I work at a software company and see the efficiency gains. They’re real and impressive. The view that it’s worthless is obtuse. There’s a world of moderate possibility between worthless and omnipotent AGI (a childish fantasy.) But the level of investment is indexed more toward the childish fantasy.
February 12, 2026 at 10:05 AM
I work at a software company and see the efficiency gains. They’re real and impressive. The view that it’s worthless is obtuse. There’s a world of moderate possibility between worthless and omnipotent AGI (a childish fantasy.) But the level of investment is indexed more toward the childish fantasy.
Somehow people have a hard time believing both things at the same time: that its a mind-boggling transformative innovation that produces real value but that there is also no profitable business model on the horizon that can produce a positive return on the mammoth level of investment.
February 12, 2026 at 9:38 AM
Somehow people have a hard time believing both things at the same time: that its a mind-boggling transformative innovation that produces real value but that there is also no profitable business model on the horizon that can produce a positive return on the mammoth level of investment.
(2) the cost of the technology is heavily subsidized by speculative capital, the value of the productivity gains are smaller than the massive r&d and infra costs, and there is going to be a catastrophic crash.
February 12, 2026 at 9:32 AM
(2) the cost of the technology is heavily subsidized by speculative capital, the value of the productivity gains are smaller than the massive r&d and infra costs, and there is going to be a catastrophic crash.
I think the correct take is that (1) LLMs are normal automation technology. They eliminate some jobs that can be automated, create other jobs managing the automation processes, and increase the productivity of workers who gain mastery of the tools; and… 1/2
I understand why people are exhausted by AI hype, and why those of us squarely in the corner of "human dignity uber alles" see AI doomerism as self-serving hype, but I *really* think people on the left broadly need to start thinking seriously about the possibiltiy of the hype being...true.
February 12, 2026 at 9:25 AM
I think the correct take is that (1) LLMs are normal automation technology. They eliminate some jobs that can be automated, create other jobs managing the automation processes, and increase the productivity of workers who gain mastery of the tools; and… 1/2
Looking for an edge in college admissions? Just pull your kid from school. Homeschooling, long associated with hippies and religious conservatives in the U.S., is in the middle of a rebrand and a boom.
Tbh It's pretty straightforward in this case— the motivation for the vast majority of the people who hate Tlaib has nothing to do with her actions and everything to do with her race.
The worst is those who try to shit on Tlaib for not being Harris’ biggest cheerleader after a bunch of squishy centrists voted with republicans to censure her and as both her and her constituencies family and friends were being slaughtered with US weapons. And she didn’t even say don’t vote Harris
February 12, 2026 at 9:54 AM
Tbh It's pretty straightforward in this case— the motivation for the vast majority of the people who hate Tlaib has nothing to do with her actions and everything to do with her race.
In 2018, after Musk infamously claimed that he had the funding to take Tesla private, his PR consultant went to Jeffrey Epstein for help convincing the Saudis to put up the cash he didn't actually have. Epstein also strategized on press coverage of Musk and recommended names for Tesla's board.
In 2018, after Musk infamously claimed that he had the funding to take Tesla private, his PR consultant went to Jeffrey Epstein for help convincing the Saudis to put up the cash he didn't actually have. Epstein also strategized on press coverage of Musk and recommended names for Tesla's board.
FoxNews reporting the crosses were Massie (KY), Fitzpatrick (PA), Newhouse (WA), Kiley (CA), Hurd (CO), and Bacon (NE) on the R side, and Golden (ME) on the D side
*Breaking* The date by which every single pardoned J6er will be in jail for committing a different crime has been moved up from Feb. 4, 2028 to Nov. 16, 2027
Andrew Paul Johnson, who I wrote about in November, was found guilty of five charges.
February 11, 2026 at 10:22 PM
*Breaking* The date by which every single pardoned J6er will be in jail for committing a different crime has been moved up from Feb. 4, 2028 to Nov. 16, 2027
do think people are not broadly making the connection yet that the software stuff means that anything theoretically automatable with software can now be automated MUCH more cheaply/easily. Like it's not "what will 'AI' do" but "what will reducing the marginal cost of custom software to ~zero do"
February 11, 2026 at 6:39 PM
Yep, if a company now only needs 20% of their devs to do what they can do now, what happens to the economy