Ethan Struby
@estruby.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Economics
@carletoncollege. Macroeconomic expectations, monetary policy, Treasury markets, #TeachEcon
Views expressed here are not those of my employer.
https://estruby.github.io/
@carletoncollege. Macroeconomic expectations, monetary policy, Treasury markets, #TeachEcon
Views expressed here are not those of my employer.
https://estruby.github.io/
Pinned
Ethan Struby
@estruby.bsky.social
· Sep 15
a thread of examples that there is no Great Stagnation :
Reposted by Ethan Struby
Does anyone want a survivorship bias shortbread
November 29, 2025 at 4:50 AM
Does anyone want a survivorship bias shortbread
Reposted by Ethan Struby
#rstats
It is with profound sadness I heard that my long-time friend and colleague, John Fox passed away this week.
He was the author of {car}, {effects}, {Rcmdr}, ... and numerous influential books. I will miss him greatly.
www.john-fox.ca
It is with profound sadness I heard that my long-time friend and colleague, John Fox passed away this week.
He was the author of {car}, {effects}, {Rcmdr}, ... and numerous influential books. I will miss him greatly.
www.john-fox.ca
John Fox: Books and Software
www.john-fox.ca
November 28, 2025 at 3:26 PM
#rstats
It is with profound sadness I heard that my long-time friend and colleague, John Fox passed away this week.
He was the author of {car}, {effects}, {Rcmdr}, ... and numerous influential books. I will miss him greatly.
www.john-fox.ca
It is with profound sadness I heard that my long-time friend and colleague, John Fox passed away this week.
He was the author of {car}, {effects}, {Rcmdr}, ... and numerous influential books. I will miss him greatly.
www.john-fox.ca
My oldest has lined up her and her sisters stuffed animals and is reading them a Bluey book. Very thankful for my little bookworm.
November 27, 2025 at 5:09 PM
My oldest has lined up her and her sisters stuffed animals and is reading them a Bluey book. Very thankful for my little bookworm.
Reposted by Ethan Struby
i came across the saying "to follow like a Tantony pig" so I get curious and look it up, but Tantony isnt a place, it's a contraction of St Anthony who is the saint of swineherds, so the proverb means to follow someone like a pig following the hog messiah. alas this information will not pay my bills
November 26, 2025 at 12:27 PM
i came across the saying "to follow like a Tantony pig" so I get curious and look it up, but Tantony isnt a place, it's a contraction of St Anthony who is the saint of swineherds, so the proverb means to follow someone like a pig following the hog messiah. alas this information will not pay my bills
Reposted by Ethan Struby
"what's the most useless video game trivia you know" -- one of the sci-fi alien screen textures in half-life 2 just uses a screenshot from a (surprisingly OK) Star Trek 4x game called Birth of the Federation... the Combine Advisor is playing as the Romulans, on turn 363
November 24, 2025 at 9:58 PM
"what's the most useless video game trivia you know" -- one of the sci-fi alien screen textures in half-life 2 just uses a screenshot from a (surprisingly OK) Star Trek 4x game called Birth of the Federation... the Combine Advisor is playing as the Romulans, on turn 363
Reposted by Ethan Struby
really is incredible how often "men are having a problem, let's fix it using someone else's entire life" comes up. does the institute for family studies understand that children are whole complete human beings whose existence cannot be used as a coping mechanism for their fathers' anxieties? (no)
November 24, 2025 at 2:55 PM
really is incredible how often "men are having a problem, let's fix it using someone else's entire life" comes up. does the institute for family studies understand that children are whole complete human beings whose existence cannot be used as a coping mechanism for their fathers' anxieties? (no)
Reposted by Ethan Struby
I once knew a Federal bank examiner, and one time someone asked him why we had to KEEP inspecting banks over and over. He basically said every new batch of business school grads invents bank fraud from first principles.
AirBnB CEO calling it “vibe revenue” just 👨🍳 😘
The underlying cause of every bubble - debt masquerading as financial innovation - depends on not just short financial memory & speculative neophytism, but reinventing jargon of finance, like how each generation of kids has new ways to say same things.
The underlying cause of every bubble - debt masquerading as financial innovation - depends on not just short financial memory & speculative neophytism, but reinventing jargon of finance, like how each generation of kids has new ways to say same things.
November 22, 2025 at 6:02 PM
I once knew a Federal bank examiner, and one time someone asked him why we had to KEEP inspecting banks over and over. He basically said every new batch of business school grads invents bank fraud from first principles.
Reposted by Ethan Struby
This Pope guy has some bangers
November 22, 2025 at 1:05 AM
This Pope guy has some bangers
Reposted by Ethan Struby
a man who rides a horse is called a horseman
November 21, 2025 at 5:47 PM
a man who rides a horse is called a horseman
Reposted by Ethan Struby
Narrative violation: Vermont was an independent Republic for longer than Texas.
They even had a separate negotiated peace with Britain.
They even had a separate negotiated peace with Britain.
November 21, 2025 at 12:32 AM
Narrative violation: Vermont was an independent Republic for longer than Texas.
They even had a separate negotiated peace with Britain.
They even had a separate negotiated peace with Britain.
Amaze Lusompa at the Kansas City Fed has a nice-looking new working paper about the asymptotic properties of model selection criteria, which I'll need to digest at some point: www.kansascityfed.org/documents/12...
www.kansascityfed.org
November 20, 2025 at 7:47 PM
Amaze Lusompa at the Kansas City Fed has a nice-looking new working paper about the asymptotic properties of model selection criteria, which I'll need to digest at some point: www.kansascityfed.org/documents/12...
Reposted by Ethan Struby
Looking to speak with academics/experts specializing in video games studies specifically ideas around conquest, environmentalism, and land for a piece. Please repost this or give recs.
November 19, 2025 at 10:58 PM
Looking to speak with academics/experts specializing in video games studies specifically ideas around conquest, environmentalism, and land for a piece. Please repost this or give recs.
quick and dirty, but: the economy added roughly 2 million jobs between Jan 2024 and Jan 2025. Since January 2025, it's added about 573,000.
#jobsday
#jobsday
November 20, 2025 at 2:28 PM
quick and dirty, but: the economy added roughly 2 million jobs between Jan 2024 and Jan 2025. Since January 2025, it's added about 573,000.
#jobsday
#jobsday
Reposted by Ethan Struby
The discourse on education is so overdetermined and tedious in general, but also poisoned by everyone thinking they have valid views of proper teaching because they have the experience of having been taught.
November 19, 2025 at 4:07 PM
The discourse on education is so overdetermined and tedious in general, but also poisoned by everyone thinking they have valid views of proper teaching because they have the experience of having been taught.
Got to bust this out in a group chat involving “planning thanksgiving around various dietary restrictions”
youtu.be/dLpCZ8g5uK8?...
youtu.be/dLpCZ8g5uK8?...
Scott Pilgrim vs. the World (5/10) Movie CLIP - The Vegan Police (2010) HD
YouTube video by Movieclips
youtu.be
November 18, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Got to bust this out in a group chat involving “planning thanksgiving around various dietary restrictions”
youtu.be/dLpCZ8g5uK8?...
youtu.be/dLpCZ8g5uK8?...
I can't tell if I'm genuinely getting a metric ton of phishing attempts or if it my schools' cybersecurity people are just really hyped about trying to catch me slippin
November 18, 2025 at 3:31 PM
I can't tell if I'm genuinely getting a metric ton of phishing attempts or if it my schools' cybersecurity people are just really hyped about trying to catch me slippin
Reposted by Ethan Struby
Talking about the tradeoffs between timeliness and accuracy is pretty abstract until you watch the Fed trying to read tea leaves from scraped LinkedIn data and online layoff announcements until the official data comes out
November 18, 2025 at 12:04 AM
Talking about the tradeoffs between timeliness and accuracy is pretty abstract until you watch the Fed trying to read tea leaves from scraped LinkedIn data and online layoff announcements until the official data comes out
Reposted by Ethan Struby
While everyone is still digesting how it feels to not see a Sept jobs report until late November, remember this feeling the next time folks complain about monthly revisions and suggest publishing data with a 2 or 3 month lag.
November 18, 2025 at 12:04 AM
While everyone is still digesting how it feels to not see a Sept jobs report until late November, remember this feeling the next time folks complain about monthly revisions and suggest publishing data with a 2 or 3 month lag.
Reposted by Ethan Struby
a big runoff last night, in New Orleans:
Calvin Duncan was exonerated after spending *28 years* in prison; he tried to get his own case records from the New Orleans city clerk—but the office dragged its feet.
So Duncan ran to become city clerk himself, and yesterday ousted the incumbent.
Calvin Duncan was exonerated after spending *28 years* in prison; he tried to get his own case records from the New Orleans city clerk—but the office dragged its feet.
So Duncan ran to become city clerk himself, and yesterday ousted the incumbent.
Calvin Duncan wins Orleans clerk of court race - Verite News New Orleans
Duncan, a political newcomer and former prisoner, defeated incumbent Darren Lombard by a wide margin in Saturday's runoff.
veritenews.org
November 16, 2025 at 4:09 PM
a big runoff last night, in New Orleans:
Calvin Duncan was exonerated after spending *28 years* in prison; he tried to get his own case records from the New Orleans city clerk—but the office dragged its feet.
So Duncan ran to become city clerk himself, and yesterday ousted the incumbent.
Calvin Duncan was exonerated after spending *28 years* in prison; he tried to get his own case records from the New Orleans city clerk—but the office dragged its feet.
So Duncan ran to become city clerk himself, and yesterday ousted the incumbent.
Not to be obtuse but has he heard of what the Supreme Court did about various New Deal programs
Bessent on tariffs: "This is one of President Trump's signature policies, and traditionally the Supreme Court does not interfere with a president's signature policy."
November 16, 2025 at 3:43 PM
Not to be obtuse but has he heard of what the Supreme Court did about various New Deal programs
Reposted by Ethan Struby
Exposure to a field-specific faculty sexual misconduct incident decreases degree completion in that field by 3.4 percent four years after the incident, from Sarah R. Cohodes and Katherine B. Leu www.nber.org/papers/w34456
November 14, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Exposure to a field-specific faculty sexual misconduct incident decreases degree completion in that field by 3.4 percent four years after the incident, from Sarah R. Cohodes and Katherine B. Leu www.nber.org/papers/w34456
Reposted by Ethan Struby
Since we don't yet have new official claims data, my last (?) rogue report (I missed last week!), for week ending Nov. 1st. CC increased 20k (SA) or 7k (NSA) last week.
November 14, 2025 at 3:34 PM
Since we don't yet have new official claims data, my last (?) rogue report (I missed last week!), for week ending Nov. 1st. CC increased 20k (SA) or 7k (NSA) last week.
Reposted by Ethan Struby
People talk about their credit card points schemes like explaining the jokers in their best Balatro run
November 13, 2025 at 3:51 PM
People talk about their credit card points schemes like explaining the jokers in their best Balatro run
Reposted by Ethan Struby
Oof
*OCTOBER CPI AND JOBS DATA LIKELY WON'T BE RELEASED: WHITE HOUSE
*OCTOBER CPI AND JOBS DATA LIKELY WON'T BE RELEASED: WHITE HOUSE
November 12, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Oof
*OCTOBER CPI AND JOBS DATA LIKELY WON'T BE RELEASED: WHITE HOUSE
*OCTOBER CPI AND JOBS DATA LIKELY WON'T BE RELEASED: WHITE HOUSE
Reposted by Ethan Struby
👋 I'm Danielle, and I'm on the #econjobmarket this year!
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
November 12, 2025 at 3:57 PM
👋 I'm Danielle, and I'm on the #econjobmarket this year!
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->
Let's start with a student describing her segregated school:
"The school felt temporary. Built like a warehouse with aluminum siding . . . I had a slipshod education"
The twist? The student is white, and her school is private.
A JMP 🧵 -->