Fred Hicks
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deadlyfredly.bsky.social
Fred Hicks
@deadlyfredly.bsky.social
President of Evil Hat (I publish Fate, Blades in the Dark, Monster of the Week, Thirsty Sword Lesbians, &c). Liberal in politics, reposting, & use of the block button. Be advised, I limit parasociality when I can. Permanently in AMA mode (so ask).
Pinned
The fact that I am here and able to share numbers and give looks under the hood is because we’ve survived.

Survivor bias is in effect. If you’re not also learning from companies that failed you’re ignoring a ton of relevant data.
And perhaps most importantly, there is no "right" level of appetite for risk. It's something you'll have to come to on your own and, should circumstances change, possibly revise.

The thing you *shouldn't* do is find someone successful and emulate their posture.
Reposted by Fred Hicks
6/ The Post has lost over 375,000 subscribers in just over a year. If 10% of those readers subscribed to The 51st instead, we could hire 10 reporters and five editors, dramatically scaling our coverage of the city at this critical time. 51st.news/signup
Join The 51st
The 51st is a worker-led nonprofit news source for D.C. Our reporting is rooted in our conviction that local journalism is meant to make people’s lives better — no paywalls, ever. But that's only…
51st.news
February 4, 2026 at 7:21 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
So, I dropped this comment in passing in another thread, because I consider it kind of self evident, but a number of people raised very reasonable objections, and that's on me for being a bit loose with language.

So, let's talk about modularity and RPG design.
An idea that has fallen out of favor in design circles is the idea of RPG rules as something modular, but for a period of time, this was the default assumption - one way of building good rules was to build them so that others could write complementary rules and slot them in.
February 10, 2026 at 1:38 PM
tik
February 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
I tried to take a photo of a grasshopper on my windshield, but now it looks like a gigantic bug destroying the town.
February 10, 2026 at 6:10 AM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
I wrote the original brief for this product. It was originally supposed to be a campaign that celebrated D&D’s 50th by sending the players on a tour of all the classic settings we reintroduced for 5E—Ravenloft, Eberron, Spelljammer, DL, and, of course FR—to battle a multiversal threat.
February 10, 2026 at 12:40 AM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
Today I emailed publishers about a concerning practice a board game media creator engaged in. This will likely become public, so I'm providing the details here to give the full context of what I shared.

1) Document: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/o8ovt...

2) Video: youtu.be/fHXGWflPj4c

1/2
www.dropbox.com
February 9, 2026 at 2:47 PM
No shade to those who haven't, but I beg you, please don't sign on for royalty payment deals without an up-front advance payment made against those royalties. Looking at the whole field, many projects never "earn out". Advances give you *something* even in that case, otherwise, you worked for free.
February 9, 2026 at 3:50 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
“I’m mad I can’t understand Bad Bunny’s lyrics because they’re not in English”

my brother millions of metalheads around the world have been happily listening to incomprehensible Finnish shrieks and Japanese death grunts since we were teens, you’re just boring and racist
February 9, 2026 at 5:46 AM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
(update 2/9): i accidentally conflated two emails received (one in August and one in December). i've corrected the relevant paragraph and made a note of the error. i apologize for the mistake
February 9, 2026 at 3:08 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
She got spousal rape banned in California. Now 85, her fortune went to building a million-page women’s history archive — and to a Ponzi scheme.
Laura X got spousal rape banned in California. At 85, she scrapes by in a Berkeley hotel room
She got spousal rape banned in California. Now 85, her fortune went to building a million-page women’s history archive — and to a Ponzi scheme.
www.berkeleyside.org
February 9, 2026 at 3:04 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
🎵 If they ask you to pay money it's a scam 👏👏
🎵 If they ask you to pay money it's a scam 👏👏
🎵 that is not your favorite author or a stunning book club offer
🎵 They are asking you for money=it's a scam 👏👏
February 9, 2026 at 4:47 AM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
Good grief. What a read. Polygon on why the Vecna Eve of Ruin adventure (and so much more) fell flat.

www.polygon.com/dnd-5e-final...
D&D’s version of ‘Avengers: Endgame’ was supposed to close 5e, but we’ll never see it
Ever wondered about all those obelisks in 5e?
www.polygon.com
February 9, 2026 at 12:57 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
There is probably a megathread coming about modularity and modern game design, and I want to boost this because it’s a great frame of what I mean by “modular”, and an acknowledgment that this definition is not universal.
I see modular as a game design where core subsystems can be added, removed, or replaced with minimal cascading changes to other subsystems, without breaking game's functionality.
February 9, 2026 at 11:49 AM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
To be very clear, that lady in the NYT article is not making any money with her hundreds of AI slop books.

She makes money by *convincing people* she makes money that way and getting them to pay her to teach them how to do it.

It's an evolved MLM, and the NYT is helping market it.
February 8, 2026 at 8:03 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
Anne Frank died from a typhus epidemic that spread through the concentration camp where she was imprisoned.
February 7, 2026 at 11:35 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
Here is the segment. Get on it Magic community. Need to see a Casual Magic interview and a Shuffle Up and Play with her stat!

youtu.be/5sg9awJFZ0c?...
February 8, 2026 at 7:45 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
FAMU can't use the word Black on anything posted around campus related to Black History Month, to stay in compliance with Florida state laws against DEI. Black students can't use the word Black at their Historically Black College during Black History Month.
February 8, 2026 at 2:28 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
^^This^^

Even with concerted effort to move sales to retailers and consumers direct, it's really hard to replace a single distribution customer who is buying a few hundred to several hundred titles every month.
February 8, 2026 at 3:57 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
To come back to the “losing money on the Kickstarter” angle - one reason this practice works for established publishers (and is a bad idea for others) is that they can have a high level of confidence that they’ll be able to move their inventory.
February 8, 2026 at 3:44 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
This is a big part of why businesses seem to obsess on finding the right price point. No one wants to be forced out of business by a success, and that is DEFINITELY true of RPGs. Underpricing a book can really hurt you.

Ok, so why does that matter?
February 8, 2026 at 3:17 PM
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February 8, 2026 at 2:46 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
I have fucked up good and proper many times in my life and in RPGdom, and there are folks with legitimate beef, but nobody has ever *mythologized* me as evil the way they do for the queer artists I know who've had commercial success, *especially* Jay.

It's always wild to watch.
February 7, 2026 at 5:35 PM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
Sir Ian McKellen performing a monologue from Shakespeare’s Sir Thomas More on the Stephen Colbert show. Never have I heard this monologue performed with such a keen sense of prescience. Nor have I ever been in this exact historical moment.TY Sir Ian, for reaching us once again.
#Pinks #ProudBlue
February 5, 2026 at 11:50 AM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
No joke: I got angry hate mail today for writing an obituary of a Black woman scientist—because the person felt she did didn’t deserve the recognition.

Which just makes me want to share it again: www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Gladys Mae West obituary: mathematician who pioneered GPS technology
She made key contributions to US cold-war science despite facing huge barriers as a Black woman.
www.nature.com
February 6, 2026 at 9:09 AM
Reposted by Fred Hicks
It is kind of delightful to me that the entire nation is now getting to learn the name of our (excellent) county executive.

(And, yes, the campaign signs WERE a little odd to see at first.)
I'm sorry the guy changing the rules on the fly is named what
I stand with County Executive Calvin Ball as he signs emergency legislation today prohibiting privately owned buildings from being used as ICE detention centers.

Howard County chose dignity, accountability, and its people. Tune into our event now:
bit.ly/4a2VtHw
February 7, 2026 at 3:24 PM