Mike Brewer
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mikebrewerecon.bsky.social
Mike Brewer
@mikebrewerecon.bsky.social

Deputy Chief Executive Resolution Foundation & Visiting Prof in Practice at LSE Social Policy. 'Calm, Measured, Withering' http://tinyurl.com/y6wxlxhj). 'Cool, calm analysis' (More or Less, 8/10/25). He/him

Economics 26%
Political science 22%

Reposted by Mike Brewer

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Reposted by Mike Brewer

This is a bad headline.
But I guess, ‘add 0.1% to total employment costs’ is less exciting.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
"As a mother, my heart swelled with pride. But as an advocate, I felt something even deeper: a reassuring reminder that this country still has space for compassion..." Why we [continue to] do this work, a blog by Beauty reflecting on a visit to No.10: www.changingrealities.org/blog/hope-at...
On December 18, 2025, I stepped through the iconic black door of No. 10 Downing Street, carrying more than just a diary appointment. I brought with me hope, memories, and the quiet weight of every family whose story has intertwined with the mission we pursue at Changing Realities.
www.changingrealities.org
I'm afraid there *is* an obvious answer: it can't.

Reposted by Mike Brewer

Brilliant column by @sarahoconnor.ft.com on the Employment Rights Act:
The good, the bad and the ugly of Britain’s labour market reforms
It’s the detail of the new Employment Rights Act that will matter — and the timing
www.ft.com

Reposted by Mike Brewer

V much enjoyed this.

How Jane Austen revealed the economic basis of society
economist.com/christmas-sp...
from The Economist
How Jane Austen revealed the economic basis of society
Some unacknowledged truths about money
economist.com

Reposted by Mike Brewer

It's midwinter's eve tonight.

If you're quick about it, you can start your timed THE DARK IS RISING read-along before midnight.

(tonight's portion is Chapter 1, 'Midwinter's Eve'. Tomorrow is 'Midwinter Day' and 'The Sign-Seeker'.)

Reposted by Mike Brewer

Yesterday, over 60 of us fr @changingrealities.bsky.social came together in @10dowingstreet.bsky.social for a reception at which the PM & @darrenpjones.bsky.social thanked us for our efforts to push for action on child poverty. Together, we can make change happen. But this is just the beginning.

Reposted by Mike Brewer

The reason we thought it worth writing is that I don't think this is obvious to everyone. And even if you know unemployment is rising, you might not know that it 'explains' *all of* the change in employment compared to pre-pandemic.
My parent’s local A&E doesn’t have pillows, time, beds, capacity. The GP doesn’t have emergency appointments for emergencies, services with capacity to refer people to.

Caring like this about nomenclature and pronouns seems to me a luxury pursuit, frankly.
Susan Hall's condition has now reached the 'shouting at biscuits' stage.

Reposted by Stephen P. Jenkins

NEW ANALYSIS: Today the Government announced its new Child Poverty Strategy. But what might it mean for the outlook for child poverty in this Parliament, and how does it compare to progress on reducing child poverty in recent decades?

New RF analysis answers these questions....
The Government’s Child Poverty Strategy published today is the first we’ve seen for 11 years – which in itself is a sea change. 🧵 👇

Reposted by Mike Brewer

Updating our projections for the latest data and forecasts from the OBR, we project that child poverty rates will fall to 31 per cent by 2029-30, 3.5 percentage points lower than would have been the case in the absence of policy changes …

Reposted by Mike Brewer

The Government’s Child Poverty Strategy published today is the first we’ve seen for 11 years – which in itself is a sea change. 🧵 👇

This is all a bit of a shame, because the abolition of the two-child limit is a major deal for children in large families, and child poverty.


This is a massive throwback to the first Blair government, and the "over 1 million children lifted out of poverty" claim (which was an example of the former statement). See ifs.org.uk/publications... for a discussion of that claim!
The government's child poverty target: how much progress has been made? | Institute for Fiscal Studies
Before the 2001 election the Treasury said that `tax and benefit reforms announced in this Parliament will lift over 1.2 million children out of relative poverty. But official figures released on 11…
ifs.org.uk

Potential for confusion today over child poverty numbers. Govt statements are not super clear on what is "this is what policies have done to child poverty compared with the counter-factual" and "this is how much lower child poverty will be by end of Parliament than it is now".

Debt at 40% lol

Not that weird - it actually paid off! Very cheap to set up, and a good way to make some money on the very slim chance that it worked.

In non-Budget news, last week I appeared at the UK Covid Inquiry , talking about how well (or not) the economic interventions had been designed with inequality in mind.

Here is a short write-up of my conclusions and recommendations.

www.linkedin.com/pulse/econom...
LinkedIn Pulse
www.linkedin.com

Having been in the depths of COVID era policy recently for the Inquiry, a very striking theme was how moat people were aghast at how little money was available through social security when times were tough. Now imagine being a disabled lone parent...

The article should really have said: "Look! We have a welfare state that gives you support if you are disabled and money to feed and clothe your children, and tries (not that hard, admittedly) to prevent you from being homeless".

Another one of those crazy Telegraph articles this weekend which, for some unknown reason, compares a healthy DINKY to a disabled single parent with three children.

Reposted by Mike Brewer

And yet they've not managed to find the families of the half a million kids to be lifted out of poverty... 🤔

Reposted by Mike Brewer

This Budget’s tax decisions will haunt the government on.ft.com/44xZOPB | opinion
This Budget’s tax decisions will haunt the government
The buffer Reeves built into her plans is admirable, but no guarantee of avoiding the nasty dilemmas to come
on.ft.com

Old style Twitter is back, baby.
A thread of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that look like record covers... because that's EXACTLY what the world needs

1. Huey Lewis and the News: link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...
A thread of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) that look like record covers... because that's EXACTLY what the world needs

1. Huey Lewis and the News: link.springer.com/chapter/10.1...

Reposted by Mike Brewer

"It will certainly take political courage to stick to these plans."

@ruthcurtice.bsky.social has everything you need to know about the Budget, in two minutes ⏰ ⤵️

And highlights how pointless the speech is.

Reposted by Mike Brewer

Live posting about the speech feels slightly unnecessary when all the details are out. But I'm a sucker for tradition nonetheless.

Surely you've already read it ? Kaboomtish