@ullsperj.bsky.social
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I started Strength In Numbers in March with a goal to hit 25,000 readers by 2026.
The site is now just 1,100 people short of fully *doubling* that goal!
If you've found my independent, data-driven work valuable, I'd love it if you shared this post with a friend. ❤️
www.gelliottmorris.com/subscribe
The site is now just 1,100 people short of fully *doubling* that goal!
If you've found my independent, data-driven work valuable, I'd love it if you shared this post with a friend. ❤️
www.gelliottmorris.com/subscribe
Subscribe to Strength In Numbers
Independent, data-driven analysis of politics, public opinion, and elections. Evidence, not spin. Learn what the data really says. Click to read Strength In Numbers, by G. Elliott Morris, a Substack p...
www.gelliottmorris.com
December 30, 2025 at 11:50 PM
I started Strength In Numbers in March with a goal to hit 25,000 readers by 2026.
The site is now just 1,100 people short of fully *doubling* that goal!
If you've found my independent, data-driven work valuable, I'd love it if you shared this post with a friend. ❤️
www.gelliottmorris.com/subscribe
The site is now just 1,100 people short of fully *doubling* that goal!
If you've found my independent, data-driven work valuable, I'd love it if you shared this post with a friend. ❤️
www.gelliottmorris.com/subscribe
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The GOP has really leaned in to singling out Somalis for very explicit racism. Ron Johnson and the rest of the party are just loathsome, un-American people.
Ron Johnson: "Understand, Somalis have just been in this country a few years. They're amateurs when it comes to fleecing the federal government."
December 28, 2025 at 4:21 PM
The GOP has really leaned in to singling out Somalis for very explicit racism. Ron Johnson and the rest of the party are just loathsome, un-American people.
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Pope Leo said in a Christmas Eve sermon that the story of Jesus being born in a stable because there was no room at an inn should remind Christians that refusing to help the poor and strangers today is tantamount to rejecting God himself. For @reuters.com
Pope Leo, on Christmas Eve, says denying help to poor is rejecting God
Pope Leo said in a Christmas Eve sermon on Wednesday that the story of Jesus being born in a stable because there was no room at an inn should remind Christians that refusing to help the poor and stra...
www.reuters.com
December 24, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Pope Leo said in a Christmas Eve sermon that the story of Jesus being born in a stable because there was no room at an inn should remind Christians that refusing to help the poor and strangers today is tantamount to rejecting God himself. For @reuters.com
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The “free speech” and “cancel culture” panics have led to overt state censorship because that was always their purpose. (Gift link) www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
December 23, 2025 at 4:54 PM
The “free speech” and “cancel culture” panics have led to overt state censorship because that was always their purpose. (Gift link) www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
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this is a good reminder of how things that are shitty but have been accepted as normal and inevitable can actually turn out to be abnormal and evitable with some science, time, education and political will
December 19, 2025 at 8:44 PM
this is a good reminder of how things that are shitty but have been accepted as normal and inevitable can actually turn out to be abnormal and evitable with some science, time, education and political will
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Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA — 2025
December 20, 2025 at 12:08 AM
Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA — 2025
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Can I just say 2 things: First, Matt fails to see how these two sentences are different:
"Trump is weak on the economy and highlighting it is bad for him"
"Trump is weak on the economy, so Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration"
I think this says a lot about his ideological priors
"Trump is weak on the economy and highlighting it is bad for him"
"Trump is weak on the economy, so Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration"
I think this says a lot about his ideological priors
Here's a good post from Elliott Morris, the leader of the anti-Yglesias bandwagon, about how Trump's biggest political vulnerability is the cost of living and how Trump is screwing up by drawing more attention to it.
bsky.app/profile/gell...
bsky.app/profile/gell...
Trump's White House speech on affordability shows his team is desperate to try anything to help his numbers (except, of course, change the policies that majorities of Americans disapprove of)
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-vote...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-vote...
December 19, 2025 at 4:38 PM
Can I just say 2 things: First, Matt fails to see how these two sentences are different:
"Trump is weak on the economy and highlighting it is bad for him"
"Trump is weak on the economy, so Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration"
I think this says a lot about his ideological priors
"Trump is weak on the economy and highlighting it is bad for him"
"Trump is weak on the economy, so Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration"
I think this says a lot about his ideological priors
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One of the biggest moments of my career:
USCIS canceled my client’s naturalization oath ceremony. We filed a lawsuit, went to trial, and the judge swore him in right there in the courtroom!
USCIS canceled my client’s naturalization oath ceremony. We filed a lawsuit, went to trial, and the judge swore him in right there in the courtroom!
December 16, 2025 at 3:21 PM
One of the biggest moments of my career:
USCIS canceled my client’s naturalization oath ceremony. We filed a lawsuit, went to trial, and the judge swore him in right there in the courtroom!
USCIS canceled my client’s naturalization oath ceremony. We filed a lawsuit, went to trial, and the judge swore him in right there in the courtroom!
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Hard to come up with a compelling answer to the following question: With a president at 40% approval and his party very likely to lose the House in the next election, and with wind in its sails from a successful off-year cycle, why is the opposition party not fighting overreach harder?
oh for sure. I think you have to accept you can't win every election...which means really aggressively crushing fascism while you're in office with an eye on the truth that you aren't going to be in office forever, rather than counting on the next election to save you.
December 16, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Hard to come up with a compelling answer to the following question: With a president at 40% approval and his party very likely to lose the House in the next election, and with wind in its sails from a successful off-year cycle, why is the opposition party not fighting overreach harder?
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if your view as an org is that Collins is closer to the guy we saw at the end of the year, and that Zerpa is a starter, this trade makes a ton more sense.
we'll see whether that bears out, but Arnold & co have more than earned the benefit of the doubt with scouting and player dev.
we'll see whether that bears out, but Arnold & co have more than earned the benefit of the doubt with scouting and player dev.
December 14, 2025 at 7:20 PM
if your view as an org is that Collins is closer to the guy we saw at the end of the year, and that Zerpa is a starter, this trade makes a ton more sense.
we'll see whether that bears out, but Arnold & co have more than earned the benefit of the doubt with scouting and player dev.
we'll see whether that bears out, but Arnold & co have more than earned the benefit of the doubt with scouting and player dev.
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Trump sent Vance there twice. He threatened to cut off all federal spending to the state. He vowed to back primary challengers of any Republican who voted against him here. He posted their names online, prompting his fans to send them death threats.
But all that failed, so now he wasn't involved.
But all that failed, so now he wasn't involved.
Reporter: The senate in Indiana voted against the redistricting effort.
Trump: I wasn't working on it very hard. I wasn't very much involved
Trump: I wasn't working on it very hard. I wasn't very much involved
December 12, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Trump sent Vance there twice. He threatened to cut off all federal spending to the state. He vowed to back primary challengers of any Republican who voted against him here. He posted their names online, prompting his fans to send them death threats.
But all that failed, so now he wasn't involved.
But all that failed, so now he wasn't involved.
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Breaking: Indiana State Senate rejects 9-0 Republican gerrymandered congressional map, stands up to Trump’s pressure campaign of threats and intimidation. Huge victory for democracy & defeat for Trump in gerrymandering war he started
December 11, 2025 at 9:35 PM
Breaking: Indiana State Senate rejects 9-0 Republican gerrymandered congressional map, stands up to Trump’s pressure campaign of threats and intimidation. Huge victory for democracy & defeat for Trump in gerrymandering war he started
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this is just terrorism
ICE detain U.S. citizen for looking Somali—use illegal chokehold to tackle him to ground.
Man repeatedly begs agents to look at his digital passport ID—they refuse.
Drove him 7 miles away before releasing him alone into Minnesota snow storm—told him to "walk home" in freezing weather advisory.
Man repeatedly begs agents to look at his digital passport ID—they refuse.
Drove him 7 miles away before releasing him alone into Minnesota snow storm—told him to "walk home" in freezing weather advisory.
December 11, 2025 at 12:43 AM
this is just terrorism
Think people need to pump the brakes on a Megill trade just a bit. No rush to move a high leverage arm with two years of control yet.
December 11, 2025 at 12:40 AM
Think people need to pump the brakes on a Megill trade just a bit. No rush to move a high leverage arm with two years of control yet.
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"Not making an offer" is just totally irrelevant to me. People think that's the same thing as "didn't discuss a deal," and it just isn't.
December 10, 2025 at 6:28 PM
"Not making an offer" is just totally irrelevant to me. People think that's the same thing as "didn't discuss a deal," and it just isn't.
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The 2026 ZiPS projections for the Milwaukee Brewers are now up on @fangraphs.com.
blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-zips-pr...
blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-zips-pr...
2026 ZiPS Projections: Milwaukee Brewers
The Brewers look well-equipped to again fight the Cubs for the NL Central title.
blogs.fangraphs.com
December 9, 2025 at 5:17 PM
The 2026 ZiPS projections for the Milwaukee Brewers are now up on @fangraphs.com.
blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-zips-pr...
blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-zips-pr...
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I'm going to keep saying this in my effort to speak it into reality: Supreme Court should have at least 100 Justices with rotating panels (and maybe an en banc option). No single Justice should have so much power and they shouldn't be names everyone knows.
A court with a normal-ish conservative majority would have been tolerable. I'm not eager for court packing, impeaching justices, and other such options. But this court sticking around post-Trump is untenable. They've already torched their own legitimacy, the only question is what do we do about it.
Democrats need to lay the groundwork for reform by attacking the villains on the Supreme Court - loudly, angrily, personally, relentlessly. And they should start now.
paulwaldman.substack.com/p/democrats-...
paulwaldman.substack.com/p/democrats-...
December 5, 2025 at 10:41 PM
I'm going to keep saying this in my effort to speak it into reality: Supreme Court should have at least 100 Justices with rotating panels (and maybe an en banc option). No single Justice should have so much power and they shouldn't be names everyone knows.
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Bingo Bongo Betrays Business Blueprint: Bullshit, Bamboozle Bumpkins, Bag Bucks.
FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino has publicly distanced himself from his own conspiracy rhetoric, offering a striking walk-back of claims he made before joining the agency’s leadership.
Bongino Makes Jaw-Dropping Admission About His Unhinged Conspiracies
“I was paid in the past for my opinions,” former podcaster explained on Fox News.
trib.al
December 5, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Bingo Bongo Betrays Business Blueprint: Bullshit, Bamboozle Bumpkins, Bag Bucks.
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I have friends and family members who, for nearly 30 years, have asked me to explain legal matters. I have stopped doing this with Supreme Court rulings because it’s all made up and the only answer is “they’re doing this because they’re Republicans and they want to advance Republican priorities.”
December 4, 2025 at 11:42 PM
I have friends and family members who, for nearly 30 years, have asked me to explain legal matters. I have stopped doing this with Supreme Court rulings because it’s all made up and the only answer is “they’re doing this because they’re Republicans and they want to advance Republican priorities.”
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As Justice Kagan begins her dissent by pointing out, what is even the point of trial, of fact-finding, of clear error, of standards of review, when the Supreme Court simply ignores every single part of that and decides everything purely on the papers without any real consideration of the facts?
December 4, 2025 at 11:08 PM
As Justice Kagan begins her dissent by pointing out, what is even the point of trial, of fact-finding, of clear error, of standards of review, when the Supreme Court simply ignores every single part of that and decides everything purely on the papers without any real consideration of the facts?
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Mindless shit talking like this only destroys any credibility you might wish to maintain on stuff like this, Molly.
The reality is the Brewers could spend every penny they make in revenue (337M in 2024), lose hundrededs of millions of dollars and not come CLOSE to the Dodgers 549M spent in 2025.
The reality is the Brewers could spend every penny they make in revenue (337M in 2024), lose hundrededs of millions of dollars and not come CLOSE to the Dodgers 549M spent in 2025.
Since Pat Murphy convinced America during the NLCS that the Brewers are both broke and bad, I think they should take whatever money they are spending on “alternate uniforms” and give it to good players instead.
The Brewers are getting a new powder blue alternate uniform 🔥👀
December 4, 2025 at 10:30 PM
Mindless shit talking like this only destroys any credibility you might wish to maintain on stuff like this, Molly.
The reality is the Brewers could spend every penny they make in revenue (337M in 2024), lose hundrededs of millions of dollars and not come CLOSE to the Dodgers 549M spent in 2025.
The reality is the Brewers could spend every penny they make in revenue (337M in 2024), lose hundrededs of millions of dollars and not come CLOSE to the Dodgers 549M spent in 2025.
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i'd go even further and say there is a reason even nixon kept this kind of stuff to himself. you would have to go back quite a bit to find a point at which is acceptable for a president to say anything like this *in public*, to say nothing of in the oval office.
I don’t want to be pollyannish about the past, but it was basically inconceivable twenty years ago that a president would say this publicly
Trump: "It’s a hellhole right now. And those Somalians should be out of here. They've destroyed our country. And all they do is complain, complain, complain. You have her. She’s always talking about the Constitution provides me with – go back to your own country and figure out your constitution."
December 3, 2025 at 11:04 PM
i'd go even further and say there is a reason even nixon kept this kind of stuff to himself. you would have to go back quite a bit to find a point at which is acceptable for a president to say anything like this *in public*, to say nothing of in the oval office.
Rule 5 platform year for some at the very least interesting names: Lara, Adams, Wilkens, Kuehner, Boeve, Birchard, Woodward, Wichrowski, O'Rae, Rodriguez, Hunt.
A few more that maybe force their way early: Pratt/Made/Fischer. And some soon to be out of option players Meyers, Black, Rodriguez.
A few more that maybe force their way early: Pratt/Made/Fischer. And some soon to be out of option players Meyers, Black, Rodriguez.
December 3, 2025 at 3:40 AM
Rule 5 platform year for some at the very least interesting names: Lara, Adams, Wilkens, Kuehner, Boeve, Birchard, Woodward, Wichrowski, O'Rae, Rodriguez, Hunt.
A few more that maybe force their way early: Pratt/Made/Fischer. And some soon to be out of option players Meyers, Black, Rodriguez.
A few more that maybe force their way early: Pratt/Made/Fischer. And some soon to be out of option players Meyers, Black, Rodriguez.
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The Brewers system contained so many quality to excellent big leaguers around that time — Hader, Burnes, Woodruff, Williams, Grisham, Houser, Peralta, Erceg, Dubon — and the Marlins somehow managed to take back 4 complete flameouts for Yelich. That will never not be wild.
December 3, 2025 at 12:09 AM
The Brewers system contained so many quality to excellent big leaguers around that time — Hader, Burnes, Woodruff, Williams, Grisham, Houser, Peralta, Erceg, Dubon — and the Marlins somehow managed to take back 4 complete flameouts for Yelich. That will never not be wild.
Boy blue jays taking some risks
December 3, 2025 at 12:18 AM
Boy blue jays taking some risks