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Frank Kuhn

@frankkuhn.bsky.social

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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 3d

Maybe editors should check citations, after all...

Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.bsky.social · 3d

And here we go. I never wrote this article, and yet it is cited here.

www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/...

And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong.

#AIisnotresearch

Reposted by Ugo Panizza, Ian Hall, Lesley A. Hall , and 7 more Ugo Panizza, Ian Hall, Lesley A. Hall, Niels Werber, Robert C. Richards, Frank Kühn, Henry Farrell, Nils Zurawski, Greg Linden, Nicolai von Ondarza

Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.bsky.social · 3d

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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 6d

See also this piece by @aaronstein1.bsky.social.

Europe Should Buy and Integrate APKWS Rockets For Drone Defense

A no-fly zone over Ukraine isn’t likely. This should not stop European air forces from fielding a combat proven, cost-effective defense against Russian drones.

behindthefront.substack.com

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 6d

“The APKWS II guidance section has a unit cost between $15,000 and $20,000, with the rocket motor and warhead adding a few thousand dollars more to the full price tag.”

Shaheed-type drones reportedly cost around $20,000+, so that's not a bad cost-exchange-ratio.

Laser-Guided Rockets Now Primary Anti-Drone Weapon For USAF Jets In Middle East

APKWS II rockets have become the Air Force's go-to air-to-air munition against drones thanks to their low cost and small size.

www.twz.com

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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 7d

Not quite right.

List of reported UFO sightings - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 7d

There is even a Transportation Security Administration (TSA) slideshow available online, showing how some of the purported drone sightings can be explained.

Newly released documents show what the feds knew about the New Jersey drone scare

Even after the Biden administration realized the most alarming claims were bunk, it didn't publicize the evidence it had.

reason.com

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 7d

While the hightened awareness to drone activity in Europe is commendable and important, increasing political attention and media reporting will also result in false positives. Just remember the New Jersey drone scare, where most of the sightings turned out to be lawfully operating manned aircraft.

None Of The New Jersey Visual Drone Sightings Have Been Corroborated: White House

The White House says federal, state, and local authorities have not corroborated any purported visual sightings of drones over New Jersey.

www.twz.com

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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 7d

Remember last year in the United States, where ”authorities have assessed that many of the purported uncrewed aerial systems spotted overhead are actually innocuous crewed aircraft like airliners.“

None Of The New Jersey Visual Drone Sightings Have Been Corroborated: White House

The White House says federal, state, and local authorities have not corroborated any purported visual sightings of drones over New Jersey.

www.twz.com

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 8d

”The missiles now follow a typical trajectory before diverting and plunging into a steep terminal dive or executing manoeuvres that ‘confuse and avoid’ Patriot interceptors.”

Russian missile upgrade outpaces Ukraine’s Patriot defences

Kyiv’s interception rates fall as enemy strikes dodge US interceptors in final seconds

www.ft.com

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Reposted by Frank Kühn

James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 10d

Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989–1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989–1991 is out today!

Huge congratulations to @jamesgrahamwilson.bsky.social and the rest of the team at the State Department's Office of the Historian. history.state.gov/historicaldo...

Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989-1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989-1991

Editor: James Graham Wilson

General Editor: Kathleen B. Rasmussen

Department of State
Washington
2025

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Reposted by Elizabeth Saunders, David R. Miller, Frank Kühn , and 6 more Elizabeth Saunders, David R. Miller, Frank Kühn, Mark Rice, Joanna L. Grossman, Jason A. Heppler, Nicole Guenther Discenza, Manisha Sinha, Aviel Roshwald

Karl Jacoby @karl-jacoby.bsky.social · 10d

Hegseth's words seem especially chilling in light of his whitewashing of the Wounded Knee Massacre as a heroic "battle" only a few days ago. The message would seem to be that the Trump Administration is willing to forgive any atrocity US troops may commit as an "earnest mistake."

Aaron Rupar @atrupar.com · 10d

Hegseth: "You should not pay for an earnest mistake for your entire career. That's why today, at my direction, we're making changes to the retention of adverse information on personnel records."

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Reposted by Frank Kühn

CNTR | Arms Control Research @cntrarmscontrol.org · 10d

Wie wirkt sich #KI konkret auf die globale Sicherheit aus? Am 6.11. erscheint der neue CNTR Monitor mit aktuellen Analysen zu Chancen, Herausforderungen und Lösungsansätzen. Darüber diskutieren wir auch im Rahmen der @berlinscienceweek.bsky.social. ⬇️

www.cntrarmscontrol.org/de/veranstal...

Künstliche Intelligenz, Krieg und Kontrolle – Was ist Hype, was echte Gefahr?

Berlin Science Week 2025 mit Niklas Schörnig & Malte Göttsche

www.cntrarmscontrol.org

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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 10d

Foreign Relations of the United States, 1989–1992, Volume XXXI, START I, 1989–1991 😍

Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 11d

What do geeks and dorks do late at night? Read the newest FRUS 🤣.

Historical Documents - Office of the Historian

history.state.gov 3.0 shell

history.state.gov

Reposted by Frank Kühn

Liviu Horovitz @liviuhorovitz.bsky.social · 11d

What do geeks and dorks do late at night? Read the newest FRUS 🤣.

Historical Documents - Office of the Historian

history.state.gov 3.0 shell

history.state.gov

Reposted by Frank Kühn

Kampf mit Kette @kampfmitkette.bsky.social · 12d

Also vor über 35 Jahren wurde die NVA aufgelöst. Wenn man mit 18 Jahren 1990 in der NVA war dann ist der heute 53.... 🤡
www.n-tv.de/politik/Pers...

CDU-Politiker fordert Einsatz von Ex-NVA-Soldaten

Die Bundeswehr sucht händeringend reguläre Soldaten. Aber auch an Reservisten mangelt es. Abhilfe könnten Soldaten der Nationalen Volksarmee der DDR schaffen, findet CDU-Politiker Müller. Dafür müsste...

www.n-tv.de

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Reposted by Brendan Nyhan, Frank Kühn, Scott A. Imberman , and 1 more Brendan Nyhan, Frank Kühn, Scott A. Imberman, Kent Johnson

Dan Lamothe @danlamothe.bsky.social · 14d

Real post on another network:

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Tom Joscelyn @tomjoscelyn.bsky.social · 15d

The MAGA monocultural revolution is so thorough that Hegseth made it a priority to honor soldiers who carried out war crimes in 1890.

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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 15d

Source: history.state.gov/historicaldo...

Historical Documents - Office of the Historian

history.state.gov 3.0 shell

history.state.gov

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 15d

NSC staffer William Cockell to National Security Advisor Poindexter in 1986: “JSTPS [Joint Strategic Targeting Planning Staff] will find a use for every warhead and still complain there aren’t enough. Whether the two SSBNs fill a ‘real world’ requirement is another question, however.”

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Reposted by Frank Kühn

Joe Cirincione @joecirin.bsky.social · 17d

From Trump’s rambling incoherent UN speech today. “And I look at weapons that are so powerful that we just can’t ever use them. If we ever use them, the world might literally come to an end. There’d be no United Nations to be talking about. There’d be no nothing.”

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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

Thank you!

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

I guess we agree about what the conventional wisdom in the D.C. national security bubble is these days. Whether we think an increase in warheads, delivery vehicles and additional sub-strategic options (SLCM-N) is sensible or needed is another question.

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

And yet, there was no photo-op. What prevented Trump from extending New START in 2020 then?

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

Point taken, conventional wisdom is fine with me. We also both know that it is not about “more nukes” (as I wrote above due to a lack of remaining characters) in terms of total numbers, but about an increase in deployed warheads and delivery systems.

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

... and 2020.

Putin Proposes One-Year Extension of New START Treaty - The Moscow Times

President Vladimir Putin on Friday proposed that Moscow and Washington extend for a year and without any conditions the last major nuclear arms reduction accord between Russia and the United States.

www.themoscowtimes.com

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

Another offer in 2019...

Putin offers US an immediate extension to key nuclear pact

MOSCOW (AP) — Russian President Vladimir Putin offered Thursday to immediately extend the only remaining nuclear arms reduction pact with the United States, but a senior U.S. official said Washington ...

apnews.com

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

And Putin has offered to extent New START multiple times during Trump I, yet there was no extension back then. What would be different now? Also keep in mind that the treaty was negotiated under Obama, which if you are Trump makes it a bad treaty per se.

Exclusive - In call with Putin, Trump denounced Obama-era nuclear arms treaty: sources

In his first call as president with Russian leader Vladimir Putin, Donald Trump denounced a treaty that caps U.S. and Russian deployment of nuclear warheads as a bad deal for the United States, according to two U.S. officials and one former U.S. official with knowledge of the call.

www.reuters.com

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

I agree regarding interference. But why would you commit yourself to a one-year extension if you intented to upload and break the treaty anyways? Doesn't seem to make a lot of sense to me, especially because some in USG will likely be worried about remaining locked in NST numbers (even if informal).

Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

The White House is completely unpredictable nowadays, so Trump might take on Putin’s offer – especially due to his interest in “denuclearization” and self-image as a great dealmaker. However, we shouldn’t kid ourselves: It's almost common sense in D.C. that more nukes are needed to counter China.

The Associated Press @apnews.com · 18d

Russia’s President Vladimir Putin says Moscow will adhere to nuclear arms limits for one more year after a nuclear pact with the US expires in February. The New START treaty is the last remaining arms control agreement between Russia and the US.

Putin says Russia will stick to nuclear arms limits for 1 more year

Russia’s President Vladimir Putin says Moscow will adhere to nuclear arms limits for one more year after a nuclear pact with the United States expires in February.

bit.ly

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Frank Kuhn @frankkuhn.bsky.social · 17d

Nachdem drei russische Kampfflugzeuge vom Typ MiG-31 in den Luftraum des NATO-Mitglieds Estland eingedrungen sind, ist in Deutschland eine Diskussion über den Umgang mit Luftraumverletzungen entfacht.

Sind die NATO-Prozeduren noch zeitgemäß? Darüber habe ich gestern mit der @taz.de gesprochen.

Das Eindringen russischer Kampfjets in Nato-Gebiet wirft Fragen auf

Das Eindringen russischer Kampfflugzeuge in Nato-Gebiet wirft Fragen auf. Zwei Wissenschaftler verweisen auf die Praxis in der westlichen Allianz.

taz.de

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