Chris Terry-Enescu
@cjterry.bsky.social
Former political researcher and professional elections nerd specialising in electoral and party systems. Current day market research analyst for museums, heritage, the arts and charities around the world. UK's number one Romania-phile. Still a nerd. He/him
Pinned
The coalitionable, inoffensive, Labour Party
How party strategy in European PR systems can tell us about Labour's victory, and a journey through the weird and wonderful operation of Britain's electoral system.
open.substack.com
I decided to get one of those substack things people have and write about how Labour's victory is a reminder of how party strategy changes in a multi party, volatile environment. There's a bit about the 1977 Dutch election if you like that sort of thing
open.substack.com/pub/election...
open.substack.com/pub/election...
This is all very good and interesting, but I think one thing to say is that as someone who's currently experiencing a three cornered fight, the thing is as the world gets more multi-party deducing where your tactical vote should go becomes trickier and trickier.
🧵/ With tactical voting ever more common, who do voters back when only two parties have a chance in their seat?
Con 31% v Ref 24%
Lab 35% v Ref 31%
Lab 29% v Con 28%
LD 41% v Ref 29%
LD 34% v Con 26%
LD 29% v Lab 21%
LD 26% v Grn 25%
Grn 42% v Ref 27%
Grn 37% v Con 29%
Grn 30% v Lab 20%
Con 31% v Ref 24%
Lab 35% v Ref 31%
Lab 29% v Con 28%
LD 41% v Ref 29%
LD 34% v Con 26%
LD 29% v Lab 21%
LD 26% v Grn 25%
Grn 42% v Ref 27%
Grn 37% v Con 29%
Grn 30% v Lab 20%
February 18, 2026 at 11:33 AM
This is all very good and interesting, but I think one thing to say is that as someone who's currently experiencing a three cornered fight, the thing is as the world gets more multi-party deducing where your tactical vote should go becomes trickier and trickier.
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
Check out the post below by @philipjcowley.bsky.social, who’s written a great summary of ongoing work by me, @hannahbunting.bsky.social, @cerifowler.bsky.social, @jess-smith.bsky.social, and @annasanders.bsky.social on gender gaps in “don’t know” responses👇
Latest piece for the @thehousemag.bsky.social on the Don't Knows - who are more likely to be women.
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
The Professor Will See You Now: dunno
There are two cartoons, seen when much younger, which I think of often.
www.politicshome.com
February 16, 2026 at 9:38 AM
Check out the post below by @philipjcowley.bsky.social, who’s written a great summary of ongoing work by me, @hannahbunting.bsky.social, @cerifowler.bsky.social, @jess-smith.bsky.social, and @annasanders.bsky.social on gender gaps in “don’t know” responses👇
Important to remember here, I feel, that it is twenty past 3 in the afternoon in New Orleans
Shia LaBeouf arrested in New Orleans after Mardi Gras fight, police say reut.rs/469B418
Shia LaBeouf arrested in New Orleans after Mardi Gras fight, police say
Shia LaBeouf was arrested just after midnight on Tuesday in New Orleans where police said the 39‑year‑old “Transformers” film star assaulted two men in a fight during Mardi Gras.
reut.rs
February 17, 2026 at 9:20 PM
Important to remember here, I feel, that it is twenty past 3 in the afternoon in New Orleans
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
Narrator: "but…"
www.thejc.com/news/uk/matt...
www.thejc.com/news/uk/matt...
February 17, 2026 at 6:16 PM
Narrator: "but…"
www.thejc.com/news/uk/matt...
www.thejc.com/news/uk/matt...
But that can't be. Matt explained to us at the Levenshulme hustings how deeply he cared about British Jews
February 17, 2026 at 3:46 PM
But that can't be. Matt explained to us at the Levenshulme hustings how deeply he cared about British Jews
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
Literally every day there is some mad story about something Matt Goodwin, who in terms of 'actually viable candidates for a parliamentary seat' is the by-election candidate furthest from public opinion since, what...Bermondsey 1983?
February 17, 2026 at 11:43 AM
Literally every day there is some mad story about something Matt Goodwin, who in terms of 'actually viable candidates for a parliamentary seat' is the by-election candidate furthest from public opinion since, what...Bermondsey 1983?
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
Church historians now believe that St Pancake was not actually martyred by being flattened by a series of increasingly heavy weights, but rather was burnt alive in a giant pan. The former death is now attributed to Pseudo-Pancake the Areopagite, as attested in the Codex Libum of Nicomedia.
February 17, 2026 at 9:37 AM
Church historians now believe that St Pancake was not actually martyred by being flattened by a series of increasingly heavy weights, but rather was burnt alive in a giant pan. The former death is now attributed to Pseudo-Pancake the Areopagite, as attested in the Codex Libum of Nicomedia.
Me, rational brained: there's definitely a trend against Reform rn, but this is probably, to some extent, an outlier
Me, resist Lib brained: Light the beacons. Matt Goodwin coming third is on.
Me, resist Lib brained: Light the beacons. Matt Goodwin coming third is on.
Reform's polling is ~the lowest its been since last year's local elections
February 17, 2026 at 9:25 AM
Me, rational brained: there's definitely a trend against Reform rn, but this is probably, to some extent, an outlier
Me, resist Lib brained: Light the beacons. Matt Goodwin coming third is on.
Me, resist Lib brained: Light the beacons. Matt Goodwin coming third is on.
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
Update: I posted on my Facebook pretty much what I posted here, and a shorter reply to the post on Levy Massive.
In retaliation I imagine, the troll made this post using a picture from my own Facebook, obviously without permission, making me up to be a Reform supporter.
Admin tagged.
In retaliation I imagine, the troll made this post using a picture from my own Facebook, obviously without permission, making me up to be a Reform supporter.
Admin tagged.
February 16, 2026 at 11:11 AM
Update: I posted on my Facebook pretty much what I posted here, and a shorter reply to the post on Levy Massive.
In retaliation I imagine, the troll made this post using a picture from my own Facebook, obviously without permission, making me up to be a Reform supporter.
Admin tagged.
In retaliation I imagine, the troll made this post using a picture from my own Facebook, obviously without permission, making me up to be a Reform supporter.
Admin tagged.
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
It may be face-blindness but I find it hard to tell Goodwin and Jenrick apart.
EXC: Robert Jenrick has been mocked for using Ozempic and told “you can't take an injection for personality”…by his Reform colleague Matt Goodwin. In previous interviews, Mr Goodwin also said Jenrick had “no charisma”, and Reform risked becoming a Tory tribute act”
www.mirror.co.uk/news/politic...
www.mirror.co.uk/news/politic...
Reform candidate made fat jab jibe at Jenrick and warned over 'Tory tribute act'
Matt Goodwin, who is running in Gorton and Denton, has made repeated attacks on his new colleagues, and also warned Nigel Farage that Reform risks becoming a 'Tory tribute act'
www.mirror.co.uk
February 16, 2026 at 7:10 PM
It may be face-blindness but I find it hard to tell Goodwin and Jenrick apart.
Incredible framing of the issue that the electoral register is disproportionately incomplete in urban areas with knock on effects for constituency boundary drawing.
This is a slightly curious way to frame, 'Millions of people are currently not exercising their right to vote, and this is disproportionately an issue in poorer and urban areas.'
February 16, 2026 at 8:27 AM
Incredible framing of the issue that the electoral register is disproportionately incomplete in urban areas with knock on effects for constituency boundary drawing.
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
if only we had a media and culture secretary @roberthutton.co.uk
And another bites the dust?
The BBC World Service will run out of funding in just seven weeks. Its funding arrangement with the Foreign Office finishes at the end of March. There is no plan for what happens next.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The BBC World Service will run out of funding in just seven weeks. Its funding arrangement with the Foreign Office finishes at the end of March. There is no plan for what happens next.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The Guardian view on the BBC World Service: this is London calling | Editorial
Editorial: With just seven weeks before its funding runs out, the UK’s greatest cultural asset and most trusted international news organisation must be supported
www.theguardian.com
February 15, 2026 at 8:35 PM
if only we had a media and culture secretary @roberthutton.co.uk
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
Here we here we here we fucking go
February 15, 2026 at 5:41 PM
Here we here we here we fucking go
Very informative short thread this.
Here's the real reason the government keeps freezing the student loan threshold
The part of the loan that's repaid is classed as an asset on Treasury spreadsheets. But when plan 2 student loans started to be repaid, the percentage received back was less than expected...
1/4
The part of the loan that's repaid is classed as an asset on Treasury spreadsheets. But when plan 2 student loans started to be repaid, the percentage received back was less than expected...
1/4
February 15, 2026 at 1:08 PM
Very informative short thread this.
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
I don't know why I did this.
February 15, 2026 at 11:08 AM
I don't know why I did this.
But I thought Matt would debate anyone, anytime, any place 🤔
February 15, 2026 at 10:12 AM
But I thought Matt would debate anyone, anytime, any place 🤔
It's gonna be so good when he loses.
(today I am telling myself the other thing can't happen, for my Men's Mental Health)
(today I am telling myself the other thing can't happen, for my Men's Mental Health)
When I lived in Japan, far-right parties used to drive around blaring out propaganda from loudspeaker vans. People saw them as public nuisances at best, dangerous nutters at worst. Interesting to see Matt Goodwin adopt the same strategy.
February 15, 2026 at 9:54 AM
It's gonna be so good when he loses.
(today I am telling myself the other thing can't happen, for my Men's Mental Health)
(today I am telling myself the other thing can't happen, for my Men's Mental Health)
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
OTD in 2022 George Galloway released one of the absolute, all-time classics.
He has yet to delete it, show humility, or confirm/deny if this means he in fact being paid to act like an idiot, or if he just does it free.
#JustAskingQuestions
He has yet to delete it, show humility, or confirm/deny if this means he in fact being paid to act like an idiot, or if he just does it free.
#JustAskingQuestions
February 14, 2026 at 8:51 AM
OTD in 2022 George Galloway released one of the absolute, all-time classics.
He has yet to delete it, show humility, or confirm/deny if this means he in fact being paid to act like an idiot, or if he just does it free.
#JustAskingQuestions
He has yet to delete it, show humility, or confirm/deny if this means he in fact being paid to act like an idiot, or if he just does it free.
#JustAskingQuestions
I will worship any God who promises to stop this man becoming my MP.
Matt Goodwin: "How can a Reform government look a lot more like Trump two - which is getting things done - as opposed to Trump one"
This is very similar to the argument which Nigel Farage made to Nick Robinson: the Trump second term is the model; don't have those who know the system. Be radical
This is very similar to the argument which Nigel Farage made to Nick Robinson: the Trump second term is the model; don't have those who know the system. Be radical
February 13, 2026 at 5:36 PM
I will worship any God who promises to stop this man becoming my MP.
Well now I have no excuse for not doing a rewatch I guess. Curse you Warner Bros
ME AND WHO ME AND WHO ME AND WHOOOOO cordcuttersnews.com/babylon-5-is...
Babylon 5 Is Now Free to Watch On YouTube | Cord Cutters News
In a move that has delighted fans of classic science fiction, Warner Bros. Discovery has begun uploading full episodes of the iconic series Babylon 5 to YouTube, providing free access to the show just...
cordcuttersnews.com
February 13, 2026 at 1:51 PM
Well now I have no excuse for not doing a rewatch I guess. Curse you Warner Bros
Oh he's fucked fucked.
After a mad week, Labour is hopefully seeing sense: Starmer needs to stay | Simon Jenkins
After a mad week, Labour is hopefully seeing sense: Starmer needs to stay | Simon Jenkins
The only winners from a political coup in Westminster would be Labour’s enemies on the left and right, says Guardian columnist Simon Jenkins
www.theguardian.com
February 13, 2026 at 1:26 PM
Oh he's fucked fucked.
It helps to look convincingly happy about the things you're doing. It helps sell the sense that you're doing something because it aligns with your values. This government's default mode is to do something while handwringing that they had no other choice because someone else made them do it.
Labour has positioned itself so it gets no credit from either the left or the right for doing things they support
February 13, 2026 at 11:19 AM
It helps to look convincingly happy about the things you're doing. It helps sell the sense that you're doing something because it aligns with your values. This government's default mode is to do something while handwringing that they had no other choice because someone else made them do it.
It's like gazing into the future of the next general election
Fletton & Woodston (Peterborough) Council By-Election Result:
➡️ RFM: 29.4% (New)
🌍 GRN: 27.6% (+16.2)
🌳 CON: 21.8% (-11.8)
🌹 LAB: 16.8% (-31.2)
🔶 LDM: 4.4% (-0.7)
No TUSC (-1.9) as previous.
Reform GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2024.
➡️ RFM: 29.4% (New)
🌍 GRN: 27.6% (+16.2)
🌳 CON: 21.8% (-11.8)
🌹 LAB: 16.8% (-31.2)
🔶 LDM: 4.4% (-0.7)
No TUSC (-1.9) as previous.
Reform GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2024.
February 13, 2026 at 9:36 AM
It's like gazing into the future of the next general election
Only two more Liberal Party leadership spills until the next federal election probably!
The Liberal Party of Australia has a new leader. Angus Taylor beat Sussan Ley in a party ballot, 34-17.
Breaking: Angus Taylor becomes Liberal leader defeating Sussan Ley 34-17
Sussan Ley, the first female leader of the Liberal Party, has been replaced by Angus Taylor after nine months in the role.
www.abc.net.au
February 12, 2026 at 11:07 PM
Only two more Liberal Party leadership spills until the next federal election probably!
Reposted by Chris Terry-Enescu
I guess the reason for the flood of cash on Green at the bookies today was because it became clear that Goodwin was planning to speak to the voters
February 12, 2026 at 8:39 PM
I guess the reason for the flood of cash on Green at the bookies today was because it became clear that Goodwin was planning to speak to the voters