@vvondoom.bsky.social
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Trump is deeply unpopular.
– Less popular than Joe Biden was at this point in his term.
– Less popular than he himself was during Trump I.
An aging, unpopular, narcissistic leader with autocratic tendencies who doesn't know how to moderate....
It's a recipe for gambling for resurrection.
– Less popular than Joe Biden was at this point in his term.
– Less popular than he himself was during Trump I.
An aging, unpopular, narcissistic leader with autocratic tendencies who doesn't know how to moderate....
It's a recipe for gambling for resurrection.
![https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambling_for_resurrection Gambling for resurrection is a situation in international relations when a leader weakened domestically is willing to risk war or prolong war to maintain office.
Theory
The term "gambling for resurrection" was first formalized in academic discourse by George W. Downs and David M. Rocke in their book "Optimal Imperfection? Domestic Uncertainty and Institutions in International Relations" [1] published in 1995. The phrase refers to the risky actions taken by political leaders, particularly when they face domestic challenges or imminent removal from power. These leaders might adopt extreme strategies, such as starting a diversionary war, in the hope that a dramatic success will turn the tide in their favor, thus "resurrecting" their political fortunes.
Gambling for resurrection could also mean prolonging an existing war that should rationally be ended, and might normally have resulted in removal from office or punishment (imprisonment, exile, or death).[2] The leader thus continues the war against the country's interest, adopting risky military strategies in the hope of a dramatic reversal of fortune in the war's outcome. In this situation, escalation is more attractive than peace because the losses are below the leader's removal threshold. Once it appears that the leader will in any case be removed from office, there is no other sanction that can be applied to the leader — who thus has nothing to risk from further escalation, but may win the right to stay in office should the gamble be successful.[3]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:o7xolczmsmgspo2alr3rlwjm/bafkreieeswxyp2opds2uakznge5sckgilrkdnez3j52ke5rmddbyvlisgi@jpeg)
February 18, 2026 at 5:07 PM
Trump is deeply unpopular.
– Less popular than Joe Biden was at this point in his term.
– Less popular than he himself was during Trump I.
An aging, unpopular, narcissistic leader with autocratic tendencies who doesn't know how to moderate....
It's a recipe for gambling for resurrection.
– Less popular than Joe Biden was at this point in his term.
– Less popular than he himself was during Trump I.
An aging, unpopular, narcissistic leader with autocratic tendencies who doesn't know how to moderate....
It's a recipe for gambling for resurrection.
Reposted
Are we winning? Are we winning?
February 18, 2026 at 6:43 PM
Are we winning? Are we winning?
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So much spilled ink on how it was a Paradigm Shifting Tidal Wave Of Crisis For The Democrats, when the reality is that November 2024 was about the Usual Suspects (inflation, misogyny, racism, & anti-incumbent backlash) & No Fascism is the Actual Popularism:
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
Has mass deportation become a domestic Vietnam for Trump?
Sure looks that way.
My latest 👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/has-mass-d...
Sure looks that way.
My latest 👇
www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/has-mass-d...
Has Mass Deportation Become A Domestic Vietnam For Trump, Vance, and Miller?
Hopium paid subscribers gather tonight at 7pm......
www.hopiumchronicles.com
February 18, 2026 at 5:23 PM
So much spilled ink on how it was a Paradigm Shifting Tidal Wave Of Crisis For The Democrats, when the reality is that November 2024 was about the Usual Suspects (inflation, misogyny, racism, & anti-incumbent backlash) & No Fascism is the Actual Popularism:
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
bsky.app/profile/mcop...
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There was A Lot Going On there of course but one thing few people seemed to realize was that elite promotion of antivax advocacy on the right in 2021-22 was in part designed to prolong the pandemic and deny Biden and the Dems credit for a quick economic recovery
February 18, 2026 at 6:06 PM
There was A Lot Going On there of course but one thing few people seemed to realize was that elite promotion of antivax advocacy on the right in 2021-22 was in part designed to prolong the pandemic and deny Biden and the Dems credit for a quick economic recovery
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I want to live in the Harris+8 November 2024 universe, though.
February 18, 2026 at 1:17 AM
I want to live in the Harris+8 November 2024 universe, though.
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Klay has won. The love of a good woman and found a good stick. You can't beat that as a man.
February 17, 2026 at 6:32 PM
Klay has won. The love of a good woman and found a good stick. You can't beat that as a man.
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someone in the coast guard has had absolutely enough of this shit from these two
it's even worse than first reported
the fucking guy caused an inflight disruption so bad the pilot had to leave the command deck then he was like I RELIEVE U OF DUTY
absolute toddler baby shit brained government at the highest levels
the fucking guy caused an inflight disruption so bad the pilot had to leave the command deck then he was like I RELIEVE U OF DUTY
absolute toddler baby shit brained government at the highest levels
New details emerge about in-flight blow-up between Corey Lewandowski and pilot
Additional details have emerged about a mid-flight showdown between Homeland Security advisor Corey Lewandowski that led to a Coast Guard pilot's firing — and immediate reinstatement.DHS Secretary Kri...
www.rawstory.com
February 17, 2026 at 6:07 PM
someone in the coast guard has had absolutely enough of this shit from these two
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Ossoff: "Among today's false prophets are the election deniers who indulge this president's obsession with overturning the 2020 election. Hear me when I say this -- they tell a lie so absurd, and therefore so debasing, that the act of telling it proves the teller's total and humiliating submission."
February 16, 2026 at 5:22 PM
Ossoff: "Among today's false prophets are the election deniers who indulge this president's obsession with overturning the 2020 election. Hear me when I say this -- they tell a lie so absurd, and therefore so debasing, that the act of telling it proves the teller's total and humiliating submission."
Reposted
Powerful delivery here
Ossoff: "Among today's false prophets are the election deniers who indulge this president's obsession with overturning the 2020 election. Hear me when I say this -- they tell a lie so absurd, and therefore so debasing, that the act of telling it proves the teller's total and humiliating submission."
February 16, 2026 at 7:04 PM
Powerful delivery here
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I wrote about the cowardly lions of corporate America under Trump and their decades-long push to shape the country’s political life and democracy, no matter their protestations to the contrary now. Gift link: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
America’s Most Powerful CEOs Are Awfully Quiet Lately
Trump has exposed an ugly truth about corporations: They’re no longer even pretending to be good citizens.
www.bloomberg.com
February 16, 2026 at 12:09 PM
I wrote about the cowardly lions of corporate America under Trump and their decades-long push to shape the country’s political life and democracy, no matter their protestations to the contrary now. Gift link: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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One of the actual factual Titans of the industry. 95 is no tragedy, 95 is worth celebrating. Rest in peace to one of the greats.
February 16, 2026 at 6:07 PM
One of the actual factual Titans of the industry. 95 is no tragedy, 95 is worth celebrating. Rest in peace to one of the greats.
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That’s Dan❤️🩹🦅
Top right corner. Can't help but wonder if The Simpsons paid subtle tribute to Dan McQuade in tonight's set-in-Philadelphia 800th episode.
February 16, 2026 at 1:55 AM
That’s Dan❤️🩹🦅
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The next Democratic President needs to make every speech they give into full tilt belt-tightening austerity rhetoric while at the same time continuing Biden-esque monetary policy, I guarantee you the voters are too stupid to notice.
February 15, 2026 at 9:06 PM
The next Democratic President needs to make every speech they give into full tilt belt-tightening austerity rhetoric while at the same time continuing Biden-esque monetary policy, I guarantee you the voters are too stupid to notice.
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Trump tried everything possible to create riots in Los Angeles, Portland and Chicago and failed. Even had film crews in tow to create propaganda videos.
Instead they got peaceful resistance and observers. Upped ante in Minnesota hoping for George Floyd murder response.
Failed again. Miserably.
Instead they got peaceful resistance and observers. Upped ante in Minnesota hoping for George Floyd murder response.
Failed again. Miserably.
February 15, 2026 at 5:39 PM
Trump tried everything possible to create riots in Los Angeles, Portland and Chicago and failed. Even had film crews in tow to create propaganda videos.
Instead they got peaceful resistance and observers. Upped ante in Minnesota hoping for George Floyd murder response.
Failed again. Miserably.
Instead they got peaceful resistance and observers. Upped ante in Minnesota hoping for George Floyd murder response.
Failed again. Miserably.
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Your neck tendons and forearm veins look positively alive, Mr. President!
🚨 PICTURED: Liz Truss meets with Donald Trump at his golf course in Palm Beach
February 15, 2026 at 5:25 PM
Your neck tendons and forearm veins look positively alive, Mr. President!
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i’ll end this little brainstorm by just asking what it is, exactly, that the MAGA right likes about the United States, since it explicitly rejects those things that make this nation distinctive — its pluralism, its revolutionary heritage and egalitarian aspirations, and its republican institutions
February 15, 2026 at 1:49 AM
i’ll end this little brainstorm by just asking what it is, exactly, that the MAGA right likes about the United States, since it explicitly rejects those things that make this nation distinctive — its pluralism, its revolutionary heritage and egalitarian aspirations, and its republican institutions
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🚨 President Trump’s Claim of an “Irrefutable” Argument Supporting His Right to Unilaterally Impose Voter ID and Election Rules May Be Based on Insane Claim that Marriott Hotel Manager Found Secret Text in the Shadows of a Microfilm Copy of the U.S. Constitution electionlawblog.org?p=154326
President Trump's Claim of an "Irrefutable" Argument Supporting His Right to Unilaterally Impose Voter ID and Election Rules May Be Based on Insane Claim that Marriott Hotel Manager Found Secret Text ...
Yesterday I noted the latest set of unhinged social media posts from President Trump in which he declared that voter id requirements and other election changes would be imposed in the midterms via exe...
electionlawblog.org
February 14, 2026 at 5:11 PM
🚨 President Trump’s Claim of an “Irrefutable” Argument Supporting His Right to Unilaterally Impose Voter ID and Election Rules May Be Based on Insane Claim that Marriott Hotel Manager Found Secret Text in the Shadows of a Microfilm Copy of the U.S. Constitution electionlawblog.org?p=154326
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Couldn't have happened to a worse Gestapo
BREAKING: Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shuts down due to lack of funding
February 14, 2026 at 5:04 AM
Couldn't have happened to a worse Gestapo
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straightforward from here:
1) AOC wins primary
2) selects as VP one Joseph Biden
3) wins general
4) resigns day one
5) Biden serves second term as President
6) packs SCOTUS
7) AOC runs again and wins in 2032
8) packed SCOTUS upholds that her one day term does not count
9) two term President AOC
1) AOC wins primary
2) selects as VP one Joseph Biden
3) wins general
4) resigns day one
5) Biden serves second term as President
6) packs SCOTUS
7) AOC runs again and wins in 2032
8) packed SCOTUS upholds that her one day term does not count
9) two term President AOC
February 12, 2026 at 11:52 PM
straightforward from here:
1) AOC wins primary
2) selects as VP one Joseph Biden
3) wins general
4) resigns day one
5) Biden serves second term as President
6) packs SCOTUS
7) AOC runs again and wins in 2032
8) packed SCOTUS upholds that her one day term does not count
9) two term President AOC
1) AOC wins primary
2) selects as VP one Joseph Biden
3) wins general
4) resigns day one
5) Biden serves second term as President
6) packs SCOTUS
7) AOC runs again and wins in 2032
8) packed SCOTUS upholds that her one day term does not count
9) two term President AOC
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lol the state of the union is going to be a fucking tire fire this year
Republicans worry shutdown will overshadow Trump’s State of the Union
President Donald Trump’s Feb. 24 address to Congress is set to collide with a DHS funding lapse.
www.politico.com
February 13, 2026 at 11:48 PM
lol the state of the union is going to be a fucking tire fire this year
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Vibes
a man with a mustache wearing a shirt and tie is dancing
Alt: a man with a mustache wearing a shirt and tie is dancing
media.tenor.com
February 13, 2026 at 10:42 PM
Vibes
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god, the video really *is* even better
February 13, 2026 at 10:58 PM
god, the video really *is* even better
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Just an astoundingly bad AP poll for Trump
• 36% overall job approval
• 72% disapprove of Greenland threats
• 66% describe economy as doing poorly
• 60% unfavorable view of ICE
Cannot stress enough: the vast majority of Americans think this presidency is a failure.
• 36% overall job approval
• 72% disapprove of Greenland threats
• 66% describe economy as doing poorly
• 60% unfavorable view of ICE
Cannot stress enough: the vast majority of Americans think this presidency is a failure.
February 13, 2026 at 1:34 PM
Just an astoundingly bad AP poll for Trump
• 36% overall job approval
• 72% disapprove of Greenland threats
• 66% describe economy as doing poorly
• 60% unfavorable view of ICE
Cannot stress enough: the vast majority of Americans think this presidency is a failure.
• 36% overall job approval
• 72% disapprove of Greenland threats
• 66% describe economy as doing poorly
• 60% unfavorable view of ICE
Cannot stress enough: the vast majority of Americans think this presidency is a failure.