Joseph Hefner
@josephjefe.bsky.social
You'll see mostly Chiefs and NFL analytics and graphics here. I produce work for @KCSportsNetwork. JosephJefe on most social media platforms
Website: https://www.JefesHandiwork.com/
Website: https://www.JefesHandiwork.com/
Pinned
Joseph Hefner
@josephjefe.bsky.social
· Nov 17
Pinned Post:
I mostly create and post NFL graphics that (hopefully) help people to understand the game better. I also create apps for my more popular graphics so anyone can get them, without needing to request them from me.
Remember to tag me when you post them!
Website: www.jefeshandiwork.com
I mostly create and post NFL graphics that (hopefully) help people to understand the game better. I also create apps for my more popular graphics so anyone can get them, without needing to request them from me.
Remember to tag me when you post them!
Website: www.jefeshandiwork.com
Can Your Team Win The Super Bowl?
The Rams are the betting favorites for the Super Bowl, and by a lot. They are 6.3 percentage points higher than the Eagles at 2nd place.
Chiefs are 3rd most likely to win the Super Bowl, but will need help to even make the playoffs, as the 10 seed in the AFC.
The Rams are the betting favorites for the Super Bowl, and by a lot. They are 6.3 percentage points higher than the Eagles at 2nd place.
Chiefs are 3rd most likely to win the Super Bowl, but will need help to even make the playoffs, as the 10 seed in the AFC.
November 25, 2025 at 8:11 PM
Can Your Team Win The Super Bowl?
The Rams are the betting favorites for the Super Bowl, and by a lot. They are 6.3 percentage points higher than the Eagles at 2nd place.
Chiefs are 3rd most likely to win the Super Bowl, but will need help to even make the playoffs, as the 10 seed in the AFC.
The Rams are the betting favorites for the Super Bowl, and by a lot. They are 6.3 percentage points higher than the Eagles at 2nd place.
Chiefs are 3rd most likely to win the Super Bowl, but will need help to even make the playoffs, as the 10 seed in the AFC.
NFC Playoff Seeding Charts!
The Rams are finally in sole possession of the 1 seed, after the Eagles lost to the Cowboys.
The Bears, who were the 15 seed after week 2, have somehow clawed their way to 3rd seed.
The Lions are currently out of the playoffs, for the second week in a row.
The Rams are finally in sole possession of the 1 seed, after the Eagles lost to the Cowboys.
The Bears, who were the 15 seed after week 2, have somehow clawed their way to 3rd seed.
The Lions are currently out of the playoffs, for the second week in a row.
November 25, 2025 at 8:05 PM
NFC Playoff Seeding Charts!
The Rams are finally in sole possession of the 1 seed, after the Eagles lost to the Cowboys.
The Bears, who were the 15 seed after week 2, have somehow clawed their way to 3rd seed.
The Lions are currently out of the playoffs, for the second week in a row.
The Rams are finally in sole possession of the 1 seed, after the Eagles lost to the Cowboys.
The Bears, who were the 15 seed after week 2, have somehow clawed their way to 3rd seed.
The Lions are currently out of the playoffs, for the second week in a row.
AFC Playoff Seeding Charts!
After 12 weeks, its like the AFC is back to the old 2014 Brady, Manning, Luck days, with NE, DEN, and IND all on top.
The Ravens just made a 6 seed jump, from 10 to 4, after beating the Steelers.
The Bills are the 7 seed, and the Chiefs are on the outside looking in.
After 12 weeks, its like the AFC is back to the old 2014 Brady, Manning, Luck days, with NE, DEN, and IND all on top.
The Ravens just made a 6 seed jump, from 10 to 4, after beating the Steelers.
The Bills are the 7 seed, and the Chiefs are on the outside looking in.
November 25, 2025 at 8:02 PM
AFC Playoff Seeding Charts!
After 12 weeks, its like the AFC is back to the old 2014 Brady, Manning, Luck days, with NE, DEN, and IND all on top.
The Ravens just made a 6 seed jump, from 10 to 4, after beating the Steelers.
The Bills are the 7 seed, and the Chiefs are on the outside looking in.
After 12 weeks, its like the AFC is back to the old 2014 Brady, Manning, Luck days, with NE, DEN, and IND all on top.
The Ravens just made a 6 seed jump, from 10 to 4, after beating the Steelers.
The Bills are the 7 seed, and the Chiefs are on the outside looking in.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
Updated playoff seed possibilities entering SNF.
Even though the NFC is the one with an eliminated team, the AFC has the clearer outlook so far.
Even though the NFC is the one with an eliminated team, the AFC has the clearer outlook so far.
November 24, 2025 at 12:50 AM
Updated playoff seed possibilities entering SNF.
Even though the NFC is the one with an eliminated team, the AFC has the clearer outlook so far.
Even though the NFC is the one with an eliminated team, the AFC has the clearer outlook so far.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
the chiefs actually might have burned through too much devil magic last year
November 23, 2025 at 6:15 PM
the chiefs actually might have burned through too much devil magic last year
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
-- WEEK 12 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
November 19, 2025 at 3:12 PM
-- WEEK 12 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Here you can see
1.) how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game, and
2.) the combined playoff leverage of the teams involved in each game, sorted by kickoff time.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
With defensive pass interference penalties of 40 and 46 yards, Riley Moss is the Chiefs' leading receiver today.
November 16, 2025 at 11:57 PM
With defensive pass interference penalties of 40 and 46 yards, Riley Moss is the Chiefs' leading receiver today.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
-- WEEK 11 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
November 12, 2025 at 2:55 PM
-- WEEK 11 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
NFC Conference Standings!
Two weeks ago, the Packers and Eagles were the 1st and 2nd ranked teams. They just played on MNF. The Eagles squeaked out a 10-7 victory to maintain their top seeding.
The Lions have been all over the place, but jumped up to 3rd after a decisive win over the Commanders.
Two weeks ago, the Packers and Eagles were the 1st and 2nd ranked teams. They just played on MNF. The Eagles squeaked out a 10-7 victory to maintain their top seeding.
The Lions have been all over the place, but jumped up to 3rd after a decisive win over the Commanders.
November 11, 2025 at 11:16 PM
NFC Conference Standings!
Two weeks ago, the Packers and Eagles were the 1st and 2nd ranked teams. They just played on MNF. The Eagles squeaked out a 10-7 victory to maintain their top seeding.
The Lions have been all over the place, but jumped up to 3rd after a decisive win over the Commanders.
Two weeks ago, the Packers and Eagles were the 1st and 2nd ranked teams. They just played on MNF. The Eagles squeaked out a 10-7 victory to maintain their top seeding.
The Lions have been all over the place, but jumped up to 3rd after a decisive win over the Commanders.
AFC Conference Standings!
Colts have maintained a strangle-hold on the #1 seed, despite some recent struggles.
The Broncos have clawed their way up to 2nd.
The Chiefs--who are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl--are 8th.
The Titans have been the most consistently ranked team.
Colts have maintained a strangle-hold on the #1 seed, despite some recent struggles.
The Broncos have clawed their way up to 2nd.
The Chiefs--who are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl--are 8th.
The Titans have been the most consistently ranked team.
November 11, 2025 at 11:12 PM
AFC Conference Standings!
Colts have maintained a strangle-hold on the #1 seed, despite some recent struggles.
The Broncos have clawed their way up to 2nd.
The Chiefs--who are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl--are 8th.
The Titans have been the most consistently ranked team.
Colts have maintained a strangle-hold on the #1 seed, despite some recent struggles.
The Broncos have clawed their way up to 2nd.
The Chiefs--who are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl--are 8th.
The Titans have been the most consistently ranked team.
Here is how the odds for teams with greater than 5% SB probability have moved over time.
The Bills have fallen from grace, and hard.
The Chiefs took over that spot in a big way, then tanked due to Chiefs loss vs Bills.
The Rams have steadily climbed week after week until now they're second.
The Bills have fallen from grace, and hard.
The Chiefs took over that spot in a big way, then tanked due to Chiefs loss vs Bills.
The Rams have steadily climbed week after week until now they're second.
November 11, 2025 at 11:08 PM
Here is how the odds for teams with greater than 5% SB probability have moved over time.
The Bills have fallen from grace, and hard.
The Chiefs took over that spot in a big way, then tanked due to Chiefs loss vs Bills.
The Rams have steadily climbed week after week until now they're second.
The Bills have fallen from grace, and hard.
The Chiefs took over that spot in a big way, then tanked due to Chiefs loss vs Bills.
The Rams have steadily climbed week after week until now they're second.
Can Your Team Win the Super Bowl?
The Chiefs--who got spanked by the Bills in week 9, went on bye, and are currently ranked 8th in the AFC, thus not in the playoffs--are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl.
The aforementioned Bills have the 7th best odds.
This has been a weird season...
The Chiefs--who got spanked by the Bills in week 9, went on bye, and are currently ranked 8th in the AFC, thus not in the playoffs--are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl.
The aforementioned Bills have the 7th best odds.
This has been a weird season...
November 11, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Can Your Team Win the Super Bowl?
The Chiefs--who got spanked by the Bills in week 9, went on bye, and are currently ranked 8th in the AFC, thus not in the playoffs--are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl.
The aforementioned Bills have the 7th best odds.
This has been a weird season...
The Chiefs--who got spanked by the Bills in week 9, went on bye, and are currently ranked 8th in the AFC, thus not in the playoffs--are the betting favorites to win the Super Bowl.
The aforementioned Bills have the 7th best odds.
This has been a weird season...
I almost died reading this part. Laughed so hard I choked.
😂 🤣
😂 🤣
November 7, 2025 at 3:55 AM
I almost died reading this part. Laughed so hard I choked.
😂 🤣
😂 🤣
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
Stop being a lame-o and replace dplyr with the more slappin genzplyr.
November 7, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Stop being a lame-o and replace dplyr with the more slappin genzplyr.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
Do you teach #rstats? Do your students complain about how lame and old-fashioned dplyr is? Don't worry: I have the solution for you: github.com/hadley/genzp....
genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
GitHub - hadley/genzplyr: dplyr but make it bussin fr fr no cap
dplyr but make it bussin fr fr no cap. Contribute to hadley/genzplyr development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
November 6, 2025 at 11:25 PM
Do you teach #rstats? Do your students complain about how lame and old-fashioned dplyr is? Don't worry: I have the solution for you: github.com/hadley/genzp....
genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
genzplyr is dplyr, but bussin fr fr no cap.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
We've got a cool new part-time, remote opportunity with our group. It’s a 10-week project-based Quantitative Research internship (paid) with the expectation of 15 hours/week of work.
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
Quantitative Research Intern - Remote
Detroit, MI 48226
job-boards.greenhouse.io
November 6, 2025 at 8:18 PM
We've got a cool new part-time, remote opportunity with our group. It’s a 10-week project-based Quantitative Research internship (paid) with the expectation of 15 hours/week of work.
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
We designed this with students in mind, but open to anyone. Apply at link: job-boards.greenhouse.io/detroitlions...
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
52.6% of Bo Nix's air yards have been uncatchable this season.
No other quarterback with 150 or more pass attempts is over 50% per @ftnfantasy.com.
No other quarterback with 150 or more pass attempts is over 50% per @ftnfantasy.com.
November 7, 2025 at 2:46 AM
52.6% of Bo Nix's air yards have been uncatchable this season.
No other quarterback with 150 or more pass attempts is over 50% per @ftnfantasy.com.
No other quarterback with 150 or more pass attempts is over 50% per @ftnfantasy.com.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
-- WEEK 10 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
November 4, 2025 at 4:05 PM
-- WEEK 10 #NFL 🏈 Playoff Leverage --
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
Here you can see how the playoff probability of each team changes depending on whether they win or lose the next game.
Just a quick reminder that fully 35.7% of all in-season trades happen on the trade deadline.
We're at Day Zero, people! Get your typing fingers stretched out and ready.
We're at Day Zero, people! Get your typing fingers stretched out and ready.
If we limit the data to the 2017-2024 seasons, there have been 74 trades in the 8 days leading up to and including the deadline.
That's an average of 9.25 trades per year.
Who's your predictions for the other 8.25 trades?
That's an average of 9.25 trades per year.
Who's your predictions for the other 8.25 trades?
November 4, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Just a quick reminder that fully 35.7% of all in-season trades happen on the trade deadline.
We're at Day Zero, people! Get your typing fingers stretched out and ready.
We're at Day Zero, people! Get your typing fingers stretched out and ready.
Chiefs have an opportunity to double-dip this week, for the 4th time this season.
November 2, 2025 at 11:05 PM
Chiefs have an opportunity to double-dip this week, for the 4th time this season.
It's KC @ BUF!!!
These two teams are ranked very similarly. On O and D, KC edges BUF out on overall EPA, but it's close. Both D's struggle against the run. KC has best success rate overall and passing. BUF has significant edge at creating explosives plays, while KC has been better at limiting them.
These two teams are ranked very similarly. On O and D, KC edges BUF out on overall EPA, but it's close. Both D's struggle against the run. KC has best success rate overall and passing. BUF has significant edge at creating explosives plays, while KC has been better at limiting them.
November 2, 2025 at 3:48 PM
It's KC @ BUF!!!
These two teams are ranked very similarly. On O and D, KC edges BUF out on overall EPA, but it's close. Both D's struggle against the run. KC has best success rate overall and passing. BUF has significant edge at creating explosives plays, while KC has been better at limiting them.
These two teams are ranked very similarly. On O and D, KC edges BUF out on overall EPA, but it's close. Both D's struggle against the run. KC has best success rate overall and passing. BUF has significant edge at creating explosives plays, while KC has been better at limiting them.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
Tight end. If you see a way to get 87's successor, you do it.
What position could Veach trade for that would absolutely have us all collectively scratching our heads, but is somewhat realistic? CB? WR? G?
November 1, 2025 at 3:49 AM
Tight end. If you see a way to get 87's successor, you do it.
Chiefs @ Bills Injury Report:
Both teams missing starters. Chiefs LT Simmons is missing for the 4th straight game. His backup, Jaylon Moore, is questionable. RG Trey Smith is also questionable, so Chiefs OL pretty banged up right now.
Bills missing a couple major pieces on defense, plus Palmer.
Both teams missing starters. Chiefs LT Simmons is missing for the 4th straight game. His backup, Jaylon Moore, is questionable. RG Trey Smith is also questionable, so Chiefs OL pretty banged up right now.
Bills missing a couple major pieces on defense, plus Palmer.
October 31, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Chiefs @ Bills Injury Report:
Both teams missing starters. Chiefs LT Simmons is missing for the 4th straight game. His backup, Jaylon Moore, is questionable. RG Trey Smith is also questionable, so Chiefs OL pretty banged up right now.
Bills missing a couple major pieces on defense, plus Palmer.
Both teams missing starters. Chiefs LT Simmons is missing for the 4th straight game. His backup, Jaylon Moore, is questionable. RG Trey Smith is also questionable, so Chiefs OL pretty banged up right now.
Bills missing a couple major pieces on defense, plus Palmer.
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
was happy to help contribute a new R package to pull in college basketball data from CBBD! Please reach out or open a GitHub issue if you run into any issues using the package!
Official R support for CBBD is new for this year! Special thanks to @johnbedwards.io for driving this.
R docs: buff.ly/kpwCvbq
R docs: buff.ly/kpwCvbq
October 31, 2025 at 4:11 PM
was happy to help contribute a new R package to pull in college basketball data from CBBD! Please reach out or open a GitHub issue if you run into any issues using the package!
Reposted by Joseph Hefner
Breece Hall if his game-winning touchdown pass convinced the Jets not to trade him:
October 29, 2025 at 8:52 PM
Breece Hall if his game-winning touchdown pass convinced the Jets not to trade him: