so they'll buy our soybeans
4) China buys only 20%, so far, of what it agreed to purchase
5) Offer $12 billion to US farmers so they don't go bankrupt

www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
Trump to Unveil $12 Billion Bailout for Farmers
The financial aid comes as the agriculture sector grapples with the fallout from the president’s tariffs.
www.wsj.com
December 8, 2025 at 2:56 PM
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To go after a family for no other reason than that their daughter sparked sympathy is appalling. Absolutely appalling. Beyond cruelty into outright sadism.
December 8, 2025 at 1:44 PM
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key part of modern american conservatism is people viewing their children as their property imo
December 8, 2025 at 2:12 PM
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There's a lot of whataboutism regarding Obama's drone strikes (lots to object to there!) from people wholly unaware Trump massively expanded the drone war and killed, give or take, an order of magnitude more people with it, because this was treated as a non-story with hardly any mainstream coverage.
December 8, 2025 at 9:05 AM
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this gets to the fundamental lawlessness. the difference between law as a game and law as a tool of government.

birthright citizenship is the law. nothing has changed. the documents are the same. if that can change based on *nothing*, you don't have a real constitution in the first place.
also, let’s say wurman is right. well, we have had nearly 160 years of unlimited birthright citizenship that has been affirmed again and again by generations of Americans. whatever the original intent, that is what the birthright clause *means*.
December 7, 2025 at 7:40 PM