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Daniel Wincott

Daniel Edward Wincott FLSW is the Blackwell Law and Society Chair at Cardiff Law School, a position he has held… more

H-index: 27
Political science 78%
Law 6%
paulnightingale.bsky.social
Which reminds me of Nightingale's first law of science policy "Fund more history"
iconsgbie.bsky.social
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Familiarity, Culture & Expertise: The Future of Referendums in Ireland & the UK

Oct 17th 10:00-13:00 Online

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1/3 👇

by Ben H. AnsellReposted by: Daniel Wincott

benansell.bsky.social
So who should Labour target if they want their 2024 vote back? Simple let's look at where 2024 Lab voters are now. Here are the averages and by occupation. People who have gone to Reform or Greens are miles away. But people who have gone to LDs or Don't Know, esp Low PMC, are very close. 17/n
danielwincott.bsky.social
Or were once left leaning. It seems to me that some (but only some) UK university leaders come to believe what they used to critique. They almost to treat their own earlier academic work as a mirror-image playbook.
aphclarkson.bsky.social
The quip that the worst neo-liberal managers are personally left-leaning but believe to survive they have to act like the caricature of a fat cat capitalist they internalised as students comes to mind with Starmer sometimes when he tries to project cultural conservatism.

Reposted by: Daniel Wincott

aphclarkson.bsky.social
The quip that the worst neo-liberal managers are personally left-leaning but believe to survive they have to act like the caricature of a fat cat capitalist they internalised as students comes to mind with Starmer sometimes when he tries to project cultural conservatism.

by Daniel WincottReposted by: Simon Hix

danielwincott.bsky.social
Unscramble these eggs
premnsikka.bsky.social
Quarter of UK university physics departments at risk of closing.

Consequence of policies of successive govts, real cut in university income, hard to recruit foreign students.

Science subjects cut as they require heavy investment. Skills shortages will deepen.
Quarter of UK university physics departments at risk of closing, survey finds
Four out of five making staff cuts as physicists say findings are ‘great concern’ for UK’s leadership in important areas
www.theguardian.com
premnsikka.bsky.social
Quarter of UK university physics departments at risk of closing.

Consequence of policies of successive govts, real cut in university income, hard to recruit foreign students.

Science subjects cut as they require heavy investment. Skills shortages will deepen.
Quarter of UK university physics departments at risk of closing, survey finds
Four out of five making staff cuts as physicists say findings are ‘great concern’ for UK’s leadership in important areas
www.theguardian.com
danielwincott.bsky.social
Great. Let’s keep power as centralised as possible. That’ll work well if Farage become PM.
zoecrowther.bsky.social
NEW: Former Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane tells @politicshome.bsky.social he thinks the government is getting “cold feet” about strengthening regional devolution

“Two Reform mayors play into that. A Labour mayor on manoeuvres plays into that too."
Former Bank Of England Economist Says Government Getting 'Cold Feet' Over English Devolution
Former Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane said he is concerned that the government is getting “cold feet” about strengthening regional de...
www.politicshome.com
zoecrowther.bsky.social
NEW: Former Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane tells @politicshome.bsky.social he thinks the government is getting “cold feet” about strengthening regional devolution

“Two Reform mayors play into that. A Labour mayor on manoeuvres plays into that too."
Former Bank Of England Economist Says Government Getting 'Cold Feet' Over English Devolution
Former Bank of England chief economist Andy Haldane said he is concerned that the government is getting “cold feet” about strengthening regional de...
www.politicshome.com
danielwincott.bsky.social
The UK & EU becoming capable of full self defence + role wrt Ukraine encompasses timing questions. Equally, when, in the US domestic politics spiral, does UK government work to sustain the ‘special relationship’ fail a basic moral sniff test, if it hasn’t already? What should the UKG do (then)?
timing.at
danielwincott.bsky.social
A ‘sovereign’ Parliament with 2 elected chambers looks different. Before GE 2024 Lords reform became a 2nd term issue for Labour.
I wasn’t wholly convinced by the Brown commission from a devo perspective. Now maybe a missed opportunity for several reasons? labour.org.uk/wp-content/u...
labour.org.uk
danielwincott.bsky.social
No wonder Farage quit worrying and learned to love FPTP
jaclarner.bsky.social
The Westminster implications are staggering too. On these numbers, Labour would likely be reduced to just 3 Welsh seats, Plaid would win around 6, and Reform could take most of the remaining 23 seats out of Wales's 32 constituencies 🧵 End

Reposted by: Daniel Wincott

a-b-evans.bsky.social
To put the 14% in perspective it would not just be Labour's worst performance in Wales since it supplanted the Liberals in 1922, but its lowest vote share at any national election in Wales since 1906 (when it only contested a handful of seats due to the Gladstone-MacDonald pact)

#senedd #devolution
danielwincott.bsky.social
Oof.
Welsh Labour hopes for benefits flowing from partnership with a Labour government have, it seems, been dashed.
Is anyone in the UK party thinking about the medium term consequences of Labour losing Wales?

Reposted by: Daniel Wincott

jaclarner.bsky.social
The Westminster implications are staggering too. On these numbers, Labour would likely be reduced to just 3 Welsh seats, Plaid would win around 6, and Reform could take most of the remaining 23 seats out of Wales's 32 constituencies 🧵 End
jaclarner.bsky.social
Latest ITV BarnCymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 poll confirms trend seen over last 6 months - neck and neck race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK for largest party, with Labour falling to even more distant third. Evidence growing of distinct realignment in Wales 🧵
jamesbreckwoldt.bsky.social
What Happened to Labour's 2024 Voters?

Using the recent wave of the @britishelectionstudy.com I look at people who voted Labour in 2024:
- How many are still with the party?
- How many have left?
- Why might that be?

TLDR: they've left because of economic issues/concerns, probably.
What Happened to Labour's 2024 Voters?
The who, what, when, how and huh of why Labour has lost so much support in such a short period of time
jamesbreckwoldt.substack.com
danielwincott.bsky.social
The UK also stands out for having cut Welfare Benefit Generosity. Turning WBG to a single number begs lots of issues (equally, tho GDP), but Scruggs+ Ramalho Tafoya have a decent index I used a few years ago. I think the issues it gets to are still often misunderstood. ukandeu.ac.uk/how-generous...
How generous is British welfare? - UK in a changing Europe
Professor Dan Wincott compares the generosity of welfare entitlements in the UK with other high-income countries.
ukandeu.ac.uk

Reposted by: Daniel Wincott

sundersays.bsky.social
Its correct to call Robinson’s rally larger than any far right rally in history.

3/4 of people on it would say it was not far right, and would deny racism

About 1/4 on it may be happy to own racism

The ostensibly moderate/peaceful frame is one reason it can go wider than Mosley or Britain First
danielwincott.bsky.social
A moving tribute.
colinmurray.bsky.social
The news of Conor Gearty's death has just been announced and I'm not coping. He was a mentor and the pole star in my constitutional thinking. He was also a great friend and fantastic fun to be around. I'm heartbroken for Aoife and the children.
colinmurray.bsky.social
The news of Conor Gearty's death has just been announced and I'm not coping. He was a mentor and the pole star in my constitutional thinking. He was also a great friend and fantastic fun to be around. I'm heartbroken for Aoife and the children.

Reposted by: Daniel Wincott

walesgovernance.bsky.social
Siaradodd @nyedavies.bsky.social â Nick Servini ar BBC Radio Wales y bore 'ma i drafod cystadleuaeth Dirprwy Arweinydd y Blaid Llafur:

Dr Nye Davies on Radio Wales this morning, discussing the competition for the role of UK Labour's Deputy Leader and its connection with a famous Welsh MP:

References

Fields & subjects

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