JurgenPanzer
@jurgenpanzer.bsky.social
NAFO,🇵🇱, 🩺⚕️,father, husband. My russophobia is not based on fear.
Cannot overstate how important this is. Mark Hertling was one of very few analysts predicting russian invasion of Ukraine will not subdue Ukraine quckly and he actually explained why would that be before it started.
My latest in @thebulwark.com
An important warning from @markhertling.bsky.social
"Venezuela is not small, not simple, and not susceptible to quick, low-cost military outcomes."
www.thebulwark.com/p/no-venezue...
"Venezuela is not small, not simple, and not susceptible to quick, low-cost military outcomes."
www.thebulwark.com/p/no-venezue...
November 17, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Cannot overstate how important this is. Mark Hertling was one of very few analysts predicting russian invasion of Ukraine will not subdue Ukraine quckly and he actually explained why would that be before it started.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
It’s great to see Ukraine signing letters of intent for major equipment orders from France, but it is shameful that it took almost four years of full-scale war to finally order new SAMP/T batteries to protect Ukraine’s civilians.
Better late than never, but still shameful
Better late than never, but still shameful
November 17, 2025 at 1:29 PM
It’s great to see Ukraine signing letters of intent for major equipment orders from France, but it is shameful that it took almost four years of full-scale war to finally order new SAMP/T batteries to protect Ukraine’s civilians.
Better late than never, but still shameful
Better late than never, but still shameful
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
⚡️ Ukraine will get 100 Rafale fighter jets plus new French radars and air-defense systems, President Zelenskyy says.
November 17, 2025 at 12:43 PM
⚡️ Ukraine will get 100 Rafale fighter jets plus new French radars and air-defense systems, President Zelenskyy says.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Hi all,
I published a new Missile Matters post in which I model and compare the cost efficiency of UCAVs in deep strike missions to assess whether these systems can help bridge Europe’s deep strike gap.
Access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/uncrewed-c...
Short summary below.
1/3
I published a new Missile Matters post in which I model and compare the cost efficiency of UCAVs in deep strike missions to assess whether these systems can help bridge Europe’s deep strike gap.
Access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/uncrewed-c...
Short summary below.
1/3
Uncrewed Combat Aerial Vehicles - An Option for Deep Precision Strike?
Assessing the cost, survivability, and mission value of UCAVs in comparison to one-way effectors
missilematters.substack.com
November 16, 2025 at 1:50 PM
Hi all,
I published a new Missile Matters post in which I model and compare the cost efficiency of UCAVs in deep strike missions to assess whether these systems can help bridge Europe’s deep strike gap.
Access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/uncrewed-c...
Short summary below.
1/3
I published a new Missile Matters post in which I model and compare the cost efficiency of UCAVs in deep strike missions to assess whether these systems can help bridge Europe’s deep strike gap.
Access the post here:
missilematters.substack.com/p/uncrewed-c...
Short summary below.
1/3
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
As we’ve noted before, the rules-based international order that the US helped construct & sustain for more than 80 years has effectively come to an end. Even if Donald Trump leaves the political stage, the world is not reverting to that earlier framework. See UK's quixotic efforts to rewind Brexit.
November 16, 2025 at 1:18 PM
As we’ve noted before, the rules-based international order that the US helped construct & sustain for more than 80 years has effectively come to an end. Even if Donald Trump leaves the political stage, the world is not reverting to that earlier framework. See UK's quixotic efforts to rewind Brexit.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
"The Grift Bubble: A Political Theory of American Collapse"
"Those who work against the grifters... may be acting from love, or from law, because they know that these things are real. And so they should also know, in acting thus, that they are the patriots."
snyder.substack.com/p/the-grift-...
"Those who work against the grifters... may be acting from love, or from law, because they know that these things are real. And so they should also know, in acting thus, that they are the patriots."
snyder.substack.com/p/the-grift-...
The Grift Bubble
A Political Theory of American Collapse
snyder.substack.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:25 PM
"The Grift Bubble: A Political Theory of American Collapse"
"Those who work against the grifters... may be acting from love, or from law, because they know that these things are real. And so they should also know, in acting thus, that they are the patriots."
snyder.substack.com/p/the-grift-...
"Those who work against the grifters... may be acting from love, or from law, because they know that these things are real. And so they should also know, in acting thus, that they are the patriots."
snyder.substack.com/p/the-grift-...
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
And that means that democracy doesn't die in darkness, but in the light of a billion glowing screens.
November 16, 2025 at 1:22 PM
And that means that democracy doesn't die in darkness, but in the light of a billion glowing screens.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
I've made the point in the past that Trump's support is based on a coalition of disordered counterpublics which distrust institutions, such as anti-vaxxers, Pizzagate truthers, and the like. Their primary loyalty is to their individual causes, not Trump, and this is the coalition fracturing.
Marjorie Taylor Greene: "I do support him and his administration ... his remarks of course have been hurtful ... unfortunately it has all come down to the Epstein files ... I will continue to do my small part to get the files released."
November 16, 2025 at 4:04 PM
I've made the point in the past that Trump's support is based on a coalition of disordered counterpublics which distrust institutions, such as anti-vaxxers, Pizzagate truthers, and the like. Their primary loyalty is to their individual causes, not Trump, and this is the coalition fracturing.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Analysis: The Post found that documents recounting President Ronald Reagan’s relations with the Soviet Union in the early 1980s, one of the most dangerous periods of the Cold War, have been removed.
The State Department had deleted history.
The State Department had deleted history.
Analysis | State Department deleted records about risk of inadvertent nuclear war
Key historical records about the incident during the Reagan administration, known as the Able Archer 83 War Scare, were removed without explanation.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Analysis: The Post found that documents recounting President Ronald Reagan’s relations with the Soviet Union in the early 1980s, one of the most dangerous periods of the Cold War, have been removed.
The State Department had deleted history.
The State Department had deleted history.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
#ThrowbackThursday: In 1980 the 🌍🌎🌏 was declared #smallpox free, thanks to mass vaccination efforts.
Smallpox was an acute contagious disease caused by the variola virus. It was one of the most devastating diseases known to humanity. #VaccinesWork
Smallpox was an acute contagious disease caused by the variola virus. It was one of the most devastating diseases known to humanity. #VaccinesWork
August 28, 2025 at 9:17 AM
#ThrowbackThursday: In 1980 the 🌍🌎🌏 was declared #smallpox free, thanks to mass vaccination efforts.
Smallpox was an acute contagious disease caused by the variola virus. It was one of the most devastating diseases known to humanity. #VaccinesWork
Smallpox was an acute contagious disease caused by the variola virus. It was one of the most devastating diseases known to humanity. #VaccinesWork
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
⏩Country go get Stuff to the Front. In WW2 the american Studebakers from Lend/Lease saved the Day. Today it's China. That's why #KarlToldYouSo to destroy the russian Railways.
More here:
warontherocks.com/2021/11/feed...
More here:
warontherocks.com/2021/11/feed...
Feeding the Bear: A Closer Look at Russian Army Logistics and the Fait Accompli
Editor's note: Don't miss our comprehensive guide to Russia's war against Ukraine. Russia’s military buildup along the border with Ukraine has
warontherocks.com
November 16, 2025 at 3:13 PM
⏩Country go get Stuff to the Front. In WW2 the american Studebakers from Lend/Lease saved the Day. Today it's China. That's why #KarlToldYouSo to destroy the russian Railways.
More here:
warontherocks.com/2021/11/feed...
More here:
warontherocks.com/2021/11/feed...
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
The Founders were so concerned about bribery that the Constitution forbids it three separate times. Two emoluments clauses ban officials—unambiguously including the president—from accepting things of value, plus bribery is the only named impeachable offense besides treason.
Unprecedentedly corrupt.
Unprecedentedly corrupt.
To negotiate a trade deal with the President of the United States, the Swiss government arrived with a "special Rolex desktop clock" and "a 1-kilogram personalized gold bar"
www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
How to lobby Trump with Swiss precision: gifts, gold and gab
How the Swiss broke a diplomatic logjam on tariffs by arriving with tributes fit for a king.
www.axios.com
November 16, 2025 at 1:50 PM
The Founders were so concerned about bribery that the Constitution forbids it three separate times. Two emoluments clauses ban officials—unambiguously including the president—from accepting things of value, plus bribery is the only named impeachable offense besides treason.
Unprecedentedly corrupt.
Unprecedentedly corrupt.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Governments and voters are both reacting to algorithm-shaped “public opinion,” not grounded priorities. Immigration feels urgent because platforms amplify fear, pulling parties into hollow performances of toughness. The far right reads that drift as confirmation it’s winning.
Not everyone is unhappy about the Government's descent into anti-refugee politics
November 16, 2025 at 1:06 PM
Governments and voters are both reacting to algorithm-shaped “public opinion,” not grounded priorities. Immigration feels urgent because platforms amplify fear, pulling parties into hollow performances of toughness. The far right reads that drift as confirmation it’s winning.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Someone dug deep into their pockets.
Cudos to this anonymous donour.
Cudos to this anonymous donour.
❗️An anonymous benefactor from the 🇳🇱Netherlands has armed six units of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of 🇺🇦Ukraine with shotguns as part of an aid package.
November 16, 2025 at 12:13 PM
Someone dug deep into their pockets.
Cudos to this anonymous donour.
Cudos to this anonymous donour.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
I think Europe is still holding on to a belief that "everything will be fine" and is letting its actions be guided by that.
"Everything will be fine, the Russians will bleed out, and then collapse"
When the approach we should be taking is to be proactive and aggressive.
"Everything will be fine, the Russians will bleed out, and then collapse"
When the approach we should be taking is to be proactive and aggressive.
Why did you ever think that things were ever gonna be good, buddy? You saw the way it was, you saw the trajectory, you should’ve figured it out by now.
November 16, 2025 at 5:44 AM
I think Europe is still holding on to a belief that "everything will be fine" and is letting its actions be guided by that.
"Everything will be fine, the Russians will bleed out, and then collapse"
When the approach we should be taking is to be proactive and aggressive.
"Everything will be fine, the Russians will bleed out, and then collapse"
When the approach we should be taking is to be proactive and aggressive.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
To negotiate a trade deal with the President of the United States, the Swiss government arrived with a "special Rolex desktop clock" and "a 1-kilogram personalized gold bar"
www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
How to lobby Trump with Swiss precision: gifts, gold and gab
How the Swiss broke a diplomatic logjam on tariffs by arriving with tributes fit for a king.
www.axios.com
November 15, 2025 at 7:07 PM
To negotiate a trade deal with the President of the United States, the Swiss government arrived with a "special Rolex desktop clock" and "a 1-kilogram personalized gold bar"
www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
www.axios.com/2025/11/14/t...
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
When I visited PEN Ukraine in Kyiv in September 2023, I was photographed by Kostiatyn Huzenko, who documented the war. He enlisted in the Ukrainian armed forces this April and was killed on November 1 by a Russian missile. Courage, truth, memory
united24media.com/war-in-ukrai...
united24media.com/war-in-ukrai...
“If Caught in the Rain, He’d Smile”: In Memory of Kostiantyn Huzenko, Soldier, Artist, Friend
A marine, photographer, and friend, Kostiantyn Huzenko was killed by Russia in 2025. His spirit lives on in memories, photos, and the people he touched.
united24media.com
November 15, 2025 at 7:56 PM
When I visited PEN Ukraine in Kyiv in September 2023, I was photographed by Kostiatyn Huzenko, who documented the war. He enlisted in the Ukrainian armed forces this April and was killed on November 1 by a Russian missile. Courage, truth, memory
united24media.com/war-in-ukrai...
united24media.com/war-in-ukrai...
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Plz read this imp public service 🧵
Nuremberg is out, and I am making a special request you go see it.
Go see Nuremberg: not only will it teach you about the Nazis’ many, many crimes, including the Holocaust which is (rightly) the one thing people know about the Third Reich.
Nuremberg is out, and I am making a special request you go see it.
Go see Nuremberg: not only will it teach you about the Nazis’ many, many crimes, including the Holocaust which is (rightly) the one thing people know about the Third Reich.
November 15, 2025 at 9:44 PM
Plz read this imp public service 🧵
Nuremberg is out, and I am making a special request you go see it.
Go see Nuremberg: not only will it teach you about the Nazis’ many, many crimes, including the Holocaust which is (rightly) the one thing people know about the Third Reich.
Nuremberg is out, and I am making a special request you go see it.
Go see Nuremberg: not only will it teach you about the Nazis’ many, many crimes, including the Holocaust which is (rightly) the one thing people know about the Third Reich.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Creating the US SA was always and obviously the idea.
"what began as a way to increase the pace of deportations has come to look like a national police force, answerable to the president, that is at least as focused on bullying the residents of Democrat-run cities as it is on deporting undocumented migrants" www.economist.com/interactive/...
See how Donald Trump is creating his own police force
Immigration agents are operating in cities with few legal constraints
www.economist.com
November 14, 2025 at 5:34 PM
Creating the US SA was always and obviously the idea.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
NATO had had enough. It was time to teach the Russians a lesson and make it plain these air incursions were no longer going to be tolerated. When the Russians obliged NATO sprang its trap. This is what happened...
THE REAL STORY: HOW NATO ENDED RUSSIAS ESTONIAN AIR INCURSIONS
NATO had had enough. It was time to teach the Russians a lesson and make it plain these air incursions were no longer going to be tolerated. When the Russians obliged NATO sprang its trap. This is what happened.
themilitaryanalyst.com
November 13, 2025 at 4:36 PM
NATO had had enough. It was time to teach the Russians a lesson and make it plain these air incursions were no longer going to be tolerated. When the Russians obliged NATO sprang its trap. This is what happened...
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Look at this man.
He is Serhiy Vlasenko, one of Ukraine's incredible rescue workers.
In the early hours today he was called to fight fire in his own house in Kyiv. His own apartment completely destroyed.
Thankfully Serhiy's mother, wife & children aged 5 and 8 months, escaped.
He is Serhiy Vlasenko, one of Ukraine's incredible rescue workers.
In the early hours today he was called to fight fire in his own house in Kyiv. His own apartment completely destroyed.
Thankfully Serhiy's mother, wife & children aged 5 and 8 months, escaped.
November 14, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Look at this man.
He is Serhiy Vlasenko, one of Ukraine's incredible rescue workers.
In the early hours today he was called to fight fire in his own house in Kyiv. His own apartment completely destroyed.
Thankfully Serhiy's mother, wife & children aged 5 and 8 months, escaped.
He is Serhiy Vlasenko, one of Ukraine's incredible rescue workers.
In the early hours today he was called to fight fire in his own house in Kyiv. His own apartment completely destroyed.
Thankfully Serhiy's mother, wife & children aged 5 and 8 months, escaped.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
OTD in 1860 the Treaty of Peking was signed. An unequal treaty, Russia gained about 600,000km of Chinese territory. We said "we just need to secure Russian borders"
Imagine that happening today.
Imagine that happening today.
November 14, 2025 at 1:38 PM
OTD in 1860 the Treaty of Peking was signed. An unequal treaty, Russia gained about 600,000km of Chinese territory. We said "we just need to secure Russian borders"
Imagine that happening today.
Imagine that happening today.
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
It’s becoming a weekly #FiverFriday tradition for me make a donation through the UNITED24 app. This week it was to the K-2 drone unit.
I have covered each of the units over the past 5 weeks. Small donations add up to big help!
#NAFO #russiaIsATerroristState #Ukraine #SlavaUkraini #StandWithUkraine
I have covered each of the units over the past 5 weeks. Small donations add up to big help!
#NAFO #russiaIsATerroristState #Ukraine #SlavaUkraini #StandWithUkraine
November 14, 2025 at 1:19 PM
It’s becoming a weekly #FiverFriday tradition for me make a donation through the UNITED24 app. This week it was to the K-2 drone unit.
I have covered each of the units over the past 5 weeks. Small donations add up to big help!
#NAFO #russiaIsATerroristState #Ukraine #SlavaUkraini #StandWithUkraine
I have covered each of the units over the past 5 weeks. Small donations add up to big help!
#NAFO #russiaIsATerroristState #Ukraine #SlavaUkraini #StandWithUkraine
Reposted by JurgenPanzer
Never believe an American lib when he talks about humanism and justice for all and all that bullshit, it doesn’t apply to you, you’re a statistic to him
November 14, 2025 at 6:43 AM
Never believe an American lib when he talks about humanism and justice for all and all that bullshit, it doesn’t apply to you, you’re a statistic to him