Les von Darrow
@lesvondarrow.bsky.social
"We pretend to work, they pretend to pay us."
Not so bad. I was expecting four MPs and six factions.
November 28, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Not so bad. I was expecting four MPs and six factions.
Reposted by Les von Darrow
I think when this era is all said and done, what the history books are gonna show is that a stunning amount of elites gave themselves irreparable brain damage via the internet
November 27, 2025 at 9:18 PM
I think when this era is all said and done, what the history books are gonna show is that a stunning amount of elites gave themselves irreparable brain damage via the internet
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Die Hard is indeed a Christmas movie, but It’s a Wonderful Life is a Financial Stability movie and A Christmas Story is a film about Reflationary Military Keynesianism.
December 21, 2024 at 5:42 PM
Die Hard is indeed a Christmas movie, but It’s a Wonderful Life is a Financial Stability movie and A Christmas Story is a film about Reflationary Military Keynesianism.
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Today's migration stats illustrate the migration doom loop in action...
(from my presentation at the IMF last week)
(from my presentation at the IMF last week)
November 27, 2025 at 11:02 AM
Today's migration stats illustrate the migration doom loop in action...
(from my presentation at the IMF last week)
(from my presentation at the IMF last week)
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Incredible to think it’s nearly nine years since Arsenal lost 10-2 to Bayern. I went to both of those legs, the team & indeed the whole club were a mess. Everything was futile, joyless & shallow. Fans ran on to the pitch to protest against the owners (rightly).
Arteta’s turnaround is miraculous.
Arteta’s turnaround is miraculous.
November 27, 2025 at 8:09 AM
Incredible to think it’s nearly nine years since Arsenal lost 10-2 to Bayern. I went to both of those legs, the team & indeed the whole club were a mess. Everything was futile, joyless & shallow. Fans ran on to the pitch to protest against the owners (rightly).
Arteta’s turnaround is miraculous.
Arteta’s turnaround is miraculous.
These are just incredible stats
40% possession leading to 2.72 xG and 8 big chances.
Right now there’s no way we can’t play.
Right now there’s no way we can’t play.
November 26, 2025 at 9:58 PM
These are just incredible stats
Reposted by Les von Darrow
the genAI bubble relies on you conflating the genuinely tremendous potential of using machine learning for e.g. image recognition in radiotherapy, protein folding, simulations in power systems etc with the child abuse image generators and schizophrenic delusions generators
People on BlueSky: AI is useless! A stochastic parrot!
Mathematicians/biologists/physicists: It is already helping us do frontier technical research and in some cases solve open problems arxiv.org/pdf/2511.16072
(There are of course, as always, many caveats, but the paper is genuinely remarkable)
Mathematicians/biologists/physicists: It is already helping us do frontier technical research and in some cases solve open problems arxiv.org/pdf/2511.16072
(There are of course, as always, many caveats, but the paper is genuinely remarkable)
arxiv.org
November 26, 2025 at 4:11 PM
the genAI bubble relies on you conflating the genuinely tremendous potential of using machine learning for e.g. image recognition in radiotherapy, protein folding, simulations in power systems etc with the child abuse image generators and schizophrenic delusions generators
Counterpoint: the forecasts will definitely be wrong one way or another. A surefire way to increase the chance they will be wrong on the downside rather than the upside is to frontload a bunch of fiscal consolidation. Upside surprise to the forecasts and you can take away some of that pain.
The government’s spending plans are “25-27: spending increases, 27-29: paaaain” which, uh…the election is 2028-9!
November 26, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Counterpoint: the forecasts will definitely be wrong one way or another. A surefire way to increase the chance they will be wrong on the downside rather than the upside is to frontload a bunch of fiscal consolidation. Upside surprise to the forecasts and you can take away some of that pain.
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Full endorsement of this take from an FX guy. Stablecoins are best thought of as derivatives on the dollar with massive embedded counterparty risk. I don't understand why the US policy establishment thinks these things will play a big role outside cross-border payments in developing countries.
So currencies. Much medium of exchange. Very store of value.
Stablecoins are no more a replacement for dollars than Mexican or Argentine pesos were a replacement for dollars in the 1980s or 1990s. They're the equivalent of a fixed exchange rate peg with ever-present credibility/reserves questions.
Stablecoins are no more a replacement for dollars than Mexican or Argentine pesos were a replacement for dollars in the 1980s or 1990s. They're the equivalent of a fixed exchange rate peg with ever-present credibility/reserves questions.
November 26, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Full endorsement of this take from an FX guy. Stablecoins are best thought of as derivatives on the dollar with massive embedded counterparty risk. I don't understand why the US policy establishment thinks these things will play a big role outside cross-border payments in developing countries.
Reposted by Les von Darrow
'bRiTaIn NeEdS An ImF bAiLoUt' latest
U.K 30 YEAR GILT YIELD DOWN 9.8 BPS TO 5.23%, IN BIGGEST ONE DAY FALL SINCE APRIL
November 26, 2025 at 4:17 PM
'bRiTaIn NeEdS An ImF bAiLoUt' latest
Reposted by Les von Darrow
This is the type of hater energy that will fuel us in the years ahead.
Good morning to Brazilian reporter Manuela Borges, who’s been waiting eleven years for this petty moment. ❤️ 🇧🇷
November 26, 2025 at 1:42 PM
This is the type of hater energy that will fuel us in the years ahead.
Reposted by Les von Darrow
If this had been a set of company results, pretty much the entire investor relations department would have been fined out banned from the industry by now. I know it isn't a set of a company results, but it actually is possible to do these things without leaking
lol here’s the full OBR book someone pressed publish early here’s the budget obr.uk/docs/dlm_upl...
obr.uk
November 26, 2025 at 11:58 AM
If this had been a set of company results, pretty much the entire investor relations department would have been fined out banned from the industry by now. I know it isn't a set of a company results, but it actually is possible to do these things without leaking
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Kash Patel: Liverpool
Zohran Mamdani: Arsenal
Nuff said.
Zohran Mamdani: Arsenal
Nuff said.
This modern adaptation is a little bit on the nose now
November 26, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Kash Patel: Liverpool
Zohran Mamdani: Arsenal
Nuff said.
Zohran Mamdani: Arsenal
Nuff said.
Reposted by Les von Darrow
In the early 80s, millions of people who'd risked their lives to defeat Hitler, and lost friends and family in the struggle, were still around.
Farage has been spitting on them his whole life.
Farage has been spitting on them his whole life.
Just for context, in the early 80s, saying stuff like ‘Hitler was right’ wasn’t the kind of eye-roll stuff you see on a daily basis online (and in mainstream US politics) today, it was a kind of terrorist level of political extremist view.
new allegation concerning Farage’s behaviour when he was 18 years old
November 26, 2025 at 10:12 AM
In the early 80s, millions of people who'd risked their lives to defeat Hitler, and lost friends and family in the struggle, were still around.
Farage has been spitting on them his whole life.
Farage has been spitting on them his whole life.
We're all just trying to find the guy that made him finance minister www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
November 25, 2025 at 1:10 PM
We're all just trying to find the guy that made him finance minister www.theguardian.com/world/2025/n...
Reposted by Les von Darrow
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
November 25, 2025 at 9:26 AM
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
Reposted by Les von Darrow
This guy was of course patient zero of the massive Silicon Valley crying protest to get their pet bank bailed out, and seems to have spent the last two years on podcasts wondering why people don't like tech investors as much as they used to.
November 24, 2025 at 9:45 PM
This guy was of course patient zero of the massive Silicon Valley crying protest to get their pet bank bailed out, and seems to have spent the last two years on podcasts wondering why people don't like tech investors as much as they used to.
Reposted by Les von Darrow
it’s also a thing where people can be convinced. the right got some people worked up about trans women in sports but possible to get people a lot more worked up about individual/parental rights, genital inspectors, etc
I think Democrats should double down on trans rights now. It's obvious that most voters don't care about it so you might as well stick with your principles and goad Republicans into focusing on it at the expense of everything else so they're the ones who look like freaks.
November 24, 2025 at 8:57 PM
it’s also a thing where people can be convinced. the right got some people worked up about trans women in sports but possible to get people a lot more worked up about individual/parental rights, genital inspectors, etc
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Evergreen post:
November 23, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Evergreen post:
Reposted by Les von Darrow
"You could not live with your failure. And where did that bring you? Back to me."
November 23, 2025 at 8:52 AM
"You could not live with your failure. And where did that bring you? Back to me."
Reposted by Les von Darrow
It remains very fun that the guy from the O.C. and Gotham became one of the biggest and most clearly spoken critics of crypto and is just chilling in the replies dropping the same gifs we would
November 21, 2025 at 12:24 PM
It remains very fun that the guy from the O.C. and Gotham became one of the biggest and most clearly spoken critics of crypto and is just chilling in the replies dropping the same gifs we would
Reposted by Les von Darrow
It takes 225 million years or so for the Solar System to make one orbit around the galaxy. Sharks evolved long enough ago that they’ve done it twice.
Man, everything is so bleak, anyone got a fun fact or little bit of trivia they want to share
November 21, 2025 at 3:14 AM
It takes 225 million years or so for the Solar System to make one orbit around the galaxy. Sharks evolved long enough ago that they’ve done it twice.
Reposted by Les von Darrow
Every country with healthcare infrastructure has a mass vaccination program because even though no one can agree on which form of government is best, or if there is the one true religion, every chief medical officer knows that vaccines are the single greatest healthcare intervention ever.
GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is crowing about Robert Kennedy Jr.’s CDC pushing debunked vaccine misinformation.
“Time to apologize to Dr. Andrew Wakefield and all the others who were maligned and vilified for simply asking the right questions,” he says.
Wakefield’s paper was *fraudulent.*
“Time to apologize to Dr. Andrew Wakefield and all the others who were maligned and vilified for simply asking the right questions,” he says.
Wakefield’s paper was *fraudulent.*
November 21, 2025 at 4:08 AM
Every country with healthcare infrastructure has a mass vaccination program because even though no one can agree on which form of government is best, or if there is the one true religion, every chief medical officer knows that vaccines are the single greatest healthcare intervention ever.